CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/08/05

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03185146
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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March 17, 2020
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March 26, 2020
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August 5, 1960
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Z/ZZI 7//r/ZZZ/Z/Z/Z/ZZ /1/ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C031851 46,4sw 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 5 August 1960 Copy No. C 71 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO OHAHGE IN CLASS. DEGLAsseriED CLAS, Eii.iN.:1-13 TO: 34.5100 NEXT 11.��trlaNi AUTH: RR 7U.2 9 JUN 1980 DATE: REVIEWElli TOP-secRET- r/Z/ZApproved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146f Approved for Release: 2-65/53713 a3185146 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 jO?�SEGREI 5 AUGUST 1960 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC New Soviet early warning radar's detection capability considerably in excess of previ- ous types. 0 Moscow offers arms and technical assist- ance to Lumumba. USSR seeking to defeat US request for UN ' Lent meeting. Moscow and Peiping making new offers of aid to Yemen. II. ASIA-AFRICA Comment on Congo situation. Syrian nationalist leader and former UAR vice president flees to Lebanon. Indonesia--Sukarno planning to ban two major anti-Communist political parties despite army's opposition. III. THE WEST �Fidel Castro's illness raises possibility of power struggle between brother Raul and Guevara. LATE ITEM �Two officials of Soviet organization which deals with arms supplies to foreign countries have been in Havana. irJP .cFrrnT Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146� Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 . ---TOP-SEeRET , \ k'k\\ ' \ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 5 August 1960 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC 3 USSR: xistence of a new Soviet early warning radar with capability considerably in excess of previ- alloy knnwn Anviet enuinment is revealed Preliminary analysis indicates this new radar should ue awe to detect targets of B-47 size at ranges of at least 300 nautical miles, at altitudes depending upon the line-of- sight horizon and other operational factors. Increasing op- erational deployment of the new radars apparently has oc- curred in several sensitive peripheral areas of the USSR. (Page 1) (Maeg USSR-Congo: Soviet First Deputy Foreign Minister Kuznetsov discussed plans for Soviet "assistance" to the Con- golese Government, including "the donation of a large quantity" of arms and ammunition, medical specialists and equipment, and an airplane "to facilitate travel," Kuznetsov also urged Lumumba to ask for an emergency ses- sion of the UN Security Council with a view to having UN ob- servers, appointed from the Afro-Asian bloc, sent to the Congo to assure the implementation of the council's resolutions. Moscow has stepped up its propaganda efforts to discredit the UN role in the Congo, and in Leopoldville Soviet officials arg actively encouraging the Congolese authorities in their demands for total Belgian withdrawal. (Page 2) USSR-UN: extensive Soviet effort to defeat the US request for a meeting of the UN Disarmament Commission on 15 August. The acting chief Soviet delegate in New York stated flatly to the -TOP SECRET C03185146 \'f ' Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 ---TOP�SEreltEr '44100 Japanese representative that the USSR would boycott the meet- ing, and the UAR's delegation reported that similar statements were made to delegations from Asian and African states. Soviet op- position to tne meeting was partly based on a desire to avoid weakening the impact of a possible appearance by Khrushchev before the General Assembly in September, in connection with Moscow's proposal that all heads of government be invited to attend the discussion on disarmament. exemen=1:31oc: Moscow and Peiping are continuing to empha- size their support for Yemen by offering cash loans as well as other economic aid to the Imam. A Yemeni mission left for Peiping on 3 August to negotiate for further Chinese assistance. the USSR has agreed in principle to provide a cash loan to the Imam. Moscow has also offered to trai Yemeni military person- nel in the USSR. (Page 3) IL ASIA-AFRICA *Republic of the Congo: Katanga Premier Tshombe's oppo- sition to a UN occupation of Katanga may result in a postpone- ment of the UN's scheduled entry on 6 August. Tshomb0 has threatened armed resistance to any UN occupation. Eu- ropeans in Elisabethville are said to be