CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/07/12
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03185137
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Publication Date:
July 12, 1960
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12 July 1960
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12 JULY 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR claims to have shot down US RB-47
over Barents Sea on 1 July.
Khrushchev told Austrians privately that a
separate German treaty would be followed
with step-by-step harassment of the West()
USSR apparently withdrawing some mili-
tary units from 'East Germany.
Soviet officials at Somali independence
celebration urged immediate diplomatic
exchange; Somali Republic holding off
decision pending formation of new gov-
ernment.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Japan�Deadlock over selection of suc-
cessor to Kishi may be resolved at 13
July Liberal-Democratic party convention()
Indonesian Communist party launches
vigorous campaign for leftist cabinet.
0 Congo premier's appeal for UN interven-
tion to restore order appears to be move
to forestall further intervention by Bel-
gian forces; Katanga Province announces
"secession. "
III. THE WEST
0 Cuban regime may appoint Communist
leader as finance minister; Czech tech-
nicians appear at Havana military garri-
son.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
12 July 1960
DAILY BRIEF
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
ecUSSR-US: The Soviet Union has delivered a protest note
to the United States which reports the shooting down of an Ameri-
can RB-47 alleged to have approached within 22 kilometers (12
nautical miles) of Soviet territory in the vicinity of Svyatoy Nos,
on the Kola Peninsula.
the RB-47 remained at least 48
nautical miles north of the Cape of Svyatoy Nos on an easterly
heading and was at no time closer than 28 nautical miles to
Soviet territory. Although several Soviet fighters were scrambled
in reaction to the flight--including two in the vicinity of Svyatoy
Nos. one of which made VIS1121 ICIPntifiCatiOn--an appraisal
yields no firm evidence
that the US aircraft was under attack. It may be significant that
the USSR probably conducted an extensive air and surface search
operation in the general area of the RB-47 flight path on 4 and 5
C_While the Soviet note claims that a shootdown occurred at
1503 GMT, the subsequent tracking by the PVO suggests that the
aircraft continued its flight for about 20 minutes beyond that
time. It may therefore have failed subsequently as a result of
possible fighter action in the Svyatoy Nos area. It is also possible
that Soviet fighter action occurred toward the end of the PVO
track about 20 minutes later than the shootdown time claimed
but was not detected Historically,
Soviet statements relating to incidents of this nature have been
substantially accurate or vague
as to specific details. (See
Map on reverse of
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US RB-47 FLIGHT INTO
BARENTS SEA AREA 1 JULY 11960
SOVIET AIR DEFENSE TRACK
OF US RR-47
FLIGHT TRACKS OF SOVIET
FIGHTER AIRCRAFT
NOVAYA
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INITIALLY DETECTED
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OF SOVIET TRACKING
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CAPE OF SVYATOY NOS
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(_*USSR - Berlin: In elaborating on his threat to sign a
separate German peace treaty if the Federal Republic's
Bundestag meets in West Berlin this fall, Khrushchev last
week told Austrian officials privately that the USSR would
follow the treaty by initiating a step-by-step harassment of
the West in such a way that no one move would seem worth a
war. He emphasized that "nobody can make me believe that
the British, French, or even the Americans will go to war to
� keep Berlin for Adenauer. " Khrushchev's public and private
statements in Vienna appear to be part of a continuing bloc ef-
fort to probe the West's determination and unity in maintaining
its position in Berlin.
%re
Ubbli - bast Germany:
I at
Least two Soviet antiaircraft artillery brigades and elements of
the two artillery divisions of the Group of Soviet Forces in
Germany (GSFG) may have departed East Germany for the USSR
during June. There are also somewhat weaker indications that
a tank division may be withdrawn to the USSR. The pattern of
withdrawals already noted suggests that an additional reduction
of the MFG may be in the offing, but it can probably be accomplished
without much reduction in GSFG over-all capabilities. Any con-
ventional artillery withdrawn has probably already been replaced
by rockets and short-range missiles, while the mission of the
departing AAA brigades has probably been taken over by surface-
to-air missile units. To date there has been no publicity in con-
nection wi
1L
USSR -- Somali Soi:Tiet officiais who attended the
1 July Somali independence celebrations sought by means of
lavish gifts and insistent urging to prevail on Somali leaders
to sign a communiqu�lready prepared in final form--e stab
lishing immediate diplomatic relations between the two countries.
