CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/10/14

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03184152
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 14, 1959
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Approved6Rte4TigGiW184152 Nose 14 October 1959 Copy No. C CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANCE IN Cl DECLASS/Fla) CLASS. CHANGED TO: -7.1 SoiA NEXT REVIEW DATE: Aurvi DATE _ - TOP SECRET Approvedf6r -20-26/0-2/1-033-18-415i/ riFWIEWER: Approvedfor RTlea";770752/21 C03184152 41001 'Noe TAP FfRFT Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 14 OCTOBER 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Khrushchev indicates concern that his claims of reduced tensions may lead Russians to expect rapid improve- ment in living conditions. Moscow moves against "bourgeois nationalism" in Kazakhstan. Khrushchev tells Nehru he hopes for cordial Sino-Indian relations; Nehru wary of Chinese unpredictability. II. ASIA-AFRICA Chinese Communists refuse to issue joint communiqu�ith Nepal on bor- der problems. Pakistani and Turkish leaders seeking meeting with Shah of Iran, apparently In effort to strengthen CENT�. I/ 0 // � , 0 Venezuelan disorders apparently no threat to Pr...aident Betancourt's posi- tion. LATE ITEM USSR�ICBM test firing over extended ralve expected at Tvura Tam within next few days. 'rrn o rr. 0 yr Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 VA /1'6 I; Ok �Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 ��./ IL '40.1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN C03184152 fie 14 October 1959 DAILY BRIEF L THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR: Khrushchev's speeches during his recent tour of Siberia reflect concern that the Soviet people may come to believe that his US visit has so reduced world-wide tensions that they can expect a rapid improvement in living conditions. Nevertheless, the moderate tone of his speeches, the omis- sion of references to Berlin and other potentially critical sit- uations, and his assertion that the visit produced a warmer international climate, have presumably conveyed the impres- sion that a new nhae in US-Soviet relations is under way. (Page 1) USSR: Soviet Kazakhstan is the latest target in Moscow's campaign against "bourgeois nationalism" in the minority re- publics. The appointment of former KGB first deputy chairman Konstantin Lunev as Kazakh secret police chief follows closely the publication of an article in the authoritative party journal Kommunist calling for new measures to combat Kazakh nation- alism. Persistent unrest in the central Asian republic is al- legedly being fostered by young intellectuals who object to Russian influence over their language and culture and who glorify the ancient Moslem traditions and customs. Moscow has accused some Kazakh officials of "putting the interests of Kazakhstan in opposition to those of the Soviet Union as a whole." In recent months, similar tendencies have led to major per- sonnel shake-ups in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Azerbavdzhan; shake-ups have also occurred in Belorussia and Moldavia. Soviet Union - India - China! TOP SECRET A,Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152/ IA 4, � �Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 %ad tjo the USSR appreciated the "salutary steps taken by India" in withdrawing "several border outposts" which were found to be outside Indian territory and added that the USSR hoped China wi follow suit and maintain peace with India. Nehru is reliably re- ported to feel that even if the present crisis is solved there will be no lasting accord2 as "the Chinese mind is unpredictab1e:9 (Page 2) II. ASIA-AFRICA Communist China - Nepal: Communist China has antago- nized a Nepalese delegation which had come to Peiping to suggest talks 9n formal riemnreatinn of the hnrder hetureen the two nun- tries. Peiping reneged on an agreement made verbally by Chou En-lai and refused to become publicly committed in a joint corn- muniqud which would agree to the traditional Nepal-Tibet boun- dary as a basis for negotiation. The Nepalese were planning to leave Peiping on 13 October. Peipingb, tactics toward Nepal are similar to those employed toward Burma and India, with the Chinese giving friendly assur- ances of readiness to negotiate border issues in general but stall- ing on specific details and blocking efforts for a quick settlement. (Page 3) � Pakistan-Turkey-Iran: IESArachi and Ankara are trying to ar- range a meeting in early November between the Shah of hams, Pakistani President Ayub, and Turkish President Bayar or Prime Minister Menderes, The Pakistanis and Turks are deeply con- cerned over Iran, which they regard as the weak link in CENTO. They feel the necessity of strengthening the Shah's confidence and sense of solidarity by stressing their determination to cooperate in building up CENTO to resist Soviet pressures and threats. They may also wish to discuss problems relating to Afghanistan and in- creasing Soviet activity there...3- (Page 4) 14 Oct 59 DAILY BRIEF 11 4Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152/ A 4 "Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 CO3184152 III, THE WEST F(� Venezuela: The broad political and labor support which quickly rallied to the Venezuelan Government after its arrests on 12 October of 40 persons for conspiratorial activity sug- gests that President Betancourt is not seriously threatened at this time. The arrests followed a series of bombings in Caracas beginning 9 October. The bombings came at a time when the public is uneasy over labor contract negotiations in the oil in- dustry, uncertainty over the economic outlook, recent rumors of plotting by both civilian and military groups and some fric- tion among the three parties in the coalition. (Page 5) LATE ITEM *USSR: he USSR is expected to conduct a test firing of an ICBM over an extended range from Tyura Tam within the n few days. Such a test is indicated by weather reporting at Myuchi, flights by Soviet aircraft, and operations of three EE,.ir-class missile range instrumentation ships. At least two of these ships are now located about 1,200-1,400 miles south-, east of the usual Kamchatka impact area on an approximate great circle extension of the Tyura Tam test range. This would be the first direct support to be provided by these vessels in a test- ICBM launching;/ 14 Oct 59 V. DAILY BRIEF iii TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C031841527 A Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 .� � 49, JIM � � ��� .16., vase vire I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Khrushchev Cautions Soviet People Against Overoptimism Resulting From US Trip The chief purpose of Khrushchev's five speeches during his recent tour of Siberia apparently has been to define the ideological and practical limits of current US-Soviet rela- tions. Recent lectures and press articles by other members of the Khrushchev delegation to the US also seem to have had the same general purpose. Khrushchev appears to be concerned lest the Soviet people get the impression that his visit has so reduced world-Wide ten- sions that they now can expect a rapid and substantial improve- ment in living conditions. His injunctions about the need for hard work and his pessimistic remarks on price reductions and pri- vate ownership of automobiles make it clear that higher living standards will not be achieved easily. Similarly, his frequent reaffirmation of the superiority of "socialism" and references to "forces" at work in the US for continuing the cold war put the Soviet people on notice that the regime does not intend to make ideological compromises. Khrushchev's speech in Krasnoyarsk, published on 11 October, is of particular interest. It is more tendentious in tone than his other recent statements and, for the first time since the US visit, omits favorable comment on President Eisenhower. Further, his reference to the "poison of bourgeois ideas" seems to pre- clude the possibility of a significant breakthrough on the ex- change of press and radio information and may even presage a resumption of intensive Soviet jamming of the Voice of America. However, the generally moderate tone of Khrushchev's speeches, the omission of references to Berlin and other po- tentially critical situations, and his admission that the visit produced a warmer international climate, have presumably con- veyed the impression to the Soviet people that a new phase in US- Soviet relations is under way. CONFIDENTIAL 14 Oct 59 Ik morn � I 11.1.....11 1 1".1-1k /al di I r...ra� Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 003184152 Nee Khrushchev Letter to Nehru on oipo-inalan tsorde/ Dispute th upon appreciatea tne "salutary steps taken by India" in withdrawing "several border outposts" which were found to be outside of Indian territory and added that the USSR hoped China would follow suit and maintain peace with India. These expres- sions of good will are consistent with the stand maintained both publicly and privately during the course of the current dispute by the USSR, which is trying to soft-pedal the issue as much as possible to minimize the damage to its long-standing policy of fostering Nehru's "benevolent neutralisin2.7 (N_ehru informed Mukhitdinov that India would tolerate no further border incursions, probably in the hope that the warn- ing would persuade Soviet leaders to continue to exercise a re- straining influence on the Chinese. The Chinese, for their part, have repeatedly stated their willingness to negotiate, but have as yet made no move in that direction:j (1ST-6hp' and Prasad reportedly agreed that even if the present crisis is resolved there will be no lasting accord on the Sino-Indian border problem, and therefore future arrange mentsforkontier.security will have to be made. Indian Army strength in the northeast frontier region, which now comprises more than two divisions, could be reinforced if necessarYD SECRET 14 Oct 59 r=kITD A I IkITC1 I 1/"�Dkle'D DI II I DT11.1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 003184152 Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 S a Name Communist China Balks on Border Communique