CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/07/11

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03184160
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: March 17, 2020
• Document Release Date: March 26, 2020
• Publication Date: July 11, 1960

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11 July 1960
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INV
11 JULY 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR reportedly offers Ghana substan-
tial economic assistance; Ghanaian de-
cision on acceptance not yet known.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Belgium reinforcing its forces in the Con-
go as disorder spreads.
Iraq--Rumors persist of internal upris-
ing against Qasim around 14 July but
firm evidence lacking of antiregime
coup; incidents between nationalist and
Communist elements possible.
Indian Government's strike ban unlikely
to forestall threatened walkout on 11 July
of two million government workers. 0
III. THE WEST
Italy�Communist led rioting'remains ma-
jor threat; Christian Democrats continue
divided on issue of retaining neo-Fascist
parliamentary support.
0 Ithrushchev's assurance of Soviet
support has encouraged Cuban leaders�
in their hostility to the US.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
11 July 1960
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-Ghana: The Soviet Union is reported to have made
a fii:conomic assistance to Ghana, where thus far
bloc efforts to establish close economic relations have met
with little success. The offer provides for a mixture of eco-
nomically sound undertakings together with projects which are
designed to achieve immediate propaganda effect and may amount
to as much as $280,000,000. The Ghanaian cabinet reportedly met
to consider the Soviet offer on 8 July, but it is not yet known if
Accra has decided to accent
IL ASIA-AFRICA
*Republic of the Congo: Belgian troops, who have been
used against the mutineers of the Force Publique in several
major centers, have apparently facilitated the escape of
refugees and restored a modicum of control where they
have been employed. Brussels has announced that the Belgian
V. force in the Congo will be reinforced to about 5200, but this
may be inadequate to restore order unless the present trend
toward disintegration of the 24,000 man Force Publique can
be reversed. The deteriorating situation appears to favor
renewed African efforts to form a separate state in Katanga
province' although these attempts may be delayed until a degree
of order has been restored there0
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410,1
Iraq: Rumors of an uprising against Qasim are continu-
ing as the second anniversary of the 14 July Iraqi revolution
� approaches, but there is no good evidence that a coup against
the regime is being planned for that date. The rumors appear
� to stem from fears of each of the several political groups of
some action against it. Incidents between nationalist and Com-
munist elements are possible at this time, however; these could
lead in turn to new crises which would be increasingly difficult
for Qasim to surmount, inasmuch as his orestiehas slipped sig-
nificantly during the past few months. (Page 1)
India: New Delhi's action in banning strikes in "essential
serigari seems unlikely to forestall a threatened walkout at
midnight on 11 July of two million government employees of the
/ railways, central government offices, armaments industry, and
postal and telegraph services. While a last-minute settlement is
possible, neither the government's ban nor Prime Minister Nehru's
personal appeal to the nation is likely to prevent hard-core elements
of the socialist and Communist unions involved from leading at least
some of their followers off the job, thereby forcing Nehru to use the
army to maintain essential services and to take the repressive meas-
ures he hopes to avoid. (Page 3)
THE WEST
Italy: The Communist-led rioting in Italy has not reached a
point where Premier Tambronrs government has been forced to
call out troops. Nevertheless, his Christian Democratic party re-
mains weak and divided on the issue of retaining neo- Fascist par-
liamentary support. Further disorders are in prospect and could
lead to demonstrations against NATO installations. As yet no new
steps have been taken to set up a more representative center-left
government. The pressing need to maintain law and order may en--
courage Tambroni to try to form an authoritarian regime, although
there are strong forces in the Christian Democratic� party which
would resist such a development. An authoritarian government would
give the Communists an opportunity to emerge from their isolation and
move to take over the leadership of the democratic left.
(Page 4)
11 July 60 DAILY BRIEF
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*Cuba-USSR: Khrushchev's bombastic words assuring
Castro of Soviet support have emboldened Cuban leaders who
may now act even more recklessl,y toward the United States.
This possibility was strongly suggested in the speeches made
by Castro's top associates during the 10 July mass rally.
President Dorticos' speech may foreshadow an early request for
abandonment of the Guantanamo Bay Naval Base. The Soviet
premier's vaguely worded missile threat, however, will prob-
ably help solidify anti-Castro sentiment among the governments
and peoples of the :rest of Latin America and will serve to
Identify the Castro regime even more intimately with the Soviet
bloc. One Latin American diplomat believes Khrushchey's
statement may have removed the last chance of a "moderate"
solution of the Cuban problem. Meanwhile, according to the
press, Cuba intends to bring its dispute with the US before
the UN Security Council.
11 July 60
DAILY BRIEF lit
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The Iraqi Situation
As the second anniversary of the 14 July Iraqi revolution
approaches, there is still no firm evidence that a coup against
the Qasim regime is being planned for that date. Rumors of
troubles occurring on 14 July appear to stem from fears by each
political group that some action may be taken against it, and that
this will precipitate further incidents. These fears are height-
ened by memories of last year's Kirkuk massacres by Communist-
instigated Kurds. Some observers see a "balance of terror" in
which each side hesitates to initiate any action which it might not
be able to control.
