MONTHLY WARNING ASSESSMENT: LATIN AMERICA - 1981/06/24

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05092452
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: June 24, 1981

Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 C05092452
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
WASHINGTON, D. C. 20505
National Intelligence Officers
NFAC-3895-81
24 June 1981
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
THROUGH Deputy Director for National Foreign Assessment
National Intelligence Officer for Warning
National Intelligence Officer for Latin America
Monthly Warning Assessment: Latin America
FROM
SUBJECT
SEeR ET
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5. Argentina
President Viola's authority is being undermined, and the effective-
ness�and potentially the survival of his government is at stake. Viola
is hemmed in by the military junta that formally selected him, and is
subject to second-guessing by military officers and government officials
alike. Some officers are said to favor replacing him. The erosion of
Viola's authority complicates the handling of the delicate economic
situation and emboldens military opponents of his relatively moderate
political program. The ascendance of his opponents could open the way for
deteriorating civil-military relations. This in turn would complicate US
efforts to improve bilateral relations.
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3.5(c)
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Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 C05092452