CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/11/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03184154
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: November 9, 1959

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9 November 1959
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CENTRAL
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c),
INTELLIGENCE
BULLFTIN
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9 NOVEMBER 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Bloc intensifying its campaign for
"friendship" with Greece,
IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR forces alerted against Israel; no
indications that latter is preparing a
move..
Belgian Government seeks to persuade
UAR to moderate its broadcasts heard
in the Congo.
Afghan authorities encountering serious
Pushtu tribal resistance in area near
Pakistani frontier.
Philippine elections on 10 November un-
likely to bring about any change in gov-
ernment's performance.
III. THE WEST
�Guatemala- Leftist former President
Arevalo re-entering active politics;
has Cuban financial backing.
--
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
9 November 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet Bloc - Greece: The USSR and Rumania are intensi-
fying their campaign of "friendship" with Greece, apparently as
part of their effort to obtain a meeting of Balkan leaders to dis-
cuss outstanding issues affecting the area and the bloc's proposals
for a Balkan nuclear-free zone. At press conferences in Athens
on 6 November, Soviet Ambassador Sergeyev publicly renewed the
Soviet invitation for Prime Minister Karamanlis to visit Moscow,
andvisiting Rumanian Deputy Premier Joja proposed that Kara-
maniis meet with Rumanian leaders in Bucharest in preparation
for a Balkan conference. The Greek Government has already re-
fused a private invitation for a visit and is likely to be cautious
about the Rumanian suggestions; however, Greek leftist and other
opposition elements are likely to exert pressure in favor of the
bloc's overtures. (Page 1)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR-Israel: The UAR, Government alerted many of its mil-
itary forces against Israel on 5.and 6 November. The alert, ap-
parently defensive in purpose, does not call for the highest state
of readiness. Orders to both Egyptian and Syrian units include
border guards, coastal defense units, and motor torpedo boat
squadrons. On the Israeli side, there have.been no indications
of preparations for a military move. Israeli air reconnaissance
activity, which resulted in an air clash on 4 November. may have
increased UAR apprehension. Noreov
he UAR was reportedly warned by the Soviet Union that Israeli
military action might be imminen9 Cairo radio has alleged that
Israel and France have been plotting an invasion, and General
Amir, Nasir's new viceroy for Syria, on 7 November challenged
Israel "to try its luck" in an attack like that nf 1A5R
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� UAR-Belgium: The Belgian Government, obviously worried
over developments in the Congo, has offered to support the UAR
in several international organizations and to expand cultural re-
lations if the UAR will agree to moderate Radio Cairo broadcasts
heard in the Congo
using the opportunity to pres-
sure Belgium to put a stop to Zionist activi v within the country
and to increase its imports from the UAR.
Cairo's broadcasts are not directed specifically at the Congo,
and the modification that Belgium wants would require a major
change in the UAR propaganda effort toward Africa--a change
Nasir is unlikely to order. (Page 2)
Afghanistan-Pakistan: The Afghan Government apparently has
encountered serious resistance to its authority in the Pushtu tribal
territory along the Pakistani frontier. (The "revolt" against Kabu
by the 1Vlangal tribe reportedly has already spread to two other
Pushtu tribes in the are) The recent appearance of Afghan jet
bombers over the borde may have been part of an effort by Prime
Minister Daud to suppress the uprising before it spreads further.
Growing unrest among the Pushtu border tribes is likely to add to
the difficulties of achieving a rapprochement between Afghanistan
and Pakistan and a settlement of the Pushtoonistan dispute.
(Page 3)
Philippines: The Philippine elections to be held on 10 Novem-
ber for provincial and municipal posts and for one third of the
24-man Senate offer little prospect for change The incumbent
Nacionalista party suffers from internal rivalries and the unpop-
ularity of President Garcia and may, even though its opposition is
divided, lose some of its Senate seats; it now holds all but two.
The elections will be followed by continual political maneuvering
in preparation for the 1961 presidential election.
