CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/11/27

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03177765
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: November 27, 1957

for Release: 201�0
FrZiff7/71)1b4i/Arp12d
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
27 November
Copy No. 1 :1`,
3.5(c)
DnCUIVIENT NO. 2
�
NO C1,IAtsGE IN CLASS. 70e
DITCLASSIFIE0
CLASS. C6ANGED TO: TS N)7t)
NEXT REVIEW DATE-
AU DATE,TH t 7 41
)FIEVIEWER
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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40IN
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CONTENTS
1� TYURA TAM ICBM/ESV RANGE RESUMES PRACTICE
ACTIVITY (page 3).
'to 2� SOVIET DESTROYER POSSIBLY EQUIPPED WITH GUIDED
MISSILES (page 4).
3. POSSIBLE SOVIET CENTRAL COMMITTEE MEETING
(page 5).
6_42_ 4. GOMULICA DISAPPOINTED IN TALKS WITH MAO TSE-TUNG
(page 6).
21-6
to-t
5. SITUATION IN INDONESIA
(page 7).
6. INDIA SEES FOOD GRAIN IMPORTS OF 3,000,000 TONS
ANNUALLY OVER NEXT FEW YEARS (page 8).
7. TURKISH CABINET FORMED AFTER MONTH DELAY
(page 9).
27 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 2
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1. TYURA TAM ICBM/ESV RANGE RESUMES
PRACTICE ACTIVITY
Comment on:
The Tyura Tam - Klyuchi missile
�test range resumed practice activ-
ity on 23 and 24 November. Resump-
tion of practice activity indicates
probable preparations for another event,
either an ICBM test or another satellite launching attempt.
Previous extensive practice activity
started on 4 November--the day after the launching of
Sputnik II--and ran through 10 November. This was fol-
lowed on 13 and 14 November by KRUG direction-finding
activity which ceased on 15 November.
The period of relative quiet following
the extensive practice activities of 4-10 November and the
KRUG practices of 13-14 November could have been caused
by the delay or postponement of a scheduled ICBM/ESV
flight test or by changes in range communications.
Judging by Soviet statements of the
number (12-14) of satellites to be launched during the Inter-
national Geophysical Year at the rate of about one per month,
the orbiting of another earth satellite, possibly containing
another animal, is considered more likely than an ICBM
test. The timing of this event cannot yet be determined,
but the attempt is likely to occur in the near future.
27 Nov 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
TOP SECRET
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Nvirsol
2, SOVIET DESTROYER POSSIBLY EQUIPPED WITH
GUIDED MISSILES
Comment on:
sighted a new Soviet destroyer
in the Amur River on 16 September. The
presence of a "catapult" and the absence
of gun mounts on the stern constitute the first evidence that the
USSR may be equipping destroyers with guided missiles.
The ship is probably the 3,880-ton Kotlin-
class destroyer which,
left Komsomolsk shipyard on the Amur River on 14 Sep-
tember fox at Vladivostok.
this shipyard was working on at least on
Kotlin-class destroyer.
A number of sighting reports, and numer-
Work was suspended in 1955 on five Sverdlov-class cruisers in
European Soviet shipyards, possibly as a result of a decision to delay
completion of these units
27 Nov 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
-TOP SECRET
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Nue `41o#
3. POSSIBLE SOVIET CENTRAL COMMITTEE MEETING
Comment on:
There is increasing likelihood that the
Soviet party central committee will meet
sometime in the middle of December.
Alerting the central committee members
well in advance suggests that the topics for discussion would
be more routine than those considered in June and October.
Problems affecting the economy have not been brought to the
attention of the central committee since the beginning of the
year.
Indications of another central committee
session appear at a time when Khrushchev in his recent spate
of publicized interviews with foreigners is giving the impres-
sion of enjoying complete pre-eminence.
he still faces
significant opposition within the party. liecentiy, Bulganin has
been the subject of conflicting reports, some continuing to al-
lege that he will be replaced soon as premier.
