CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/11/24
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Publication Date:
November 24, 1960
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24 November 1960
Copy No. C 75
CENTRAL
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(cV
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
IHNIIIMMENT NO. 3/
Ma IINANCIE IN CLASS. PC
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24 NOVEMBER 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Pravda editorial reiterating Soviet posi-
tion indicates continuing inability to re-
solve Sino-Soviet dispute.
Incidents on Tibet-Sikkim border, alleg-
edly involving sniping by Chinese troops,
to further exacerbate Sino-Indian rela-
tions, but probably not deliberately engi-
neered by Peiping.
Vietnamese Communists receive belated
orders to exploit "advantageous" situa-
tion in South Vietnam following the abor-
tive 11 November coup against Diem.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Situation in Laos.
Thailand--Premier Sarit investigating
wave of coup rumors.
UAR--Unprecedented display of Syrian
friendliness toward the US may reflect
a desire for US economic aid.
III. THE WEST
0 Appointment of new top French civil of-
ficials in Algeria expected to stiffen
rightist opposition there; civil "total
disobedience" being planned.
0 Haiti--Student strike does not now
threaten regime; drastic police action,
however, could lead to widespread ri-
oting.
Bolivian President claims he will hand
over presidency to vice president--a
leftist labor leader--if US economic aid
is not granted.
�m_arl,r n i-t r Jr+ or+
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
24 November 1960
DAILY BRIEF
VA
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-China: In apparent reply to the 21 November
Peoples Daily editorial which presented the familiar
Chinese arguments in the Sino-Soviet dispute, Pravda
on 23 November also editorialized on the declaration
which followed the meeting of bloc leaders in 1957. It
selected for emphasis, however, those aspects of the
declaration�for example, on peaceful coexistence and
the preventability of war= which correspond to present
Soviet positions. This continuation of open discussion
between the Soviet and Chinese parties while international
Communist leaders are still meeting in Moscow indicates
that they have been unable to resolve their disagreements
and suggests that they have found it difficult to formulate
a communique which will satisfy both parties. The mod-
erate tone of the Pravda editorial, however, would appear
to presage the probable nature of any communique which
may result�one placing heaviest emphasis on the majority
Soviet view but so worded that the Chinese can sign it and
continue to claim that their views are valid.
cNCommunist China - India: Relations between Peiping
n ew Delhi will be further exacerbated by several re-
ent incidents in which Indian soldiers were killed or wound=
d on the Tibet-Sikkim border, allegedly by Chinese Com-
unist snipers. Peiping has been pressing New Delhi for
ubstantive border negotiations, and it seems unlikely that
the incidents represent a premeditated effort by Peiping to
precipitate new clashes with the Indians. Chinese troops
are in the area, however, probably attempting to check the
re-entry of Tibetan rebels gathered in Sikkim. New Delhi,
apprehensive about its defense position in Sikkim, has re-
cently augmented and alerted Indian troops in the area:1
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North - South Vietnam:
the Communists were slow to react to the 11 No-
vember attempt against President Diem and still were not
clear on some details nine days later, they indicate that the
Communists now hope to capitalize on the post-coup situa-
tion. North
Vietnamese interpret the coup as symptomatic of
the difficulties besetting Diem and the resulting situation as
"very advantageous for us," call for political agitation to ex-
ploit dissension in the South, and repeat orders for political
assassination of "cruel individuals!' In addition
help be given the escaping participants in the coup--some
of whom may still be at large--in the hope that they might be
useful in the Communist effort to create a united front of ele-
ments dedicated to ousting Diem.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
*Laos: A mixed force of troops under the control of Souvanna
Phouma and the Pathet Lao, consisting of more than six com-
panies, is reported to be advancing along routes leading to Lu-
ang Prabang. One column evidently departed from Muong Kassy
on 23 November, followed by .a larger force on 24 November.
Luang Prabang is some 55 miles distant from Muong Kassy,
over difficult country, and an unopposed route march might re-
quire three or four days.
On 22 November mil-
itary headquarters in Savannakhet ordered the pro-Phoumi force
in Luang Prabang to organize the perimeter defenses of the town,
including guerrilla activity in the surrounding vicinity. Also
Phoumi- controlled forces were ordered to commence pressure
operations against Vientiane.
