CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/09/06

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03178365
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 6, 1956
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Apprpved.for 2 g 2/(14.01/(2.13dp317,8365 6 September 1956 Opy NO, 3.5(c) CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLAS CI DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR 70-2 DATE REVIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOr SECRET/ � ./ 7/ , Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 'rod f Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 .1(UP SECRET Noe CONTENTS 1. HAMMARSKTOLD TO CONVOKE UN SECURITY COUNCIL IF SUEZ SITUATION WORSENS (page 3). 2. BRITISH POLICY PLANNING CONCERNING SUEZ SITUA- TION (page 4). 3. INDIA REPORTEDLY RENEWS v.VFORTS ii\T CAIRO TO SOLVE SUEZ CONTROVERSY (page 5). 4. FRANCE MAY LINK SUEZ "WAR" TO ALGERIAN REFORMS (page 6). 5. PANAMANIAN GOVERNMENT THREATENED (page 7). 6. BRAZILIAN DENUNCIATION OF ATOMIC PACTS WITH UNITED STATES (page 8). 7. POLITICAL CRISIS APPROACHING IN GREECE (page 9). 6 Sept 56 * * * * THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page 10) * * * * THE TAIWAN STRAIT Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 Tar) cFCRFT Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 SECRET Noe Nve 1. HAMMARSICJOLD TO CONVOKE UN SECURITY COUNCIL IF SUEZ SITUATION WORSENS Secretary General Hammarskj old has informed British foreign secretary Lloyd and Ambassador Lodge that he feels le- gally obliged by the UN charter to bring the Suez situation before the Security gotiations break down without a settlement and the parties themselves do not appeal to the UN. Hammarskj old told Lodge he thought the British and French were acting in a "fantastic" manner. He said that if they used force in the mistaken belief that they could re-establish their position in the Middle East, war would probably result and the UN might be destroyed. Comment Most members believe that some type of UN action is necessary to a solution of the Suez situation. Opinion among them differs regarding which UN body would provide the best forum--the Security Council, where the USSR might use the veto in Egypt's favor, or the General Assembly, where the anticolonial and underdeveloped nations could raise a large majority, particularly if force were used against Egypt. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 SECRET 2. BRITISH POLICY PLANNING CONCERNING SUEZ SITUATION Approaching the situation on a day-to- day basis, Prime Minister Eden has permitted military preparations to advance, but has not yet given specific guidance to the British chiefs of staff, who at the end of July adopted 15 September as the date for completion of military deployment in the editerranean area. . 7 Comment the impression that the British government has not reached a final decision as to the use of force in the event negotiations with Nasr are unsatisfactory. In any case, London appears to believe that for moral justification some further move--perhaps including recourse to the UN Security Council--would be a necessary preliminary to the use of force. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 tCrcLi 3. INDIA REPORTEDLY RENEWS EFFORTS IN CAIRO TO SOLVE SUEZ CONTROVERSY India's Krishna Menon, during his visit to Cairo on 29 and 30 August, worked out with President Nasr a compromise proposal on the Suez Canal to be pre- sented to the committee of five, The proposal centers on the setting up of an international advisory committee, ostensibly con- trolled by Egypt, but with powers extending to administra- tion of the canal. India Is trying to freeze the USSR out of a position of influence with Nasr and that Menon resisted attempts of the Soviet ambassador to Cairo to see him during his stopover there. The Indian attitude, is the result of Nehru's belief that the success of India's Second Five-Year Plan depends on an effective guarantee of freedom of transit through the canal and the Indian prime minister's unwillingness to depend on Nasr for this. Comment Nehru reportedly was dissatisfied with what he considered to be Menon's sharing of a position with the USSR at the London conference. Congress Party parliament members that India's econoniic in- terests could be better served by the Dulles formula than the Soviet position, Nehru reportedly has also given a gen- eral directive on Suez to Indian newspapers, and his attitude may be reflected in editorial criticism of Nasr's action on the canal which appeared for the first time on 2 September. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 SECRET *.rno 414,. FRANCE MAY LINK SUEZ "WAR" TO ALGERIAN REFORMS The French government intends to balance sanctions against Egyptian premier. Nasr with the announcement of radical political reforms in Algeria, Premier Mollet has decided to offer a decentralized federal status to Algeria and to invite the rebels to negotiate on this basis. Announcement of this concession might be delayed, however, if. Nasr backs down before 15 September or if military ac- tion is not taken against him. Military action would pre- sumably be pegged to the resignation of canal pilots and the consequent need to keep the canal open. Comment Monet will meet Lacoste, the French minister residing in Algeria, this week end and may try to gain his support for a modification of the "pacification first" policy by reassuring Lacoste of Paris' intention to deal firmly with Nasr. Ambassador Dillon in Paris does not be- lieve the cabinet has, as yet, decided to employ force, but he reports a growing French feeling that military action may become necessary. