CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/04/10

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03176572
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: April 10, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 C03176572
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SECURI NFORMATION
10 April 1952
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
SECU INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Communist BW propaganda campaign
FAR EAST
2. Philippine Defense Secretary may recommend declaration of
martial law (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
3. United Nations Representative suggests continuance of Kashmir
negotiations (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Anglo-Egyptian negotiations near breaking point over Sudan issue
(page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Comment on prospects for all-German elections (page 6).
LA TIN AMERICA
6. Comment on Bolivian revolt (page 6).
7. Strike of Chilean copper workers regarded as inevitable (page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Communist BW propaganda campaign
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Comment: Moscow's attention to BW stil is
second only to the World Economic Conference. Although the BW campaign
continues to be a major Communist propaganda theme, this decline possibly
reflects a shift to routine methods of prolonging such a campaign. Eastern
European Satellite output reveals that bacteriological warfare is now being
treated in the broader context of Western imperialism, and reports from
the Far East show that the violence of the charges remains unchanged.
FAR EAST
2. Philippine Defense Secretary may recommend declaration of martial law:
/Defense Secretary Magsaysay,
may ask President Quirino to declare
martial law. Magsayay
as "disturbed by efforts of House Speaker Perez to weaken the Philippine
Army and by congressional compliance with Perez' directives."
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Comment: Magsaysay, apparently sincerely,
has denied any desire for dictatorial power. The imposition of martial
law would enable him to move legally against corrupt individuals and
political groups.
SOUTH ASIA
3. United Nations Representative suggests continuance of Kashmir negotiations:
United Nations Representative Graham has 113.3(h)(2)
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formed the Indian and Pakistani Governments
that he expects to submit his report on Kashmir
to the Security Council on 15 ApriL
The report advocates that both parties continue
the negotiations. It states that agreement on matters of demilitarization
has reached a point where further discussions on the subject can be merged
with those preparing the way for a plebiscite. Graham, therefore, recom-
mends that the plebiscite administrator-designate, Admiral Nimitz, should
participate in any future negotiations.
In conversation with the American delegation to
the United Nations, Graham remarked that India's recent decision to with-
draw a division of troops from Kashmir had brought the demilitarization
problem to its final phase. He felt that by suggesting that Admiral Nimitz
be brought in, he had found a device to keep negotiations going. He was
not confident of eventual success, however, and he has no intention of
raising an alternative solution such as partition at the present time.
,Comment: Even if Graham's suggestions are
accepted by both India and Pakistan, the problems likely to arise in pre-
paring the way for a plebiscite are as knotty as those which have appeared
in the past, and are equally uncertain of solution.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Anglo-Egyptian negotiations near breaking point over Sudan issue:
British Foreign Secretary Eden has instructed 3.3(h)(2)
%the Ambassador in Cairo to use all the force at
flits command to convince Egypt that Britain will
not recognize Farouk as King of the Sudan with-
out consulting the Sudanese, and that it is pre-
pared to let the negotiations break down on this
point. Egypt is also to be informed that each
day of delay lessens its chances of influencing
events in the Sudan.
The Ambassador is to stress to the Egyptian
Prime Minister, and if necessary to the King,
that Egypt need not now commit itself on the new constitution, but should
join with Britain in immediately setting up an international commission to
supervise Sudanese elections. Defense discussions could then proceed
simultaneously.
Meanwhile, a joint declaration, generally ac-
ceptable to the British Foreign Office, has been worked out in Cairo between
the British Ambassador and the Egyptian Foreign Minister. According to
the American Ambassador in Cairo, the agreed text is premised on the
suspension by the Governor General of the Sudan of his efforts to institute
a new constitution.
The British Ambassador in Cairo expects that
after he meets in London with the Governor General of the Sudan and
Eden, the latter will visit Cairo and Khartoum,
un ess progress can Is on y a
ma er o ays un 'r me ister Hilali will break off discussions wit3.3(h)(2)
the British.
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WESTERN EUROPE
Comment on prospects for all-German elections:
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The United States High Commissioner's office
in Berlin sees new indications in the Berlin Soviet-licensed press that
the USSR may propose a four-power commission to control all-German
elections. Taegliche Rundschau, official Soviet organ, gave front-page
coverage to a speech by Max Heimann, West German Communist, approving
four-power control, and to two unofficial proposals from West German
groups calling for the same thing.
These reports could also foreshadow Soviet
support of any new East German proposals for supervised elections, or
they might simply be part of the standard Soviet propaganda procedure of
showing alleged Allied interference with West German desires for unifi-
cation.
If a Soviet proposal should be made, the West
German Government is not likely to be impressed by the idea of four-power
supervision. This suggestion, which implies a Soviet veto power over
election procedures, was rejected last fall by Bonn when it was offered by
the East German Government,
LATIN AMERICA
6. Comment on Bolivian revolt:
The revolt of the Nationalist Revolutionary
Movement against the Bolivian Government is being directed by Hernan
Siles Suazo, Executive Director of the Movement, General Seleme,
Minister of Government and commander of the police, and General Torres
Ortiz, Commander in Chief of the Army.
The Movement, which has been agitating for
revolt against the governing junta since the May 1951 elections, has been
aided by a growing rift in the army and widespread dissatisfaction with
the economic situation.
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General Torres, who has just returned from a
tour of military units, apparently believes that he has sufficient support
for a successful revolution. Until now, he has helped resist Movement
efforts to oust the junta by force, because he favored the Movement's
return to power through peaceful elections. Late last month a pro-US
military group demanded that Torres be removed; this and the lack of
elections may have prompted him to act at this time.
The Movement, which is strongly anti-US, has
the support of the small Communist Party. Its program calls for a labor-
type government, nationalization of the tin mines, and higher prices for
tin. General Seleme, an opportunist, reportedly favors a Peron-type
government, and Paz Estenssoro, the Movement's leader in exile in
Argentina, reportedly was promised arms from Peron.
7. Strike of Chilean copper workers regarded as inevitable:
3.3(h)(2)
.1qanuel Ovalle, president of the Chilean Copper
Workers Confederation, regards a copper strike
at the Anaconda and Braden mines as inevitable.
According to him, the companies have made no
counterproposal, and have indicated that they cannot grant any further pay
increases unless the government grants them preferential exchange treat-
ment.
President Gonzalez Videla has stated that the
government will fulfill its agreement with the companies by sending the
new copper exchange and tax reform bill to Congress; but he has also
said that the companies could pay for the wage increase out of current
profits. Ovalle believes that it will be absolutely impossible to secure
approval of this legislation.
Comment: The strike, now scheduled for
25 April, would involve the three important American-operated mining
properties which account for about 95 percent of Chilean copper production
or approximately 360,000 metric tons a year.
The Chilean Government's policy on copper has
been under attack by all elements of the opposition. The US Embassy
commented last month that approval of the new legislation "appears to be
a remote possibility in this highly volatile pre-election atmosphere."
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