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TOP- SECRET
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J. .IL.L.P.B../J. �
sow two
4. GOMULKA DISAPPOINTED IN TALKS WITH
MAO TSE-TUNG
Comment on:
During a three-hour bilateral talk
with Gomulka in Moscow, �Mao Tse-
tung took a "hard" line in favor of
Communist orthodoxy,
The Polish delegation
was deeply disappointed, and relations with the Chinese
Communists are now cool,
In his talks with Gomulka, Mao prob-
ably reiterated Peiping's warnings against tendencies in
Communist states toward modification of basic Marxist-
Leninist doctrine and toward the development of foreign
policies not in harmony with over-all bloc interests,
Early this year, Gomulka seemed to feel he would have
Peiping's support for a more independent line. This latest
report suggests that in discussions with Mao and other bloc
leaders he did not receive the degree of support he had ex-
pected.
27 Nov 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
-CONFIDENT-bit
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71-4 V JR. Mal. 7
Nakw, *le
5. SITUATION IN INDONESIA
Comment on:
The opening of the national develop-
ment conference in Djakarta on 25
November--the second attempt by the
central gOvernment to bring the regional
leader's into agreement�was markedby
the absence of any representative
from Central Sumatra, although dis-
sident leaders from other provinces
attended. Lt. Col. Hussein, military
commander of that area, was quoted as saying that further
discussions with Djakarta are useless as long as "funda-
mental questions" remain unsolved. Those questions are
known to involve greater autonomy for the provinces,
restoration of effective cooperation between Hatta and
Sukarno, and a settlement of "army problems." Hussein
and other Sumatran leaders had said earlier that regional
representatives in general would present stiff demands at
the conference and were prepared to torpedo the meeting,
which they foresaw as ineffective at best and potentially
harmful to their interests.
The conference is meeting in an atmos-
phere made tense by the government's continuing efforts to
arouse national feeling over the West Irian issue. With the
vote in the UN General Assembly approaching, President
Sukarno has just reiterated to Ambassador Allison that
Indonesia would have to take some action if its national de-
sires are not recognized in some manner by either the UN
or the Dutch. He asserted that this action would take the
form of "moral violence, perhaps economic violence, but
not physical violence." Sukarno told Allison that "only
America can really help�don't throw away the ball to the
Russians."
Despite reports that he is becoming
worried by the growth of Communist strength and influence
in Indonesia, Sukarno does not yet appear willing or able to
foresake Communist support.
27 Nov 57
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CONFIDENTIAL
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LALJ.L IL 1.1151:2.11 1 _IL 1..e31.1.4
1%04 ViiO4
6. INDIA SEES FOOD GRAIN IMPORTS OF 3,000,000 TONS
ANNUALLY OVER NEXT FEW YEARS
Comment on:
An Indian food grain inquiry com-
mittee reported to parliament on 19
November that India probably will
have to import up to 3,000,000 tons
of food grains annually for the next
few years to make up its shortage be-
tween supply and demand and to raise
reserve stocks from 1,500,000 to
2,000,000 tons. Such imports would require an outlay of
about $300,000,000 in foreign exchange each year.
Noting that food grain production would
probably increase by only 10,300,000 tons instead of the
planned 15,500,000 during the Second Five-Year Plan period
(1956-61), the committee estimated that by 1961 produc-
tion would be 77,000,000 tons while the demand--spurred
by development expenditures and increased consumption--
would reach 79,000,000 tons. The committee also noted
that existing stockpiles had been insufficient to meet emer-
gency needs. Furthermore, it found that per capita con-
sumption per day had declined from 18.1 ounces in 1954 to
17.1 in 1956, and it expected that 1957 figure to be about
the same as in 1956. Since harvests in 1955 and 1956 were
good, the annual population increase of 5,000,000 persons
is presumably responsible for this drop.
27 Nov 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8
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L.4�....1 11 1.11.11-11 v .a.
**11104
7. TURKISH CABINET FORMED AFTER
MONTH DELAY
Comment on:
The membership of the Turkish
cabinet announced on 25 November
indicates that Prime Minister Men-
deres has emerged from his intra-
party struggle over government policy and personalities
with his control somewhat shaken. Both the government
and opposition parties have grievances carrying over
from the October elections and are apparently ready for
a showdown concerning their future roles.
The new cabinet contains two thirds
of the previous ministers and includes the controversial
Fatin Rustu Zorlu as minister of foreign affairs. Fevzi
Deaner, at one time commander of the Turkish air force,
was the only former top-level military leader to receive
cabinet appointment.
If opposition criticism intensifies,
Menderes and other extremists in his party may under-
take drastic measures against the press and the political
opposition.
27 Nov 57
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