CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/07/07

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03190724
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
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July 7, 1959
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-7 Release: -TOP SECRET - Thiwor' 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Copy No. C 63 CENTRAL 7 July 1959 INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO.----- NO CHANGE IN CLASS. IX DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: 42) it) DATE:NEXT REVW \ D ATI-E112. v REVIEWER; TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 . mew:we� � Ter 5ECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 m l' 1'1 rlr.rri -Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 .4upv 7 JULY 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet deputy foreign minister to at- tend revolution-day celebrations in Baghdad; more Soviet military aid reaches Iraq. More bloc aircraft delivered to UAR; Soviet-UAR arms negotiations con- tinue. II. ASIA-AFRICA UAR--Elections on 8 July likely to leave no well-organized Syrian group in opposition to Nasir's control. Cyprus�Rift between Makarios and Grivas threatens to split Greek -Cypriot right wing. Terrorist campaign may be launched in French Cameroun. Comment on Sukarno's proclamation of 1945 constitution. III. THE WEST De Gaulle envisages consultation between France and five other Com- mon Market members to coordinate positions in NATO and East-West discussions. LATE ITEM 0 Comment on USSR rocket launch of 2 July. TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 ,r/z Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 2F7 TOP SECRET '04�00 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 7 July 1959 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR-Iraq: The composition of the Soviet delegation to Baghdad for revolution-day celebrations on 14 July re- flects Moscow's continuing efforts to maintain the momentum of its campaign of "friendship" with the Qasim government. The delegation will be led by First Deputy Foreign Minister V. V. Kuznetsov. ithe US and UK delegations will be headed by resident ambassador_s1 Deliveries of Soviet military equip ent to Iraq continue, with the arrival at Basra of at least three additional ship- loads of aircraft, armored cars, and other equipment in June. More arms aid is scheduled to arrive shortly. (Page 1) Bloc-UAR: delivery in May of 15 crates of Czech aircraft, possibly MIG jet fighters, on Polish vessels to Alexandra. Nego- tiations for both civil and military aircraft have been under way between the UAR and Moscow officials for the past year. Other agreements already reached in the course of negotia- tions call for the shipment of additional naval vessels, air- craft, and artillery to meet the long-term needs of the UAR armed forces. Soviet leaders apparently are continuing to depend on their economic and military aid programs to re- store the amicable relationship with the UAR which was interrupted by the exchange of recriminations between Mos- cow and rairn parlier this year. 11 lid Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 *we SECRET II. ASIA-AFRICA � UAR: LNasir apparently intends to use the 8 July elec- tions�Orthi1Tational Union--the only authorized party in the UAR--both as a concession to the public desire for more participation in government and as an opportunity to test the real strength of the Syrian Baathist party. In Syria, a concerted effort has been organized by diverse political elements to defeat Baathist candidates, reported- ly with Nasir's covert approval. The results are likely to bring a reduction in Baathist influence in Syrian affairs, leaving no well-organized political group which might op- pose Nasir's controq (Page 2) Cyprus: The widening rift between Greek Cypriot leaders Archbishop Makarios and former terrorist leader t General Grivas, now in Athens, threatens to split the con- 0)4 trolling Greek Cypriot right wing. 5:he Cypriot Commu- 7,nis,ts, while overtly backing Makarios, are clandestinely trying to widen the breach Makarios told the Greek consul general on Cyprus that he recently wrote Grivas a letter expressing Civj strong displeasure with the general, Grivas has been critical of the frtyprus agreements themselves and the way they are being implemented. (Page 3) Indonesia: President Sukarno's, proclamation of the 1945 constitution provides a legal basis for the virtually unre- stricted powers he has acquired in his ten-year rule. It - does not necessarily mean that he will make any determined j�,./-/new effort to solve Indonesia's pressing political, economic, and military problems. Sukarno's return to the old con- .� stitution is strongly supported by the army, which hopes to get several posts in the next cabinet. Should it achieve a greater political role, the army may make further efforts to curtail the growth and activities of the Communist par- ty. (Page 4) 7 July 59 DAILY BRIEF ii 74, Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 'Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 TOP SECRET Cameroun: Violence, perhaps initiated by the extremist wing of theroutlawed Communist-influenced nationalist move- ment, the Union of the Cameroons Population (UPC), appears possible in this French trust territory, which is scheduled for independence in January 1960. Terrorist bands have re- cently attacked widely scattered targets�generally involving _Euroi e n caused at least 13 deaths. the outbreaks of terrorism may be re- lated to threatened labor unrest and reported plots to assas- sinate pro-French government leaders in a UPC effort to focus international attention on Cameroun and influence the United Nations to order new elections before its independence. (Page 5) III. THE WEST France: 1pe Gaulle, in his efforts to enhance France's standing in the Western alliance, now apparently envisages regular high-level consultation among France and the other five Common Market members to coordinate the "European" position in NATO and in East-West discussions. The Italian who in the 25 June talks with De Gaulle in Rome steered him away from his initial proposal for a French-Italian-German combine, appear receptive, aid Bonn is giving high-level attention to the propossg (Page 6) 9 LATE ITEM *Soviet missile: The Soviet Union on 2 July launched an- other geophysical rocket carrying three animals and extensive scientific instrumentatjon according to a announcement nn 6 .Tulv,. 