CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/10/18

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03175562
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: October 18, 1956

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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
18 October 1956
Copy No.
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OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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CONTENTS
1. IRAQ DELAYS DECISION ON SENDING TROOPS AND
SUPPLIES INTO JORDAN (page 3).
2. IMMINENT WITHDRAWAL OF SOVIET TROOPS FROM
HUNGARY REPORTED (page 4).
3. SOUTH KOREANS CAPTURE NINE CHINESE COMMUNIST
FISHERMEN (page 5).
4. JAPANESE FOREIGN MINISTRY EXPECTS EARLY
RESTIMPTION OF RELATIONS WITH SATELLITES
(page 6).
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
I (page 7)
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
(page 9)
18 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
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Nueormail Nwpw
1. IRAQ DELAYS DECISION ON SENDING TROOPS AND
SUPPLIES INTO JORDAN
No movement of Iraqi troops or supplies
of any kind into Jordan will be undertaken
at present, Iraqi prime minister Nuni
Said told Ambassador Gallman on 17 Oc-
tober. As a result of the talks between an Iraqi mission to
Amman and the Jordanian government which ended on 16 Oc-
tober, Iraq will consider action only after its Council of
Ministers has received and considered a resolution from the
Jordanian cabinet requesting that Iraq station at least one
infantry division and a light artillery brigade close to Jordan's
border. These forces would enter Jordan only in case of
aggression, as provided for by treaty. Iraq had declined,
Nun i said, Jordan's request that Iraq and Britain base air-
craft at Mafraq in north Jordan.
Nun i added that the problem of the com-
mand of forces must also be settled before his troops could
move into Jordan, and indicated that Jordanian commitments
to Syria providing for a "joint command" were an additional
obstacle.
Comment Despite his desire to extend Iraq's influ-
ence in Jordan while Egypt is preoccupied
with Suez, Nun i remains reluctant to provoke an Israeli at-
tack. He has apparently been deterred by strong pressure
from Israel, Egypt, Syria, and France.
18/Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
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2, IMMINENT WITHDRAWAL OF SOVIET TROOPS FROM
HUNGARY REPORTED
the USSR will
withdraw its troops from Hungary be-
fore the end of this year, and that un-
specified Soviet conditions for such a withdrawal have been
accepted by Hungary,
Soviet forces allegedly have begun
to crate equipment and make other preparations for de-
parture. A Hungarian official reportedly has stated that
the USSR intends to retain only two "military bases" in
Hungary.
Comment The conclusion of the Austrian state
treaty in May 1955 removed the legal
basis for the retention of troops in Hungary and Rumania.
The removal of the approximately 27,000
Soviet troops now stationed in Hungary would support pre-
vious indications that the USSR is adopting a policy which
would significantly reduce evidence of its control in at
least some of the Satellites. Nationally oriented Hungarian
Communist elements, who may now wield the dominant in-
fluence in the party, are undoubtedly pushing for the re-
moval or reduction of Soviet forces.
18 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
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3. SOUTH KOREANS CAPTURE NINE CHINESE
COMMUNIST FISHERMEN
A South Korean coast guard vessel cap-
tured nine Chinese Communist fishermen
that it had taken the men off a captured Chinese fishing vessel
about 100 miles southwest of Cheju Island, just inside the
"Rhee line," but had abandoned the ship when "several strange
vessels approached."
Comment Although China does not recognize the
Rhee line, South Korea imprisons alien
fishermen apprehended inside it. Peiping reacted strongly
to a similar encounter in December 1955, and South Korea
can be expected to exploit the present incident to promote
tension with the Chinese.
18 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
SECRET
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4. JAPANESE FOREIGN MINISTRY EXPECTS EARLY
RESUMPTION OF RELATIONS WITH SATELLITES
Japanese Foreign Ministry officials
have indicated
that the restoration of relations
with the USSR will open the way for the
early resumption of relations with the
European Satellites. Poland,
Czechoslovakia and I-ungary have already approached Japan,
and that only the advances of East Germany will be refused.
