AL-QA'IDA'S TIES TO OTHER KEY TERROR GROUPS: TERRORIST LINKS IN A CHAIN

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
05428213
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
March 9, 2023
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2009-01030
Publication Date: 
August 28, 2003
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PDF icon AL-QAIDAS TIES TO OTHER K[15789379].pdf658.48 KB
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-getAticrorT Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) -"rentECREi Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Al-Qa'ida's Ties to Other Key Terror Al-Qa�ida's Ties to Other Key Terror Groups: Terrorist Links in a Chain Longstanding ties to numerous like-minded Sunni extremist groups worldwide, cultivated long before al-Qa`ida was ousted from Afghanistan, are serving increasingly as the weakened organization's lifeline, sustaining its goals of inciting worldwide jihad and anti-US and anti-Western terrorist operations. The personal, logistic, and operational ties between al-Qa`ida and associated groups are blurring the lines that hitherto had set them apart. � Findings to date into the mid-May suicide bombings in Casablanca reveal that they were part of a highly intricate plot overseen by two established North African extremist groups the Moroccan Islamic Combatant Group and Libyan Islamic Fighting Group�with the knowledge of at least some members of al-Qa`ida, and carried out by a loose grouping of young Moroccan militants known as the Salem Jihadiya. (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(1) (b)(3) The Casablanca plot is part of a growing pattern in which Sunni extremist groups in other regions show a similar willingness to put on al-Qa`ida's mantle and plot against the US and its allies in the war on terrorism. � Al-Qa`ida�linked plots targeting US interests are on the rise in East Africa and the Horn from affiliates such as the Somali-based al-Ittihad al-Islami; in Southeast Asia the Jemaah Islamiya; the Iraq-based Ansar al-Islam, whose members are returning to postwar Iraq; in Central Asia the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan; and in Lebanon 'Asbat al-Ansar, a predominantly Palestinian Sunni extremist group based in refugee camps there. � Meanwhile, al-Qa`ida associate Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi�who was behind the murder in October 2002 of a US Embassy official in Jordan is relying on a decentralized pool of semiautonomous North African and Middle Eastern operatives to plan attacks against US and Israeli interests in Europe and elsewhere. (b)(3) �rop-sacaz Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) -11710.f.E.CREll Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Shared ideological commitment coupled with a strong sense of obligation for al-Qa`ida's past support also is prompting many affiliated groups to rally to al-Qa`ida's side, enhancing the odds that operatives from some groups will become involved in future al-Qa`ida plots while others will carry out their own plots against the US and pro-Western governments they seek to replace with strict Islamic states. Even if al-Qa`ida disassembles, remnants could migrate to indigenous Sunni extremist groups already primed to carry on the cause. Although the groups vary in terrorist skills, assimilated al-Qa`ida members could expand their capabilities and confidence, encourage networking, and increase cooperation between groups that previously have not worked together. � Just as al-Qa`ida's involvement in the late 1990s with competing Kurdish Islamic factions in northern Iraq solidified them and led to the creation of today's Ansar al-Islam, al-Qa`ida could spark similar alliances among rival Islamic factions elsewhere, unifying them and further straining weak governments trying to suppress violence from local Islamic extremists. (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(3) 1--ctgreECIZEI Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 Al-Qatida's Ties to Other Key Terror Groups: Terrorist Links in a Chain The suicide bombings in Casablanca on 16 May 2003 by members of the Salafia Jihadiya, a loose grouping of young Moroccan Islamic militants who acted as the martyr footsoldiers in the plot, are one of the latest signs of the spread of al-Qa`ida's goals and ideology among Sunni extremist supporters worldwide, and indicate growing emphasis on attacking US and pro-Western targets and establishing strict Islamic regimes. � Like Saudi Arabia, Morocco was one of several countries Usama Bin Ladin in an audiotape in February 2003 asserted was ripe for Islamic revolution hatched Islamic Combatant Group (b)(1) (b)(3) The plot, by the Moroccan members of the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group is indicative of a trend in which the operational distinctions between al-Qa`ida and affiliated Sunni extremist groups are increasingly blurred. Building a Legacy Through Other Sunni Extremist Groups The North African Casablanca plotters are part of a broad spectrum of like-minded Sunni extremists worldwide who were courted by al-Qa`ida long before the group was ousted from Afghanistan and who are now rallying to its side against the United States and its allies in the war on terrorism. Long- established ties to such groups are sustaining the weakened organization's program that promotes worldwide jihad and anti-US and anti-Western agendas. Trained at al-Qa`ida's terrorist camps in Afghanistan, extremists belonging to a variety of Sunni groups and loose networks, like that of al-Qa`ida associate Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi, are building on Bin Ladin's "base" as he envisioned it This assessment was prepared by the DCI Counterterrorist Center's Office of Terrorism Analysis Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to Chief (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) 1 -vrarsricazi Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) attetlaSECREi Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) (b)(3) and so named his organization, while adapting his legacy to their own objectives! For al-Qa`ida, the ties are paying off as radical Sunni groups once focused predominantly on local terrorist agendas take up a broader anti-US and anti-Western terrorist program. Several threats posed by such links are of priority concern. � In Southeast Asia, the capture in August 2003 of Jemaah Islamiya OH leader and senior al-Qa`ida operative Riduan bin Isomuddin, better known as Hambali, weakens al-Qa`ida's ability to advance joint large-scale anti-US and anti-Western plots in the region. The groups' increased operational collaboration has posed a serious threat to US interests there over the past year. Before Hambali's arrest, Indonesian authorities had already cited him as the key plotter behind the bombing in October 2002 of a Western tourist nightclub in Bali that killed more than 200 persons, including several US citizens. Investigations into the bombing of the Marriott Hotel in Jakarta on 5 August continue; Indonesian authorities have already linked the JI to that attack and are arresting suspects (b)(1) � In the Horn and East Africa, the Somalia-based (b)(3) al-Ittihad al-Islami (AIAI) bolsters al-Qa`ida operatives by providing safehaven and operational support for plots against Western interests there Ties between al-Qalida and AIAI date back to the early 1990s � Hambali's arrest represents a major blow for al-Qa`ida's network in the region given his operational stature but will not stamp out the ou 's ideology among some JI orononents. the JI was preparing several terrorist options in Southeast Asia, suggesting other JI figures holding anti-US views may continue pursuing plots and retaliatory attacks. 