CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/09/28

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03178378
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: September 28, 1956

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CURRENT
/ INTELLIGENCE
// BULLETIN
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28 September 1956
Copy No., it 0 5
DOCUMENT NO. 14
NO CHANGE IN CLASSo .
DE_CLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: Hi 70-2
REVIEWER: _
DATE.
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECREP
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CONTENTS
1�
2. TITO'S RETURN WITH KHRUSHCHEV TO THE USSR
(page 5).
3. POLES PRAISE YUGOSLAV INDEPENDENCE
(page 7)�
40 JAPAN NOT EXPECTED TO JOIN SUEZ CANAL USERS'
ASSOCIATION AT THIS TIME (page 8)o
5� INDIA ENCOURAGING BURMA TO STAND FIRM IN BOUND-
ARY DISPUTE WITH COMMUNIST CHINA
(page 9).
28 Sept 56
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
�) (page 10)
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2. TITO'S RETURN WITH KHRUSHCHEV TO THE USSR
Tito's return with Khrushchev-.-"to spend
several days resting on the Black Sea"--
is an obviously hasty decision and sug-
gests that the problems between Moscow
and Belgrade over the Satellites have
reached a point where wider participa-
tion among Communist leaders is re-
quired for a decision. Moscow radio,
according to press accounts, has an-
nounced that leading politburo members
including Bulganin and Shepilov and other
top Soviet officials are at the Black Sea
resort of Sochi.
Tito's trip may mean that some type of
compromise concerning at least the short-term aspect of
future Satellite "evolution" was worked out during Khrushchev's
eight-day stay. In this case, Tito is presumably going to work
out the solution in detail with the Soviet leaders and possibly
with Satellite leaders returning from the Chinese Communist
Party Congress. This could include some agreement on an
international organization to guide world Communist activi-
ties. Tito proposed such an
organization when he was in Moscow in June but was turned
down by Khrushchev. A sticking-point might have been a de-
sire by Tito to include non-Communist Socialist parties.
It is possible that Khrushchev himself may
be convinced that Tito is right in his views on Satellite evolu-
tion--at least on the necessity for continued far-reaching,
gradual changes. In that .case, Khrushchev may hope that Tito
can convince other Soviet leaders of the necessity of allowing
the Satellites to develop more independent policies.
Finally, Khrushchev's talks with Tito may
not have resolved their differences. Khrushchev may hope
28 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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that a discussion with other Soviet leaders, and possibly
with Satellite leaders, may convince Tito that de-Staliniza-
tion must be held back because of its inherent threat to the
existence of the Communist regimes in Eastern Europe.
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3. POLES PRAISE YUGOSLAV INDEPENDENCE
The Polish press and radio are giving
considerable prominence to statements
praising Yugoslavia's independence and
economic practices. The Polish party
daily Trvbuna Ludu recently quoted the
leader of the Polish parliamentary dele-
gation to Yugoslavia as praising Yugo-
slavia for "independent thinking on prob-
lems of the construction of socialist forms
of life;' and for having the "courage to conduct independent
experiments in this field:' The deputy minister of labor, in
comparing the degree of democracy in the two countries, ob-
served that Yugoslavia was ahead of Poland in the economic
sphere but not in the political sphere.
A recent radio program advocated the
Yugoslav practice of establishing workers' councils which
would run the factories with a minimum of control from
above. Such councils would have wide latitude in purchas-
ing raw materials, planning production, and marketing the
finished product, particularly as regards sales abroad. A
prominent Polish economist has gone even further and advo-
cated reliance on a market economy to guide production.
Comment
The statements in the party newspaper
show disregard for the reported Soviet
warning of 3 September against using Yugoslavia rather
than the USSR for a model, and reflect the strong sense of
independence among high Polish party officials. Since July
when Bulganin advised the Polish press to curb its outspoken
attitude, the press has expanded its criticism to include some
aspects of Soviet-Polish relations.
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4. JAPAN NOT EXPECTED TO JOIN SUEZ CANAL USERS'
ASSOCIATION AT THIS TIME
Japanese policymakers will recommend
to the cabinet that Japan not join the
Suez Canal Users' Association at this
time, with the understanding that Tokyo
might join later epending on the results of UN discussions.
Ambassador Allison notes that Japan's position is shaped
by a desire to avoid offending either the West or the Asian
African nations.
Allison comments that since Japan is not
a member of the UN, by deferring to the UN procedure it
can evade initially taking sides on the problem and that in
giving subsequent support to a UN decision the Japanese
would be aligned with a supranational authority rather than
with a partisan group, Even Japanese favorable to the
Western position desire an "exposure" of Soviet designs
at the UN before Japan takes a stronger stand.
Japan is under little economic pressure
to expedite a solution since increased shipping costs from
European countries resulting from the Suez situation im-
prove Japan's competitive position in Asian markets.
Comment The Japanese position reflects an over-
riding desire to overcome Japan's dip-
lomatic isolation by being friends to all.. Japanese public
opinion in general supports Egyptian "anticolonialism"
and is critical of any hint that either side will use force.
No Asian or African nation has joined
the users' association, but Iran and Ethiopia have indicated
an intention to do so.
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5. INDIA ENCOURAGING BURMA TO STAND FIRM IN
BOUNDARY DISPUTE WITH COMMUNIST CHINA
Comment on:
The Tndian Foreign Ministry
urged Burma to maintain its
insistence on the validity of the bound-
ary line in the Wa States agreed to by
Britain and Nationalist China in 1941.
Nehru wrote nou tan-iai in mid-September urging
a reasonable approach to the Burma border dispute and
warning that failure to settle it might weaken faith in the
"five principles" of coexistence. Nehru appears to have
indirectly supported Burma's claim that a de facto line has
existed between the northern Kachin(State and Yunnan for
over 50 years. Chou is said to have acknowledged Nehru's
letter "in a general way" and promised to discuss the ques-
tion "later:'
This Indian support will go a long way
toward overcoming any disappointment Burmese premier Ba
Swe may have felt over Nehru's initial cautious response to
Burma's request for assistance on the border question.
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THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 27 September)
President Nasr told Yusuf� Yasin, Saudi
Arabian deputy foreign minister, on 17 September--following
two Israeli retaliatory raids against Jordan, but prior to the
latest raid--that he hoped King Saud would advise Jordanian
army chief Nuwar and King Hussain "not to become embroiled
with Israel at the present time."
Nasr said Jordan should take a "defensive attitude"
��
rather than provoke Israel as he believed it had done, since
the Israeli attacks were "part of a plan to disrupt the Arab
world." Nasr said Egypt was fully able to aid Jordan
militarily but would refrain from diverting its energies from
the Suez Canal crisis to Israel "in present circumstances.
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