CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/02/18

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03169410
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: February 18, 1958

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18 February 1958
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CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
-000UMENT NO.
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18 February 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
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Polish Foreign Minister Ftapacki
proposes addition of general ground
and air control system to his plan
for denuclearized zone.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Various Arab groups continue
maneuvering to disrupt Egyptian-
Syrian union.
Israel apparently intends to adopt
wait-and-see attitude on Egyptian-
Syrian union, and may consider Iraqi-
Jordanian federation a greater threat.
King Saud maintains strong reserva-
tions on United Arab Republic and
cautions Yemenis.
0
Indonesia - North Celebes commander
announces support for Sumatran rebels;
North Sumatran commander declares �
loyalty to Djakarta.
Okinawa - New left-wing Okinawan
Socialist party likely to weaken con-
servatives' chances in 16 March legis-
lative elections.
T CRET
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
18 February 1958
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
DAILY BRIEF
Poland amends Rapacki plan: Polish Foreign Minister
Rapacki has added a proposal for a general ground and air
control system with "adequate" control posts to his plan
for a nuclear-free zone in Central Europe. He also sug-
gests that the nations concerned might assume their obli-
gations under the plan by making unilateral declarations--a
measure designed to meet West German objections to deal-
ing with East Germany. These amendments appear to be
art of an effort to make the plan more palatable for discus-
sion by Western governments. (Page 1)
(Map)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Arab countermoves to Egyptian-Syrian union: Reports
of imminent actions and coups aimed at disrupting Syrian
union with Egypt continue to circulate in the Arab states. A
group of Syrian army officers with some Iraqi support may
be trying to enlist King Saud's support for a last-minute ef-
fort. Lack of effective planning and coordination as well as
extensive Egyptian and Syrian security precautions make it
unlikely that a successful coup will develop.
(Page 2) (Map)
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Iraqi Prime Minister-designate Nun i Said is in London
seeking support for the Iraqi-Jordanian federation. Nuni
may ask the British for military assistance in the form of
a number of fighter aircraft, in which case the British
will probably turn to the United States for urgent consul-
tation. (Page 3)
Israeli views of Arab federations: Israeli officials
apparently dO not believe that the merger of Egypt and
Syria significantly alters the security position of Israel.
Until some new element is introduced into the situation,
they intend to adopt a "wait-and-see" attitude. Israel may
be inclined to view the Iraqi-Jordanian federation as a po-
tentially more dangerous move because of long-standing
Iraqi hostility and the increased military capability to be
located on Israel's eastern frontier. (Page 4)
King Saud's reservations toward the UAR: King Saud
mainiains strong reservations toward the United Arab
Republic.
(Page 5)
Indonesia: The military commander in North Celebes
has declared full support for the rebel Indonesian govern-
ment and has announced that his area would sever relations
with Djakarta. Although the distance between the two rebel
groups is too great for effective cooperation, the defection
of North Celebes may encourage other wavering areas, such
as Borneo, to take similar action. The military commander
in North Sumatra, however, has declared his continuing
loyalty to the central government, Djakarta has called for
the arrest of six rebel civilian leaders in Sumatra. There
18 Feb 58
DAILY BRIEF
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is insufficient evidence on which to conclude whether the cen-
tral government has decided to take military action against
the dissidents in the immediate future.
(Map)
�
Okinawa: The newly formed Okinawan Socialist party,
headed by leftist Naha mayor Saichi Kaneshil aims to at-
tract members from the extreme left and from middle-of-
the-road political elements. The new party is likely to
enjoy considerable success and will further weaken the con-
servatives' chances in lepls.ative elections on 16 March.
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DAILY BRIEF
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COUNTRIES INCLUDED
IN RAPACKI PLAN
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
The Polish Inspection Proposal
In a memorandum on 14 February to the governments
of the US, Britain, ,France, ,and the ,USSR-, 'Polish Foreign,
Minister Rapacki elaborated on his previous proposals for
a nuclear-free zone in Central Europe. In an effort to force
more serious consideration of his plan by the Western powers,
he made modifications designed to ahswer certain of the West-
ern objections. He added proposals for a general ground and
air control system with "adequate" control pots, and in order
to overcome West German objections to dealing with East Ger-
many, he suggested that an agreement could be in the form of
unilateral declarations "bearing the character of an interna-
tional obligation."
Rapackits memorandum pointed out, furthermore, that
agreement on a system of control for the "denuclearized zone
could provide useful experiences for the realization of a broader
disarament agreement," Specific obligations of the four great
powers were spelled out in terms similar to earlier Polish
proposals. Nuclear weapons should not be manufactured nor
stockpiled in Poland, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, or West
Germany. Equipment or installations designed for the servicing
of nuclear weapons should not be located in the zone. The use
�or possession of nuclear weapons by any power in this area or
against it should be prohibited.
