CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/11/22

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03172672
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: March 17, 2020
• Document Release Date: March 26, 2020
• Publication Date: November 22, 1960

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22 November 1960
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22 NOVEMBER 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Peiping press reiterates hard line on is-
sues involved in Sino-Soviet dispute as
Moscow meetings continue.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Ethiopia--Dissatisfied officers of 6,000-
man Imperial Bodyguard threaten revolt
over pay and discriminatory treatment.
Sudan--UAR President Nasir received
enthusiastically during Khartoum visit;
Sudanese political groups expected to
petition for return of civil government
following Nasir's departure.
i
Japan--Election victory of Ikeda's Lib-
eral Democrats not viewed as popular
mandate for pro-American policies;
Democratic Socialist losses dim hopes
for a moderate opposition party.
Antigovernment feeling in Algeria may
lead to major demonstrations in Algiers,
possibly even an early coup attempt.
Situation in Laos.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
22 November 1960
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China - USSR: After almost two weeks of
high-level meetings in Moscow, Peiping continues to re-
iterate several basic Chinese positions in the Sino-Soviet
controversy. A strong People's Daily editorial of 21 No-
vember uses the declaration iFiEr Fonclueled similanmeet-
ings in 1957 to elaborate on Mao's "correct" assessment of
the need for force in the present world situation. It implicit-
ly criticizes Soviet overestimation of the strength of the im-
perialists, cites the continuing possibility of war, and em-
phasizes the danger from Communism's "main" enemy--
revisionism. The appearance of this editorial while the
meetings in Moscow are still under way suggests that the
sessions have been prolonged by continued Chinese determi-
nation to get some of Peiping's hard-line views incorporated
in the final communique. (Page 1)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Ethiopiaaiscontent is widespread in the officer corps
of the Imperial Bodyguard organization�Ethiopia's 6,000-
man elite military unit--and at a meeting on 17 November
officers threatened to revolt against the Emperor because
of grievances over low pay,
The Emperor is known to be concerned
about discontent within the Bodyguard and can be expected
to take early remedial action. On a previous occasion he met
Bodyguard unrest by granting a bonus. The officers' dissen-
sion, however, also arises from alleged preferential treat-
ment accorded other officer groups and may result in anti-
regime activities if their complaints are not mef7
(Page 2)
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� Sudan: CUAR President Nasir, in the Sudan on a ten-
day visit which will end on 25 November, has been greeted
with considerable popular enthusiasm. Khartoum univer-
sity students attempted anti-N asir demonstrations but were
restricted to the university grounds and whipped by the po- ee_
ice. Action by larger opposition groups to take advantage of
e visit to demonstrate against the regime apparently has
een inhibited by extraordinary security precautions and a show --//,
rThf e:ill the 17 November anniversary parade. (
However,
a coalition ot a number of leaders of the major
political parties intends, after Nasir's departure, to pre-
sent the Abboud military government with a formal demand
for the reconstitution of civilian government and "the return
of fhp army fn +ha 11Q voy"-Artlro
lc
party in Ibe election on 20 November halted a steady de-
cline since 1952 in the conservative representation in the
lower, more powerful house of parliament. However, re-
sults of the election, which was marked by the lowest per-
centage of voter participation since 1947, reflect traditional (0
voting patterns, satisfaction with present economic prosper-
ity, and the improved efficiency of party organization rather
than a strong mandate for Japan's pro-Western alignment.
There was an increase, moreover, in the percentage of the
popular vote received by the three parties which opposed the
US-Japanese security arrangement. Prospects for a mod-
erate opposition party in the near future dimmed as the
Democratic Socialists lost heavily and the radical Social-
ists gained. The Communists made a slight gain in popular
vote and incrased their parlIamentary representation from
one to three. (Page 3)
22 Nov 60
DAILY BEEF ii
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*France-Algeria Reflecting the growing antigovern- 69
ment feeling in Algeria is a report
of major demonstra- �
dons, and possibly even a coup attempt, to occur in Al-
giers, perhaps as early as 22 November.
the principal settler organization, the Front
for French Algeria, will precipitate a vast demonstra-
tion and that the army will remain neutral. The govern-
ment, which appears to be well informed concerning right-,
1st plotting, rushed important security police reinforce- -
ments to Algeria last week. Reports of De Gaulle's recent
soundings of army attitudes in Algeria indicate strong op-
position to his use of the term "Algerian Republic" in his
4 November speech; the reports also suggest that, although
the army would not initiate a move against De Gaulle, an
"activist" minority might swing the remainder into support,,Z,
of the settlers in the event that violence got beyond the con-_,_42_,
trol of the security police.
