CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/03/04

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03177771
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
January 27, 2020
Document Release Date: 
January 30, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 4, 1958
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PDF icon CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULL[15772394].pdf537.66 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 CO3177771 0 /ZA WZIWZ/ZZ,Z,ZZA pproved for Release: 2019/08/20 CO31777710 eZ/ZZZZZ/Z tjeZZ, cr) 4 March 1958 Copy No.1 CENTRAL 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN- DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CI .ASS. DECLASS!FIED NEXT REV:NV DATE: _ CLASS. C!!ANGFD TO: 18 8 Cy) Ai AUTH: Hri ^ D A T --TOP-SECRET- REVIEWER: Approved7R7lea7r. 167675720 C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 4 MARCH 1958 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Actual Soviet Air Force flights remain at low ebb; intercepted flight schedules, however, may indieata ra,mwtv-tion. North Korea drops demand for direct talks with Seoul for release of per- sonnel on hijacked airliner. 0 I L ASIA-AFRICA Indonesia - Djakarta said to be planning attack on Central Sumatra for 5 March. Iraq - Nun i Said forms new cabinet of ultraconservatives. Nasir may be preparing campaign to undermine King Saud. III. THE WEST Greek King names caretaker premier pending early elections desired by Karamanlis. France - Government conservatives threaten crisis unless Gaillard in- tensifies military effort in Algiers. TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 .THAILAND MALAYA MEDAN � SIAK R PAKANBARUe � BUKITTINGGI PADANG SUMATRA 1 MARCH 1958 1010 2?0 300 400 MILES c) TAN DJUNGPI NANG RIAU IS. az, PALEMBANG � DJAKARTA J A Vc_sA � 80228 4 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 (6943 1\ \ Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 wri ,./L-A...11LL:d CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 4 March 1958 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet air activity: The Soviet Air Force is grad- ually resuming flight activities after an unprecedented nine-day stand-down. Long Range air units are again scheduled for activity in the Far East and the Arctic, while tactical air units are resuming operations in the western USSR and the satellites. The resumption of flight activity was apparently hampered in many areas by adverse weather. North Korea: The Pyongyang regime still insists that the United Nations Command in the Military Armi- stice Commission is not competent to negotiate the hi- jacked airliner issue, but the Communists have dropped their demand for "direct negotiations" with South Korea as a prerequisite to releasing the passengers. The Com- munists seem to have moved to a position which makes release contingent on some form of government-to-gov- ernment approach by the United States. West Germany, and South Korea. IL ASIA-AFRICA *Indonesia: Djakarta is planning to attack the Central Sumatran oil center of Pakanbaru on 5 March, employing ground, naval, and air forces who are well informed on the TOP SECRET l.Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 IL \\: 4kM C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 1 J1...IL:A.4111-4 Niury (et- )L0 defenses of the area, are doubtful of the success of such an operation. Earlier reports have stated, however, that an attack on Pakanbaru would be followed closely by land- ings on the west coast aimed at the capture of the rebel strongholds of Padang and Bukittinggi. (See map on facing page) Iraq: Nun i Said, the country's strong man, returned on 3 March to head a new ultraconservative government which will probably have to face a continuing propaganda barrage from Nasir and other radical Arab nationalists. The response inside Iraq to Egypt's propaganda has been confined so far to small-scale student demonstrations. The new cabinet, composed of Nun i stalwarts and con- servatives such as Suwaydi, Jamali, and Bashayan, il- lustrates the paucity of Iraq's conservative leadership. (Page 1) Egypt - Saudi Arabia: Nasir may be preparing a cam- paign to undermine King Saud by identifying him more di- rectly with "imperialist" policies. Cairo has ordered the withdrawal "within one week" of its military advisers in Saudi Arabia. On 26 February, Nasir ordered his intelli- gence chief to obtain information about Saud's attitude and his meetings with the Iraqi and Jordanian foreign ministers. W.:=1 (Page 2) III. THE WEST *Greece: The selection of Constantine Georgacopoulos, nonpolitical president of the Greek Red Cross, to form a caretaker government indicates that King Paul has success- fully resisted pressure to postpone elections for several months. Georgacopoulos will ask approval of his cabinet and seek to push through the new electoral law prior to dis- solution of Parliament and the subsequent holding of national elections within 45 days. In taking this action, King Paul 4 Mar 58 DAILY BRIEF ii TOP SECRET , .. \Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 N Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Nime *lor appears to be following the advice of ex-Premier Con- stantine Icaramanlis, who presumably would be favored by early elections. French Government: Premier Gaillard faces open re- volt from the conservative wing of his coalition over his pro- posal to hold the 1958 military budget to the ceiling agreed on in December 1957. Independent party deputies have threat- ened to precipitate a crisis unless he agrees this week to re- inforce the army in Algeria substantially, even at the ex- pense of France's NATO-committed units. (Page 3) 4 Mar 58 DAILY BRIEF iii TOP SECRET 1W. , �NApproved for Release: 2019/08/20 k�I \-4 ',. �,t A\\-: ' 'A\ :*ft k�-"R`, C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 ICI CAL 1.L" I. 1.431AL4 �1111, NOV I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC No Back-up Material. Ho ASIA-AFRICA Nun i Said Returns to Iraqi Premiership Nun i Saidis formation of a new _ultraconservative cab- inet appears to be aimed at tightening the Iraqi administra- tion in anticipation of serious internal and external security problems. The Iraqis probably believe that the