CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/04/14

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03172429
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: April 14, 1959

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3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
14 April 1959
Copy No. c 62
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCLIME:NT NO. _(pr"
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No Cf 'A,1C;P. IN CLAS:).
Trts.46
NLX I HVtEW DATE:
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DATE. Ar. rd'VREVIEWER:
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14 APRIL 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Peiping Foreign Ministry maintain-
ing fiction of Tibetan "autonomy" in
talks with Indians.
Soviet ship, with largest arms cargo
for Iral thus far, due in Basra on 15
April.
Yugoslavia sides with Nasir in at-
tacks on Arab Communists.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
UAR continues harassment Of Iraq
by propaganda and political action.
Taiwan apparently resupplying Chi-
nese Nationalist irregulars in Burma
by air.
III. THE WEST
West Germany - Erhard may force
showdown over Adenauer's preference
for Etzel as next chancellor.
Cuban opposition to Castro's authori-
tarianism growing; Catholic Church
leaders plan own party.
LATE ITEM
Yemen - Incapacitated Imam may
leave country for medical treatment
with Crown Prince Badr to act as
ruler; unrest possible.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
14 April 1959
DAILY BRIEF
tA)
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China - Tibet - India:
the 1951 autonomy agreement be-
tween Chinese Communist and Tibetan authorities would con-
tinue to be respected "as the basis for the administration of
Tibet." The Communists apparently are eager to maintain the
fiction of Tibetan "autonomy," in their current effort to neu-
tralize sentiment in Tibet for independence and undercut any
representations Nehru might make to Peining on behalf of
Tibetans and the Dalai Lama-1
USSR-Iraq: The Sukhona, the eighth Soviet ship to de-
liver arms to Iraq since late 1958, is about to enter the Persian
Gulf and is due to arrive at Basra on 15 April. The ship is
transporting the largest arms cargo thus far delivered to Iraq
--more than 4,500 tons of military equipment. Sightings of the
vessel reveal four large crates on deck. This; plus the fact
that Baghdad has requested its embassy in Moscow to expedite
the departure of the Soviet experts for the Iraqi Air Force; sug-
gests that the crates may contain some of the jet aircraft or-
dered by Iraq under its $168.000.000 arms agreement with the
soviet 'Union
'Fiugosiavia - mutate bast: Yugoslavia nas extended its
dispute with the bloc into the Middle Eastern sphere by taking
Nasir's side in his dispute with Arab Communists, The Yugo-
slav party's official weekly; Komunist; on 9 April accused Arab
Communist parties of splitting the Arab world and encouraging
"third powers" to interfere in Arab internal affairs. Yugoslavia
had previously refrained from attacking Communist parties not
in power and had urged moderation in the UAR-Traa dispute
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR-Iraq: Cairo is maintaining its campaign of harass-
ment of the Qasim regime. ra'he formation of "Free Iraq" com-
mittees by Iraqi refugees in the UAR is being considered. The
Cairo-supported "Voice of Free Iraq" continues to attack QasinE
UAR technicians and teachers--employed by
Iraq in large numbers--are being withdrawn, and attempts are be-
ing made to subvert Iraqi nationalists abroad.
(Page 1)
Nationalist China: he Chinese Nationalists are reported to
have flown three air resupply missions during the past month to
the Nationalist irregulars in Burma, who have informed Taiwan
that they are under Burmese attack. Chian Ching-kuo, the
Generalissimo's eldest son, has statedP 1that Taiwan's
policy is to maintain these Euerrill7 for Iutur�e against Com-
munist Chin-9 (Page 2)
III. THE WEST
West Germany: IChancellor Adenauer's preference for
Finance Minister Etz'�as his successor in September has
caused Economics Minister Erhard to threaten to resign if he
fails to obtain the chancellorship. At the present time Erhard
could probably carry the Christian Democratic party rank and
file, and Adenauer therefore is unlikely to bring the issue to a
showdown. Selection of Erhard would probably increase to a
certain extent the influence of Bundestag President Gerstenmaier'
who is his close political associate and has favored greater tactical
*ty than Adenauer in dealing with the East,
(Page 3)
Cuba: [Opposition to the Castro regime, still largely unor-
ganized, is increasing as Castro continues to reveal authoritar;.
