CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/06/20

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03191552
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: June 20, 1959

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20 June 1959
Copy No. C 62
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CIA,
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S
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L. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
East Germans will probably attempt
minor harassment of West German
presidential election in Berlin.
USSR may be delivering two destroyers
romised to the UAR.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
More violence expected in South Africa.
Qasim intends to appoint four anti-
Communist generals to cabinet.
Yemen - Imam's entourage wants to
keep him in Rome until Crown Prince
Badr further discredited at home.
Algerian rebels may receive further
arms shipments.
III. THE WEST
0 Nicaragua - Government expects new
rebel attacks from abroad.
LATE ITEM
Moscow agrees to Geneva recess in
belief that prolonged stalemate on
Berlin will erode Western unity.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
20 June 1959
�
DAILY BRIEF
'�w)
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*East Germany: Bonn's announcement that the West
German presidential election will be held in West Berlin
on 1 July will probably provoke minor harassments and
stepped-up propaganda attacks by the East Germans. They
will probably not, however, take actions serious enough to
prevent the holding of the assembly in Berlin.
(Page 1)
USSR-UAR: Two Soviet destroyers, which left
the Black Sea on 19 June, may be the Skoryy-class units
which the USSR agreed in April to deliver to the UAR dur-
ing the second quarter of this year. In mid-1956 the UAR
received two Skoryrs--3,000-ton destroyers built in the
period 1948-53--and a fifth is to be delivered before Octo-
ber this ear.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Union of South Africa: The native rioting which broke
out on 18 June in the important seaport of Durban was appar-
ently spontaneous. Its rapid growth reflects the tense racial
conditions in the urban areas of South Africa. At least 5,000
Africans were involved in the violence and arson. Similar
violent but unrelated outbreaks may occur in other urban areas
Dy- of South Africa within the near future as African nationalists
become more organized and opposition to the government's
racial policies grows. The government can be expected to
maintain an uncompromising position.
(Page 2)
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Iraq: Prime Minister Qasim intends to appoint to his cabinet
In early Ju y four retired generals now serving in important pro-
vincial posts At least thre
of the generals are believed to be anti-Communist. Such a move
would strengthen Qasim's claim that his government stands abov
political parties and would tend to inhibit any Communist crit-
icism, which has so far stopped short of overt propaganda at- ,
tacks on Iraqi Army leaders, (Page 3)
Yemen: Members of the Imam's entourage in Rome, which
includes Crown Prince Butes rival, Prince Hasa; apparently
intend to try to persuade the ailing Imam to stay in Italy for
some time. They hope that in the interim events in Yemen will
have discredited Crown Prince Badr. Further incidents of army
unrest are reported to have occurred in Yemen during the past
week, and Saudi Arabia is said to be encouraging anti-Badr ele-
ments. Badr on 18 June appealed to army units to support him
against "impprialist stooges" posing as Arab nationalists.
all was quiet there- and that unruly army
P 1 la in n t had been sent out of the city
Algeria: The rebels are laced with a severe suppiy snortage,
and are having difficulty moving arms overland into Algeria. How-
ever, a Pakistani ship rarilingarmsfor them is expected to arrive
at an unsneeified Dort some time after June,
A Soviet ship off-loaded carpi in the
UAR on 14-15 June which may have been arms from Communist
China for the rebels. (Page 4)
III. THE WEST
Nicaragua: President Somoza and Ills brother, who is chief
of the armed forces, are convinced that new rebel attacks are be-
ing prepared with the assistance of the Cuban, Venezuelan, and
Honduran governments. The Somozas do not expect effective
L' assistance from the Organization of American States, and the
20 June 59
DAILY BRIEF ii
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impulsive General Somoza has told US officials he might take
offensive action against the hostile governments. The more
moderate President, however� does not favor such action at
present, (Page 5)
LATE ITEM.
(DAL'
*USSR-Geneva: Gromyko's consent to a three-week recess
in the foreign ministers,' talks reflects the Soviet leaders'
awareness that their tactics at Geneva have so far failed.to...in-
duce the Western powers to accept a change in the status of
Berlin which would deprive them of existing rights Moscow
probably calculates that the West will be under increasing pub-
lic pressure to make further concessions and that the confer-
ence will resume under conditions more favorable to the USSR
Kfirushchev, in his Moscow speech on 19 June again served
notice that he would never agree to any arrangements which
would perpetuate Western occupation rights in West Berlin in-
definitely. However, he refrained from issuing any threats. of
early unilateral action to sign a separate peace treaty and trans-
fer access controls to the East Germans, Khrushchey reaf-
firmed the USSR's desire for a negotiated settlement, termed
the Geneva talks as having "definite positive value�" and ex-
pressed confidence that the West under pressure of public opin-
ion will eventually agree to a summit meeting.