(Page 4)
*Laos:
about 400 Vientiane troops, including two
companies of Kong Le's Second Paratroop Battalion, left by
truck for Luang Prabang late on 20 November for an attack
ese mops were o o
route north by an approximately equal number of Pathet Lao
troops. The commander of one of the columns in the attacking
force is said to be sympathetic to General Phoumi's Savannakhet
group and to be planning if possible to ambush a Pathet Lao
company in his column during the operation. The report stated
further that a departure base for the attack on Luang Prabang
will be established at Muong Kassy, a town about 55 miles
south of Luang Prabang on the road between Vientiane and the
royal capital. The report contained no scheduled time for an
attack.
22 Nov 60
DAILY BRIEF iii
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LAJINT ILILIN 1 1AL
Noie
Peiping Remains Firm on Issues in Disputerith Moscow
After almost two weeks of meetings attended by world
Communist leaders in Moscow to resolve the Sino-Soviet dis-
pute, Peiping continues publicly to reiterate several basic
Chinese positions in the controversy. Using conclusions
reached at a similar meeting of Communist parties in 1957
to support its arguments, a strong People's Daily editorial
of 21 November elaborates on Mao's "correct" assessment
of the need for a militant revolutionary line in the present
world situation, implicitly criticizes Soviet overestimation
of the strength of the imperialists, cites the continuing
possibility of war, and emphasizes the danger from Com-
munism's "main" enemy�revisionism.
Continuing what has become the central issue of the
controversy in recent weeks, the editorial argues in effect
that revolutionary methods must be promoted in any strug-
gle for peace. In developing this thesis, the editorial de-
clares that the balance of forces now is favorable for force-
ful seizure of power and that any view that overestimates
the strength of the imperialists and underestimates the
strength of the people is incorrect. Attacking the revision-
ists for having "deliberately stood things on their heads,"
the editorial argues that world peace can be guaranteed only
be waging a joint struggle of all "peace" forces against the
imperialists.
In direct contrast to these Chinese views, Soviet propa=
ganda emphasizes the possibilities that socialism, under
present conditions, may be achieved by peaceful means. As
a prerequisite to such a peaceful transition, the USSR calls
for the formation of a broad "democratic" alliance with
nonproletarian and even bourgeois elements.
In a direct appeal to traditional Communist views, the
Chinese editorial declares in conclusion that the "revolu-
tionary spirit" is the "soul" of Marxism-Leninism and that
to follow the revisionists is to "emasculate" this spirit. Ap-
pearing as it does While the meetings in Moscow are still
under way, the editorial suggests that the sessions have been
prolonged by Peiping's continued determination to get some
of its hard-line views incorporated in the final communique.
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Nov
Discontent Reported in Elite Ethiopian Military Force
The widespread discontent in the elite Ethiopian Imperial
Bodyguard was shown at an officers' meeting on 17 NoVember
when there was a threat to revolt against Emperor Haile
Selassie,
The officers reportedly are dissatisfied with the higher pay
granted to cadets graduating from the Harar Military Academy
than to officers of equivalent rank presently on duty. Although
the officers abandoned their immediate plan of action on the
urging of a high-ranking officer, they claim they will take over
the government if no action is taken on their case. They allege
that they are supported by some 800 former officers, as well as
by police officers who are only waiting to follow any action by
the Imperial Bodyguard,
LThe Emperor is known to be concerned about the dis-
content within the Bodyguard, which is the core of military
support for the government, and he is expected to take early
remedial action. Thus a revolt would appear unlikely at this
time. The officers' dissension, however, may result in anti-
regime activities if their complaints are not met. The Body-
guard is particularly formidable because it is well armed and
strategically placed in the Addis Ababa area.
