CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/02/11
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03169397
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Publication Date:
February 11, 1958
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11 February 1958
Copy�No.
i
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
NO.
NO C; IN CLA
;
CLASS. CHANGED TO: T
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 7
. DATE.
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LATE ITEM
*Spanish-French Offensive Begins in West Africa
the joint Spanish-French military offensive against
the irregular Moroccan Army of Liberation (AOL)
forces in Spanish West Africa began early on 10 Feb-
ruary. The main Spanish-French columns will pro-
ceed from Villa Bens and Tindouf to cut AOL com-
munication and logistic lines from the north and drive
the guerrillas southward toward other Spanish-French
forces operating from Villa Cisneros and Fort Trinquet.
A Spanish diversionary force will operate within the
Ifni enclave.
Spanish forces in the general area total about 15,-
000 men with some air support, French forces in Mau-
ritania number about 5,000-61000. and Army of Libera-
tion forces about 7,000 men.
(See map on reverse)
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WEST AFRICA
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11 FEBRUARY 1958
CANARY ISLANDS
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may lead to cabinet crisis.
Jordanian and Iraqi Kings meet to
discuss measures to counter Egyp-
tian-Syrian union.
11 FEBRUARY 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Chou En-lai reiterates proposal for
withdrawal of foreign troops from
Korea and suggests Peiping's grow-
ing concern over "two Chinas" con-
cept.
USSR - Foreign aid administrator
Pervukhin's position as a candidate
member of the party presidium ap-
pears in doubt; Bulganin's position
also remains shaky.
USSR opposes meeting of UN Dis-
armament Commission.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
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vi knA.Avni.
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France - Bombing of Tunisian village
0
/
Egypt planning roundup of undergi ound
Communists.
Indonesia - Lt. Col. Hussein broad-
casts demand that Sukarno dissolve
Djuanda cabinet within five days.
Kenya - African nationalists increas-
ing political agitation.
III. THE WEST
o
0
Britain - Macmillan government faces
loss in two coming by-elections.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
11 February 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China: In his foreign policy speech on
10 February, Chou En-lai reaffirmed Peiping's declara-
tion of 7 February calling for withdrawal of foreign troops
from Korea, and asserted Communist China would "take
the initiative" in this regard. His speech also suggested
Peiping's growing apprehension over international senti-
ment in favor of the "two Chinas" concept, and reempha-
sized his regime's view that Taiwan must be brought un-
der mainland control.
Soviet leadership shifts: The position of foreign aid
administrator Mikhail Pervukhin as a candidate member
of the presidium appears to be in doubt. Premier Bulganin's
status also appears to be shaky. (Page 1)
Disarmament--Soviet view: The Soviet Union
opposed the convening of the UN Disarma -
ment Commission, on which the USSR has refused to serve,
or discussing disarmament within the United Nations at this
time. The USSR holds that such discussions wouldlurther
complicate the digarmament problem and would be ill-timed
since the prospects for summit talks seem tO be increasing.
The Soviet Union has suggested disarmament as one of the
topics for a summit meeting.
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Tunisia: Carefully controlled popular demonstrations
in Tunisia will probably be organized by the government to
channel indignation arising from the French bombing of a
Tunisian village on 8 February. Tunisian indignation is
partly focused on the United States because of French use
of American-built planes in the attack. In Paris, there is
widespread consternation over evidence that the French
bombing in Tunisia may have been a calculated move to con-
front the Gaillard government with a fait accompli. There
are preliminary indications that the whole Algerian question
may be reopened; the possible complicity of Minister for
Algeria Lacoste may disrupt the cabinet.
(Page 2)
� Egyptian-Syrian union�Arab. countermoves: Jordan's
King cliisiarn'is scheduled...lb meet King Faysal of Iraq today
to discuss measures, including confederation of their two
countries, to counter the impact of the Egyptian-Syrian un-
ion. Hussayn flew, to Beirut on 10 February, probably in a
last-minute personal attempt to persuade Lebanon at least
to delay recognizing the union. Egyptian editorial praise
for the idea of an Iraq-Jordan combination is probably an
advance psychological effort by Nasir to minimize the anti-
EmtianJiiplications of such a combination.
Egyptian move against Communists: Nasir's minister
of the interior has apparently completed plans, begun about
1 January, for a roundup of 250 key underground Communists
in an effort to "break the back" of the Communist movement
in Egypt. Previous moves of this kind have been only partial-
ly successful. The new drive would seem to be in response to
a recent unification of Communist factions in Egypt, and demon-
strates Nasiiis determination to suppress internal Communism.
