CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/08/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03169417
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: August 9, 1957

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� 9 August 1957
Copy No. 136
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74, CURRENT ff
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INTELLIGENCE
This document contains classified information affecting
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CONTENTS
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC INTERFERING IN GUATEMALAN
POLITICS (page 3).
BRIITISH-YEMENI HOSTILITIES ON THE ADEN PROTECTORATE
FRONTIER (page 4).
FRENCH NATIONAL ASSEMBLY TO BE CALLED INTO SPE-
CIAL SESSION ON ALGERIA (page 6).
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"4. ARMS SHIPMENT VIA TANGIER REPO ED D OVER
TO ALGERIAN REBELS IN MOROCCO (page 7).
4. POLES ALTER OPINION OF SOVIET PRESIDIUM SHAKE-UP
(page 8).
(56 6. FINNISH COMMUNIST LEADER PREDICTS FURTHER SOVIET
LEADERSHIP CHANGES (page 9).
41/1
; 7. ITALIAN OIL COMPANY REPORTEDLY MOVING INTO SAUDI
ARABIA AND LIBYA
41/< 8. RENEWED TENSION IN THAILAND
page 10).
(page 11).
/51 9. INDONESIAN COMMUNISTS URGE COOPERATION OF OTHER
PARTIES (page 12).
ANNEX--Conclusions of the Watch Report of the Intelligence
Advisory Committee
(page 13).
9 Aug 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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A
1. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC INTERFERING IN
GUATEMALAN POLITICS
Comment on:
There is substantial evidence that the
-Dominican Republic is interfering in
an re-election politics
there is as yet no indication that the
Dominican government was involved in the assassination of
Castillo Armas.
One objective of the Dominican plan is to
neutralize the Guatemalan air force or gain its support to fly
arms into Guatemala in order to install by force the Dominican-
supported candidate should he fail to win the election reportedly
planned for late December.
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2. BRITISH-YEMENI HOSTILITIES ON THE ADEN
PROTECTORATE FRONTIER
Comment on:
RAF and British-led ground operations
against Yemeni forces, which have seized
an area claimed by the British-supported
ruler of Beihan in the Western Aden Pro-
tectorate, have continued during August.
Despite the aerial attacks, the Yemenis
remain established on the commanding ter-
rain which,
they first occupied in late June. The Yemenis,
are reinforcing their positions in the
Harib-Beihan border area, where they are now estimated to
have a force of 400 to 500 Yemeni regular and irregular forces.
The British communiqu�ssued on 8 August
accused the Yemenis of having seized the high ground in Beihan
territory to prevent British observation of their build-up of
troops and armaments around Harib. The communiqu�dded
that Yemeni forces would be attacked by Aden security forces
as long as the Yemeni government allowed its forces to occupy
Protectorate boundary
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9 Aug 57
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Protectorate territory. The most recent reported RAF
attack was on 5 August.
the
Yemenis are building a road into the occupied region, the
only extensive area in the Protectorate suitable for move-
ment of the armored vehicles which the Yemenis have re-
cently received from the Soviet Union. Soviet weapons have
not yet, however, been identified in the border fighting.
Yemeni control of this area would open the way for exten-
sion of subversive influence into the Eastern Aden Protec-
torate, via the valley of the Hadhramaut, where, according
to recent geological findings, there may be oil deposits.
Yemeni propaganda has portrayed the
British counteraction as "aggression" against Yemeni terri-
tory, and now seeks to link British military action in Aden
with British efforts to suppress the revolt in Oman.
9 Aug 57
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3. FRENCH NATIONAL ASSEMBLY TO BE CALLED INTO
SPECIAL SESSION ON ALGERIA
The French National Assembly will be
called into special session to enact a
basic statute for Algeria before the UN
General Assembly meets this fall, ac-
cording to the chief of Premier Bourges-
Maunoury's personal staff. Minister for
Algeria Robert Lacoste's "definitive"
text of the proposed statute is now being
examined by the government.
According to Lacoste's personal repre-
sentative in the Foreign Ministry, the plan now being consid-
ered divides Algeria into a number of areas with administra-
tive autonomy. Another official on Lacoste's staff in Algeria
states that tentative approval of Socialist, Popular Republican
and Independent leaders has already been obtained to set up
four or five territories on an ethnic basis.
Comment It is becoming increasingly apparent that
the government's strategy will couple a
plan of ethnic gerrymandering to satisfy the French assembly,
with a proposal of regional autonomy to head off attacks in the
UN. Paris is sending Under Secretary of State for European
Affairs Maurice Faure on a tour of Asian capitals in September
to explain France's Algerian policy in the hope of winning wider
support in the UN. A global "counterpropaganda" organization
to deal with North African questions has also been established
by the French government.
The separation of the Saharan area of Algeria
from the northern coastal region has already begun, and the divi-
sion of this area on 7 August into two departments under the min-
ister for the Sahara is another step in this direction.
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4. ARMS SHIPMENT VIA TANGIER REPORTEDLY TURNED
OVER TO ALGERIAN REBELS IN MOROCCO
A shipment of 33 cases of arms and am-
munition which arrived in Tangier on
17 June was transferred by truck on the
night of 26-27 July to Tetuan, where it
was turned over to the Algerian rebel representatives in
Morocco
This consignment, originating in West Germany, was removed
from the port of Tangier by a Moroccan security official after
Moroccan Security Director Laghzaoui had arranged an import
permit and customs waiver. The permit listed the consign-
ment as "materiel" destined for a Tangier riot police unit which
does not exist.
Comment According to earlier reports, this ship-
ment consists of two tons of automatic
weapons and ammunition ordered for the Algerians by the
Moroccan government. The munitions were shipped by the
Otto Schlueter firm in Hamburg, which has sold arms to the
Algerian rebels on several occasions in the past 18 months.
