CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/06/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03189332
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: March 17, 2020
• Document Release Date: March 26, 2020
• Publication Date: June 9, 1960

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9 June 1960
Copy No. C GS
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ULLETIN
PRIIUMENT NO. 3 V.
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9 JUN 1980
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9 JUNE 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Pakistan's Ayub tells US ambassador he
has authorized subordinates to explore
sincerity of Soviet feelers on extending
aid; a major motive appears to be to get
US to increase military assistance.
UAR last week alerted some military
units because of report that Israelis
were ready to start diverting Jordan
waters; alert apparently has since been
eased somewhat, but danger of new ten-
sions, or incidents, remains.
Paris official as saying France will con-
tinue to work with Ethiopia to curb Somali
sion.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
9 June 1960
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
II. ASIA-AFRICA
[Pakistan: President Ayub has authorized his subordi-
� natecp ore the sincerity of recent Soviet indications
of willingness to extend economic aid, particularly in oil
� and other mineral exploration. A major motive in this--
he informed Ambassador Rountree of his move on 4 June--
appears to be to take advantage of recent Soviet saber-
rattling over the U-2 incident to press for increased US
military assistance.
(Page 1) -1
UAR-Israel.
Cairo promptly ordered a number of units put on partial
alert last week following receipt of a report that Israel was
about to start diverting the waters of the Jordan River. The
alert appears to have been eased somewhat following assur-
ances from UN Truce Supervisor Gen. Van Horn that there
were no indications of an imminent Israeli move of this sort.
Nevertheless, the UAR's over-all apprehensions about the
Jordan waters issue, as reflected in last week's alert, will
certainly continue, and new tensions, or incidents, are likely.
(Page 2)
F rance-Ethiopia: France will continue to work with
Ethiopia to curb Somali expansion,
the union of Somalia and Brit-
ish Somaliland could not be blocked, but he suggested that Paris
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.... the US and Britain be asked not to give financial aid
� to Somalia unless the new state renounces the "Greater Somalia"
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WATCH COMMITTEE CONCLUSIONS
ilOn the basis of findings by its Watch Committee, the United
States Intelligence Board concludes� that:
(,A. No Sib-Soviet, bloc country intends to initiate hos-
tilities against the United States or its possessions
in the immediate future.
LB. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends deliberately to
initiate direct military action against US forces
abroad, US allies, or areas peripheral to the orbit
in the immediate future.
Note: There are no indications of Chinese Commu-
nist intentions to launch a major attack in the Taiwan
Strait area in the near future. The Chinese Commu-
nists may, however, use the occasion of the President's
visit to Taiwan for military demonstrations in the Tai-
wan Strait area to emphasize their hostility toward the
US.
The following developments are susceptible of direct
exploitation by Soviet/Communist hostile action which
would jeopardize the security of the US in the imme-
diate future. Non
9 June 60 DAILY BRIEF ii
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SECRET
Pakistani Inquiry About Possible Soviet Aid
Pakistani President Ayub, in an apparent effort to stimu-
late US interest in giving additional aid, has informed the US
Embassy that he has authorized the Foreign Ministry to ex-
plore the sincerity of recent Soviet indications of willingness
to give economic aid, particularly in oil and minerals explora-
tion. Although the Pakistanis have often cited the success of
India and other neutrals in securing aid from both the Commu-
nist bloc and the West, they would probably be unwilling to
jeopardize good relations with the US by accepting extensive
Soviet aid.
Ayub, however, may also believe that suggesting willing-
ness to improve relations with Moscow. will help reduce Soviet
pressure on Pakistan over the U-2 incident. Soviet leaders
probably consider that Pakistan's strong ties with the West
preclude the prospect of substantial Soviet gains, but may
respond with a specific offer in the hope of prejudicing Pak-
istani ties.with the US.
Ayub's statement to Ambassador Rountree that as an econ-
omy measure he is considering a reduction of Pakistani mili-
tary units to 80 percent of full strength may have been designed
to underscore the need for additional US assistance. It seems
unlikely that Ayub would take this step, since it would probably
weaken the army's support for his military regime. More-
over, he appears especially concerned over long-term Sovipt
pressures on Pakistan, particularly through Afghanistan.
-SECRE-T
9 June 60
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'11 Amor
UAR Apprehension Over Possible Israeli Move to Divert
Jordan Waters
The UAR has exhibited intense concern over the possibil-
ity of a sudden move by Israel to divert the waters of the Jordan
River. Reacting to information
that diversion was imminent, Cairo
order-
ing a partial alert. A subsequent UAR check with General Van
Horn of the UN Truce Supervisory Organization provided no con-
firmation of the information, and the state of alert has appar-
ently been reduced.
the Israeli front was quiet.
Israel's over-all water development program calls for no sig-
nificant diversion of water either from the Jordan River or Lake
Tiberias for several years. Only a small part of the conduit=
canal system which is eventually to carry off large amounts of
this water to central and southern Israel has been completed, and
construction work has not yet begun on the sections closest to the
lake and river.
Israel does, however, utilize some water from the Jordan for
irrigation in the immediate vicinity of the river, The Israelis are
reported to have asked UN officials recently to obtain Syrian approval
for Israeli work crews to improve Israel's irrigation canal which
parallels the Jordan River in the northern demilitarized zone be-
tween Israel and Syria. Although the Israelis apparently have no
Intention of using this project to increase their off-take of water ap-
preciably�if at all�the Syrians suspect that this project may be a
part of the major long-range Israeli diversion scheme. Even if
Syrian approval is not forthcoming, the Israelis may go ahead.
Because of such sensitivity over the waters issue, either side
may misinterpret a move by the other. Thus it is likely to cause
further tensions and incidents between Israel and the Arab states,
long before any significant water diversion actually takes place.
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French-Ethiopian Cooperation Reiterated
France would continue to
cooperate with Ethiopia in efforts to curb Somali nationalist ex-
pansion. the French
official's opinion that the union of Somalia and British Somali-
land�scheduled for 1 July following the attainment of independ-
ence by each state�could not be prevented. He suggested, how-
ever, that Paris and Addis Ababa should take "joint action" includ-
ing the exchange of information to prevent any incitement of Soma-
li subjects in either country,. He also proposed to the Ethiopian
ambassador that the United States and Britain be asked to de-
mand Somali renunciation of the "Greater Somalia" concept be-
fore extending financial assistance.
Ethiopia is deeply concerned about Somali nationalist ag-
itation because about 30 percent of the country is inhabited by
Moslem Somali tribesmen who differ in religion and culture
from the Christian rulers. As a result Ethiopia has recently
tried various diplomatic moves to obtain international guarantees
of its borders.
France opposes Somali nationalism because of the appeal
it exerts for about half the population of French Somaliland
and the potential threat it poses to continued French control
Of the naval base .t Djibouti. Since mid-1958 Paris has
several times shown its determination to maintain its terri-
tory. In November 1958 the pro-Somali Premier, Mahmud
Harbi, was dismissed from office because of his nationalism
and opposition to the new French Community. Recently, Paris
has ensured Ethiopia's cooperation by agreeing to share control
of the vital rail line between Djibouti and Addis Ababa.
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9 June 60
CFMTD A I IkITPI I irtrkirc RI II I PTIM
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CONFIDENTIAL vie
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National. Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
'Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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