(Page 6)
20 June 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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1.�
Nur' Nimme
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
East German Reaction to Presidential Election in West Berlin
East Germany, with support from the USSR, can be ex-
pected to step up its propaganda attacks on the West German
presidential election which Born). now has announced will be
held in West Berlin on 1 July� (A TASS correspondent in Ge-
neva had warned,
that if Bonn's plans were not canceled
we will react and make it uncomfortable3
Such harassments as might be carried out, while includ-
ing some interference with civilian traffic, probably will Mt
be such as to physically prevent the holding of the meeting.
Communist leaders probably plan minor harassments, such
as popular demonstrations in the city, to maintain their posi-
tion that West Berlin is not part of the Federal Republic.
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CONFIDENTIAL
I L ASIA-AFRICA
Racial Riot in South Africa
A spontaneous riot broke out in South Africa's important
seaport of Durban on 18 June and resulted in several native
deaths and a considerable number of casualties, as well as
damage to 25 government and private buildings. The disor-
ders, initiated by several thousand African women who were
protesting a ban on home brewing, quickly became violent
and took on racial overtones when thousands of native men
joined in battling the police. The police used firearms, but
took hours to regain control of the affected African districts.
Press reports that numbers of Europeans had to flee for
safety appear exaggerated; the African areas involved are
situated several miles from the main European sections of
Durban.
The rapid spread of the disorders in Durban reflects the
tense racial situation in the urban areas of South Africa. Af-
rican resentment over the government's repressive racial
policies is growing, particularly against the orders that na-
tive women must carry identification passes and that resi-
dential areas must be segregated by race. In the case of
Durban, this means that thousands of Africans must move.
South Africa is likely to have a growing number of racial
riots�probably with bloodshed�in the urban areas as the in-
fluence of nationalism grows among the 10,000,000 Africans
and they organize to oppose the government's racial policies.
During the next few years, however, these disorders will
probably not become a major threat to the governmeiVs con-
trol. Prime Minister Verwoerd may be expected to main-
tain an uncompromising position on racial affairs and con-
tinue to suppress African nationaligtn.
CONFIDENTIAL
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vier'
Qasim May Add Army Men to Iraqi Cabinet
In a reorganization of his cabinet expected to take place in
the fit part of July, Qasim intends to appoint to ministerial
posts four generals now functioning as important provincial ad-
ministrators,
Major General Abd al-Wahab Shakir, governor of Hilla Province,
Major General Allah al-Din Mahmud, governor of Erbil Prov-
ince, Major General Abd al-Razzaq Abd al-Wahhab, governor
of Basra Province, and Major General Muzhir Ismail Shawal
director general of Basra port. They are all professional mil-
itary men with long army careers who were named to their
present civilian positions soon after Qasim came to power on
14 July 1958. While the views of Shakir are not definitely known,
the generals ar believed to be basically, though not vocally,
anti =Communist.
&sim, has become extremely
concerned about the increasing strength and influence of the Com-
munist party. His purpose in making these appointments to the
cabinet would be to strengthen his own position and allay similar
concern on the part of top army commanders. In contrast to the
selection of more openly anti-Communist personalities, such
appointments would strengthen Qasim's claim that his government
stands above political parties and would tend to undercut Commu-
nist criticism, which has so far stopped short of overt prop-
aganda attacks on Iraqi Army leaders.
It now appears that Qasimts decision--so vehemently as-
sailedThy the Communists--to release political "exiles" who had
been banished to various parts of the country was paralleled by
a decision to release an unknown number of individuals who had
been jailed. � The American Embassy in Baghdad reports that of
the ten Iraqi employees of the embassy who had been placed un-
der arrest, at least eight have been released)
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NOrd Noe
Arms Shipments to Algerian Rebels
two shiploads of arms
are en route to the Algerian rebels. The Soviet ship Stavropol,
believed to have loaded arms for the Algerians at Shanghai,
off-loaded 600 tons of cargo at an Egyptian port on 14-15 June,
apparently for transshipment to Algeria. The cargo may be
part of the $4,000,000 worth of military aid, including "West-
ern light arms," promised to a rebel mission by the Chinese
Communists last February. A Pakistani ship is expected to
deliver arms of undetermined origin to the rebels some time
after June. The ship had been expected to arrive this month.