formation of the VAR and Nasies propaganda offensive against the "im- perialist-inspired" Jordanian-Iraqi federation is the prelude to a struggle for domination of the uncommitted Arab states. Egyptian and Syrian propaganda will probably claim that Nun's appointment was the result of Nasir's personal attacks on the Mirjan cabinet and that Nuri will carry out the anti-Arab plans of the "imperialist" powers. So far the response in Iraq to Egyptian propaganda has been confined to small student demonstrations easily broken up by the po- lice. Unrest probably will increase, however. Null will probably follow a "go slow" policy toward de- veloping the new federation with Jordan and will try to ensure Iraqi dominance of the new Arab state. The new cabinet, composed of such Nun i stalwarts as Suwaydi, Jamali, and Bashayan, exemplifies the paucity of conservative political leadership in Iraq, where Nun i has said there is "a small pack of cards which has to be shuffled often." -CONFIDENTIAL- 4 Mar 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 N.ro La 4 I LI I Name Nasir Possibly Preparing tip Undermine King Saud Nasir may have decided to try to discredit King Saud in the eyes of radical Arab nationalists by exposing Saud's growing opposition to the new United Arab Republic. Nasir is almost certainly aware of Saud's past and present efforts to undermine the governments of Syria and Yemen and disrupt Nasir's new state, which Saud considers a threat to the Arab monarchies. Cairo specifically avoided officially implicating Saud in plotting in Syria publicized in mid-February. Nasir may now, however, feel that the UAR is well enough established that he can move against Saud. A treason trial which began in Cairo on 3 March may be used by the Egyptians to present evidence that Saud had supported a conspiracy of Elm:than monarchist elements against Nasir. TOP SECRET 4 Mar 58 CFKITRAI ikrrn I irzpmrr 111111 PTIkl Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Page 2 Approved for Release: 2-0-19/08/20 C03177771 Igoe liare III. THE WEST French Conservatives Press for More Men for Algeria French Premier Gaillard faces open revolt from the conservative wing of his coalition over his efforts to hold the government's proposed 1958 military budget and man- power ceilings. An Independent party delegation demanded on 28 February that he reinforce the army in Algeria by 50,000 to 80,000 men and threatened a special debate and possible crisis unless he gave an "affirmative" answer within 10 days. Gaillard is reported opposed to these de- mands on financial grounds. The proposed defense allot- ment of approximately $3 billion is already inadequate because of supplementary costs of the Algerian war. The Independent delegation had suggested that more men for Algeria could be found by "partial mobilization in Algeria," by more efficient utilization of personnel in France, and if necessary by reducing France's NATO commitments. It is not clear whether these demands take into account the government's recent announcement that 50,000 troops would be found for Algeria�presumably to replace men be- ing released, but there is a possibility that proposed estab- lishment of the "no man's land" may require more troops and be reflected in the Independents' total. If the Independents' demands are met, a major portion of the personnel involved will be taken from France, and probably some from French forces now in Morocco. Al- though the government recently denied reports that its cur- rent manpower program for Algeria would draw from its NATO contribution in Germany, this possibility cannot now be ruled out. SECRET 4 Mar 58 CFNTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 in My/ My, �� 01.ai 1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 4 March 1958 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet air activity: The Soviet Air Force is grad- ually resuming flight activities after an unprecedented nine-day stand-down. Long Range air units are again scheduled for activity in the Far East and the Arctic, while tactical air units are resuming operations in the western USSR and the satellites. The resumption of flight activity was apparently hampered in many areas by adverse weather. North Korea: The Pyongyang regime still insists that the United Nations Command in the Military Armi- stice Commission is not competent to negotiate the hi- jacked airliner issue, but the Communists have dropped their demand for "direct negotiations" with South Korea as a prerequisite to releasing the passengers. The Com- munists seem to have moved to a position which makes release contingent on some form of government-to-gov- ernment approach by the United States, West Germany, and South Korea. II. ASIA-AFRICA *Indonesia: Djakarta is planning to attack the Central Sumatran oil center of Pakanbaru on 5 March, employing ground, naval, and air forces, who are well informed on the defenses of the area, are doubtful of the success of such an operation. Earlier reports have stated, however, that an attack on Pakanbaru would be followed closely by land- ings on the west coast aimed at the capture of the rebel strongholds of Padang and Bukittinggi. (See map on facing page) Iraq: Nun i Said, the country's strong man, returned on 3 March to head a new ultraconservative government which will probably have to face a continuing propaganda barrage from Nasir and other radical Arab nationalists. The response inside Iraq to Egypt's propaganda has been confined so far to small-scale student demonstrations. The new cabinet, composed of Nun i stalwarts and con- servatives such as Suwaydi, Jamali, and Bashayan, il- lustrates the paucity of Iraq's conservative leadership. (Page 1) and seek to push through the new electoral law prior to dis- solution of Parliament and the subsequent holding of national elections within 45 days. In taking this action, King Paul appears to be following the advice of ex-Premier Con- stantine ICaramanlis, who presumahlv wmild he favored by early ele4prove1 for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771 Sire Ste MEDAN � PAKANBARU. � BUKITTINGGI PADANG SUMATRA 1 MARCH 1958 100 200 300 4?0 MILES ..0 TANDJUNGPINANG RIAU IS. c2 PALEMBANG � 0 0 DJAKARTA A VcsA 80228 4 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03177771