1A1-Qalida in Arabic means "The Base" and is a term that underscores Bin Ladin's longtime goal of building a lasting foundation that, with or without him, will inspire, continue spreading his extremist ideology, and provide resources to future supporters. More Sunni Affiliates Waiting in Wings. There are growing numbers of Sunni extremist groups in other regions showing a similar willingness to put on al-Qa`ida's mantle and plot against US and pro- Western targets. � In Iraq, al-Qa`ida is looki ous Ansar al-Islam (Al o enmesh US (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) and Coalition forces. (b)(1) (b) 3) With AT members now returning to postwar Iraq, the group has reemerged as one of the best funded and organized Sunni extremist groups in Iraq and is intent on forcing the US out, echoing al-Qa`ida's goal in its propaganda. (b)(3) �Thr9E-6P.E3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) --TOP-6ECR6 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) � Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi's network of semiautonomous terrorist operatives from North Africa and the Middle East us safehaven in northeastern Iraq Al-Qa`ida's ties with the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) and the Lebanon-based 'Asbat al-Ansar are growing. Although skewed, the IMU's rationale for considering US nationals "legitimate targets" ma � arallel anti-US views of other Sunni extremists. � In Lebanon, al-Qa`ida's ties with `Asbat al-Ansar, a Palestinian-Lebanese Sunni extremist group based in refugee camps there, have grown, with some al-Qa`ida members having relocated to Lebanon from Afghanistan but `Asbat al-Ansar has shown only a limited operational ability. It probably was behind the bombings of seven US franchise restaurants since April 2002, with the most recent in April 2003, possibly at al-Qa`ida's urgings. Further al-Qa`ida pressure and support could give `Asbat al-Ansar the incentive and skills to conduct more sophisticated attacks in Lebanon or abroad Most Rad' (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) al Palestinian Groups Still Leend� (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(1) Al-Qa`ida's message has not resonated with major (b)(3) radical Palestinian o s in the West Bank and Gaza Stri (b)(1) (b)(3) Th-litTPS6Cat1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) rup-sc-caEi Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Lebanese Hizballah Keeping al-Qa`ida at Arms Length al-Qa`ida does not appear to have established strong ties to Hizballah, despite some contact over many years fueled by relationships with mutual associates, enmity toward common enemies, and geographic proximity. The EH, for example, which merged with al-Qalida in 2001, had previous ties with Hizballah in the mid- 1990s when some EIJ members trained at Hizballah camps in Lebanon. Several former NJ, now al-Qa`ida, members have remained in Lebanon through 2003. Although HAMAS and al-Qa`ida use the term "jihad" in their rhetoric, they differ on goals, strategy, and attitude toward the US and Arab states. Both believe the use of violence against non-Muslims perceived as aggressors is justified and prescribed by Islamic law. The groups differ, however, in defining the scope and priorities of jihad. HAMAS has publicly shunned Bin Ladin's call for a worldwide jihad and taken pains in the aftermath of the 11 September attacks to distance its perceived "legitimate resistance activities" against Israel from al-Qa`ida's global holy war. Closer cooperation between Hizballah and al-Qa`ida has been hampered by differences in the two groups' primary agendas, as well as al-Qa`ida's general reluctance to work extensively with Shia Muslims. (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) A "Itrp-sEcau. Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) TOP-SECREi Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) appears to be motivating some groups involved in operations that were conceived after al-Qa`ida and its associates fled Afghanistan. Motives and Implications of Increased Cooperation Al-Qa`ida's vision is proving a strong magnet for pulling other Sunni extremist groups closer to help replace waning operational resources and become willing partners in future attacks against the US and pro-US governments. Longstanding ties, shared ideological commitment, and a strong sense of obligation for past al-Qa`ida support are prompting many affiliated groups to step forward. Moreover, the desire to retaliate against the United States and undermine our allies in the war on terrorism also Even if al-Qa`ida disassembles, its remnants are likely to migrate to indigenous Sunni extremist groups already primed to continue Bin Ladin's goals and anti-US agenda. Assimilating al-Qa`ida members into their ranks could strengthen the capabilities of individual groups, further encourage networking, and increase cooperation among groups not previously known to do so, similar to the Casablanca plotters. Dispersed al-Qa`ida members also could help unify fractious groups elsewhere similar to competing Kurdish factions in northern Iraq, further straining weak governments struggling to suppress indigenous extremists. (b)(3) (b)(3) is "MP-SECRO Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) (b)(3; (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) 1---tarrcafiCZE,71 6 Approved for Release 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) w"'oftseramianrip c-r1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) I %Mina Jihadiya. lot previously considered a formal USG listings as an FM or Terrorist Exclusion List. (b)(3) (b)(1 (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1 (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) 7 -ToreteRaz Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) --"reP-SECELEI_ (b)(3) (b)(3) (h)(31 (b)(3) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213 Approved for Release: 2020/02/25 C05428213