CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/05/19

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03185112
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RIPPUB
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U
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13
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October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Publication Date: 
May 19, 1956
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Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN TOP SECRET 1.9 May 1956 Copy No.4*Wisk - DOCUMEN1 NO. CHANGL IN CLA. DECLASS11::ILD _ _ CLASS. CHANCiED IO. I3 U ND: DAlE. 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) viLWERI OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Ask Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 11-4 16.1L.I '1401= CONTENTS . EGYPT MAY OBTAIN ARMS FROM COMMUNIST CHINA (page 3). \i2. KOREAN ELECTION REFLECTS RIME'S DIMINISHED PRESTIGE (page 4). 3. TOKEN WITHDRAWAL OF SOVIET TROOPS FROM EAST GERMANY page 5), 4. URUGUAY WILLING TO RECEIVE MIKOYAN (page 6). 5. CROWN PRINCE OF YEMEN TO Vi IT SOVIET UNION (page 7). '16. DANISH-SOVIET TRADE AGREEMENT (page 8). '17. LENIN'S CRITICISM OF STALIN PUBLISHED IN USSR (page 9). 8. YUGOSLAVS AGREE TO INCREASE IN US MILITARY AID STAFF (page 10). 9. SINGAPORE SITUATION 19 May 56 (page 11). * * * * THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page 12) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 ET 1. EGYPT MAY OBTAIN ARMS FROM COMMUNIST CHINA The speed with which Communist China reacted to the Egyptian request for arms makes it probable that Moscow and Peiping had co-ordinated their aims. According to press reports, Egypt will soon send a military mission to China to examine the types and quantities of arms available. (Concurred in by ORR) 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 _ Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 12411.4.11.31772- *te 2. KOREAN ELECTION REFLECTS RHEE'S DIMINISHED PRESTIGE The South Korean election reflects considerable dissatisfaction with the administration of President Rhee and a decline in Rhee's personal prestige. With fewer than 300,000 votes not tallied, Democrat Chang Myon re- tains a lead of almost 75,000 votes over Rhee's running mate, Yi Ki-pung. The uncounted ballots are from the antiadministratiOn stronghold of Taegu. Liberal Party � spokesmen there have accused the Democrats of bribing election officials, and have called for a new election in Taegu and a nationwide recount. , anti- government crowds continue to gather in the cities, and tear gas has been issued to army units. While opposition sentiment has always been strong in the cities, the failure of rural areas to pro- vide Yi Ki-pung with sufficient majorities suggests that Rhee's prestige even among rural voters is no longer suf- ficient to offset the unpopularity of the Liberal Party. 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 3.. TOKEN WITHDRAWAL OF SOVIET TROOPS FROM EAST GERMANY Comment on: Moscow's withdrawal of one troop train of Soviet forces from East Germany four days after the announcement of the plan to cut Soviet armed forces by 1,200,000 was probably intended as evidence of the USSR's intention to carry out these reduc- tions. The Soviet leaders probably believe that this with- drawal will strengthen West German opponents of the con- scription legislation soon to be considered by the Bundestag. They also may hope that their announced plan to withdraw 30,000 troops from East Germany will increase West German interest in exploring the possibility of reunification based on general disarmament and neutralization. The withdrawal would constitute the first permanent reduction in Soviet ground strength in East Germany since the immediate postwar period. Withdrawal of 30,000 troops would consti- tute a 7-percent reduction in Soviet strength in East Germany which includes 437,000 ground and air troops. Security in East Germany can be maintained by a much smaller number of troops. The small cut at this time suggests that the USSR may be reserving further reductions of forces in East Germany for future political advantage. 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 f7tritir Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 tAil 1if171161-1-21-1:2- %e, �11 4, URUGUAY WILLING TO RECEIVE MIKOYAN Comment on: The Uruguayan foreign minister Informed an Ame.eican embassy of- � ficial on 4 May that he had told the Soviet minister. Uruguay was willing to receive A. I. . Mikoyan, a first deputy premier of the USSR. Although the Soviet minister to Uruguay observed that he had no of- ficial notification of a trip by Mikoyan,rumors of such a trip have persisted over the past few weeks both in Moscow and Latin American capitals. A trip through several Latin American countries by Mikoyan would be in line with intensified Soviet bloc diplomatic and commercial efforts in the area. Argentina,.. Brazil, and Uruguay are particularly suscepr. tibie_to Communist commercial offers in view of their agri- cultural surpluses and serious balance-of-payments prob- lems, 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 TrefFIDENTI4-12� Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 TOP SECRET 5. CROWN PRINCE OF YEMEN TO VISIT SOVIET UNION Comment on: The visit of Crown Prince Badr of Yemen to Moscow on 20 May will be the first state visit of a high-ranking Arab to the Soviet Union. The trip is not only symbolic of increasing Soviet influence in the Arab states, but reflects the Soviet effort to disrupt British and American interests in the Arabian Peninsula. Yemen and the USSR signed a treaty of friendship in October 1955. This spring Soviet and Czech economic missions visited Yemen and a trade agreement with the USSR was signed. A similar pact with Czechoslovakia is expected to be concluded shortly. These contacts have been encouraged by Egypt to undermine the British position in the Aden Protectorate. 