concerned not only by the possibility of new violence, but by Tshombe's harsh crit- icism of the Belgians, whose decision not to oppose the UN entry Tshombe regards as a betrayal. A large-scale exodus of whites from Katanga may be imminent. The apparent stalemate appears certain to draw heavy fire from Lumumba, who on 4 August in Tunis threatened "radical" action if Belgian troops have not evacuated the Congo prior to his return to Leopoldville on 8 August, 0 i< 5 Aug 60 DAILY BRIEF ii 'Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 \ \N\ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO3185146 FOP SECRET UAR: Akram al-Hawrani, Baathist leader and former UARVITF president, has left Syria and gone into exile in Leb- anon, according to a press report from Beirut. Michel Aflaq, the Syrian Booth's other founder, has been a political refugee In Lebanon for some months. Hawrani has been reported to be associated with disgruntled Syrian civilian and military elements planning an attempt to separate Syria from Egypt and remove it from Nasir's control, (Page 5) 4 I/ 62 Indonesia: Sukarno, despite army opposition, apparently plans to ban the anti-Communist Masjumi and Socialist parties in the near future, probably on grounds of disloyalty to the gov- ernment. This move would be in line with Sukarno's drive toward authoritarianism and his plan to downgrade political parties. Some army officials are hoping Sukarno, after having banned the two parties, would be willing to permit further repressive action a- gainst the Communist party as a balance. Sukarno, however, would probably permit such action only on a limited scale. (Page 6) III. THE WEST 6 k Cuba: The potential exists for a power struggle between Raul Castro, Fidel's designated heir, and "Che" Guevara, who has al- ready assumed much of the authority formerly exercised by the 5 Aug 60 DAILY BRIEF iii TOP Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO3185146\ Approved for Retease: 2020/03/13 C03185146 I Nor s.\\ elder Castro. The danger to the regime of such a power strug- gle will increase if Fidel Castro's illness is prolonged. Neither Raul Castro, Guevara, nor the increasingly influential Pres- ident Dortilcos possesses Fidel Castro's great popular appeal among lower income groups, upon which the regime has come � to depend. Meanwhile, Cuban officials have exhorted delegates to the Communist-dominated Latin American Youth Congress to carry the struggle initiated by Cuba for "Latin American liberation' back to their home countries. (Page 7) 11 LATE ITEM *USSR-Cuba; Two officials of the Soviet Chief Engineering Directorate�the component of Moscow's Ministry of Foreign Trade responsible for the supply of arms and military equipment to foreign countries--have been in Havana. One of these men, Iv 0 Yastrebov, is the Soviet official responsible for the shipment to nonbloc countries of military equipment from the Black Sea port of Nikolaev, where almost all Soviet arms shipments originate. His presence in Havana strongly suggests that Moscow has agreed to provide military aid to the Castro regime. Similar arrange- ments between Czechoslovakia and Cuba may have been worked out earlier this year, although no bloc arms are believed yet to have been delivered. IV. SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE REPORTS AND ESTIMATES (Available during the preceding week) Soviet Capabilities for Long-Range Attack Through Mid-1965. N1E 11-8-60. August 60. 5 Aug 60 DAILY BRIEF iv 120E�RE-T Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C0318514k Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Combined visual and Elint identification 16$ 0, " trs..,) dr � pEcHENGA 74 4,1 BLIWARIA oluo, 1 00804 4 4141 � eel.* *41.0s colt, .04 �841, top ',131.4,1, //i),i/v Vadok ArGyAkisTAN 4:4ros4, p.�3far SETE/IMAM, ZEMLYA Zhelan.ya My. C-melf-= ico,Istrq.� � Dikson .."1Cnata0U... ..Dudinka 'Norilsk :Igarka :Krasnoyarsk I rku t sk. A.) 43v�P`' ,f9 DEPLOYMENT OF NEW SOVIET E/W RADAR- AUGUST 1960 � Probable location (identified through Elint) A Possible location (identified through Elint) 4-4 ocktP-I. Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 New High-Performance Soviet Radar Existence of a new Soviet early-warning radar with a de- tection capability considerably in excess of previously known Soviet equipment is revealed This radar apparently has been increasingly deployed for operational use in several sensitive peripheral areas of the USSR since mid - 1959, when its signals were first intercepted. the large antenna observed are con- sistent with long-range and high-altitude performance. This new early-warning VHF radar should be able to detect targets of B-47 size at ranges of at least 300 nautical miles, at altitudes depending on the line-of-sight horizon and other operational fac- tors. probable locations at Baku, the Cri- mean Peninsula, the Soviet-Iranian border area south of Kras- novodsk, an area near the Pechenga airfield on the Kola Penin- sula, and the Vladivostok area. Less firm that the new radars may be also located in the Kaliningrad and Tbi- lisi areas in the USSR, and in� Bulgaria and Rumania. It can be assumed from past Soviet practice that some de- ployment of these new radars may be under way in the interior of the USSR as well as in the areas notes -SECRET - 5 Aug 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Soviet-Congolese Relations Soviet First Deputy Foreign Minister Kuznetsov discussed plans for Soviet assistance to the Congolese Govern- ment, This would include the "dona- tion" of a large quantity of arms and ammunition, medical spe- cialists and equipment, and an airplane. On 2 August TASS announced that 20 Soviet medical work- ers, doctors, and surgeons would leave for the Congo in a few days, and the USSR dispatched an aircraft to London on 1 August to fly Lumumba back to Leopoldville by way of several African capitals. ean mid-July Congolese Vice Premier Gizenga claimed that following withdrawal of Belgian forces the Congo would receive arms, technicians, and "volunteers" from bloc countries. The subject may have been discussed with bloc rep- resentatives who attended the 30 June independence celebrations In Leopoldville.; Kuznetsov also urged Lumumba to ask for an emergency session of the UN Security Council with a view to having UN ob- servers, appointed from the Afro-Asian bloc, sent to the Congo to assure implementation of the council's resolutions. The TASS chief at the UN told correspondents on 31 July that the USSR in- tended to call for a Security Council meeting while Lumumba was in New York. Lumumba departed on 2 August, however, appar- ently persuaded by other African delegates not to demand a coun- cil meeting. The USSR has stepped up its efforts to discredit the UN role in the Congo. Soviet officials in Leopoldville, described as "free- wheeling," are openly predicting the failure of UN measures to restore order, after which they say the USSR will step in and "save the day." Moscow propaganda has become increasingly critical of Hammarskjold, accusing him of aggravating the situ- ation and of using UN trooDs to surmort the Western military ag- gression. TOP SECRET 5 Aug 60 io-k-p�p'ro7"eci1ior 1iie1i7a1se.: �26-2(iici5/1 la"o'37`146 Page 2 Approved for -Release: 2020/03/13 C-03185146 Bloc Assistance to Yemen Moscow and Peiping are continuing to step up their efforts to exploit Yemeni aspirations for economic development through new offers of aid. A high-level Yemeni delegation left on 3 Au- gust via Moscow for Peiping to discuss further Chinese assist- ance, presumably including additional economic aid for road building and light industrial enterprises. In May the first of 75 Yemenis arrived in Peiping "to study highway and textile technology," accordingly to Radio Peiping. The Yemeni mis- sion reportedly also will explore a Chinese offer to mint $10, - 000,000 worth of silver coins imprinted with the Imam's like- ness. These may be presented as a gift, if Peiping feels it will substantially advance the bloc's cause in Yemen. The Soviet Union now may be willing to provide a cash loan to Yemen. In the past Moscow has on several occasions re- fused the Imam's requests for such financial aid. In addition, the Soviet Union presumably has agreed to construct the Hudayda- Taiz road, and Soviet technicians now are investigating the feasibility of carrying out an irrigation project in the Tiharna coastal region. The Imam is said to have agreed to send a group of Yemeni military personnel to the USSR for training. Presumably these trainees will undergo naval training in Odessa. N ID NTIAL 5 Aug 60 Alc,"FrO7e-ci for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 41Wir Syrian Baathist Leader Goes Into Lebanese Exile CKormer UAR Vice President and Syrian Baathist leader Akrarn al-Hawrani has gone into exile in Lebanon, according to a press report from Beirut. Hawrani, who was one of those most instrumental in bringing about the union between Syria and Egypt in 1958, has been dissatisfied with his relega- tion to a minor role in Syrian affairs and Nasir's suppression of the Baath. He resigned as UAR vice president last year. During the period 1949-54 Hawrani was allied with army officers in four successful coups against various Syrian govern- ments. The man who collaborated with him in founding the Baath (Arab Socialist Resurrection party), Michel Aflaq, has been a po- litical refugee in Lebanon for some