tan -tendencies. Catholic Church leaders are deeply disturbin
14 Apr 59
DAILY BRIEF ii
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bier the Communist gains and are said to be planning the estab-
lishment of a political party to influence political events. A
number of disillusioned Castro followers have urged the US Em-
bassy that Castro's US visit, which begins on 15 April, should
not result in any offers of financial aid for Cubg,
(Page 4)
LATE ITEM
*Yemen: 1 At the urging of Crown Prince Badr, the ailing
Imam's Italian octors have declared him incapacitated because
of drug addiction. Badr, who will act as ruler in the absence of
his father, is attempting to hasten the Imam's departure for med-
ical treatment in Italy�possibly as early as 14 Aprii-.3
According to an unconfirmed report, the crown prince has
received assurances from the influential northern tribal leaders
that they would take no action against him while the Imam is
abroad. These leaders, who traditionally elect each new Imam,
have opposed the Imam's designation of Badr as crown prince and
were reported planning to assassinate Badr at the earliest oppor-
tunity, or to depose him in favor of the Imam's brother, Prince
Hasan. Armed with a certificate of his father's incompetence
Badr is in a good position to attempt to .seize the throne. Such
action, however, would probably provoke armed resistance if
the northern tribes continued to oppose h nT.I
order to strengthen his chances of succeeding his father,
Badr has been the principal advocate of Yemen's tie with the UAR
and of his country's military and economic aid from the Soviet bloc.
While he has promoted increased Soviet bloc activity in Yemen, he
may now be restrained by Nasir's anti-Communist campaign. Bath's
assumption of greater authority would otherwise offer the Soviet
hine a major opportunity to increase its influence in Yemaj
Pr
14 Apr 59
DAILY BRIEF
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
(No ack-up Material)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Cairo Continuing Harassment of Qasim Regime
The UAR has made several moves recently to expand its
campaign of harassment against the Qasim regime. The more
than 400 Egyptian teachers employed in Iraq, who have been
concerned for some time over their safety, were ordered on
2 April to leave for home immediately, and on the same day
Cairo directed its embassy in Baghdad to withdraw "all ex-
perts and employees who are UAR nationals."
there were more than 16,000
UAR nationals from Syria in Iraq, but there are no reliable fig-
ures available on the total of UAR "experts and employees,"
Crhe UAR is reported to be giving refuge and financial
support to Faiq Samarrai, Iraq's former ambassador in Cairo,
as well as to other Iraqi Embassy officials who are said to have
asked for asylum. Satmarrai has been asked to assist the UAR-
supported "Voice of Free Iraq" in its clandestine broadcasts and
to direct activities of other Iraqi refugees and exiles. The UAR
Foreign Ministry is also reported contacting Iraqi students
abroad, offering them school and living expenses if they will
refuse to return homq
Cairo's propaganda continues to emphasize the anti-Qasim
sentiments of the Iraqi Shammar tribesmen who have been given
refuge in northern Syria. Iraqi efforts to lure the tribesmen back
home with offers of amnesty, however, may have had some suc-
cess. I one of the Sham-
mar sheiks advised an Iraqi border post of his willingness to re-
turn, along with his followers. Negotiations for the return are
apparently still continuing. Baghdad radio declared on 12 April
that Qasim had received renewed assurances of support from
the Shammar in Iraq.
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ists Resupply Forces in Burma
Chinese Nationalist security boss Chiang Ching-kuo said
on 10 April that the Nationalists recently had used P4Y air-
craft to airdrop supplies to Nationalist irregular troops in
the Burma border area. Chiang said the supply missions
were prompted by recent Burmese military action against
the Kuomintang irregulars and refugee villages. Chiang em-
phasized that the drops, consisting mainly of rations and medi-
cine, were not a departure from the recently formulated Na-
tionalist policy of prohibiting attacks by the irre ulars against
either the Burmese or the Chinese Communists.