While Iraqi security officials appear to be taking stringent
measures to ensure a peaceful celebration of the anniversary, in-
cidents between Communists and anti-Communists could lead to
new crises which might be difficult for Qasim to surmount, as his
prestige has slipped significantly during the past few months. In-
creasing numbers of senior military, officers and civilian officials
openly criticize him; many of these probably feel he is doomed and
do not want to be identified too closely with his regime.
Communists throughout Iraq are continuing to receive a series
of rebuffs. They have lost control of the trade unions and peasant
associations, and now are being dislodged from high places in the
government--most recently from the heavily Communist-infiltrated
Ministry of Education. The nationalist press is concentrating on
an anti-Communist campaign, while the Communist press remains
on the defensive, complaining of governmental discrimination
against "true nationalists."
the Commu-
nists, or groups acting like them, are encouraging unrest in the
provinces. Burning of grain supplies in southern Iraq had reached
"alarming proportions" in late June,
attempts to form Commu-
nist cells and the arrest and sentencing of Communists for anti-
regime activities.
Meanwhile, the UAR and Jordan are still in touch with anti-
Qasim forces both inside and outside Iraq. UAR prestige among
--TOP-SECRET
11 July 60 e.rkern A I IIIITIkI
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many emigre Iraqis appears to have declined, and Jordanian
influence may be increasing. Iraqi conspirators, apparently
Including army officers, have recently sought Jordanian ad-
vice in developing plans for the overthrow of Qasim.
a
representative of the dissidents, presumed to be the Iraqi di-
rector of public security, has been negotiating with Jordan's
military attache in Lebanon on this subject, but no mention was
made of a target date. j Several months ago, King liusayn ap-
peared to believe that lie had tacit British approval for some ac-
tion against Qasim, and he may still think he would receive
Western blessing. Iranian intelligence is aware of this plot and
is highly suspicious of it, fearing it to be an Iraqi Government
provocation.
---TO-P-SECREZ
11 July 60 #-Ekirrs Al IkITCI I le�rkle"IE DI II I ETIkl
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Indian Government Workers' Strike Is Banned
New Delhi's outlawing of work stoppages in "essential serv-
ices" seems unlikely to forestall the threatened walkout at mid-
night on 11 July of about 2,000,000 government employees in the
railways, the central government offices, the armaments indus-
try, and the postal and telegraph services. The ban--a presiden-
tial ordinance issued in the absence of Parliament--provides for
arrests without warrant and calls for jail sentences of up to a
year and fines of up to 1,000 rupees ($210) for strikers and agita-
tors. New Delhi reportedly will use the army, if necessary, to
maintain order and operate essential services.
Prime Minister Nehru last week made a radio appeal in which
he urged the public to discourage those bent on striking. Labor
leaders, however, still say they will defy the strike ban.
Negotiations between the unions and the government broke
down on 2 July. Among other demands, the unions insist on an
increase of about two thirds in the minimum monthly wage and the
linking of government wages to the cost-of-living index. Nehru de-
scribed these demands as "not feasible" at this time and asserted
that, in addition to hampering economic progress, the proposed strike
would deal a "dangerous blow" to national security efforts. He is also
aware, however, that too repressive a policy will hurt the Congress
party's own labor organization, which, although dissociating itself
from the strike, is under stiff competition from the rival Communist
trade union organization.
While a last-minute settlement is possible, neither the govern-
ment's antistrike ordinance nor the prime minister's personal appeal
is likely to prevent hard-core elements of the socialist and Commu-
nist unions involved from leading some of their followers off the job,
thereby forcing Nehru to take the repressive measures he hopes to
avoid.
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Italian Disorders Continue
The Communist-led disorders in Italy, although they have
not thus far necessitated calling out troops, underline the
dangers attendant upon the continuing aimless drift of the Ital-
ian Government. T'he ruling Christian Democrats are postpon-
ing a clear-cut choice between their present reliance on neo-
Fascist parliamentary support, an alliance which sparked the
disorders, and a more representative center-left government,
which is opposed by the ruling party's minority right wing. If
the Christian Democrats fail to make a definite political deci-
sion within the next few months, Premier Tambroni may attempt
to establish an authoritarian regime, There is strong opposition
in his party to such a course, which would polarize Italian politics
by dividing the country into national and popular fronts. (c urrent
efforts to put together a new government formula are inhibited
not only by the chronic disunity among the center parties but by
reluctance to suggest that the Communists have won a victory...)
The Communists are probably not interested in bringing down
the government as long as its repressive measures are useful to
their own cause. The present situation enables them to pose as
champions of Italian liberty and may draw other leftist elements
into their orbit. Continuation of the disorders would make it in-
creasingly difficult for the Nenni Socialists to maintain political
autonomy from the Communists, who could thus emerge from iso-
lation.
Italian Communist chief Togliatti's statements on his return
from Moscow, coupled with the violence and extent of the disturb-
ances in Italy, suggest that Moscow is making a major effort to
exploit the situation. The Soviet leaders may feel that the Italian
situation can be used to advance their larger objective of discredit-
ing the United States, weakening the NATO alliance, and eliminat-
ing NATO bases on Italian soil.
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%.AJJ.VJ1LJEAL I 111 Li
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
CONFID
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