CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/07/09

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03189018
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date: 
December 20, 2019
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Publication Date: 
July 9, 1957
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15757485].pdf249.51 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN TOP RET V07/ 9 July 1957 Copy No0 36 rOCUMENT NO. NO CHANflE I EFC.1.A7z..7.-7-7) CLVZ.IS r NEXT REV:EW DATE: 'titO AUTH: HR 70-2 DATiti# 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This document contains classified information affecting the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, US Code Title 18, Sections 793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits its transmission or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an un- authorized person, as well as its use in any manner prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detri- ment of the United States. TOP ET / Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 OPN Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Lir ae11Z 1 CONTENTS 1. REACTIONS TO THE SOVIET PURGE (a) HUNGARY (b) WEST GERMANY (c) FRANCE age 3). (page 4). page 5). 2, YEMENFRAOTNTTIEMPTING TO MOVE SOVIET TANKS TOWARD EN ER (page 9 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 ttiNFIDENT-H-L- I. REACTIONS TO THE SOVIET PURGE (a) HUNGARY The American legation in Budapest notes that the sudden emphasis by the Hungarian party newspaper on the beneficial results of the Soviet 20th party congress reverses eJ1ne talcen as recently as the Hungarian party conference of 27-29 June. This conference had stressed a generally hard line, failed to mention the 20th party congress in its resolu- tion, and installed a leading Stalinist, Jozsef Revai, in the central committee. Announcement of the departure of party first secretary Kadar, politburo member Apro and two high govern- ment officials "on vacation" is locally interpreted to mean that at least some of these leaders have gone to Moscow for guidance. Comments in Budapest showed intense interest in Soviet developments and a universal hope that Hungary would benefit in the long run. Comment The Moscow events will spur moderate ele- ments in the Hungarian party to seek some modification of Ka.dar's terror tactics, demand the removal of Stalinists such as Revai from the central committee, and call for a modification of the policy of intensified pressure on intel- lectuals. This will contribute to the serious factionalism within the party. In anticipation of such a move, politburo mem- ber Marosan at a 5 July meeting of Budapest activists stated that some party elements would see in the Soviet party resolu- tion a vindication of "revisionist and right-wing" views. "We must reject this most energetically since it is similar to that which dragged us toward October 23." 9 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 Ar11.711,7 in min.-in-a TIT 1' .1 i� Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 -110, (b) WEST GERMANY Chancellor Adenauer, in a published inter- view, has compared the recent Moscow shake-up to the internecine struggle after Lenin's death, and says Khrushchev, like Stalin, will try to eliminate all his rivals. In the interview and in an election cam- paign speech on 7 July, Adenauer said that he will believe in a change of policy only - when one is borne out by the attitude of the Soviet delegation at the London disarmament talks. Opposition Socialist chief 011enhauer, on the other hand, told another political rally that "the radical shake-up in the Kremlin showed that the Soviet government wants a settlement of certain international problems." One Bonn government official stated that it is the consensus of West German officials that theSovie dismissals are primarily the logical outcome of the power strug- gle within the Kremlin and not a conflict between Stalinists and anti-Stalinists. He claimed that West German officials generally see the dismissals as unlikely to affect present Soviet policy, ex- cept that Khrushchev will exploit them for propaganda purposes to try to convince the West of Moscow's intentions favoring a detente. On the other hand, some high officials of the Eastern Division of the Bonn Foreign Ministry told members of the American embassy in Bonn that they now see the way clear for a more flexible Soviet policy toward nonbloc states. They see the events as an important step by Khrushchev toward his as- sertion of personal dictatorship. In disagreeing with one of their colleagues, Boris Meissner, who sees the emergence of a trium- virate of Bulganin, Khrushchev, and Zhukov, they stress that Bulganin is a negligible force and that Zhukov has no political as- pirations. 9 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 SEPRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 tiefrivBsEwill+4/., (c) FRANCE Soviet specialists in the French Foreign Ministry interpret the Soviet shake-up as primarily a power struggle and warn against hopes for a favorable evolution of Kremlin views toward a detente. They believe the changes will have little effect on Soviet foreign policy, with the exception of Yugo- slav relations where some improvement may be possible, and regard with pessimism the strengthening of Khrushchev whom they consider particularly dangerous. In internal policy they expect a hard line to continue with emphasis on productivity and priority of heavy industry. The head of the European desk in the Foreign Ministry believes that Soviet policy toward disarmament will not be affected although Soviet leaders may use the purge to bol- ster their claim to peace-loving intentions. He sees little prob- ability that the shake-up will have repercussions among Satellite leaderships, other than in Rumania. He notes French Commu- nist leader Maurice Thorez' enthusiastic response to the shake:-up despite the fact that his party is the most Stalinist of the Western European Communist parties, and believes Thorez may use Soviet developments to crush revisionists in the French party. 9 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 ArvAnoicrirvirir..71-rarrirrr AM. Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 TOP SECi?E'T 2. YEMEN ATTEMPTING TO MOVE SOVIET TANKS TOWARD ADEN FRONTIER Yemen is attempting to move newly ac- quired Soviet T-34 medium tanks to the southern provincial center of Taiz, about 30 miles from the Aden Protectorate frontier, The Yemenis have encountered unexpected difficulties with the new equip- ment, however, because of a lack of native tank drivers, and because the Soviet bloc drivers who accompanied the vehicles were engaged in shuttling other equipment from Salif to Hodeida and have not yet been able to reconnoiter the road to Taiz. This is the first reported movement of re- cently acquired heavy Soviet equipment toward the disputed Aden frontier. The Imam now has his summer residence in Taiz. the presence of such equip- ment in the frontier area may demoralize the native security forces and the tribes on the protectorate side of the frontier. The Protectorate boundary 8 JULY 1957 ..--� .....---.. Indefinite boundary UNCLASSIFIED .....% SULTANATE OF MUSCAT f'.. ---- Tharnut% , AND OMAN r � --- \ ,.....- . \ � \ SAUDI A ARABIA .������� . �, ...-� .....- - YEMEN \ ----". oShibam KAMA- ) .., \ ....- --:".. SANA \ / ��. EASTERN ADEN PROTECTORATE - 0_, � Elocleida sv� ' LB eihan '.. ------ �:-�", -.) � Mukalla . ..._,,V � Taiz /IT hala �..a ADEN / FRE SOMA 24438 9 July 57 70708-4 TURKEY JORDAN Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018 1 '.jr 4+4110- Yemenis at present lack the technical competence to operate and maintain the new equipment, and will require extensive Soviet bloc or other foreign assistance to use it effectively. Ten T-34 tanks have previously been seen in Yemen, but this may be a minimum figure. The Yemenis have taken precautions ko unload recent Soviet arms shipments only by night and have attempted to disperse the equipment as rapidly as possible. Two additional Soviet bloc vessels were scheduled to reach Yemen A cargo of 2,639 tons including ammunition and apparently economic aid goods, was to arrive by 8 July, to be followed six days later by "the first ship carrying heavy equipment." 9 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 TOP SFTRFT Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03189018