CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/08/11

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03448345
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: September 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: September 26, 2019
• Publication Date: August 11, 1955

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T9JKERET
W.71
/-�
3.3(h)(2)
11 August 1955 3.5(c)
copy NO. 99
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. 4.1_
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
LI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: ___e_a/
HR 70-2
DATE: 114/50__ REVIEWER: _
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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v4.0 68.4 A
CONTENTS
GENERAL
1. Soxiiet diplomats comment on UN charter review and
membership (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Masjumi party may head new Indonesian coalition (page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Comment on new Pakistani prime minister-designate
(page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Cyprus issue may bring fall of Greek government
(page 6).
5. Tension in Morocco mounts as Grandval proposes
three-point program (page 7).
LATIN AMERICA
6. Venezuela seeking visit from Soviet farm delegation
(page 8).
7. Comment on political unrest in Brazil (page 9).
THE FORMOSA STRAITS
(page 10)
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GENERAL
1. Soviet
UN charter review and
membership7
COMMENT
The USSR's opposition to a UN char-
ter review conference reflects sensi-
tivity to having the Soviet record in the UN, especially on
the veto, publicized at this time. Several other UN mem-
bers, including Britain, doubt the advisability of such a
conference during a period of "detente" between the USSR
and the West.
Despite Moscow's efforts to achieve a
closer relationship with the Afro-Asian countries and such
"neutrals" as Austria, it has given no indication that it
will support any one of these countries for UN membership
Individually or in a package that does not include Commu-
nist states. There is growing sentiment in the UN, espe-
cially among smaller nations, for admitting new members
by some prearranged agreement between the United States
and the USSR. Moscow probably believes, therefore, that
time is on its side.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Masjumi party may head new Indonesian coalition:
The reported success of the Masjumi
in forming a coalition cabinet exclud-
ing the National Party, which headed
the outgoing Ali coalition, is a vic-
tory for the anti-Communist leader-
ship of the army in its efforts to provide a political
atmosphere favorable to its interests.
The proposed cabinet, which apparently
has not yet been approved by Vice President Hatta, re-
portedly will be headed by a member of the Masjumi. The
coalition includes 11 parties, five of which participated
in the Ali cabinet. These parties hold a total of 145 of
the 234 seats in parliament.
The Masjumi hopes to hold the coun-
try's first national elections as scheduled on 29 Septem-
ber. Before doing so, however, it could be expected to
inspect critically the election machinery set up under Ali.
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SOUTH ASIA
3. Comment on new Pakistani prime minister-designate:
Acting Governor General Mirzais
nomination of Finance Minister
Chaudri Mohammad Ali to be prime
minister of Pakistan was made possible by an offer of
support from some United Front leaders. This shift
in support enabled Mirza to bypass Awami League
leader H. S. Suhrawardy, who earlier was reported
to have been offered the premiership as the price of
support from his party.
Both Mirza and new Moslem League
leader Chaudri Mohammad All have co-operated actively
with the United States in the past and no change in for-
eign policy is expected. Neither of the two leaders is
from East Pakistan, and this fact will almost certainly
occasion deep resentment in that area.
If Chaudri Mohammad All is success-
ful in forming a coalition government, the shaky political
arrangement on which it would be based will limit its
freedom of action.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Cyprus issue may bring fall of Greek government:
Cypriot Nationalist leader Arch-
bishop Makarios is prepared to
take the Cyprus issue to the Greek
people if Athens fails to give all-
out support to self-determination on Cyprus in the UN
General Assembly, according to the Cuban permanent
UN representative, Nunez-Portuondo, who recently
visited Cyprus. Nunez told Ambassador Byroade in
Cairo that Makarios is convinced the Rally government
of Prime Minister Papagos would fall as a result of
such action. The archbishop also believes nothing will
come of the Anglo-Greek-Turkish talks starting in
London on 29 August.
Nunez has the impression that the
Greek government, particularly Foreign Minister
Stephanopoulos, is not "vitally concerned" with the
Cyprus cause, but was forced to support it by public
opinion. Nunez was struck by Makarios' vigor and
capable leadership and by the merits of the Cypriot
case.
COMMENT Greek UN delegate Pajamas told
Ambassador Lodge on 2 August
that failure of the London talks could be used by the
opposition to overthrow the Greek government. This
statement is credible in view of the high pitch of Greek
feeling on the Cyprus issue and dwindling popular sup-
port for the disintegrating Rally regime.
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5. Tension in Morocco mounts as Grandval proposes
three-point program:
Resident General Grandval has
drafted a three-point program for
Morocco calling for the retirement
of Sultan Mohamed ben Arafa, the
creation of a three-man regency council, and the trans-
fer of former sultan Mohamed ben Youssef to France.