President Aden Abdullah told them that such a decision would.
have to wait the formation of the new Somali government. One
Soviet delegate and an Izvestia correspondent remained in Moga-
disci�, where they reportedly are looking into the possibility of
a Soviet-backed irrigation program. (Page 1)
12 July 60
DAILY BRIEF
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Japan: The continuing deadlock over the selection of a
successor to Prime Minister Kishi makes it almost certain
the impasse will have to be resolved at the Liberal-Demo-
cratic party convention convening on 13 July. The three
leading candidates still are Ikeda, Ono, and Ishii, but none
as yet has enough support to win a majority on the first bal-
lot. The outcome of the subsequent final ballot between the
two top men is uncertain. Meanwhile, the Socialist parties
are preparing for elections this fall,with the left-wing party
concentrating on extending mass action tactics throughout
the country. (Page 2)
Indonesia: The Indonesian Communist party, while
continuing iis praise of President Sukarno, has launched a
vigorous campaign for a leftist cabinet. Since Sukarno is
widely believed to favor a cabinet reshuffle which would
include Communist representation, the party's campaign is
probably designed to stiffen Sukarno's resolve and demonstrate
mass support for his plans in the event of a showdown with the
army, whfch opposes him on this issue.
(Page 3)
*Republic of the Congo: The "secession" of Katanga Prov-
ince, from the Congo ; oriii July may be followed by similar
moves in other provinces. In the absence of a reliable security
force, it appears unlikely that Premier Lumumba can prevent
the establishment of a separate Katanga state under the aegis
of Moise Tshombe's Conakat party. The Conakat has been closely
associated with Belgian financial interests in Katanga, and
Brussels will probably be under pressure to recognize the
Tshombe regime.
LLumumba's appeal for UN "assistance" in the wake of the
Congo disorders appears to be a move to forestall further inter-
vention by Belgian forces. j Lumumba has denounced Brussels'
action in dispatching paratroops to protect its nationals in the
Congo, even though the Belgian intervention had been approved
by Foreign Minister Bomboko. Soviet and Chinese Communist
12 July 60
DAILY BRIEF iii
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propaganda accused the "imperialist powers in NATO"
of carrying out an armed aggression against "the young
Congo Republic."
As of 0100 EDT on 12 July, the situation in Elisa-
bethville and Leopoldville was tense but quiet. Other areas
continue to be the scenes of anti-European disorders and
looting, however, and further disturbances appear likely.
III. THE WEST
Cuba: The Castro regime is believed to be considering
the appointment as minister of finance of Carlos Rafael
Rodriguez. He is a top Cuban Communist leader who has
long been among Castro's close advisers.)
the presence of Czech technicians at Cuba's
chief military garrison in Havana. (Page 4)
12 July 60
DAILY BRIEF iv
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USSR Presses for Early Ties With Somali Republic
.The Soviet delegation which went to Somali's independence
ceremony stayed beyond the scheduled 1-4 July celebration to
cultivate Somali leaders and press for the immediate exchange
of diplomatic missions.
President Aden
Abdullah and Prime Minister Abdullahi Issa, the Soviet offi-
cials were insistent in urging formal ties with the USSR and
presented for Somali approval a joint communiqu�n final
form announcing the opening of diplomatic relations between
the two countries. Aden Abdullah refused on the grounds
that this decision must await the formation of the new govern-
ment--which is expected at any moment.
11/4:Mogadiscio's reaction to the Communist request will de-
pend on which of two leading contenders becomes premier.
Abdullahi Issa, the incumbent, is considered a practical
politician without strong ideological objections to closer ties
with the Communist nations. His opponent, Abdirascid Ali
Scermerche, who is thought to have majority legislative
support in his bid for premier, would probably oppose the
Soviet request at this time,
.The Soviet representatives also ostentatiously distributed
expensive gifts to the President, prime minister, and other
Somali ministers. One member of the delegation and an
Izvestia correspondent remained in Mogadiscio, where they
are reportedly looking into the possibility of a Soviet-backed
irrigation program for development of the Upper Juba region.
12 July 60 ApiTrae-cilOr.ReleTse:.2625/6373 C0'318-5713
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Selection of Kishi's Sluccessor Rests With Party Convention
The continuing deadlock over selection of a successor to
Prime Minister Kishi makes it almost certain the impasse
will have to be resolved by the Liberal-Democratic party
(LDP) convention which begins on 13 July. None of the three
leading candidates for the party presidency�Ikeda, Ono, and
Ishii--appears to have sufficient support to win the necessary
majority on the first ballot, and a second vote to decide be-
tween the top two contenders will probably be necessary. Un-
certainty over the outcome has been increased by announce-
ments that two other candidates have entered the race�Kenzo
Matsumura, earlier mentioned as a possible prime minister
If anti-Kishi factions joined with Socialists, and Foreign
Minister Aiichiro Fujiyama, a relative newcomer to politics.