(Page 4)
III. THE WEST
Guatemala: The re-entry into active politics of former Pres-
ident Arevalo, whose candidacy for the 6 December congressional
elections has just been announced, is likely further to inflame
9 Nov 59 DAILY BRIEF
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rightist elements which have long been plotting to oust the inef-
fective Ycligoras government. Arevalot a rabid critic of the
United States 2 has been in exile since 1954 but retains wide pop-
ularity in Guatemala. Financial backing has been promised him
by the Castro regime in Cuba for his effort to regain control of
Guatemala's powerful leftist forces. (Page 5)
9 Nov 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR and Rumania Intensify Pressure on Greece
The USSR and Rumania are increasing their overtures of
"friendship" for Greece with the announced aim of "dispelling
the spirit of the cold war in the Balkans." The bloc leaders ap-
parently hope that creating the impression that their relations
with the ICaramanlis .government are improving will further their
campaign for a Balkan conference. Invitations to the Greek
leader to visit Moscow and Bucharest were tendered at nearly
simultaneous press conferences in Athens on 6 November by
Soviet Ambassador Sergeyev and Rumanian Deputy Premier Joja.
Athens had previously rejected an earlier private invitation for
Karamanlis to visit the USSR and a feeler to the Greek Govern-
ment for Khrushchev to stop over in Athens en route to Paris.
Joja used his 11-day visit in Athens to advance bloc views
and sound out Greek political opinion. According to ICathimerini,
a progovernment Athens newspaper, Joja called for increased
trade and expounded the virtues of Rumanian Premier Stoica's pro-
posalsl.for a nuclear-free zone in the Balkans--a plan initially
offered in 1957 and repeated this summer. He also claimed
that Ankara's acceptance of IRBM bases was preventing inter-
national detente. Joja evidently was not empowered to settle
basic economic and political issues which Athens has previously
indicated are essential for a creation of an atmosphere of confi-
dence and hence probably a prerequisite for any consideration by
the Greeks of a bilateral heads-of-state meeting.
The timing of these initiatives is probably designed to effect
maximum exploitation from the Turkish decision to accept mis-
sile bases. Bloc leaders are also aware that certain Greek
leftist and non-Communist opposition politicians will probably
increase pressure on the Karamanlis government for a Balkan
summit.
9 Nov 59
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
Belgian Proposals to UAR
the Belgian
Government is prepared to improve relations with the UAR
in return for moderation of Radio Cairo broadcasts heard in
the Belgian Congo. The Belgian Foreign Ministry admits
that the situation in the Congo is bad and fears that the broad-
casts might make it worse.
the Belgian For-
eign Ministry�in an attempt at political bartering, will support
UAR candidates for office in various international organizations
in which the UAR is particularly interested, inreturn for UAR
silence on events in the Congo. the
time is ripe for Cairo to take advantage of the situation to press
Brussels to stop "Zionist activities" in Belgium and to increase
imports of UAR commodities.
Cairo's broadcasts to Africa, both overt and clandestine,
address themselves to the independence movement throughout
Africa, particularly East Africa, and only;incidentally touch
upon the problems of the Congo. It is therefore unlikely that
Nasir would be willing to change his present propaganda efforts
as a concession for improved relations with Belgium.
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Chan Government Apparently Encountering Serious Tribal Unrest
The Afghan Government apparently is encountering serious re-
sistance to its authority in the Pushtu tribal territory near the
Pakistani border. Mangal tribesmen reportedly have attacked a
government road-building crew, inflicting many casualties, and
an Afghan company of 100 soldiers sent to put down armed activ-
ity by the Mangals has disappeared,
The unrest by the Mangals--publicized by Karachi
on 1 November--already has spread to two other Pushtu tribes.
The tribes are strongly opposed to Kabul's efforts to build roads
into their territories, since the roads will strengthen central gov-
ernment control over the region. In addition, conservative religious
sentiment among the tribes, which are devoutly Moslem, has prob-
ably been offended by the Afghan Government's moves since August
to end the custom of keeping women veiled. Pakistan may be encour-
aging the tribesmen to challenge Kabul.
