NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE) 8 NOVEMBER 1982 - 1982/11/08

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05066445
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: November 8, 1982

Director of
Central
Intelligence
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National Intelligence Daily
(Cable)
8 November 1982
3.5(c)
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CPAS NIDC 82-261C
8 November 1982
Copy
3.5(c)
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3.5(c)
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Contents
Argentina: Regime Under Pressure
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ARGENTINA: Regime Under Pressure
As the Democratic transition unfoZds, President Bignone is
caught in a squeeze between increasingly aggressive civilian groups
and a military institution concerned that it will be called to
account.
3.5(c)
Human rights groups last month successfully chal-
lenged a government ban by staging a large demonstration
to demand an accounting of persons who disappeared in
the mid-1970s campaign against alleged subversives.
These demands have been strengthened by the recent dis-
covery of unmarked mass graves in Buenos Aires that
contain the bodies of at least some dissidents whom the
government claims were killed in clashes with the police
during the period. 3.5(c)
The press also has exposed financial corruption
touching many top military leaders. In addition, labor
groups--anticipating new economic policies following
recent IMF negotiations--have threatened to strike later
this month if growth-oriented programs are abandoned.
The junta of military service chiefs now is widely
believed to be exercising tighter control over Bignone.
It has responded to the media attacks by closing three
periodicals. 3.5(c)
//Army commander Nicolaides, who used recent command
chancres to solidify his support, is in a better position
to protect military interests and, if necessary, dictate
to Bignone.1
Comment: The series of scandals and demands has
undermined Bignone's efforts to win civilian support. At
the same time, the military continues to back him for
lack of an attractive alternative. 3.5(c)
Bignone still appears to have some time, but he will
have to reassert himself and begin to reconcile the
increasingly antagonistic civilian and military interests.
If Bignone fails, coherent policymaking will become
impossible, and neither group would have much further
use for him. 3.5(c)
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