(Page 3)
11 Feb 58
DAILY BRIEF
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Indonesia: Lt. Col. Hussein broadcast on 10 February
from Central Sumatra a demand to President Sukarno giving
him five days to dissolve the Djuanda cabinet. It is still not
entirely certain whether a rival government will be established
in Sumatra. as originally planned, if Sukarno refuses.
(Page 4)
Kenya: Serious deterioration in the Kenya political and
securargituation has resulted from a recent spurt in politi-
cal agitation by African nationalists. The government has re-
cently adopted repressive countermeasures, and the police
commissioner foresees the possibility of martial law. Agita-
tion by Africans against their constitutional position is likely
to intensify further following legislative elections scheduled
in March. (Page 5)
III. THE WEST
Britain: Despite a favorable press reaction to Macmillan's
8 February note to Bulganin, the Conservative government's
standing with the British public remains low. Loss of two com-
ing parliamentary byL".elections, the first on 12 February, will
be a further blow. Continuation of voting trends registered in
by-elections over the past year will cause both seats formerly
held by Conservatives to swing to the Labor party.
(Page 6)
11 Feb 58
DAILY BRIEF iii
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�L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet Presidium Member May Be Slated for Demotion
The position of Soviet foreign aid administrator Mikhail
Pervukhin as a candidate member of the party presidium ap-
pears to be in doubt. He is the only one of the 23 full and
candidate members of the presidium who has not been in-
cluded in published lists of nominations to the USSR Supreme
Soviet, according to the American Embassy in Moscow. Evan
if subsequently nominated, Pervukhin, who was until last June
one of the Soviet regime t top industrial executives, has clear-
ly been set apart from his colleagues on the partyt top body.
As in the case of Premier Bulganin, the contempt shown in
the electoral process for Pervukhint prestige may signify
impending demotion.
Pervukhin was dropped from full membership in the pre-
sidium at the June 1957 central committee plenum, but hung
on as the lowest ranking candidate member. Soon thereafter
he lost his place as a first deputy chairman of the Council of
Ministers and was given a lower ranking post as chairman of
the Committee on Foreign Economic Relations. These moves
appeared to indicate that Pervukhin, like Bulganin, had not
given Khrushchev his wholehearted support in the policy debate
which preceded defeat of the Malenkov-lViolotov-Kaganovich
faction, but that Khrushchev hesitated to reveal the size of the
opposition by making a clean sweep then. The further decline
of Bulganin and Pervukhin would emphatically demonstrate
Khrushchevt political pre-eminence
-CONFIDENTIAL
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Reaction to French Bombing of Tunisian Village
Carefully controlled popular demonstrations will
probably be organized by the Tunisian Government to pro-
vide an outlet for indignation arising from the French Air
Force bombing of the border village of Sakiet Sidi Youssef
on 8 February. Barring further border incidents, the
Tunisians are likely to comply with President Bourguiba's
request that order be maintained and that there be no re-
taliation against French citizens residing in Tunisia.
Tunisian indignation is partially focused on the United
States because American-built planes were used in the
French attack. This indignation is reinforced by the bit-
terness prevailing in Tunisia over what is regarded as in-
adequate American economic assistance to Tunisia com-
pared with more generous aid recently given to France.
Bourguiba has protested to the United Nations against
the bombing, but has refrained thus far from severing re-
lations with France. By demanding the evacuation of all
French troops from Tunisia, including the base at Bizerte,
however, he has retracted his public offer of December that
France might continue to use the base.
In Paris, there is widespread consternation over the
circumstances of the attack and preliminary evidence that
it may have been a calculated move to present the govern-
ment with a fait accompli. The topic will be raised in the
National Assembly on 11 February, and the possible com-
plicity of Minister for Algeria Lacoste may disrupt the
cabinet.
-CONFIDENTIAL
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vi
New, %NO
Nasir May Launch New Internal Anti-Communist Drive
The Egyptian minister of interior has completed lans
t_for_a_roune under round Communists,
Preparations were begun
about 1 January, and responsible officials in the ministry
hope that they will be able to convict 70 percent of those
arrested.
Similar moves by the Nasir regime in the past have
been only partially successful. The new effort appears to
be a reaction to the progressive unification of Communist
factions, culminating in the formation of a single under-
ground Egyptian Communist party at the end of January.
The elimination of divisions within the party can be ex-
pected to increase its subverOve notential. which the re-
me presumably presumably recognizes. I
arrests probably will not take place until after the
Egyptian-Syrian plebiscite for union on 21 February.
