CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/02/19

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03172470
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 19
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: February 19, 1958

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19 February 1958
Copy No.
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CEYTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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19 FEBRUARY 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Recent developments in western
Soviet Arctic raise possibility
of further nuclear testing in
Novaya Zemlya area.
Chinese Nationalist jet reconnaissance
plane attacked and probably shot down
by Chinese Communists near Dairen.
Pyongyang expected to use kidnaped
South Korean airliner as lever for
negotiations with South Korea.
LATE ITEM
Korea - Communists declare intention
to withdraw all Chinese troops from rz,
North Korea by end of 1958.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Iraq and Jordan-consider bringing
Kuwait into Arab Federation; Britain
will oppose.
0
King Saud orders moves to undermine
Imam of Yemen
Sudanese concerned over Nasir's
approach on border question.
0
0
Indonesia - Djakarta government
maintains uncompromising attitude
toward dissidents; outlaws dissidents',._,
political organizations.
III. THE WEST
Cyprus - Prospects for solution
remain slight.
Cuba - Army steps up campaign
against rebel units in eastern Cuba.
0
0
TOP SECRET
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
19 February 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet Arctic activity: Recent developments in the
western Soviet Arctic rare the possibility that a new
series of nuclear tests is being prepared. A Soviet
BEAR turboprop heavy
bomber recently flew from Kerch/Bagerovo (a nuclear
energy associated installation) to Novaya Zemlya. In
the past week, flights by five possible BADGERS from
Kerch to Olenya have been noted Olenya is the Kola
Peninsula location which served as the base for some
air activity associated with previous nuclear tests in
the Novaya Zemlya area,
(See map at top of reverse page.)
Chinese Nationalist aircraft shot down: A Chinese
Nationalist jet aircrair-w�a7,s apparently
attacked and probably shot down in waters near Dairen
by Communist fighters during a daylight mission.
the
Nationalist RB-57 was pursued by fighters for over an
hour as it flew an erratic course over the Shantung Penin-
sula.
Radar tracking ceased near Dairen, indicating a success-
ful attack had occurred. The Nationalist aircraft failed
TOP SECRET
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19 FEBRUARY 1958
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to land at a US base
SECRET EIDER) (See map at bottom of facing page,)
South Korean airliner: Pyongyang's claim of voluntary
defection by)-the 34 passengers of the South Korean airliner
which crossed the armistice line on 16 February suggeSts
that the Communists intend to hold them as hostages to force
negotiations with South Korea. Repeated bids by the Commu-
nists for direct contacts as a first step toward unification
have thus far been categorically rejected by Seoul.
(Page 1)
II. ASIA -AFRICA
Federation plan for Kuwait: Iraqi and Jordanian leaders
are considering the possibility of bringing Kuwait�largest
oil producer in the Middle East with more than 1,000,000
barrels a day--into their recently formed federation. Un-
less the British withdraw their opposition, the move is not
likely to occur.
Saudi moves against Yemen: King Saud has ordered
moves to undermine the Imam of Yemen. Saud's principal
officer in Saudi territory adjacent to northeastern Yemen
is being secretly allotted money for propaganda against
the Imam and has been told to allow Yemeni tribesmen
free access to Saudi territory. Some Yemeni dissident
groups have sought intervention by Saud to establish a
protectorate over Yemen. Although King Saud has re-
peatedly warned the Imam against the dangers of Com-
munism, the planned propaganda campaign is probably
designed to increase Saud's own influence as well as to
reduce Soviet and Egyptian influence in Yemen. (TOP
SECRET EIDER NOFORN) (Page 2)
Sudan-Egypt: The publicity given by the government
of the Sudan to its dispute with Egypt over the status of
19 Feb '58
DAILY BRIEF ii
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border areas is probably intended in part to arouse anti-
Egyptian feelings which would strengthen the Khartoum
cabinet's hand in parliamentary elections scheduled from
27 February to 8 March. Egypt in turn appears to be pro-
moting this border rectification in connection with its un-
ion plebiscite scheduled for 21 February. The Sudanese
appear genuinely concerned over notes sent them by Nasir
calling for a return to the pre-1903 boundary. They have
sent troops into the area, but with orders not tb, fire even
If fired on. Reports of Egyptian troop movements are un-
confirmed. Page 3) (Map)
Indonesia: The Djakarta government, at least outward-
ly, is maintaining an uncompromising attitude toward the
dissident movement and has declared all the rebel political
organs illegal. Army Chief of Staff Nasution has formulated
plans for military operations against Central Sumatra should
President Sukarno decide to take this course of action. The
military commander in North Celebes and his deputy, who
declared their support for the rebel government on 17 Febru-
ary, have been dishonorably discharged from the army, and
the navy chief of staff has declared ports in Central Sumatra
and North Celebes to be closed areas. (Page 4)
(Map)
III, THE WEST
Cyprus: Greek and Cypriot misrepresentations of Brit-
ish Foreign Secretary Lloyd's statements in Athens leave
the Cyprus issue confused. Lloyd suggested that Turkey
be offered a base on the island to mollify Ankara's demand
for immediate partition. Athens has inferred erroneously
that London is also prepared to give up the idea of parti-
tion. The British evidently plan further bilateral talks
with both the Greeks and the Turks, but prospects for any
progress remain slight.
