CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/12/01

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03192686
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: December 1, 1957

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/ CURRENT
/
/ INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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1 December 1957
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Copy No.
1 3 S
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SF6CRET
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No" 'NW
ILO
CONTENTS
1. RECENT ACTIVITY ON THE TYURA TAM RANGE
(page 3).
2. POLISH VIEWS ON MOSCOW CONFERENCE
(page 5).
3, TIGHTENING OF CONTROLS IN EAST GERMANY
(page 6).
4. ATTEMPTED ASSASSINATION OF PRESIDENT SUKARNO
(page 8).
5. INDONESIA RETALIATES QUICKLY AGAINST DUTCH FOLLOW-
ING UN VOTE
(page 9).
6. STRIKE TALKS FAIL IN CEYLON
(page 10).
7. JAPAN INITIATES PLANS FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
OF SOUTHEAST ASIA (page 11).
/to 8. VIOLENCE INCREASING ON CYPRUS
1-lc 9. NEW ZEALAND ELECTIONS
1 Dec 57
(page 12).
Dage 13).
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No,
RECENT ACTIVITY ON THE TYURA TAM RANGE
flight activity
associated with the Tyura Tam-Klyuchi
missile test range indicate that another
ICBM test or an earth satellite launch-
ing attempt may occur in early Decem-
ber. As of 28 November, however,
there were no indications of final prep-
arations for a launching.
Recent movements by a CRATE (IL-14)
transport associated with the Tyura Tam range also suggest a
launching in early Decen ber. For unknown reasons, this air-
craft has flown to Vladimirovka 10 to 15 days before the be-
ginning of operational activity preceding each of the previous
four Tyura Tam firings. Such a flight may have occurred on
21 November which could indicate operational range activity
between 1 and 6 December. The possible occurrence of a
similar flight on 26-29 November somewhat lessens the use-
fulness of the 10 to 15 day time scale in this case. however,
1 Dec 57
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the flights of this aircraft to Vladimirovka do suggest an
intention to resume operational activity on the Tyura Tam
range.
Within the past week, three aircraft
associated with Tyura Tam have made flights for unknown
purposes to Soviet facilities identified with bacteriological
warfare activities and nuclear tests. On 24 November, a
helicopter was scheduled for a flight to Vozrozhdeniya Island
and from there to Tyura Tam. Vozrozhdeniya Island, located
in the Aral Sea, is believed to be a BW field research station
for the Soviet armed forces. On 28 and 29 November, a trans-
port aircraft made a round trip from Dzhusaly which included
Semipalatinsk and rangehead instrumentation sites. This flight
was duplicated on 29 November by a second aircraft.
1 I) e c 57
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2. POLISH VIEWS ON MOSCOW CONFERENCE
Comment on:
Gomulka has told a selected group of
Polish party officials and journalists
that Soviet Party Secretary Suslov pre-
sided over the recent conference of
Soviet bloc leaders in Moscow and assumed the major role
in preparing the joint bloc declaration,
Suslov has
had primary responsibility for the past several years_fiar
lations between Communist parties. Khrushchev,
took little part in the conference sessions;
however, he played a major role, in the preteding,bilateral
talks.
Numerous differences developed between
Gomulka and Suslov in the drafting of the declaration, but
Gomulka allegedly succeeded in inserting some of his views.
Chief among them were: inclusion of the Nehru-Chou five
principles in order to soften Suslov's proposal stressing So-
viet bloc unity under the direction of the Soviet Union; and,
with the support of Italian Communist leader Togliatti, a
simple reference to the achievement of socialism by peace-
ful parliamentary means rather than through the mobilization
of workers in capitalist and underdeveloped countries. Go-
mulka urged the inclusion of a statement that the Hungarian
revolution was the product of Communist mismanagement,
which was exploited by the West. Suslov had wanted a state-
ment that "imperialism" was responsible.
Gomulka considered he had received the
support of Chinese Communist leader Mao in a private con-
versation prior to the conference, but he said he found him-
self without Mao's support during the conference. Gomulka
stated that Mao acted like hard-line East German leader
Ulbricht.