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 =F-e.P-SEeltffir Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 COMMENTIAL *4, 6. DANISH-SOVIET TRADE AGREEMENT In the Danish-Soviet trade agreement signed in Copenhagen on 14 May the Danes gave in to the Russians on impor- tant points. They agreed to construct two 10,000-ton cargo vessels with a speed rated above that now considered � acceptable by COCOM for exceptional export, failing at the same time to secure a Soviet commitment to purchase larger quantitites of agricultural products. The Soviet � negotiators apparently made the signing of .a new agree- ment conditional on Denmark's agreeing to construct the two vessels. The pressure of domestic agricultural Interests for more diversified markets was a major factor In Anducing the Danish government to negotiate a new agree- � ment to replace the one which expired in 1954. Negotiations for a new agreement broke doWn at that time when the Danes refused to construct tankers for the Soviet Union. During his visit to Moscow in March, however, Prime Minister Hansen indicated willingness to permit delivery of cargo ves- sels to the Soviet Union. The Danish agreement to construct the . two vessels is indicative of the prevailing view among many Western countries that trade with the Soviet bloc should be expanded. (Concurred in by .ORR) 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 CriffilliEtlitr�TICAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 T-01\1141DEINTIAL 7. LENIN'S CRITICISM OF STALIN PUBLISHED IN USSR The 18 May 1956 issue of Komsomolskaya Pravda, official newspaper of the Commu- nist Youth League, revealed to the Soviet public that Lenin, shortly before his death, had sharply criticized Stalin and warned the party against his use of power. The information was contained in an article entitled "A Young People's Guide to Stalinism." It was one of the strongest attacks on Stalin and the "cult of the individual" yet published. "Lenin, in the last year of his life," the newspaper stated, "pointed out that such negative features of Stalin's character as rudeness, lack of respect for working comrades, capriciousness and inclination toward}.abuse of power could lead to a violation of the rules of collective lead- ership. Unfortunately it happened just that way." The youth league's newspaper was selected as the medium for publishing Lenin's criticism because the youth of the Soviet Union is the group most firmly indoctri- nated with Stalin hero worship, and more explanation is neces- sary in this case to justify the blackening a Stalin's name. The newspaper, however, continued the established line that Stalin in his earlier years had made a positive contribution to the party and the Soviet state. The notes, which have become known as Lenin's testament, were quoted to show that Lenin had recognized the characteristics in Stalin that might lead to the establishment of a hero cult, but no mention was made of Lenin's proposal for his comrades on the central committee "to find a way to remove Stalin" from the position of secretary general of the party. The full text of the testament was not pub- lished, probably because it would have the effect of putting Trotsky in a more favorable light than the current regime is willing to do. 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 - Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 8. YUGOSLAVS YUGOSLAVS AGREE TO INCREASE IN US MILITARY AID STAFF Yugoslav foreign secretary Popovic told Ambassador Riddleberger on 16 April that the Yugoslav govern- ment would permit the immediate aacution ot live persons to the American Military Aid Staff (AMAS). Saying he was expressing the considered views of Marshal Tito, Popovic emphasized that his gov- ernment recognized the importance of the American mil- itary aid program. American aid had enabled Yugoslavia to hold its own against the Soviet bloc and thereby helped effect the changes in Soviet policy which are now apparent. Popovic said that, as the flow of deliv- eries under the military aid program is resumed, his gov- ernment would cause no difficulty on further personnel ques- tions. He strongly urged, however, that the United States not force the pace on new personnel assignments in order not to make more difficult Yugoslavia's policy toward the USSR. Ambassador. Riddleberger considers that this Yugoslav action has re-established the validity of the 1 October agreement between Tito and Deputy Under Secre- tary of State Murphy in which Yugoslavia agreed to accent at least 16 additional AMAS personnel. 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 SECRET A. 9. SINGAPORE SITUATION Comment on: Talks on self-government for Singapore, which collapsed in London on 15 May, apparently will not be reSumed by the present Singapore government despite Chief Minister Marshall's request to do so on the basis of a new approach. Marshall does not have the support of his del- egation, and the British colonial secretary has therefore refused to resume the talks. If Marshall carries out his threat to re- sign when he gets back to Singapore, the Labor Front, of which he is the leader, or the Liberal Socialists will probably be given an opportunity to form a new coalition government. Such a government may hold successful negotiations with the British, but with representation in the legislative assembly already unrepresentative and with Communist subversion grow- ing, any agreement would have little chance of gaining popu- lar support. New elections appear to be inevitable un- less Britain exercises its right to suspend them. The Com- munist-manipulated People's Action Party appears likely to win any election in the near future. There are some indica- tions that the British might risk dealing with a People's Action government rather than suspend the constitution. 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11 -SrPrI1447 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03185112 I THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 18 May) The UN chairman of the Israeli-Syrian Military Armistice Commission told the American army at- tach�n Damascus on 16 May that he had reliable information Israel had moved 20 Sherman tanks into the Rosh Pina-Nazareth- Lake Tiberias area, and that he personally had seen 10 truck- loads of personnel and equipment heading for Rosh Pina. He believed these movements were an advance party for a unit. Rosh Pina is about 6 miles southwest of Banat Yacov. The of- ficial added that he and other observers had searched the de- militarized zone limt failed tn find pillidar troops or equipment inside the zone. I cnair man also saia that the unusual' volume of Israeli complaints against Syria submitted to the commission, including many trivial items, leads him to be- lieve that Israel is trying to build up a case against Syrian ob- servance of the cease-fire agreement to present to the UN. The Israeli representative to the commission admitted Israel had ordered any viblation, however slight, was to be reported. The chairman said he doubted there was much basis for many of the T _sraP1i 211PcrafifIns 19 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 12 TOPSICRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 003185112