19 Feb 58
DAILY BRIEF
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Cuba: The army has stepped up its campaign against
rebel units in eastern Cuba following a new flare-up in rebel
sabotage and terrorism. Disaffection is believed to be grow-
ing among the Cuban military, Batista's principal bulwark.
(See map;.)
LATE ITEM
*Communist China-North Korea: The announcement of
Peipingis intention to withdraw all Chinese troops from North
Korea by the end of 1958 paves the way for a Communist diplo-
matic and propaganda campaign presenting the United States
as the major obstacle to Korean reunification. Such a cam-
paign may be intended to develop a Far Eastern issue as a
pretext for Chinese participation in summit talks. The cam-
paign will probably include renewed bids for north-south nego-
tiations. The troop withdrawal, the first stage of which is to
be completed before 30 April, could serve to undercut argu-
ments against Communist China's admission to the UN on
the grounds of its aggressive posture in Korea.
54\
19 Feb 58
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�110 -CONFIDENT-ME Noto
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
North Korea Uses Plane Incident to Press for North-
South Negotiations
Pyongyang apparently views the landing on 16 February of
a South Korean airliner in North Korea as an oppbrtunity
to force its demands for negotiations with Seoul. The
North Koreans' claim that the 34 passengers voluntarily
defected is intimation that they will not be released im-
mediately but may be held for their hostage value.
The North Koreans have refused to discuss the inci-
dent in the Military Armistice Commission and have pro-
posed instead "direct" negotiations between the govern-
ments of North and South Korea. Repeated bids by the
Communists for North-South negotiations to promote
trade and prepare for unification elections have hereto-
fore been categorically rejected by Seoul.
North Korea is linking the incident to its current
propaganda campaign fori the withdrawal of foreign
forces from South Korea. Pyongyang is alleging that
the passengers defected because they opposed the "oc-
cupation" of the South by US troops. Communist China's
Premier Chou En-lai, who now is in North Korea to dis-
cuss the withdrawal of Chinese Communist forces, will
probably exploit the incident in a similar way, stressing
US "occupation" and Chinese Communist willingness to
act to get all foreign troops out of Korea.
�CONFIDENTIAL
19 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1
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virso' Noril
�II. ASIA-AFRICA
King Saud Moves to Undermine the Imam of Yemen
King Saud's growing apprehension over the threat posed
to Saudi Arabia by Yemen's headlong drift into closer associa-
tion with the Sino-Soyiet bloc and Nasir's antimonarchical
state has resulted in moves to strengthen
Saudis following in Yemen and undermine the Imam.
� Despite his growing loss of influence in Yemen, Saud
has been slow to take action. In December, he warned the
Imam that closer Yemeni relations with the Soviet bloc
posed an intolerable threat to the security of Saudi Arabia,
and on 1 February he cautioned the Imam that Nasir's new
state imperiled the Arab monarchies advising against
Yemen's hasty adherence.