1 Dec 57
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3. TIGHTENING OF CONTROLS IN EAST GERMANY
Comment on:
ariouA recent reports indicate that the
ast German Communist regime is about
o launch a strong campaign against oppo-
ition elements to be accompanied by a
ightening of security controls in East
ermany and Berlin. The presence in
ast Berlin on 25-28 November of Sovi,
eputy Foreign Minister Zorin, ostensi,
ly to conclude agreements concerning
egal aid and emigration, could have been
elated to these developments. Some of
he measures appear to be aimed at West-
vities based in West Berlin. As periph-
eral benefits, the East Germans probably hope to restrict
greatly the refugee flow to the West and control currency
smuggling�
Ulbricht's attacks on liberal elements at the central com-
mittee plenum of the Socialist Unity Party in October, had
convinced some people that a witch hunt within the party was
imminent. Such a purge would be in line with the new repres-
sive policies believed to have been established at the 34th
plenum on 27-29 November. Under these policies travel be-
tween East Germany and East and West Berlin is to be strictly
controlled. The purge of the editorial staff of one of Berlin's
1 Dec 57
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principal party papers on the eve of, the 34th plenum is a
further indication that a harder course is being adopted.
The paper, the Berliner Zeitung, had been vigorously at-
tacked by Ulbricht at the 33rd plenum.
These steps could presage often-threatened
Communist actions to restrict Western access to West Berlin.
An imposition of such restrictions at this time might become
the basis for a Communist propaganda campaign--to coincide
with the upcoming NATO meeting--to have the German problem
discussed at a summit conference at some time in the future.
1 Dec 57
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4. ATTEMPTED ASSASSINATION OF PRESIDENT SUKARNO
Comment on:
The attempt on Indonesian President
Sukarno's life on 30 November may
have been carried out by any one of sev-
eral disgruntled elements, including the
Darul Islam--a fanatic Moslem group
fighting the government for the past eight
years--supporters of the disaffected re-
gional leaders, and some Javanese factions
who oppose Sukarno's political and economic
policies.
Coming on the heels of Indonesia's setback
in the UN on the West Irian issue, the attack will almost cer-
tainly widen the breach--perhaps irrevocably--between Sukarno
and those who are, opposed to his policies. In any event, the
prospects for success of the current national reconstruction
conference, never bright, now appear almost nil.
The Communists can be expected to exploit
the incident to improve further their relations with the Presi-
dent. In this effort they will undoubtedly charge that the assas-
sination attempt was instigated by the Dutch, or by disaffected
Indonesian elements working at the behest of the "imperialists."
Finally, the Communists will play to the hilt the fact that most
of the victims of the attack\were small children, women and
other innocent bystanders.
While extensive security precautions have
been taken inDjakavto, the possibility of further violence can-
not be ruled out, either as a result of fresh attacks on Sukarno
and other government officials or retaliatory action. In this
connection, former Vice president Hotta may be in some dan-
ger. Sukarno's partisans, particularly the Communists\whe
consider Hotta one of their chief antagonists, may take physi-
cal action against Hotta on the ground that he, as a rallying
point for o osition to Sukarno's policies, may have been in-
volved.
1 Dec 57
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5. INDONESIA RETALIATES QUICKLY AGAINST DUTCI-
FOLLOWING UN VOTE
Comment on:
Indonesia was quick in taking discrimina-
tory measures against:the Datel , follOwing
the UN's rejection of the West Irian resolu-
tion. A 24-hour general strike against all
Dutch firms is set for 2 December, and all
KLM flights into Indonesia have been banned.
The secretary general of the Indonesian For-
eign Ministry stated, following Friday's ad-
verse vote, ti at the government had "prepared meas2res and
steps," and f,LL_ cher retaliation probably is planned. The govern-
ment-sponsored West Irian Liberation Committee has recently
been enlarged by the addition of the ministers of justice, labor
affairs, veterans affairs, and manpower mobilization.
The most likely possibilities are additional
economic sanctions against Dutch firms, includingtne.p7ogres-
sive nationalization of Dutch enterprises which have a value of
$1.5 billion. Djakarta may also follow through oili'cs threat to
sever diplomatic relations with the Netherlands abd i3 accept bloc
arms. Any of these courses would have the enthusiastic support
of the local Communists and would serve to identify President
Sukarno even more closely with their aims.
The possibility of limited military action in
West Irian cannot be ruled out. This would most probably take
the form of guerrilla activities carried out by police and army
elements said to have been alerted and trained for such use.
1 Dec 57
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6. STRIKE TALKS FAILI IN CEYLON
Comment on:
Ceylonese Prime Minister Bandaranaike
departed on 1 December for a Common-
wealth Parliamentary Conference in New
Delhi, leaving behind a critical strike
situation which has necessitated the call-
ing out of military forces. In attending
the conference, Bandaranaike may either
be fleeing from a decision-.which he nor-
mally should make or be misjudging the
importance to Ceylon's stability and his own position of a strike
settlement.
Talks over wee_ end between the govern-
ment and Ceylonese labor leades apparently did not result in
a satisfactory solution of labor's demands for higher wages.