months. Hawrani is the Baath's activist leader, while Aflaq is its political theorist. Hawrani was reported in touch with King Husavn of Jordan reaardina plans for an anti-UAR coup in Syria. la group of formerly influential Syrian politicians, including Hawrani, was seeking Jordanian support for an anti-UAR coup. Husayn has al- so been approached by a group of Syrian Army officers who feel they have the capability to overthrow the Nasir regime in Syria and re-establish an independent Syrian republic. Hawrani may also be connected with this group, which asked for financial sup- port but said it wanted Jordanian military support only if the UAR or Iraq attempted to thwart the coup by military means. Hawraniis departure for Lebanon may have been motivated by fear that th plotters have been exposed by UAR security authorities. 5 Aug 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGFNCE RLILLETIN Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Approved for Release: 2020/03713 C03185146 Indonesian President Plans to Ban Two Anti-Communist Parties President Sukarno, despite army opposition, reportedly in- tends to ban two anti-Communist parties--the Masjumi, which is the largest Moslem party in Indonesia, and the much smaller Socialist party--sometime before 17 August, Indonesian inde- pendence day. He will charge them with not meeting the criteria stipulated in two presidential decrees regulating the role of political parties and may accuse them of disloyalty to the gov- ernment. The Masjumi and Socialist parties have earned Su- karno's ill will by consistently opposing his implementation of "guided democracy"; although they have formally disavowed the 1958 provincial rebellion, party members have been in fre- quent communication with rebel leaders. The principal effect of the ban will be psychological, since Sukarno had already largely excluded the two parties from both executive and legislative positions at the national level and is planning other measures to divest them of influence in the prov- inces. Anticipating the latter, the Masjumi has already with- drawn from regional councils in Java. The ban, however, will discredit the Masjumi in non-Javanese areas where it is strong and will further impair the anti-Communist position in Indonesia. It will also serve as a warning to the two large non-Communist parties, the National party and the orthodox Moslem Nandatul Ulama, of the probable fate of organizations which oppose Su- karno's policies. Some army officials hope that Sukarno, having banned two anti-Communist parties, would then permit further repressive action against the Communist party as a balancing measure. Significant restrictive action is not likely, however, since the President feels he must preserve the Communists as a balance against the army. SEC-PE T 5 Aug 60 Ad o- Release: 2020/03/13 C0318g146 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Nor Cuban Developments Fidel Castro's illness raises the possibility of a power struggle between Raul Castro, who is Fidel's designated heir, and "Che" Guevara, who already has assumed much of the authority formerly exercised by the elder Castro. The resulting threat will increase if Fidel's illness is prolonged. Neither Raul Castro, Guevara, nor the increasingly influential President Dor- ticos has Fidel Castro's appeal among lower income groups, on Which the regime has come to depend. Meanwhile, Guevara, Raul Castro, and other Cuban leaders have exhorted delegates to the Communist-dominated Latin Amer- ican Youth Congress to carry back to their home countries the struggle initiated by Cuba for "Latin American liberation." Both Raul Castro and Guevara emphasized in their speeches that a genuine revolution must include destruction of the regular armed forces, which in all countries but Castro's Cuba serve the inter- ests of "imperialism." Raul Castro told the delegates on 4 Au- gust that Cuba does "have something for which to thank imperialism. Without Batista, imposed by imperialism, we would probably still be playing with representative democracy." The escape from Cuba on 3 August of Raul Chibas, an early Castro supporter, is a major blow to the regime. Chibas headed one of the two major anti-Batista political parties prior to the ad- vent of Castro and was the brother of the party's late founder, one of Fidel Castro's early heroes. SECRET 5 Aug 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 (uu ri ufm-ri-1a.44.-- THE PRESIDENT' The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Asststant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Commandant, United States Marine Corps Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03185146 -TOP-SECRET-- //7/7/ ApPrc;vdfo- 2020/03/13.