TOP SECRET
19 Feb 58
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Napi Name
EGYPT - SUDAN
19 FEBRUARY 1958
RAILROADS
SCALE
LIBYA
4110m1
EGY
LEBANON'
ISRAEL
Cairo
Principal Area In Dispute
Aswan
Wadi Haifa
Original Political Boundary
BELGIAN
CONGO
UGANDA
IRAQ
SAUDI
ARABIA
ETHIOPIA
KENYA
80218 5
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TOP SECRET *pi
Sudanese-Egyptian Border Dispute
The government of the Sudan is seriously concerned
over a note received from Egyptian President Nasir on
13 February reaffirming Egypt's claim to sovereignty
over all areas along the Sudanese border north of the
22nd parallel and indicating Egypt's intention to conduct
a plebiscite in these areas on 21 February regarding
the establishment of Egyptian-Syrian union. Egypt has
stated that it will send a commission accompanied by an
armed guard into the disputed area, and has challenged
the right of the Sudan to conduct parliamentary elections,
scheduled for 27 February 8 March,. in "Egyptian ter-
ritory among Egyptian subjects." Reports of Egyptian
troop movements toward the area are unconfirmed.
The Sudan has rejected the Egyptian demands but
has sent its foreign minister to discuss the question with
Cairo, meanwhile dispatching troops northward into the
disputed area from Port Sudan with orders not to fire
even if fired on. The publicity given the dispute by the
Sudan is probably intended in part to arouse anti-Egyptian
feeling which would strengthen the government against
pro-Egyptian opposition in the forthcoming elections.
The Anglo-Egyptian convention of 1899, which estab-
lished a condominium over the Sudan, provided for a border
along the 22nd parallel. In 1903, however, certain areas
north of the parallel inhabited by Sudanese tribes were
placed under Sudanese administration, and a small area be-
low the parallel was assigned to Egyptian control. The
principal area in dispute is the wedge-shaped parcel of ter-
ritory on the Red Sea coast. Should Cairo question the
status of the other area north of Wadi Haifa, this could pre-
sage an attempt by Egypt to avoid compensating the Sudan
for any submersion of lands as a result of the construction
of a high dam at Aswan.
TOP SECRET
19 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
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Indonesian Government Continues Uncompromising
Position Toward Rebels
Army Chief of Staff General Nasution apparently is pro,
ceeding with plans to use force against Central Sumatra, and
several political leaders are now openly pessimistic over the
possibility of avoiding conflict. Under Nasution's proposed
military operation, army troops, commandos, and marines
would seize the Central Sumatran oil centers of Pakanbaru
and Rengat. This action is to be supported by a navy show
of force in the Padang area and air force leaflet drops over
Central Sumatran towns. The plan avoids transiting in either
North or South Sumatra in the hope that these areas will stay
neutral.
Nasution reportedly believes his plan would cause no
large-scale fighting but would force rebel leader Hussein to
capitulate. If the dissidents do not back down, Nasution
plans to attack the Padang-Bukittinggi area with naval
and air force support. Nasution hopes to move quickly
unless President Sukarno opposes him.
Djakarta's uncompromising attitude is further under-
scored by its outlawing of all political organizations estab-
lished by the dissidents. In line with this tough policy,
moreover9 the navy'recently ordered that ports in the two
rebel areas of Central Sumatra and North Celebes be
closed to all shipping, and the two top dissidents in North
Celebes were dishonorably discharged from the army.
The rebel areas are nevertheless continuing their mili-
tary and economic preparations. A significant aspect of
their economic progress is the apparent integration of
South Sumatra in dissident budgetary and banking arrange-
ments.
19 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
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I I I� THE WEST
The Cyprus Situation
Greek and Cypriot misinterpretations of British For-
eign Secretary Lloyd's statements in Athens leave the Cy-
prus situation confused and potentially explosive, Athens has
� mistakenly inferred that London is prepared to give up any
idea of partition.
London, however, evidently plans further bilateral
talks with both Athens and Ankara. A high-ranking official
of the British Foreign Office said on 13 February that For-
eign Secretary Lloyd may decide to consult with the Greek
and Turkish ambassadors in London and attempt to bring
their positions closer together. The government is also
still considering the idea of a tripartite conference. In the
meantime, Lloyd will probably make only a general state-
ment in Parliament in an effort to keep flexibility for the
talks and to avoid saying anything which might provoke the
Cypriots to violence.