If the LDP convention chooses a new party president
before 15 July, he could be elected prime minister before
the current session of the Diet expires that day. Otherwise
an extraordinary session would have to be called. Cabinet
Secretary Shiina has said that the cabinet would resign on 13
July if the opposition parties agreed to a Diet vote on 14 July
to designate the next prime minister. Officials of the Japanese
Socialist party decided on 11 July to end the party's Diet boy-
cott, which began on 19 May, to vote on Kishi's successor on
condition that the LDP candidate pledge an early general elec-
tion. LDP leaders would rat her not hold elections during
the summer when farmers are busiest and when university
recesses free leftist teachers and Zengakuren members to
campaign. Sentiment within the party appears to favor elec-
tions in mid-November or even as 1 te as February after
next year's budget has been worked out.
12 July 60 rCkITD Al IkITC1 1 irickirc 121111 GTlkl
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C-ONHIMALTIAL,
New
Indonesian Communist Party Presses for Leftist Cabinet
The Indonesian Communist party, while continuing its
lavish praise of President Sukarno, has launched a vigorous
campaign for a leftist cabinet. Party Secretary General
Aidit strongly criticized the government in an 8 July state-
ment and called for a cabinet reshuffle. Two Communist
dailies have published lengthy editorial assessments of the
existing cabinet charging that it is unprogressive and ineffi-
cient and that it "must move further to the left."
The party has seized particularly on the issues of for-
eign policy and the nation's economy. It charges that the
government has failed to oppose "imperialist" nations such
as the United States and Australia and has even played into
their hands; it urges that the cabinet work toward better
relations with Peiping and that it take a more aggressive po-
sition on Indonesia's claim to West New Guinea. The Com-
munists are also criticizing the cabinet's efforts at monetary
reform, pointing out that the government has failed to carry
out its promise to provide sufficient essential supplies through-
out the nation, and that the economic and financial condition
of the country is generally deteriorating.
Foreign Minister Subandrio, reacting quickly to the
Communist attack, has stated that while there indeed are dif-
ferences of opinion between him and the Communists, this
divergence had been exaggerated by the party's distortion of
facts. The government has made no response as yet to the
Communist charges on the economy. The economic situation,
characterized by continuing inflation, shortages, maldistribu-
tion and rising unemployment, is more difficult to defend.
The Communist campaign seems timed to take advantage
of Sukarno's apparent displeasure with anti-Communist lead-
ership over the latter's recent opposition to some of Sukarno's
policies. Since Sukarno is widely believed to favor a cabinet
reshuffle which would include Communist representation, the
party's campaign is probably designed to stiffen Sukarno's re-
solve and demonstrate mass silpp_oir_his_olans_in the event
of a showdown with the army.
12 July 60 r.rkiTn A
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Communists Continue to Expand Role in Castro Regime
I The Castro regime is believed to be considering the ap-
pointment of Carlos Rafael Rodriguez as minister of finance
to replace Rolando Diaz Astarain, the compliant but ineffec-
tive incumbent, who was an obscure naval officer until his
appointment to the cabinet last November., Carlos Rafael
Rodriguez, a leading member of the Communists' Popular
Socialist party and editor of the party daily, has long been
among Castro's close advisers. The heavy workload of
Fidel Castro and his chief aides, "Che" Guevara, Antonio
Nunez Jimenez, and Raul Castro--all three of them in-
distinguishable from Communists--may dictate the sharing
of administrative responsibilities with Rodriguez, even
though his open Communist affiliation would be a political
handicap in the rest of Latin America.: Shortage of trained
personnel is seriously affecting the Foreign Ministry. The
sixth Cuban ambassador to defect in the past 30 days, the
ambassador in Bonn, announced on 11 July that he will seek
asylum in the United States.
In a move of considerable potential significance, all
provincial officers of the powerful Cuban Workers' Con-
feration (CTC) have been replaced by "men who truly respond
to the revolutionary moment in which the country now lives,"
according to the Cuban press. The CTC, the regime's chief
instrument of control over labor, is now almost completely
Communist dominated.
the presence of Czech technicians at Cam7
Libertad, Cuba's chief military base.
Two prominent Panamanian politicians and the Brazilian
and Mexican ambassadors in Panama, reacting to Khrushchev's
9 July offer of Soviet support to the Castro regime, agree
that the US now has ample basis to call immediately for OAS
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4action against Castro. They are convinced that Khrushchev
has overplayed his hand.-
1
LSoreign Minister Roa� who landed in New York without
requesting prior permission to come to the United States,
on 1.1 July requested an urgent meeting of the United Nations
Security Council to consider the worsening relations between
the United States and Cuba.
Roa informed the UAR ambassador in
Havana that Cuba would submit its case to the UN and asked
LIAR help in getting the support of the governments of Ceylon
and Cambodia. Roa added that the Soviet Tnion had already
offered its support.
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VI' 1 J. 1..4.1
%mow NEW
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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