7 July 59 a missile was launched in a vertical DAILY BRIEF iii TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 f # 'Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 4 l'OP SLCKLI *awl direction from the Kapustin Yar Missile Test Range at ap- proximately 0341 GMT on 2 July, reaching a height of about 130 nautical miles. On the basis of available information, the operation does not appear significant from the stand - points of altitude and payload; telemetry analysis will be required to determine the significance of the biological and scientific experiments. (Page 7) 7 July 59 / DAILY BRIEF iv Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Now' Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 TOP SE,CItEl. I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Moscow Continues to Cultivate Qasim Regime The high-level composition of the delegation scheduled to represent the USSR at the Baghdad revolution-day celebra- tions on 14 July reflects continuing efforts by Moscow to maintain the momentum of its "friendship" campaign with the Qasim government, the delegation will be led by First Deputy Minister V. V. Kuznetsov, who is second only to Gromyko in the Foreign Ministry. Other members of the five-man Soviet delegation include a deputy minister of culture and Khrushchev's son-in-law, A. I. Adzhubey, who was recently made editor of Izvestia. The designation of Kuznetsov is apparently in deference to Iraqi desires, as conveyed recently to Rumanian diplomats, that foreign delegations be headed by someone of deputy for- eign minister rank or only slightly below. Rumania is ex- pected to follow the Soviet procedure, as are other bloc coun- tries. he United States and Britain, as well as Turkey and Iran, plan to have their ambassadors resident in Baghdad lead their delegations; West Germany, however, is sched uled to send a group headed by a high-ranking Foreign Min- istry official) Soviet leaders', probably expect that displays of bloc mil- itary equipment by Iraqi armed forces at the celebrations will also enhance the USSR's posture as a big-power friend of Iraq. Deliveries of Soviet military equipment to Iraq continue at a high rate. At least three shiploads of arms arrived at Basra in June, including, jet aircraft, antiaircraft artillery, armored cars, trucks, and other materiel. In addition, another Soviet vessel is scheduled to arrive at Basra shortly; this is the 15th arms cargo dispatched by the USSR to Iraq since late 1958. Deliveries to date include more than 65 jet aircraft (at least 15 of which are IL-28 jet light bombers), from 100 and 150 medium tanks, and substantial quantities of various types of artillery and infantry weapons. 7 July 59 -7012-SEC-RET' CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 -TOP-SECRET IL ASIA-AFRICA UAR National Union Party Elections [Elections to membership in the IJAR's single political organization, the National Union, are to take place on 8 July. Over 30,000 members are to be elected; these will subsequently form local and provincial government coun- cils and provide a political cadre from which President Nasir will choose a national assembly.j [Only in Syria, where the Nasir regime is concerned over local discontent with the region's subordinate role in the UAR government, is there competition between various factions and real popular interest in the outcome. In gen- eral, the regime appears to be giving a large measure of freedom to Syrian voters. Public security offices through- out the region have been ordered to "observe neutrality in whatever is connected with the National Union elections," the same, time, however, Nasir is support- ing various Syrian political elements engaged in a combined effort to end the dominant rble in Syrian politics played by the leftist-oriented Baathist party, led by Akram Hawrani. Nasir reportedly is relying on strong-man Abd al-Hamid Sarraj, Syrian interior minister, who is directly responsible for election activities in Syria and may be coordinating op- position to the Baathists7 L---7ria apparently will emerge from the elections without a single political group well organized or influential enough to offer serious potential opposition to control from Carol 7 July 59 TOP SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Open Rift Threatens Among Greek Cypriots Greek Cypriot unity is apparently being seriously under- mined by the widening rift between Archbishop Makarios, head of the interim Cyprus government, and General Grivas, influential former terrorist leader who is now in retirement in Athens. The archbishop is still trying to maintain a facade of solidarity among the Greek Cypriots, jid it seems doubt- ful that an open struggle will erupt at this time.) Makarios apparently realizes that his control is being challenged by Grivas, and that he must risk an open breach. Despite his recent public statement to the contrary, Makarios has disagreed with Grivas' public statements regarding Cyprus and, in- timated to the Greek consul general on Cyprus that he had written to Grivas of his displeasure "in a forcible style." tihe Communists, while continuing to recognize Makarios as the legitimate leader of the Greek Cypriots, are covertly exploiting the split in the right wing by spreading rumors de signed to widen the breach.] Grivas is the undetermined factor in the future of Greek Cypriot affairs. Despite his earlier promise to remain aloof from Cypriot politics, his silence has been rather tenuous and required little stimulus to be broken. Any statements by him might accelerate the normal Greek tendency toward political factionalism. Should Grivas emerge as a prime contestant on the Greek political scene, however, and seek to exploit his Cyprus role, there could be serious repercus- sions on Cyprus which could endanger the smooth transition of the Cypriot government. 