CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/06/07

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03194470
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
September 20, 2019
Document Release Date: 
September 26, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 7, 1955
File: 
Body: 
Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470, CRET re??,11V 7 June 1955 Copy No. 94 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO NO CHANGE IN CLASS. LI DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: x-/'40 / AUTH: HR 70-2 DATE: -9//..A5Y2 REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY r/ TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 1F/ C-,2) 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) co v470/ A orv-vracor Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 *Ise 4Rre SUMMARY GENERAL 1, Soviet foreign trade agencies to be set up at Hanoi and Peiping (page 3). FAR EAST 2. Comment on current railway construction in East China (page 3). SOUTHEAST ASIA 3. Cambodian internal security situation worsens (page 4). EASTERN EUROPE 4. Ambassador Riddleberger believes conference may have widened gap between Yugoslavia and USSR (page 6). 5. Western experts comment on implications of Soviet-Tito talks (page 6). 6. Soviet moves raise hopes among Satellite people for improved domestic situation (page 7). 7 June 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 D PP PT Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 prtn erporrr Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 GENERAL 1. Soviet foreign trade agencies to be set up at Hanoi and Peiping: Comment: the Soviet Union and the Viet Minh have negotiated an agreement providing for 300,000,000 rubles ($75,000,000 at the official rate of exchange) worth of Soviet aid in goods and technical assistance. A trade agreement between the two countries is also to be signed, although the volume of Viet Minh exports in the immediate future N;Vill be small. the Soviet-Viet Minh negotiations in Moscow reveal confusion an inadequate preparation on the Viet Minh side, suggesting that a large measure of Soviet and Communist Chinese economic guidance will be required to ensure reasonable success of the aid program. FAR EAST 2. Comment on current railway construction in East China: he transfer of the 11th Railway Con- truction Division from South China to ast China suggests an intensification f the railway construction program in Fukien Province, opposite the Nationalist- eld offshore islands and Formosa. With he addition of this division the comple- ion date for this project, which had been stimated to be early 1956, will be ad- anced. at-7-71 7 June CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 rriro Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 TrID creeicrrr Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 *ow Nio On 24 May an element of this division was addressed at Sha Hsien (see map, p. 5), tending to confirm a report that a regiment of the division was located at nearby San Yuen in late May. The 11th Division is evidently the second to be transferred from South China during May, as the 10th Rail- way Construction Division was addressed at Foochow in a 10 May message. A total of four railway construction divisions may now be located along the proj ected Kueichi-Nanping-Foochow and Nanping- Amoy rail routes. SOUTHEAST ASIA 3. Cambodian internal security situation worsens: Ambassador McClintock in Phnom Penh expresses concern over the worsening of the internal security situation in Cambodia during recent weeks. Royal councilor d reports of a large rise in banditry and admitted that deserters from the army were partly responsible. According to the French high commis- sioner, the increase in g.rmy desertions has been caused by the extortion practiced by army officers, who lately have increased the amount of personal "squeeze" they exact from troop pay. Comment: Brigandage has been most prevalent in western Cambodia, Where small roving groups of professional outlaws have made many routes unsafe for travel. Provincial officials reportedly have received little help from the central government in combating these bands. Members of the former rebel groups which were integrated into the royal army after the Geneva cease-fire have been dissatisfied at -Peeiving lowpr nay than the regular troops and have deserted. 