In view of the supply shortages of rebel units, their abil-
ity to sustain military operations will depend on success in mov-
ing supplies overland in the fag() of vigorous French counter-
measures. The increased effectiveness of French electrified
barriers along the Tunisia-Algeria border has seriously cur-
tailed rebel supply operations from Tunisia. As for the west-
ern frontier, "there are no
crossings from Morocco to Algeria" and only "a few crossings
by isolated elements" in the other direction.
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m. THE WEST
Nicaraguan Regime Expects New Attacks From Abroad
The Nicaraguan Government notes mounting indications that
new rebel attacks are being prepared abroad and that these prob-
ably have covert support from the Cuban and Venezuelan govern-
ments and from groups in neighboring Costa Rica and possibly
also Honduras.
President Luis Somoza and his brother, General Anastasio
Somoza, armed forces chief, appear uncertain of their ability
to survive a concerted series of rebel incursions and do not ap-
pear to expect effective assistance from the Organization of
American States. The impulsive General Somoza told US offi-
cials on 18 June that he has considered taking offensive military
action against hostile governments. The President, however,
does not at present favor such action.
Pro-Communist Nicaraguan exiles in Cuba announced on 17
June that one of their colleagues, Rafael Somarriba, was already
inside Nicaragua in a mountainous area near the Honduran border
with an armed band of guerrillas. There is no confirmation of
this claim, but Somarriba is known to have left Cuba for Central
America in recent weeks,
It is unlikely that the Honduran
Government is assisting the Nicaraguan rebels, but its control
over its border regions is limited and sympathy for the Nicara-
guan rebels is high both among the Honduran public and leaders
of the governing Liberal party.
Fidel Castro, who has publicly stated that the Nicaraguan
rebels "have our esteem and sympathy," is probably sending
covert aid to the Nicaraguan opposition. The 10 June visit to
Venezuela of the commander of the Cuban Navy may have con-
cerned Nicaragua; he was reported by the press to have had a
lengthy interview with President Betancourt.
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CONFIDENTIAL
LATE ITEM
USSR Prolongs Geneva Stalemate in Attempt to Erode
Western Unity
Khrushchev's speech in Moscow and Gromyko's moves at
Geneva on 19 June reflect the Soviet leaders' realization that
their tactics have so far failed to induce the Western powers
to consent to a change in the status of Berlin which would
terminate existing Allied rights in the city. Moscow agreed
to a three-week recess in the Geneva talks probably on the cal-
culation that increasing public pressure in the West for an ac-
commodation on Berlin will erode Western unity and firmness
and that the talks will resume under conditions more favorable
to the USSR.
Khrushchev's intention to prolong the stalemate on the issue
of Allied rights in West Berlin in the hope of extracting further
Western concessions was evident in his speech at the Soviet-
East German friendship meeting in Moscow. He reiterated the
USSR's firm opposition to any agreement which would perpetuate
Western occupation rights in West Berlin indefinitely. He sought
to maintain pressure on the Western position by reaffirming
Moscow's intention to sign a separate peace treaty with East
Germany if the Soviet-proposed all-German committee fails to
agree on the principles of a peace treaty within a specified time
limit. Khrushchev again stated that a separate treaty would
terminate all remaining Western rights in Berlin and warned
that any Western attempts to "restore the occupation regime by
force" would be met by "every means at the USSR's disposal."
The Soviet premier, however, refrained from issuing any
threats of early unilateral Soviet action on Berlin. He stressed
his readiness to accept a time limit "acceptable to all" on the
Soviet-proposed "interim settlement" for Berlin and noted that
despite differences at Geneva, the talks already have had a
"definite positive value."
Khrushchev also expressed confidence that the West, under
pressure of public opinion2 will eventually agree to a summit
CONFIDENTIAL
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meeting regardless of the outcome of the foreign ministers'
talks. He contended that a summit meeting would "become even
more necessary" if the ministers failed to reach agreement and
warned against any Western attempt to bring pressure on the
Soviet Union by linking a summit conference to progress at the
foreign minister level. The USSR, he said, is not prepared "to
pay any price for the sake of calling a summit conference."
Gromyko's statement on 19 June extending the time limit of
his proposed "interim" Berlin settlement from one year to 18
months and providing for a resumption of four-power talks if the
all-German committee fails to reach agreement within this
period was intended to demonstrate once more that the Soviet
position is negotiable. These modifications, however, do not
alter the basic terms of the Soviet proposal as presented on
10 June.
CONFIDENTIAL
20 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
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