The Poles suggested that following agreement on the obliga-
tions that "the four powers would undertake, the procedure
of the establishment, operation, and reporting of the control
organs could hP th� Q,,,iject of further mutual stipulations.
-C-ONFID MIA
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0111/4 /Fr�
ARNO FEDERATION
UNITED ARAB REPUBLIC
SAUDI
ARABIA
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Arab Countermoves to Egyptian-Syrian Union
Reports of immediate action aimed at thwarting imple-
mentation of Egyptian-Syrian union circulating in the Arab
states may stem from unconfirmed evidence of planning by
anti-union Syrian army officers. These officers, apparent-
ly led by Assistant Chief of Staff) General Nafuri are said
to have approached Iraq for support, which may be forth-
coming. Other emissaries, apparently from the same group,
have asked King Saud for armed intervention by Iraq, Jordan,
and Saudi Arabi should the action run into difficulties. Saud
replied that he could not commit his army, but he indicated
that he would act as circumstances dictated at the time.
The imminence of final action confirming Egyptian domi-
nation over Syria has hastened plans by opponents of union,
within and without Syria, to engage in hurried efforts aimed
at striking a last blow at the present Syrian regime. The ap-
parent lack of planning and coordination, as well as the ex-
tensive Egyptian and Syrian security precautions, makes a
successful coup unlikely.
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'Noe'
ffyptian-Syrian Union
The British feel obliged to grant at least some of the re-
quests anticipated from Iraqi Prime Minister-designate Nuni
Said during his current London visit. In case Nun i should ask
for a number of fighter aircraft, the British would probably
turn to the United States for urgent consultation.
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Israel's Reactions to Arab Mergers
The Israeli Government does not consider the union of
Egypt and Syria as substantially affecting Israel's security
since the two Arab states for the past year and a half have
had a unified military command without any noticeable change
in Israel's border relations. An Israeli Foreign Ministry of-
ficial has stated that, until some "new element" is introduced
intO the situation, the Israelis intend to observe quietly the un-
ion's development. He contrasted his government's present
attitude with its stronger reaction to the Egyptian arms deal
with Czechoslovakia in 1955..
The Israelis believe the merger may result in an increase
of Soviet training and technical assistance in the United Arab
Republic. They do not concur with a view they consider preva-
lent in the West--that Egypt's leadership in the republic will
retard Soviet penetration of Syria.
Jordan's merger with Iraq apparently is taken more seri-
ously by Israeli government and military leaders in view of
the absence of even an armistice agreement between Iraq and
Israel, and Iraq's persistent hostility. According to the Israeli
official, the lack of any guarantee respecting the "behavior" of
the new Arab federation causes particular concern. This ex-
pression of concern probably presages a renewed Israeli effort
to obtain defense guarantees from Western powers.
SECRET
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King Saud Sees Nasir's New State Threatening
Arab Monarchies
King Saud's hostility toward Nasir's United Arab Re-
cmhlie, MAR) was made clear
Former Saudi influence over Yemeni
foreign policy has deteriorated sharply in recent years.
Despite Saud's warning, the Imam is nearing completion
of negotiations for limited Yemeni adherence to Nasir's
new state.
Saud has been reluctant to make public his opposition
to the UAR, out of fear of challenging Nasir and alienating
Arab popular opinion. The UAR is also believed to enjoy
the support of many of Saud's personal advisers.
-4
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v..4tyivr / LILL Noe
DISTRIBUTION
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Operations Coordinating Board
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Deputy Under Secretary for Economic Affairs
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
Ary vir�f 1r,111k Trirewr
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
18 February 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Poland amends Rapacki plan: Polish Foreign Minister
Rapacki has added a proposal for a general ground and air
control system with "adequate" control posts to his plan
for a nuclear-free zone in Central Europe. He also sug-
gests that the nations concerned might assume their obli-
gations under the plan by making unilateral declarations--a
measure designed to meet West German objections to deal-
ing with East Germany. These amendments appear to be
part of an effort to make the plan more palatable for discus-
sion by Western governments. (Page 1)
(Map)
views of Arab fe4'efations: Israeli officials
ap1tIy o notl Iieve that The merger of Egypt and
Syria significantly alters the security position of Israel.
Until some new element is introduced into the situation,
they intend to adopt a "wait-and-see" attitude. Israel may
be inclined to view the Iraqi-Jordanian federation as a po-
tentially more dangerous move because of 19ng-standing
Iraqi hostility and the increased military capability to be
located on Israel's eastern frontier. (Page 4)
King Saud's reservations toward the UAR: King Saud
mainiains strong reservations toward the United Arab
Republic.
(Pace 5)
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