Within the Ethiopian military establishment there is con-
siderable competition and ill feeling between the 6,000-man
Imperial Bodyguard and the 24,000-man army. There is also
friction within each service between older and usually poorly
trained officers and the younger men who have received edu-
cations abroad or in Ethiopia's few military academies, Al-
though pensioning off the over-age group would permit raising
the salaries of younger men, it would probably create polit-
ical difficulties for the Emperor by arousing the opposition of
Ethiopia's powerful traditional leaders, who have been allied
with the older officers
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3GLItt, I
Japanese rectorate Returns Conservatives
As a result of the election on 20 November, Japanese
Prime Minister Ikedals Liberal-Democratic party (LDP) has
halted a steady decline since 1952 in the conservative rep-
resentation in the lower, more powerful house of the parlia-
ment, winning 296 seats as compared with 287 in 1958. With
96 percent of the popular vote counted, however, the party
has failed to increase its popular vote over 1958.
Results of the election, which was marked by the lowest
percentage of voter participation (73. 5 percent) since 1947,
reflect traditional voting patterns, satisfaction with present
economic prosperity, and the improved efficiency of party
organization rather than a mandate for Japan's pro-Western
alignment. However, Toshio Tanaka, Socialist Diet member
present during the demonstration against American presiden-
tial press secretary Hagerty last June, and Tokutaro Kitamura,
a pro-Peiping conservative, were both defeated.
Prospects for a moderate opposition party in the near
future dimmed as the representation of the moderate Demo-
cratic Socialist party (DSP), running in its first national elec-
tion since it split from the Japanese Socialist party last Jan-
uary, fell from 40 to 17. Ikeda, who in an unprecedented
move before the election had urged voters to support the DSP
as a responsible opposition, interpreted the unexpectedly
severe setback as a mandate for a polarized political system.
DSP leaders, whose partyJnow. is threatened with extinction,
admitted they had suffered a serious defeat and called a pol-
icy meeting for 25 November to discuss the party's future.
There was an increase, however, in the percentage of
the popular vote received by the three opposition parties which
opposed the US-Japanese security treaty. The radical Social-
ists gained at the DSP's expense, winning 145 seats as com-
pared with the 122 they, held at the dissolution of the last Diet,
and the total. Socialist vote increased slightly over 1958. The
Communists, with 2.9 percent of the popular vote, won their
largest vote since 1949 and increased their parliamentary
representation from one to three.
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Major Antigovernment Demonstrations in Algiers
Possible Soon
Cid ajor antigovernment demonstrations--possibly even a
coup attempt�may be made in Algiers as early as 22 Novem-
ber.
the Front for French Algeria (FAF), the European
settler organization which claims a million members, will
precipitate a vast demonstration and the army will remain
neutral. Settler discontent has been smoldering, since, De.
Gaulle's reference to an "Algerian Republic" on 4 November
and since the 16 November announcement of an early referen-
dum on separate Algerian institutions. Although the FAF held
aloof from the Armistice Day rioting in Algiers and would prob-
ably prefer to have a coup attempt begin in metropolitan France,
it recently stated it would use illegal means if necessary to op-
pose the forthcoming referendum. k
Previous reports have suggested that some extremists be-
lieve that major violence or attacks on government installa-
tions by well-armed settlers could push matters to a point
where the army would feel obliged to side with them. The gov-
ernment, which appears to be well informed concerning right-
ist plotting, rushed important security police reinforcements
to Algeria last week. Reports of the recent soundings of army
attitudes in Algeria by Minister of title Armed Forces Messmer
and Chief of National Defense General Ely indicate strong oppo-
sition to De Gaulle's use of the term "Algerian Republic" in his
4 November speech, Although the reports suggested the army
would not initiate any move against De Gaulle, they raised the
possibility that an "activist" minority might swing the remain-
der into support of the settlers in the vent that violence got be-
yond the control of the security police.
22 Nov 60 rckiTD A I IkITCH Ift=k1rP Ri II I PTIKI Page 4
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COttIDLNTIAL
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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