9 Aug 57
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5. POLES ALTER OPINTO
PRESIDIUM SHAKE-UP
Polish optimism over the recent changes
in the Soviet leadership is now being mod-
erated by more sober evaluation, accord-
ing to Wladyslaw Bienkowski, Polish min-
ister of education and confidant of party
leader Gomu1kaBienkowski now believes that no common
policy toward Eastern Europe could have existed among those
dismissed since Molotov and Malenkov represented an "im-
possible amalgam." The changes therefore probably will not
affect Soviet policy toward Eastern Europe, he feels, and will
not necessarily weaken dogmatism and sectarianism in the
USSR.
Comment The continued stability of the "Stalinist"
leadership in both Czechoslovakia and
East Germany, as well as the Bulgarian dismissals of pos-
sible anti-Stalinists, may have contributed to this altered
Polish evaluation of Soviet policy toward Eastern Europe.
Both the Poles and the Yugoslays now have expressed their
belief that Stalinist elements have not been fully eliminated
from the leadership of the Soviet Union and, consequently,
that dramatic Soviet liberalization of policy toward the Satel-
lites is not to be anticipated.
Poland has apparently been encouraged,
however, by the effect of the Kremlin shake-up on Soviet-
Yugoslav relations. The number of favorable Polish press
references to Yugoslav developments has increased markedly
in the past month. The official Polish reaction to the Tito-
Khrushchev visit placed primary emphasis on the refusal of
either country to impose its own opinion in determining the
form of socialist development.
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6. FINNISH COMMUNIST LEADER PREDICTS FURTHER
SOVIET LEADERSHIP CHANGES
A high official of the Finnish Communist
Part recently predicted
that there will be further important
changes in the Soviet leadership in the near
future, This official
reportedly declared that not all supporters of the Molotov group
had been deposed in June and plainly suggested that Bulganin
and Voroshilov were among them.
It was said that the Soviet party would hold
consultations soon on the question of "adopting a new line" with
respect to the Satellites, the non-Communist world, and domes-
tic affairs.
The Finnish Communist reportedly stated
that "rather serious difficulties" had arisen recently in the
Baltic countries from "lack of democracy." A 26 February dis-
order in the Estonian capital of Tallin, which was forcibly sup-
pressed by the militia, and unspecified expressions of unrest in
Lithuania at the end of March and the beginning of April were
cited.
Comment The recall to Moscow of an unusually large
number of Soviet diplomats suggests that
foreign policy discussions are already under way. Khrushchev
reportedly told former Indonesian premier Ali Sastroamijojo in
a recent conversation that the USSR's basic foreign policy will
remain unchanged but that new methods will be adopted, with a
special accent on peace. He did not elaborate on this generaliza-
tion, but it is presumably these "methods" which are now under
discussion.
The recall of diplomats may also result in the
weeding out of individuals having close connections with the de-
posed leaders.
No reports of unrest in the Baltic countries
have been received since last fall.
9 Aug 57
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7. ITALIAN OIL COMPANY REPORTEDLY MOVING INTO
SAUDI ARABIA AND LIBYA
Enrico Mattei, president of the Italian
National Petroleum Company (ENI),
is negotiating with Saudi Arabia
and expects to receive oil exploitation rights covering ap-
proximately 210,000 square miles.
Comment
Mattei has already challenged the established
pattern of 50-50 profit sharing for foreign
concessions in Italy and Iran, where ENI's March agreement is
under consideration by the Majlis.
Although EM is developing natural gas de-
posits and refining and distributing gas and oil products, it has
had little success in finding crude deposits in Italy, and Mattei
now appears to be trying to force his way into profitable foreign
operations.
9 Aug 57
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8. RENEWED TENSION IN THAILAND
The American embassy in Bangkok
believes that political tensions in
Thailand are nearing a climax. The
assembly began a general debate on
the Phibun government's policies on
8 August.
The role of Marshal Sarit, the report-
edly disaffected army chief and defense minister, would be
the key factor in any assembly effort to unseat the govern-
ment.
Sarit, however, tends toward indecision
and failed to exploit an opporunitv to seie power during the
postelection riots in March.
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9. INDONESIAN COMMUNISTS URGE COOPERATION
OF OTHER PARTIES
Indonesian Communist Party Secre-
tary General Aidit has called for
cooperation from other parties, joint
administration, and joint responsibil-
ities in furthering President Sukarno's "nation-saving con-
cept." In a campaign speech in West Java on 3 August,
Aidit pointedly told the National Party and the Nandlatul
Ulama that in joining the Masjumi in an anti-Communist
front they would be turning their backs on Sukarno, whereas
cooperation would have his blessing.
Comment The two major Moslem parties, the
Masjumi and the Nandlatul Ulama, have
adopted an outright anti-Communist line in the West Java
campaign leading up to local elections scheduled for 10
August. The National Party, however, possibly could be
persuaded to cooperate on both national and local levels in
the hope of retrieving its former strength.
The Communist Party already has strong
influence in the central government, and on the basis of its
gains in the Central and East Java local elections is pressing
for open participation in the cabinet.
9 Aug 57
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ANNEX
Watch Report 366, 8 August 1957
of the
Intelligence Advisory Committee
Conclusions on Indications of Hostilities
On the basis of findings by its Watch Committee, the
Intelligence Advisory Committee concludes that:
A. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostilities
against the continental US or its possessions in the imme-
diate future.
B. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostilities
against US forces abroad, US allies or areas peripheral
to the orbit in the immediate future.
C. Early deliberate initiation of hostilities by Israel or the
Arab states is not probable. Although tensions continue
between the Arab states and Israel and among certain
Arab states themselves, these are not likely to lead to
serious conflict in the immediate future.
ITOP OECRET)
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