On 1 December, 19 unions were reported on strike. and rt
others were threatening to join them. On the advice of Jus-
tice Minister C. P. De Silva, acting head of government in
Bandaranaike's absence, Governor General Sir Oliver Goonetil-
leke called out the army and navy to distribute food, provide
transport, run the sewage system, and man fire and ambulance
services.
Bandaranaike, a proponent of compromise
and delay, when faced in the past with Tamil and Buddhist agi-
tation, has successfully avoided crises by temporary expedien-
cies. In the present case, however, he and his government
cannot long delay settlement of economic grievances which are
paralyzing Ceylon's capital and may spread to provincial workers.
Ceylon's economy is not sufficiently healthy to permit general
wage increases without producing other complications pc.,ssibly
equally difficult to solve.
1 Dec 57
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7. JAPAN INITIATES PLANS FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
OF SOUTHEAST ASIA
Japanese Foreign Minister Fujiyama is
planning a $15,000,000 budget and the or-
ganization of a special economic co-opera-
tion bureau responsible for all aspects of
Southeast Asian development beginning with the new fiscal
ycar in April, Ambassador MacArthur reports from Tokyo.
Under this plan, $1,500,000 would be set aside for an Asian
Economic Development Project Consulting Center to draft over-
all plans, and the remainder would be reserved particularly
for developmental projects of small- and medium-sized indus-
tries.
In an effort to overcome the suspicions of
underdeveloped Asian countries, an additional $5,000,000 is
proposed for participation in the Colombo Plan, in the UN's
Economic Cooperation for Asia and the Far East (ECAFE), and
in other international projects for economic assistance. Mac-
Arthur comments that while these preliminary plans are cer-
tain to encounter stiff Finance Ministry opposition, it is very
likely that the Japanese budget in 1958 will reflect at least
some of these proposals.
Comment Despite a heritage of distrust in Southeast
Asian countries, Japan is becoming in-
creasingly attractive as a source of industrial materials and
a market for raw materials. Japan, on the other hand, is con-
centrating on this area to secure markets and sources of raw
materials. Apparently Japan is willing to undertake regional
development alone if outside assistance is not forthcoming.
1 Dec 57
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8. VIOLENCE INCREASING ON CYPRUS
Comment on:
Increased violence, including serious
sabotage, is approaching the tempo
prior to the truce last March, accord-
ing to British Acting Governor Sinclair,
who claims that he is only withholding countermeasures
"of the severest nature" in order to salvage something
from current international initiatives. It is the considered
belief of American and British officials on Cyprus that trouble
will continue to grow "in snowball fashion," jeopardizing in-
definitely any possible compromise, unless the Greek govern-
ment exerts its influence to curb the Greek Cypriot leaders.
Recent statements by Greek Cypriot
leaders call for a "fight to the end" lithe forthcoming UN
debate on Cyprus fails to satisfy Greek Cypriot claims and
have warned of "total war" against the British lithe United
Nations fails to resolve the Cyprus problem. EOKA leader
Grivas has called on all Greeks to unite behind Archbishop
Makarios. Unless the UN General Assembly passes a reso-
lution acceptable to the Greek Cypriots, a resumption of open
warfare between EOKA and the British security forces will
probably follow the UN debate now scheduled for early Decem-
ber.
Meanwhile, the formation of a "Turkish
Defense Organization in Cyprus" has been announced to defend
the interests of the Turkish minority. The Turks apparently
intend to broaden their measures to counter Greek violence.
1 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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9. NEW ZEALAND ELECTIONS
Comment on:
he Labor party's victory by a narrow
argin in New Zealand's general elec-
ions apparently resulted primarily from
ts effective exploition of danger signals
in the national economy and promises of
more lenient welfare and tax policies. Although New Zealand
is enjoying general prosperity, the incumbent National party
was heavily criticized for rising prices, the credit squeeze,
difficulties in marketing agricultural exports, and the drain
on exchange reserves caused by heavy private imports.
In the field of foreign policy, the National
and Labor parties have pursued a bipartisan course on most
major aspects. Both have stood for close cooperation with
the United States on defense matters. Labor, however, ad-
vocates recognition of Communist China and its admission to
the United Nations. In this it has demonstrated its closer af-
finity to the UK and can be expected to promote closer ties
with Britain than the National administration. The Labor party
also advocates a suspension of nuclear weapons tests and a de-
emphasis of the military aspects of SEATO.
The Labor government is likely to be dom-
inated by the party's doctrinaire socialist leader, the active,
75-year-old Walter Nash, who will probably be external af-
fairs or finance minister as well as prime minister.
1 Dec 57
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CONFIDENTIAL
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