French army and air force com-
manders have been reinforcing garrisons at Casablanca,
Fez, Meknes, and Marrakech in anticipation of trouble,
although Grandval expects none if his program is ac-
cepted by Paris. Press reports, however, imply that
Premier Faure has yielded to the forces opposing re-
moval of Ben Arafa and has already rejected Grandvars
proposals. Such reports may set off widespread na-
tionalist demonstrations in Morocco.
Meanwhile, the American consul
general in Rabat reports that tension is high as Faure's
decision is awaited in Morocco and that the sultan's
government shows signs of disintegrating.
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V Vit
COMMENT
Caracas broke relations with
Moscow in 1952and has only negligible trade with
the Soviet bloc.
Venezuela has made repeated but
largely unsuccessful efforts to impress foreign coun-
tries with its material progress.
and may hope now to counter foreign
criticism by winning favorable comments from the
Soviet delegation.
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7. Comment on political unrest in Brazil:
An unusually large number of rumors
of plots for coups and countercoups have circulated in
Brazil during the current campaign for the presidential
election scheduled for 3 October.
The ticket seeming to have an edge
at present is that headed by Juscelino Kubitschek, a
former governor of Minas Gerais state, and Joao Goulart,
former labor minister who was forced out of his post by
the military because of his Communist ties and demagogic
efforts to build up a labor following for the Vargas admin-
istration. The public announcement on 8 August that the
Communist Party will support Kubitschek and Goulart in
the elections will alienate many voters, however.
Large-scale demonstrations against
the government and certain military officers may develop
on 24 August, the first anniversary of the suicide of Presi-
dent Vargas. The majority of the armed forces, however,
do not appear to favor a coup at this time.
The only conservative presidential
ticket, that headed by retired General Juarez Tavora,
has been gaining ground in recent weeks. Should Tavora's
election seem assured, the role of the army will continue
to be that of guaranteeing a free election and a constitu-
tional change of governments.
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WEEKLY SUMMARY
(4-10 August 1955)
THE FORMOSA STRAITS
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group
for the Formosa Straits Problem
I. The lull in the military situation has con-
tinued.
2. None of the six Chinese Communist airfields
along the East China coast opposite Formosa is occupied
as yet. Nantai, Swatow and Chenghai appear serviceable.
The runway at Lungtien is serviceable but taxiways and re-
vetments are still under construction. The runways at
Lungchi and Chingyang were reported nearly complete a
week ago, and may now be completed.
3.
two Chinese Nationalist HF-86
reconnaissance planes were engaged by two probable FAGOT
(MIG-15) jet fighters at an altitu
nautical miles south of Nanki
4. On 3 August, Chinese Nationalist aircraft attacked
the British freighter Inchwells off the Min River estuary, in-
flicting shock damage from near misses and causing several
personnel casualties. Although Taipei has issued several
warnings to the Nationalist air force and navy against attacking
neutral shipping, it is considered unlikely that these warnings
will Prevent further Nationalist attacks on British shipping.
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4
5. Chinese Communist propaganda has continued
to express a desire for higher-level negotiations with the
United States. On 5 August, Peiping misquoted Secretary
Dulles to imply that the United States would undertake such
negotiations if Communist China were to renounce the use
of force.
6. Apparently in anticipation of either developments
at Geneva or higher-level talks, the Chinese Communists
seem to have been preparing a position on the principle of
renunciation of force. Peiping's comments on this line
have strongly indicated that any Chinese Communist offer
to renounce force would be tied to Peiping's long-standing
demand for a withdrawal of American forces from the
China area.
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Primary roads
Secondary roads
FORMOSA STRAITS SITUATION
0
0
NAUTICAL MILES
50 150
- II II� Railroad
1
510 100 150 STATUTE 4+4.4_4.4_ Proposed railroad
MILES
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� A SERVICEABLE
4D A
UNKNOWN
COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND
USABILITY
IL.28
TU.2, IL.I0, LA-9/11, LI.2, ETC.
UNKNOWN
FIELDS NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE 01
SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPERATIONS
AT PRESENT.
UNDER
CONSTRUCTION I NATIONALIST AIRFIELD
DESIGNATIONS
PRIMARY: CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN AREA. WITH PREPARED
RUNWAY GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER.
SECONDARY: AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY BASES. OR FIELDS OF LESSER
IMPORTANCE. RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN 5000 FEET.
CPERATIONAL: ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY & CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT.
SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES MAY RE 4SABLE BYJETS
SERVICEABLE: INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
UNKNOWN: CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED.
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PRESENTATIONS DIVISION
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