CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/07/18

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03169386
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date: 
December 20, 2019
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Publication Date: 
July 18, 1957
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15757347].pdf283.69 KB
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0/4 .050, CURRENT INTELLIGENCE //,�; BULLETIN /1/4,4 � /rf (00/ co, ../7z //07/7/0007 A � 4APPmved for Releae: 2019/12/10 CO3169386 /4/ /// /4000; -*04 18 July 1957 Copy No. 13C 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) ISeic51.15 1%0TH: 1-11 70-2 DATE. FiZVIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This document contains classified information affecting the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, US Code Title 18, Sections 793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits its transmission or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an un- authorized person, as well as its use in any manner prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detri- ment of the United States. TOP ' ET -4 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 V 11( CONTENTS . HEAVIEST SOVIET ARMS SHIPMENT TO DATE ARRIVES IN YEMEN (page 3). NASR REPORTEDLY PLANNING STATE OIL MONOPOLY USING SOVIET AID (page 4). . SAUDI ARABIA SEEKS PREFERENTIAL OIL AGREEMENT FROM JAPAN (page 5). 111. PRAVDA GIVES LIMITED APPROVAL TO MAO'S TENETS (page 6). 065. KADAR GOVERNMENT REMAINS FIRM AFTER MOSCOW PURGES (page 7). 6, ATTEMPT TO KILL SUICARNO REPORTED SET FOR 20 JULY (page 8). 6).7. MALAYAN CHIEF MINISTER MAKES NEW BID TO END COMMUNIST TERRORISM page 9). 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP RET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 IikRI1 A 1, HEAVIEST SOVIET ARMS SHIPMENT TO DATE ARRIVES IN YEMEN Comment on: The two Soviet freighters which ar- rived at the Yemeni port of Salif on 9 July have, like their predecessors in May and June, unloaded heavy arms. the deliveries ap- parently comprise the largest Soviet arms shipment to date. Major items observed include at least 20 sell-propelled guns presumed to be 100-mm. , twelve T-34 medium tanks, at least fifty 76-mm. artillery pieces, at least six armored personnel carriers, eight 122-mm. artillery pieces, and 30 large trucks. Eleven very large crates presumed to contain aircraft were seen on deck on 9 July, and on 11 July a total of 16 such crates a battery of antiaircraft guns has been mounted on the ridge behind Salif. Most of the items are believed to be in addition to the medium tanks, artillery, and seven IL-10 ground attack aircraft which were delivered previously. If the installed antiaircraft battery is manned by trained per- sonnel, who at this time would almost certainly have to be non-Yemeni 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 S ECK .T Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 ILI 2. NASR REPORTEDLY PLANNING STATE OIL MONOPOLY USING SOVIET President Nasr stated on 12 July that the Egyptian government is planning to estab- lish a new state-owned oil company which is to have exclusive rights in Egypt for the exploration, production, refining and marketing of oil, The USSR has report�l3 agreed to supply technicians and machinery for the new com- pany and will invest capital to supplement the proposed Egyp- tian contribution of $2,800,000. Nasr also hopes to get a fleet of tankers from the USSR to transport Egyptian and other Arab oil. Nasr believes American com- panies exploring existing concessions have located oil reserves in Egypt without telling him, and added that American companies will be excluded from all phases of Egyptian oil production. Comment The USSR has sought to play a larger role in Middle East oil development over the past year, and would welcome a foothold in Egypt, although the oil-producing potential there is considered small and probably capable of satisfying ortly Egypt's domestic needs. 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 3, SAUDI ARABIA SEEKS PREFERENTIAL OIL AGREEMENT FROM JAPAN Comment on: The representatives of a new Japa- nese company which will undertake petroleum exploration in Saudi Arabia have been informed that Saudi Arabia wants 55 rather than the customary 50 percent of the profits, The Saudis have urged the Japanese to conclude the agreement quickly. 