Comment In response to previous Satellite ap-
proaches, the first of which was made
by Poland in December 1954, Tokyo maintained that rela-
tions must first be re-established with the USSR. Japan
probably considers Satellite ties valuable primarily as a
means of demonstrating that it is an independent nation in
the international community.
While the restoration of relations will
facilitate trade, strategic trade controls and Japan's lack
of interest in most Satellite products restrict commercial
exchanges. Triangular trade deals, however, may aid in
expanding the limited prospects for Satellite trade.
18 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
TOP-SECRET
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THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 17 October)
Israel has called up additional reserve
units and personnel, although probably not in large numbers,
. Israel
also barred UN Truce Supervisory Organi-
zation observers from the area immediately southwest of Lake
�Tiberias, which is opposite the junction of the Syrian and Jor-
danian borders. Israeli reinforcement of the Northern Command
was reported previOusly.
The Iraqi-Jordanian talks in Amman
were "successful," except for the question of command
of the joint military forces,
It was decided that an Iraqi brigade would be
sent "soon" into Jordan to Mafraq and Salt, north and west of
Amman in East Jordan. Supply points would be established at
these two locations, and at H-4 and H-5 pumping stations on the
Kirkuk pipeline. The remaining elements of an Iraqi division
would subsequently move in stages to H-3 pumping station, 40
miles from the Jordan border in western Iraq. A Syrian "ar-
mored brigade" would be stationed in Dera. immediately north
of the Jordan border.
Iraqi prime minister Nun., meanwhile, ad-
vised the American ambassador on 16 October that he had not
fixed a new date for entry of Iraqi troops into Jordan, and would
not do so until he had studied the report of the Iraqi Mission which
had just returned from Amman. If Iraqi troops entered Jordan,
Nun i wished to have established a "joint headquarters command"
as a device to keep command of Iraqi troops in Iraqi hands. Also,
prior to the Iraqi movement Nun i wanted definite information on
what, if anything, had been agreed on by Jordan, Egypt and
Syria with respect to a "joint command."
�
Possible Egyptian and Syrian efforts to fore-
stall e Iraqis by concluding a "joint command" agreement with
18 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
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*up.iso'
Jordan may be indicated
18 Oct 56
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SooIS Ners0
BIWEEKLY SUMMARY
(4 October-17 October 1956)
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group
for the Taiwan Strait Problem
1. There were no significant combat operations in the
area during the period.
2. The Chinese Communists in recent weeks have re-
iterated Peiping's willingness to negotiate a Taiwan settle-
ment with the Nationalists. Chou En-lai has been quoted as
stating that Chiang Kai-shek would be permitted to remain,
on Taiwan and retain his armed forces under Communist
control. In another interview, Chou professed confidence
that Chiang was "willing to concede:' The Chinese National-
ists state they have rejected a recent covert Communist
overture for negotiations made through Hong Kong.
Peiping intends "to open negotiations" with
Washington for a settlement of the Taiwan question after the
American elections.
18 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
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TAIWAN STRAIT SITUATION
17 OCTOBER 1956
CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND:
DESIGNATIONS
PRIMARY AIRFIELD
CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN
AREA WITH PREPARED RUNWAY
GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER.
SECONDARY AIRFIELD
AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY BASES
OR FIELDS OF LESSER IMPORTANCE
RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN
5000 FEET.
ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY 8. CIVILIAN AIR-
CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES
MAY BE USABLE BY JETS
INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
� OPERATIONAL
� SERVICEABLE
CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED
UNKNOWN
USABILITY
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* FIELDS NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE
IF SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPER-
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HAUT ICAL MILES
5,0 100
170
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STATUTE MILES
Railroad
Under construction or projected
KTNATIONALIST AIRFIELD
Primary roads
Secondary roads
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