NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY SATURDAY 17 APRIL 1982 - 1982/04/17

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05065780
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: April 17, 1982

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Contents
/ Argentina-UK: Contingency Planning 1
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ARGENTINA-UK: Contingency Planning
T.op-Seeret�
Although the Argentine intelligence service is engaged in
contingency planning for action against US citizens in Argentina,
such action is probably unlikely unless security officials con-
elude the US is clearly biased toward the UK. Soviet naval activ-
q%ity remains at a moderate level.
contingency planning for operations
against US citizens is being coordinated by the 601st
Intelligence Battalion, the operational arm of the
.7Argentine intelligence service responsible for clandestine
Liantisubversive activities, including many so-called "dis-
appearances." In addition, personnel responsible for
routine intelligence collection activities in Buenos
Aires have been withdrawn from their
make ready for "combat."
2--
tasks and told to
The Chief of the Federal Police reportedly stated
that his force probably would do little to assist US
citizens in trouble. The Federal Police also are
sible for protecting the US Embassy.
respon-
Comment: The reports of contingency planning prob-
ably are true, but the likelihood of action against US
nationals is less certain. If security officials con-
clude the US is clearly biased in favor of the UK, they
may take some form of action on their own against US
citizens, includina US officials in Buenos Aires.
could assist in identify-
ing key US personnel. 3.5(c)
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Top CAVI.- f
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Economic Pressure on Argentina
Argentine Economic Minister Alemann continues to
deny that the financial measures against his country
will force authorities to change their tough monetarist
...26) economic strategy or to impose controls on the financial
system. He reportedly believes that the current situ-
ation will be short-lived. Individuals continue to
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4kaireecrEr
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withdraw their bank deposits, interest rates have soared,
and demands on the central bank to provide relief are
growing. (C NF)
Comment: Argentines have traditionally reacted to
uncertain political and economic situations by converting
financial assets into dollars and overseas deposits.
Although Alemann may be correct that this is a short-
',term panic, the continued loss of funds will make it
increasingly difficult for the central bank not to
resort to the printing press, aggravating inflation
and signaling a breakdown in the government's economic
austerity program.
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