7 June 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 - �TER SFCR FT Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 P'D c.vertre'cl Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 'Noe CHINA�FORMOSA SITUATION Nautical miles Statute miles 0 50 100 1 4 o 150 150 CURRENT RAILWAY CONSTRUCTION IN EAST CHINA -4- -4- -I- -I- Selected Road Selected Railroad Projected Railroad \-.HONAN 28 120 KIANGSb --) 1?2 32� SHANGHAI HUPEH HANKOW r�-4, cb,6 JCHIAHSING ANHWEI CHOU Is. HANGCHOW r.72 / !N) jiteVr' NINGP9,.51k ' .11P` .,., ._. --- ) .,,,, ,.0 HIUCHIANG ' ) r� ,_ ,- / I i' CHDIHUA J ) UNANi\. CHANGSHA (../ HENGYANG 26 �24 NANCHANG IN SHANGJAO 7, 1-4, wENcHOwer",, 7.X ' / + r 5. .\ CHEKIANG - CHIENOU G S I / )SHA HS I EN , /. � (- CHANGTING' / NANE! I NG 1)w 'i'MATSUS SAN YUEN F U K N )74Z, A ()IV 1 UEMOY 5. , K WA Ny.,G U N G 4 ,:,'" \../ o' iF0 MO S cAtiToN AY. SWATOWf 1 xx4PESCAIS'0R / % tr \ . 0 �,......� ,-, \ __,- � -� -4-, 4-. C-c,------/ ---,-,_- q-', ,'t Hong Kong 22 Macao (G.B.) (Port.) -- 114 , 116 . SOUTH (711.INA SEA �TACHENS iz4 -1.5-i (' 28- 26� PEI 24- 22 1?0 122 PRESENTATIONS DIVISION TOP SCRFT Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 60606 Ir. r rq f".1r ri Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 lieue virri EASTERN EUROPE Ambassador Riddleberger believes conference may have widened gap between Yugoslavia and USSR bassador Riddleberger believes that he atmosphere of the Soviet-Yugoslav conference may have widened rather han narrowed the gap between the two c un ries. RictcI1ebergEIhas learned from good sources that Tito, who had been optimistic about the visit, was clearly disillusioned at the Soviet attitude and not nearly so convinced as formerly of Soviet peaceful intentions. Tito reportedly was shocked at Soviet boasting that World War I had brought Communism to Russia, World War H had added Eastern Europe and China,and World War HI would see it spread throughout the world. He also was reported shaken by frank statements about the continuation of the Stalinist line inside the USSR. 5. Western experts comment on implications of Soviet-Tito talks: Ambassador Bohlen notes that the Belgrade decisions may mark the beginning of Soviet efforts to find some basis for relations with the Satellites other than the Stalinist type of direct control. He believes the USSR may have felt a deal with Tito was an es- sential step in the process. The ambassa- dor points out that it is probably clear to n in e rem n at any liberalization of relations with the Satellites would be extremely dangerous as long as Yugoslavia main- tained a defiant or even distant relationship with the Soviet Union. Bohlen also states that the Kremlin may have feared that the establishment of Yugoslav-Chinese relations last fall would lead to eventual creation of a rival Communist cen- ter which would be influential over Asian neutrals such as India. 7 June 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 rmn crrnrT Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 --T042�SE�RET Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03194470 Jean Soutou, French Foreign Ministry expert on Eastern European affairs, sees the courting of Tito as allied with the current Communist united-front tactics in France and Italy. Comment: Any alteration of the USSR's control mechanism in the Satellites would be designed to encourage popular co-operation with local Communist regimes. Furthermore, such a change at this time might be intended to parry any Western efforts to make the question of Soviet control of the Satellites a subject of four-power negotiations. 6. Soviet moves raise hopes among Satellite people for improved domestic situation: Recent changes in Soviet policy toward Yugoslavia and Austria have encouraged a mood of "high optimism" among the Hun- garian and Rumanian populations over the possibility of a "change" in the domestic Communist regimes. The American lega- tion in Bucharest reports that Soviet pres- tige has suffered "considerably" and that rumors are widespread that Rumania will be liberated in 1955. According to the American army attach� in Budapest, reversals in Soviet policies are causing confusion, undermining party discipline, and leading to speculation concern- ing the possible purge of party leader Rakosi, who took a leading part in the 1948 ouster of Tito from the Cominform. He is said by well-informed sources to be in an "exceedingly agitated state," shouting contradictory orders at meetings of the party leadership and showing signs of overstress and fatigue. 7 June 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 003194470