Large-scale action against Egyptian Communists
shortly after union, accompanied by an expected curtail-
ment of overt party activity in Syria, would accentuate
Nasies claim that the new United Arab Republic will be
strictly neutralist and will not be undermined by Com-
munist influence. By contrast, the Syrian Foreign Minis-
try
instructed its ambassador in Moscow to present the LIAlt
as a "strong front against Imperialism," devoted to "strength-
ening friendship between the two countries and the USSR. "
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Central Sumatran Leader. Broadcasts Demand to
President Sukarno
Lt. Col. Hussein, commander in Central Sumatra,
on 10 February broadcast a demand that President Su-
karno dissolve the Djuanda cabinet within five days. Hus-
sein asked for a new cabinet headed by former Vice Presi-
dent Mohammed Hatta and the Sultan of Jogjakarta. Should
Sukarno refuse, Hussein said, the dissidents would declare
themselves "free from any obligation to obey President
Sukarno."
The dissidents' next step, if Sukarno ignores their de-
mands, presumably will be the establishment in Sumatra of
a rival Indonesian government, as they had earlier planned.
However, their wording Opears sufficiently indefinite to
permit compromise, and the dissidents themselves are not
now united on the desirability of establishing a rival govern-
ment.
Former Vice President Hatta, on whom the dissidents
count heavily, asserts he will not participate in either a
rival government or in a successor to the Djuanda cabinet
Lt. Col. Barlian, commander in South Sumatra, has co-
operated extensively with the dissidents, but apparently has
not as yet decided to join any government proposed by them.
North Sumatran sunnort for a rival government is even more
uncertain.
CONFIDENTIAL
11 Feb 58
CFNTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
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vireo,
Kenya Political and Security Situation Deteriorating
Serious deterioration in the political and security
situation in Kenya has occurred recently because of grow-
ing agitation by African nationalists. The eight African
elected representatives to the Kenya Legislative Council
have refused to participate in the government for the past
11 months, and in November denounced the constitutional
reform plan announced by the British Government. Their
stand has received popular endorsement from all sections
of African opinion. The tempo of nationalist activity has
quickened, particularly around the capital city of Nairobi,
and is likely to be intensified following legislative council
elections scheduled for March.
The government has recently become so disturbed by
the over-all pattern of disruptive events that it has adopted
repressive countermeasures, and the Kenya police commis-
sioner foresees the possible imposition of martial law. The
authorities have banned political meetings in Nairobi and
recently uncovered a subversive African organization with
/s /me similarities to Mau Mau.
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ILAAL !L. _
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III. THE WEST
Macmillan Government Faces Future Blows to Prestige
The Conservative government's standing with the Brit-
ish public remains low despite the favorable press reaction
to Prime Minister Macmillan's 8 February reply to Bulganin
regarding a possible summit meeting. The government faces
a critical period, with its new firmness in restraining wage
increases yet to be tested to the point of risking major strikes.
The loss of two coming parliamentary by-elections may limit
the government's ability to deal effectively with overriding do-
mestic and foreign policy issues. The government therefore
is inclined to curry public opinion on those issues which have
wide all-party support, such as European security and nuclear
disarmament.
In 15 by-elections over the past year, the Conservative
share of the vote has fallen on the average from 7 to 10 per-
cent from the 1955 general election. A continuation of this
trend would give the Labor party a fairly easy victory in the
contests in the marginal constituencies of Rochdale, on 12
February, and Kelvingrove. Liberal party candidates, who
have captured a large share of the disgruntled Conservative
vote in several recent by-elections, are contesting both
seats. According to the American Embassy, Conservative
leaders have not only conceded defeat but also fear that at
Rochdale the Liberals may, for the first time in the post-
war nerinri finish shparl nf Cnnsprvativp eandiristP.
-CONFIDENTIAL
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
11 February 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China: In his foreign policy speech on
10 FeWivary, Chou En-lai reaffirmed Peiping's declara-
tion of.? February calling for withdrawal of foreign troops
from Korea, and asserted Communist China would "take
the initiative" in this regard. His speech also suggested
Peiping's growing apprehension over international senti-
ment in favor of the "two Chinas" concept, and re-:empha-
sized his regime's view that Taiwan must be brought un,
der mainland control.
Soviet leadership shifts: The position of foreign aid
administrator Mikhail Pervukhin as a candidate member
of the presidium appears to be in doubt. Premier Bulganin's
status also alApproved'for'Relealsel: 2019/08/20 C03169397 (Page 1)