7 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 �CUIVIFIDENTIA*� Niue Reinstitution of 1945 Constitution Legalizes Existing Indonesian Situation President Sukarno's reinstitution of the 1945 constitution on 5 July provides a legal basis for the increased executive powers he has pre-empted over the past ten years and paves the way for continued direct presidential government. Two years ago Sukarno assumed virtual dictatorial powers when he abandoned parliamentary government by appointing his own cabinet. This presidential cabinet, led by Prime Min- ister Djuanda, resigned on 6 July. President Sukarno himself will head the next cabinet, although a prime minister apparently will carry the bulk of administrative work. A legislature, including regional and functional representatives, and an advisory council are to be created "within the shortest possible time"; the means of their formation--whether by elections or appointment-- has not been specified. The change in constitution does not provide any ready- made solutions to Indonesia's chronic difficulties, nor does it indicate that Sukarno will make a determined new effort to cope with the problems of a growing Communist party, continuing insurgent activities, and a deteriorating econ- omy. The vaguely written 1945 constitution will lend itself to a flexible, improvised, and highly centralized administra- tion. Sukarno's return to the old constitution is strongly sup- ported by the army, which hopes to hold several portfolios in the next cabinet. Should it achieve a greater political role, the army may make further efforts to curtail the growth and activities of the Communist party. 7 July 59 CONFIDENTIAL CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 �SECRET Increased Violence Appears Possible in Cameroun The growing number of terrorist attacks within the past week in the French trust territory of Cameroun sug- gests that nationalist extremists may be initiating the dis- orders in order to focus international attention on the ter- ritory. The violence, directed at a wide variety of targets, has already resulted in at least 13 deaths, including six Europeans. The government has announced a state of alert in several areas, and armed, police patrolled the streets of the capital on 6 July. The violence appears similar to the former activities of the Union of the Cameroons Population (UPC), the out- lawed nationalist movement which created serious disorders in the seaport of Douala in 1955 and subsequently conducted guerrilla warfare against the government for three years. The UPC apparently split up following its military defeat last autumn, and several former supporters are engaged in ostensibly legal political activities. An extremist wing, however--probably led by Felix Moumie--carries on anti- government activities from other African countries, par- ticularly Guinea, and reportedly may plan to organize a re- volt in Cameroun including an attempt to assassinate Prime Minister Ahidjo. The UPC's expatriate representatives are trying to ob- tain backing in next fall's UN General Assembly session for new elections--under international supervision--before Cameroun gains its scheduled independence in January 1960. 7 July 59 SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 %al III. THE WEST De Gaulle Proposes "European" Policy Coordination rench President de Gaulle proposed to Italian Presi- dent Gronchi on 25 June regular high-level consultations among France Italy, and Germany to organize a common "European" policy. At Italian insistence, he agreed to extend the group to take in all six Common Market coun- triesJ ap Gaulle apparently envisages the creation of a new bloc, whose position would be coordinated but whose deci- sions would not be binding on its members, to speak for "Europe" in NATO and in East-West discussions. He reportedly told the Italians that such a formation would permit its members to indicate to the Soviet Union the existence of a strong, united European force. He probably also has in mind the effect of such a combination as a _ counterweight to US and British influence within NATW Lie Italians, who seemed pleased to have persuaded De Gaulle to broaden his "club" and to work within the NATO framework, appear receptive to his plan, and Bonn, contacted separately, is giving high-level consideration to it. German Finance Minister Etzel stated that the time has come to take a step forward toward European integra- tion on the political level, if the six-nation cohesiveness needed for the Common Market is to be maintained] LI5e_ Gaulle's proposal is another in the series of moves he has made to try to enhance France's standing in the Western alliance and to make Paris the spokesman for Continental Eurozg 7 July 59 SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Page 6 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 TOP SECRET _Joy LATE ITEM Soviet Missile Activity the Soviet Union launched a missile in a vertical direction from the Kapustin Yar Missile Test Range at approximately 0341 GMT on 2 July. The preparatory ac- tivities included a "readiness eight hours" announcement at the beginning of the countdow.-_. On 6 July the TASS news service announced that on 2 July the USSR had routinely launched another single-stage, upper-atmosphere research rocket containing two dogs and a rabbit which were recovered successfully. The total �scientific payload weight, announced at 29000 kilograms (4,410 lbs.), included equipment for studying ultraviolet rays, the structure of the ionosphere, micrometeorites, direction and speed of air currents at different altitudes, as well as the density, pressure, temperature, and com- position of the atmosphere at different heights. On the basis of available information, this operation does not appear significant from the standpoints of altitude and payload. Telemetry analysis will be required to deter- mine the significance of the biological and scientific ex- periments, although there appears to be nothing new in evidence. The altitude achieved in the 2 July flight is es- timated to be about 130 nautical miles�substantially lower than the heights achieved in the three erevior verified similar operations. -TOP-SEeRE-T 7 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 Nese Nome THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190724 /1/.#(/