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 TO1JECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Lj$J4511.IViiJ1L 4. PRAVDA GIVES LIMITED APPROVAL TO MAO'S TENETS Comment on: Pravda's editorial of 16 July is the first authoritative Soviet endorsement of Mao Tse-tung's "secret" speech of 27 Febru- ary. Pravda admitted that Mao's speech was "of great significance for Marxist- Leninist theory in general," but accorded only limited recog- nition to the validity of Mao's thesis on contradictions within other countries of the bloc. Pravda emphasized the applicability of Mao's speech to China itself, calling it a "tremendous event in the political life of China." Scattered Soviet references to Mao's willingness to permit limited debate and criticism in China have so far been designed to discourage emulation by Soviet intellectuals and have attempted to avoid its application to Soviet life by placing the USSR on a different level of his- torical development. Prior to its publication late last month, Mao amended his speech to define the limits of debate in China. This amendment, together with the regime's crackdown on "rightist" critics, may have offset any Soviet concern that Mao had gone too far. Khrushchev may now be attempting to move the USSR to a closer accommodation of Chinese ideo logical innovations following the purge of Molotov, who is be- lieved to have been hostile to them. During his recent trip to Czechoslovakia, Khrushchev said of China that it "never copies or repeats anything and does everything on the basis of Marx- ist-Leninist teaching, but everything in China is done in a Chinese way." 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 CON}WKNTL4L Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 COAT AL �11� 5. KADAR GOVERNMENT REMAINS FIRM AFTER MOSCOW PURGES The American legation in Budapest be- lieves the primary short-term effect of the Moscow shift will be to strengthen the Kadar elements of the Hungarian So- cialist Workers' (Communist) Party. Kadar and his cohorts quickly recovered from their confu- sion and issued assurances that there would be no immediate policy shift in Hungary. Subsequent attacks on Jozsef Revai, the Stalinist ideologist who was reinstated4On the central com- mittee at the national party conference held 27-29 June, sug- gest that some high Stalinists may be removed. The embassy believes, however, that Kadar will continue to restrain the more liberal wing of the party. Comment In a statement reported in Budapest news- papers on 13 July, Soviet Party First Sec- retary Khrushchev declared that he had "recently" met Kadar and "saw with pleasure that he is in good health," which sug- gests that Kadar may have conferred with Khrushchev in Czecho- slovakia. A 4 July announcement stated that Kadar was "on vaca- tion" but did not specify the locale. These remarks and Khru- shchev's recent commendation of Kadar for restoring order in Hungary are obviously designed to reassure Hungarian party members that Kadar is in no danger as a result of the Kremlin shake-up. 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 CON1LI7cTTAL Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 LItL I 6. ATTEMPT TO KILL SUKARNO REPORTED SET FOR 20 JULY Reference plans have now been tentatively set to am- bush President Sukarno on 20 July when he is due to return from a trip to Borneo. assassination of Sukarno would lead to a breakdown of law and order, in which leftist elements would play a prominent role, since,according to to the source,the would-be assassins have no clear idea of who would replace Sukarno, Colonel Lubis, the former acting chief of staff and instigator of an abortive coup in November 1956, as the leading figure in a plot to assassinate the President. 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 S T Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386 E t 7. MALAYAN CHIEF MINISTER MAKES NEW BID TO END COMMUNIST TERRORISM Comment on: conce'rtecreffort to bring about an early end of Communist terrorism in Malaya ap- pears to have been touched off by a 14 July speech by Chief Minister Rahman in which he declared that all available resources would be used to end the emergency by the close of 1958. So far the effort has been mostly psychological. Two small new areas have been declared free of terrorists, and a renewed offer of amnesty has been extended to one small group of terrorists still operat- ing near Kuala Lumpur. Of considerably greater significance is Rah- man's public statement on 15 July that he is willing to have another meeting with Communist leader Chin Peng and that he believes Chin will contact him in the near future. Rahman feels that, with independence virtually achieved, he is in a strong position to negotiate a settlement with a minimum of concessions to the increasingly hard-pressed and isolated terrorists, who now num- ber less than 2,000. For their part, the Communists have indi- cated a growing desire to leave the jungle and concentrate on "peaceful" subversion. The most propitious time for another meet- ing would seem to be soon after Malaya achieves independence next month. There is still, however, a wide divergence between Rahman% insistence on "complete surrender" and Chin Peng's demands for recognition of the Malayan Communist Party and guarantees against detention or investigation of those terrorists who lay down their arms. 18 July 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 ET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03169386