One of the latest British suggestions is apparently that
the Turks be offered a military base on Cyprus in lieu of im-
mediate partition. Greek Foreign Minister Averoff has ex-
pressed willingness to study this idea further--despite Arch-
bishop Makarios' expected outright rejection--provided Brit-
ain makes such a proposal in detail. It is highly questionable,
however, that Makarios could be ignored as Averoff suggests.
Ankara is interested in a military base on Cyprus but
only as a forerunner of the eventual partition to which it re-
gards Britain as already committed.
British security forces on Cyprus have been alerted for
serious clashes. The Greek Cypriots, however, may follow
a plan of EOICA-enforced pasive rpqthtaner. npnrii g clar-
ification of British intentions.
19 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5
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sanor.r, ALAIL41 V si-111.14
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DISTRIBUTION
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Operations Coordinating Board
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Deputy Under Secretary for Economic Affairs
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
171 WEI rrk rx�rornr A r
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
19 February 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I, THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet Arctic activity: Recent developments in the
western Soviet Arctic rarse the possibility that a new
series of nuclear tests is being prepared.
a broad area in the
Barents Sea was to be closed between 15 February and
16 March. This closure involves the same general area
which was closed during a series of nuclear tests last
year, but a much smaller area in the Barents Sea is in-
volved in the current closure. A BEAR turboprop heavy
bomber recently flew from Kerch/Bagerovo (a nuclear
energy associated installation) to Novaya Zemlya. In
the past week, flights by five possible BADGERS from
Kerch to Olenya have been noted. Olenya is the Kola
Peninsula location which served as the base for some
air activity associated with previous nuclear tests in
the Novaya Zemlya area.
,(See map at top of reverse page.)
Chinese Nationalist aircraft shot down; A Chinese
NatiOnalist jet reconnaissance aircraft wal apparently
attacked and probably shot down in waters near Dairen
by Communist fighters during a daylight mission.
the
Nationalist RS-57 was pursued by fighters for over an
hour as it flew an erratic course over the Shantung Penin-
sula.
Radar tracking ceased near Dairen, indicating a success -
a 1.1ssliact occurFe. -Thelralionalisf aircraft failed
to 'land at ailS base in South Korea as scheduled.
(See map at bottom of facing page.)
Indonesia: The Djakarta government, at least outward-
ly, is maintaining an uncompromising attitude toward the
dissident movement and has declared all the rebel political
organs illegal. Army Chief of Staff Nasution has formulated
plans for military operations against Central Sumatra should
President Sukarno decide to take this course of action. The
military commander in North Celebes and his deputy, who
declared their support for the rebel government on 17 Febru-
ary, have been dishonorably discharged from the army, and
the navy chief of staff has declared ports in Central Sumatra
and North Celebu to be closeareas.
-(Mal3) (Page 4)
uba� The army_ has stepped up its campaign against
units in eastern Cuba following a new flare-up in rebel
sabotage and terrorism. Disaffection is believed to be grow-
ing among the Cuban military, Batista's principal bulwark.
(See map;.)
LATE ITEM
*Communist China-North Korea: The announcement of
Peiping' s intention to withdraw all Chinese troops from North
Korea by the end of 1958 paves the way for a Communist diplo
matic and propaganda campaign presenting the United States
as the major obstacle to Korean reunification. Such a cam-
paign may be intended to develop a Far Eastern issue as a
pretext for Chinese participation in summit talks. The cam-
paign will probably include renewed bids for north-south nego
tiations. The troop withdrawal, the first stage of which is to
be completed before 30 April, could serve to undercut argu-
ments against Communist China's admission to the UN on
the grounds of its aggressive posture in Korea.
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AREA CLOSED
OFF NOVAYA ZEMLYA
19 FEBRUARY 1953
APPrOlitimate
,ashootoown*
19 FEBRUARY 1958
80218 4
TOP SECRET
OCIINFUEGOS
00238-3
ORIENTE
GSANTIAGO DE GUM
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