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 ST:CR FT Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 '4Impe 5,. PANAMANIAN GOVERNMENT THREATENED Armed violence may occur in Panama as a result of the reported decision by leaders of three opposition politi- cal factions and anti-American stu- dents to support a strike by the Com- munist-dominated auto transport workers' union. President-elect Ernesto de la Guardia appears just- ilea in ms iears� expressed publicly on 4 September, that the objective of the strike would be to promote disorders aimed at preventing his inauguration on 1 October. Representatives of the union, the university students' strike committee, and opposition leaders--including two former presidents--met and de- cided on 4 September to co-operate in a joint strike pro- gram and to attack the Panama National Guard headquarters and other nubile hnildintrs the student leaders uotainea a promise trom tne otners at the meeting for sup- port in demonstrations against the American embassy, "including possible violence," These actions are allegedly planned for sometime between 5 and 12 September. The students' strike committee has numerous leftist anti rommimicd- members, 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 SECT FT Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 fL BRAZILIAN DENUNCIATION OF ATOMIC PACTS WITH UNITED STATES Brazil's 30 August decree suspending exports to the up of fissionable rare earths and terminating a joint uranium prospecting agreement is a tactical victory for Communist and nationalist forces. However, the move probably should not be con- sidered as a shift in Brazil's basically pro-US foreign pol- icy, according to the American embassy in Rio de Janeiro. In signing the decree, the president apparently hoped to end the bitter and embarrassing con- troversy over the administration's alleged "selling out of Brazil's interests" in fulfilling atomic materials contracts signed by previous administrations. By this action Kubit- schek may be seeking to weaken popular opposition to any military bases agreement Brazil may make with the United States in current negotiations. The government action will almost cer- tainly be followed by increased agitation in the Brazilian congress for the creation of a state monopoly on atomic materials. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 JP., Lilt, I Nine' 7. POLITICAL CRISIS APPROACHING IN GREECE Greek prime thinister Karamanlis' - government feels itself seriously threatened as a result of recent Cyprus developments. Karamanlis feels that his country's allies are forcing him to seek support from the Soviet bloc and Egyptian-dominated Arab states. Karamanlis re- cently told the American charge that his government will soon be forced either to revise its pro-Western foreign policy or to resign. The Greek government's increasing iso- lation from its allies over the Cyprus issue is strengthen- ing domestic advocates of neutralism. If Karamanlis should fall, Greek frustrations over Cyprus would bring to power a government susceptible to Communist influence in promot- ing the Cypriot cause regardless of the effect on the country's alliances. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 5 September) Prime Minister Ben-Gurion of Israel has flatly rejected all the United Nations Security Council proposals for improving the Arab-Israeli border situation and strengthen- ing the armistice machinery, according to UN truce supervisor General Burns. Secretary General Hammarskjold, who sought Arab and Israeli acceptance of these proposals this spring, said he considered that Ben-Gurion's attitude closed the door to fur- ther action by him unless the Security Council takes new steps. Hammarskj old last spring obtained only partial and conditional ac- ceptance of the UN proposals from the Arab states. Israel has long maintained that Arab commitments to the armistice agree- ments are worthless, and that the UN is incapable of obtaining strict Arab compliance. Ben-Gurion's latest statement to Burns probably stemnLafiaAcs on Aimr_ Arab raiders. 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 TOP .SFCRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 BIWEEKLY SUMMARY (23 August-5 September 1956) THE TAIWAN STRAIT Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group for the Taiwan Strait Problem 1. There was no significant combat activity during the period. ( 2. Recent progress in the construction of the trans-Fukien railroad suggests that the Communists may complete the line to Amoy in November or December. Peiping has announced comple- tion of the roadbed and the laying of tracks on 290 miles of the 422-mile line. Construction of the railway station at Amoy is un- der way. Mao Tse-tung told the Laotians that, although Communist China desired to negotiate with Chiang Kai-shek, it was in no hurry. This playing down of the urgency of the Taiwan problem is in contrast to former Chi- nese Communist statements which stressed the "inevitable" early "liberation of Taiwan," 6 Sept 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365 -1L1 01-'4 I TAIWAN STRAIT SITUATION 5 SEPTEMBER 1956 CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND: DESIGNATIONS ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY 8. CIVILIAN AIR� CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES MAY BE USABLE BY JETS INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED SECONDARY AIRFIEI PRIMARY AIRFIELD AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY BASES CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN OR FIELDS OF LESSER IMPORTANCE AREA WITH PREPARED RUNWAY RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER 5000 FEET OPERATIONAL 5ERVICEABLE UNKNOWN II N A N P F. 11 �HANKOW LA ? � (5� L / a� 2 �CHANGSHA I iENGYANG o NANCHAN 614,000 TROOPS 118 NAN KING / WU HU 04111!_ HUAINING CE ) / CHI ANG� CHUHSIFN Q.. 111, SHANCHAO Ce ? iTYingtan o CHANGTING* S. K I A i� tiSABIL I I Y T 1111 ICS.I5 TU-2, A-17 IA-9/1! 0 11 UI .2 0 ETC ID'. NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE IF SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPER 1001 HI PRE SENT. 0 04110 IS HANGCHOW 1 cHouN 30 NINGP00' 122 3 SHANGHAI " Yungan LIENCHENG 1 1 ",-) 0 CHIENOU -.!Nanping -5,3,000 � Ningte MACH IAN G 0 CHU\ WA W FNI L UCH IA0�TACHEN o �Juian FOOCHOW 4 ATSLIS NANTAI+ 21,000 LUNGTIEN � WUCHILI 4-�-CHINGYANG LUNGCHI* AOCHI AMOY QUEMOY 81,000 09,000 K A N TUNG CHENGHAII* CANTON SWATOW 1111 SHUIKOU rIHorig Kong r 22 (GB) Ista.cao (Port.) 114 PENGHU 13,000 28 26 SUNGSHAN TAOY1JAN TAIPEI WAN c�,�y,303 ,000 IAINAN IS NOT I NIT ILAN 24 _1116 118 I2G 122 14P.Mr.A1 M.1'. ri 0 10B) 150 t) 50 1---- _.1._ 1=-1 ton 150 MAIle....111.61.11111/ : ' `,M7.1111...0014111/1.1.18,1111111.11, Railroad Under construction or pro ectecl NAI ION P Pr an r y road, Secondary roads SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03178365