Souvanna Phouma, while denying to the American ambas-
sador that he has actually given an order to attack Luang Prabang,
has been active on other fronts. On 23 November he announced
that within three or four days, the Soviet Union would begin
airlifting food and gasoline to Vientiane via Hanoi. On the
same day, his government made a formal request to the Amer-
ican ambassador in Vientiane that the United States immediately
cease all aid to General Phoumi's Savannakhet regime.
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Souvanna
is considering either an appeal for UN intervention or the return
of the International Control Commission if the United States
does not cease its support of Phoumi.
the UK, as co-chairman
of the 1954 Geneva truce conference, had previously objected
to the return of the ICC on the grounds that the Laotian Gov-
ernment was opposed; if Souvanna should now reverse this po-
sition, the UK might find it difficult to continue its opposition.
Hanoi and Peiping have seized on Vientiane's 16 November
statement that it would seek closer ties with Hanoi and Peiping.
North Vietnam on 19 November invited a Laotian delegation to
visit Hanoi and discuss "cooperation and mutual aid" proposals.
Souvanna Phouma's reply,
agreed to "barter goods at our common frontier" but did not
respond to Hanoi's invitation to send a delegation. An official
Chinese Communist statement on 20 November "warmly wel-
comed" the Vientiane statement on improving relations and
said that Peiping "is prepared to take corresponding measures."
Thailand: Many coup rumors, of varying plausibility,
are again circulating in Bangkok. The possible participants
in such a move and their motivations are by no means clear.
Premier. Sarit, however, is reliably reported to be consider-
ably concerned over the recent rash of reports and to be ac-
tively investigating them.
UAR: Syrian officials are displaying an attitude of friend-
ly cooperation toward Americans unprecedented in recent years.
The Syrians appear to be taking their lead from Syrian Execu-
tive Council President Sarraj, whose recent show of warmth is
in marked contrast to his previously hostile, anti-US behavior.
Sarraj, now apparently undisputed boss of Syria, has assumed
responsibility for reviving Syria's sagging economy and may
24 Nov 60
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be counting heavily on American assistance.
ILL THE WEST
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France-Algeria: Rightist opposition to De Gaulle's Al-
� gerian policy will probably be further consolidated by his
� appointment of the relatively liberal Louis Joxe as minister
of Algerian affairs, and the selection of Jean Morin as new
delegate general in Algeria. Morin is a tough administrator
� apparently picked for his effectiveness in handling the prin-
cipal area of rightist concentration in France. There are
� Indications that the Front for French Algeria (FAF) is plan-
ning "total disobedience" to paralyze all government services
and force the army to take over in Algeria. The government
is alert to this possibility as well as to reported plans of Gen-
� eral Salan to return clandestinely to Algeria where FAF lead-
ers are said to expect him to lead such activities.
� Haiti: The regime does not appear immediately threat-
ened by the student strike that led it to impose martial law
�throughout Haiti on 22 November. However, drastic police
action against the students, likely should there be public dem-
onstrations, could cause a sudden swelling of antigovernment
feeling and even widespread rioting threatening the govern-
ment. President Duvalier's opponents are diverse and poorly
organized, but the President is unpopular, particularly in the
capital. The primary motivation for the strike is probably re-
sentment over the President's refusal to free a student leader
jailed without charges for some weeks.
Bolivia: President Paz has told US Ambassador Strom
he may hand over the presidency "this week" to Vice Pres-
ident Juan Lechin--Bolivia's leftist labor leader who has of-
ten displayed an anti-US attitude =if US aid to meet pressing
economic problems is not granted. Paz' difficulties are in-
tensified by a pronounced pro-Communist, leftist drift in re-
cent months, widespread labor and peasant unrest, serious
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violence in the Department of Cochabamba this month, and
increasing pressure on the bankrupt government to accept
bloc offers of aid. Strom believes that Paz' position is grave-
ly threatened.
IV. SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding week)
Prospects for the Republic of Korea Over the Next Few
Years: Likely Future of Chang Government and Leftward
Trends, Economic Stability, and Foreign Policy, Especially
Toward the US and Japan, Present and Future Status of Armed
Forces. NIE 42.1-2-60. 22 November 1960.
24 Nov 60
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CONUIDEN1.1AL
*we' time
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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