With Nepal A Nepalese delegation to Peiping left for Katmandu on 13 October: apparently miffed because Communist China would not sign a joint communique accepting the "traditional boundary" as a basis for negotiating the border between Nepal and Tibet. The Nepalese felt that the Chinese, by refusing to sign, had reneged on Chou En-lai's 9 October verbaLagreement to accept this po- sition for negotiating purposes. The text of the proposed communique is not available, but Peiping previously has avoided public statements which could be construed as accepting another nationb, version of ill-defined boundaries. Thus, while Chou's comments probably were intended to reassure the Nepalese, the Chinese may have felt the wording Insisted on by the delegation was too definitive of the "traditional boundary" and possibly prejudicial to Peiping's present stand on the Indian border question. Chou's original offer to send a border negotiating team to Nepal probably will not be withdrawn, although initiative to get talks started appears to be back with the Nepalese. Nepal's Prime Minister Koirala had not expected much in the way of border definition from the delegation's visit and is not likely to be too surprised by Peiping's tactics. However, he will probably continue to insist that the traditional border be used as a basis for any negotiation, and he also is likely to stall on Chou's offer of Chinese technicians to help set up a cement plant and paper mill under the provisions of Peiping's 1956 technical aid agreement with Nepal. TOP SECRET 14 Oct 59 rrmTo Al IMTPI I irtrmrc RI II I CTIkl Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 Nue, II. ASIA-AFRICA Pakistani and Turkish Leaders,See Need to Reassure Shah Of Iran ,rachi and Ankara are trying to arrange a meeting between the Shah of Iran, Pakistani President Ayub, and Turkish President Bayar or Prime Minister Menderes in early November. The Pakistanis and Turks consider Iran the weak link in the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) and feel the necessity of strengthen- ing the Shah's confidence and sense of solidarity by stressing their determination to cooperate in building up CENTO's ability to resist Soviet pressures and threats. They probably fear that without periodic assurances the Shah may reopen negotiations with the USSR to obtain aid and bring about the cessation of hostile Soviet radio propaganda:3 tihe Shah would probably be pleased with such a meeting, which would enhance his prestige both at home and abroad.] EBoth the Pakistani and Iranian governments wish to secure more military aid through CENTO and may discuss ways of co- ordinating their policies to this end. All three countries probably also want to discuss problems connected with Afghanistan. They have shown concern over the USSR's increasing activity in Afghanistan and apparently fear the development of a Soviet threat from that direction. Turkey is interested in expanding its military training assistance to Afghanistan, while Iran is concerned over Kabul's refusal to agree to Iranian demands regarding the division of waters of the Helmand River. Karachi is annoyed over Kabul's stepped-up attacks on its "suppression" of the tribes Of. Pushtoon- istkij ..)47opaganda warfare between the two has reached a new intensity, and a by-product of the proposed meeting may be a sharpening of Afghanistan's sense of isolation from its two free-world neighbors, Iran and Pakistan with who 14 Oct 59 'Approved 'for'iReie-a's'e72-62.076-2/ii C63164.152 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 Nay, Nur III. THE: WEST Venezuelan Government Moves Against Conspirators The Venezuelan Government on 12 October arrested 40 persons�allegedly followers of former dictator Perez--for conspiratorial activity. This move followed a series of bombings in Caracas which began on 9 October. They came at a time when the government is under pressure because of unrest over the negotiations for a new contract in the oil in- dustry, rumors of plotting by civilian and military groups, some friction among the three parties in the coalition, and un- certainty over the economic outlook. However, the broad po- litical and labor backing, including Communist, which quickly rallied to support President Betancourt suggests that the sta- bility of his regime is not seriously threatened at this time. Moreover, plotting in the armed forces thus far probably has not succeeded in winning substantial military or civilian back- ing. On the other hand, Betancourt is threatened with labor strife--which Communists might attempt to spread--in the event the oil workers' federation does not reach a satisfactory agreembnt with the oil industry, on which the government and economy are largely dependent. A prolonged strike against the oil companies accompanied by violence could serve as a pre- text for an attempted military take-over of the government. 14 Oct 59 rCkITD Al IkITGI I ir�ekie�e bull rTiki Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 lk-A-1.011.11/1-,11 If 1 I L�L L.d 'ftpie THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03184152 4