kimerican officials on Taiwan have confirmed that single
P4Y aircraft made 18- and 19-hour flights on 27 March and
2 April, and apparently a 27-hour flight on 3 April. Lt. Gen,
I Fu-en, the Nationalist Air Force intelligence chief, said on
10 April that these flights were missions to the Burma border
area similar to missions flown last year, and that the 27-hour
flight involved a stopover in southern Taiwan for fii6.0
ahe flight time of these missions would be consistent
with a flight to the Burma area and not long enough to permit
a mission to Tibet. It therefore seems doubtful that they are
related to alleged "Kuomintang" leaflet-dropping missions to
Tibet
hiang Ching-kuo said recently that Nationalist policy is
to maintain the Burma guerrillas as a force in being for use
in a general counterattack against the mainland. Thus air-
drop missions to the guerrillas would not only serve this pur-
pose but also provide aircrew training for possible future air-
drop missions into China proPer2
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III. THE WEST
Party Struggle Over Adenauer's Successor Impehding
Lgbancellor Adenauer's preference for Finance Minister
Etzel as his successor has caused Vice Chancellor and Eco-
nomics Minister .Erhard to threaten to resign if he fails to
obtain the chancellorship. Since .Erhard is very popular in
the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and can probably car-
ry the party rank and file with him in a showdown, Adenauer
will probably be forced to accept him. Erhard's election to
the chancellorship after a bitter party fight would be a blow
to Adenauer's prestige and could have an adverse effect on
his future influence on the new governmenn
6rhard's popularity with the voters was an important
factor in the CDUts victory in the 1957 national elections.
At thattime Adenauer was reported to favor Etzel as his
eventual successor, but his attempt to create an important
new cabinet post for Etzel was blocked by Erhard, who ob-
jected to any diminution of his economic powers. As finance
minister, Etzel has enjoyed the support of the powerful Ruhr
industrialists, who have been hostile to Erhard's free-econ-
omy policies. These industrialists also played an important
role in Adenauer's attempt to force Erhard into the presidency
in February, which would have opened the way for Etzel to
become chancelloa
CErhard heads a new government, his close associate
and critic of Adenauer's foreign policy, Bundestag President
Gerstenmaier, may be in line for the Foreign Ministry--a
combination which would drastically reduce Adenauer's abili-
ty to influence foreign policy. In an effort to block Gerstenmaier,
Adenauer will probably either insist on retaining Foreign Minis-
ter Brentano or propose Interior Minister Schroeder; both men
are opponents of ErharcA.
6undestag leader Krone, Adenauer's close adviser, ap-
parently is certain of the party chairmanship. Krone and
other CDU officials will visit Adenauer at his Italian vacation
resort at the end of Anrilio the composition of
a new governmeng
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Former Castro Supporters Urge US Not to Support Him
number of Cubans, most of them disillusioned former
supporters of Fidel Castro, have urged through the US Embassy
that Cuba not be offered financial assistance as a result of Cas-
tro% US visit, which is to begin on 15 April. They are alarmed
at the regime's anti-US orientation and the influence of the Com-
munists on the government, and are concerned over the critical
economic situation resulting from the regime's recent unsound
"reform" measures. They express the belief that US assist-
ance would only postpone the economic breakdown, and that the
longer this was delayed the more deeply consolidated the Com-
munists would becomq
Xaeaders of the Catholic Church are also disturbed and are
planning to organize a political party in an attempt to influence
political events. They feel the revolution is opening the way for
the Communisig
5fter his return from his Cuban visit last month, former
Costa Rican President Jose Figueres, who has always been slow
to pin the Communist label on anyone without adequate proof, told
US Ambassador Willauer that he was tending more and more to
the belief that Castro may, in fact, be a Communist himself.
While there is no proof that he is a member of the Communist
party, it is cleal that the Communists have made significant gains
since Castro came to power last January and that Communists or
pro-Communists are among his aidej
(Meanwhile, Castro's speeches increasingly reveal his
authoritarian temperament and his near-obsession with "ene-
mies of the revolution." On 9 April he blasted those Cubans who
have been suggesting that it is time to prepare for eventual na-
tional elections. He declared that elections would not be held
"until the revolution is consolidated"--which he evidently defines
as the completion of a program that would require many yearS77
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(-CORRECTION: In the Central Intelligence Bulletin for 10
April 1959, the first sentence of the second paragraph of
Item 2, Page 2, should have redA
G-Ctf more immediate concdrn to the East Ger-
man regime is the defection of some 204 doctors
during the first three months of 195
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NNW Nuwe
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Re search
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
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