CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/03/23

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03176569
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: March 23, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
.23 March 1952
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMAR,Y
GENERAL
1. French views on Kremlin BW campaign (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
2. New Communist program for India and East Pakistan (page 3).
3. Comment on the death of the Ceylonese Prime Minister (page 4).
NEAR EAST-AFRICA
4. Jordan-Syria rapprochement isolates Iraq (page 5).
5. Political crisis in South Africa precipitated by court ruling (page 5).
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GENERAL
1. French views on Kremlin BW campaign:
that the Communist campaign against the alleged
American biological warfare in Korea is part
of the USSR's strategy to continue the present
stalemate in Korea, rather than an indication
of an impending rupture of the armistice negotiations. Moreover, ac-
cording to the Charge, a specific aim of Moscow and Peiping is to convince
the peoples of Asia that the BW charges are true.
Lstat the United States is resignea to maintaining the Korean conflict in a of suspension for lack of power to impose a settlement. Consequently
the Soviet Union must urge the Chinese to join in respecting the status quo
in Korea and look to the southeast where expansion involves less risk.
The ultimate Kremlin strategy, is to use the Korean
impasse as a trump card to force the three Western powers to accept a
compromise in Europe or Asia.
Comment:
current Communist tactics are designed to delay
the Korean talks. / I the Kremlin hopes to force the
United States to keep a large part of its available military force in Asia,
and to use the time to aggravate the threat to Indochina in the hope of in-
ducing Washington to accept five-power discussions on Far Eastern affairs.
SOUTH ASIA
2. New Communist program for India and East Pakistan:
The Indian Communist leader, S. A. Dange,
received new instructions in
February for the Communist program in India,
ding to
The instructions were presumably
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based on the possibility of an outbreak of war between the USSR and the
West, with India and Pakistan maintaining "hostile neutrality" towards
the Soviet Union.
are:
Some of the highlights of the program reportedly
Communist Party activity is to be concentrated in eastern
India and in East Pakistan, which have been selected for joint Indian-
Pakistani guerrilla activity.
The agrarian campaign is to be limited to areas where
the peasantry is experienced in militant resistance or where the Indian
Government lacks military control.
United Front tactics in state assemblies, especially in
South India where the Communist Party has recently won sizeable repre-
sentation.
Reorganization of cells in transport, war production and
dock industries.
Comment:
obvious objectives of the Indian Communist 'arty, particularly in the light
of Communist successes in the elections in South India. Proposed guer-
rilla activities in the areas adjacent to Burma and Tibet were reported to
be Communist objectives as early as March 1951.
3. Comment on the death of the Ceylonese Prime Minister:
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Prime Minister Senanayake's death removes
from South Asia one of the West's staunch friends, making possible the
development of the latent political trends unfavorable to American interests.
Since the present Ceylonese government was
held together largely by the strong hand of the Prime Minister, his death may
leave the balance of power in the hands of small splinter groups. While
the Prime Minister's son, now Minister of Agriculture,is a likely suc-
cessor, other able but opportunistic and unreliable leaders will try to take
over and, if unsuccessful, may be expected to head strong opposition groups.
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The Communists in Ceylon, although split into
� three parties, have an exceedingly vocal representation in Parliament,
and may be expected to maneuver for more power.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
49 Jordan-Syria rapprochement isolates Iraq:
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Top Syrian officials have concluded an extremely
cordial three-day visit in Jordan. The Syrian
Chief of State, Fawzi Selo, credited Jordan's
King Talal with bringing about this new friendli-
ness between their two states as well as that between Jordan and Saudi
Arabia. It is generally believed that Jordan and Syria will soon establish
diplomatic relations and negotiate trade agreements,
Comment: This visit highlights the re-
alignment of the Arab states that has been taking place since the assassi-
nation of Jordan's King Abdullah on July 18, 1951.
Jordan and Iraq, once bound closely by
Abdullah's dream of a Hashemite dynasty in the Near East, are now
split because Abdullah's successor abandoned this ambition. Jordan's
rapprochement with Syria on the north, following that with Saudi Arabia
on the south, now leaves Iraq isolated.
Iraq's Prime Minister, moreover, is reported
to be dissatisfied with the Arab League; this attitude will further alienate
Egypt, which actively sponsors the League.
5. Political crisis in South Africa precipitated by court ruling:
A tense atmosphere in Capetown is reported
by the American Embassy, following Prime
Minister Malan's indication that he will try
by parliamentary means to reverse the Supreme
Court's 20 March ruling that a law placing mixed-breed voters on a sepa-
rate electoral role is invalid.
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Comment: Malan had earlier told a political
Intimate that this case, which involves the government's racial segregation
program, was the most serious political issue in his country's history.
�Action against the court by the Nationalist government, on the other hand,
would add to the fears of the large English-speaking minority that without
such judicial protection its own constitutional rights might be imperiled.
The crisis arises on the eve of the nationwide
demonstrations by non-Europeans scheduled for 6 April in protest against
the Nationalists' segregation policies.
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