Afghan Prime Minister Daud will probably make a strong
effort to suppress the tribal unrest before it spreads further, possibly
by sending in troop reinforcements using modern, Soviet-supplied
weapons. Kabul reportedly has already used planes against the
tribes; this probably explains the appearance last month of twin-jet
bombers over the tribal territory, as reported by the Pakistanis.
The Afghan and Pakistani governments have expressed their de-
sire to improve relations, and Daud and Pakistani President Ayub
have indicated their willingness to talk with each other. Growing
unrest among the tribes, accompanied by increasing propaganda
warfare between the two countries, makes kettlement of the Push-
toonistan dispute unlikely in the near future.
9 Nov 59
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Philippine Elections
The Philippine elections to be held on 10 November are re-
garded primarily as a means of consolidating power for the
presidential and congressional election in 1961. At stake this
year are the governorships of the 54 provinces, mayoralties in
24 chartered cities, and municipal offices, as well as eight of
the 24 Senate seats.
The incumbent Nacionalista party, which controls the vast
majority of local offices and all but two Senate seats� has been
internally strained during the campaign by fear of association
with the unpopularity of President Garcia and by the determina-
tion of rivals to deny him complete control of the party machine.
These factors may result in the party's losing some of its Senate
strength and some governorships, but it still retains significant
advantages in its well-entrenched machin(rd its ability to make
political use of government funds The Nacionalistas are addi-
tionally favored by the failure of their opposition, the Liberal
and the Grand Alliance parties, to form a unified antiadministra-
tion coalition.
Despite Nacionalista attempts to arouse national feeling through
a "Filipino First" campaign theme, the major issues have cen-
tered on charges of corruption and inefficiency in the Garcia ad-
ministration. These charges, together with reports of pre-elec-
tion violence, have renewed fears of election irregularities, al-
though there have been no serious indications of fraud or terrorism.
Nevertheless, the elections may be followed by a period of intense
rivalry and political jockeying which offers little prospect for in-
creased governmental responsibility in advance of the 1961 pres-
idential race.
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III, THE WEST
Ex-President Arevalo Re-enters Guatemalan Politics
Juan Jose Arevalo, rabidly anti-US former president of
Guatemala who has been in exile since 1954, has launched
his candidacy for deputy in the 6 December congressional
elections as the first step in a bid to regain control of the
country's powerful leftist forces. His administration, in pow-
er from 1945 to 1951, paced the way for Communist domination
of the succeeding Arbenz regime. Nevertheless, a very large
number of Guatemalans, including many who deplore the Com-
munist influence over his successor, esteem him as the only
president ever to carry out a program of social and economic
reform, and his popularity continues widespread.
Arevalo returned to his professorship in Venezuela on 27
October after a ten-day visit to Cuba as the guest of Raul Castro
and other officials and student leaders. While there he roundly
applauded Fidel Ca,stro's violent attacks on the United States and
apparently concluded an agreement under discussion for some
months, assuring his followers financial support from the Cuban
Government. Arevalo told partisans visiting him in Cuba that
the money would be available for the election campaign.
Arevalo's re-entry into active politics is likely to further
inflame rightist civilian and military elements which have long
been plotting to oust weak President Ydigoras, whom they accuse
of facilitating leftist gains in Guatemala. Ydigoras has, in fact,
subsidized the pro-Arevalo Authentic Revolutionary party in an
effort to weaken the dominant leftist group, the moderate Revolution-
ary party (PR), currently under anti-Arevalo leadership.
Ydigoras, who has no effective political vehicle of his own,
has maintained his tenuous hold on power by manipulating the
various mutually hostile political factions against one another.
He may lose control during the potentially explosive period lead-
ing up to and immediately following the elections, which are to
replace half the 66 members of the unicameral Congress. Fear
of Arevalo could lead to an alliance of expediency between the PR
and rightist factions that could result in the President's ouster.
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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