CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/07/13
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03169382
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U
Document Page Count:
9
Document Creation Date:
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date:
December 20, 2019
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Publication Date:
July 13, 1957
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CURRENT
/// INTELLIGENCE
/ BULLETIN
13 July 1957
Copy No.
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
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. ..':E.A444-110.11EVIEWER /
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
This document contains classified information affecting
the national security of the United States within the
meaning of the espionage laws, US Code Title 18, Sections
793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits its transmission
or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an un-
authorized person, as well as its use in any manner
prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States
or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detri-
ment of the United States.
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CONTENTS
o EAST GERMAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE PLENUM
(page 3).
KHRUSHCHEV ATTACKS YUGOSLAV COMMUNISM BUT
PLANS MEETING WITH TITO (page 4).
3. COUP REPORTEDLY PLANNED IN INDONESIA
(page 5).
O h4. FURTHER COMMU
LOCAL ELECTIONS
EDICTED IN JAVANESE
(page 6).
A (9).. PLANS FOR COUP PRIOR TO ARGENTINE ELECTION RE-
PORTED (page 7).
\ 66. SHIPPING RELUCTANT TO CALL AT CHINESE COMMU-
NIST PORT OF AMOY (Page 8).
13 July 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
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1. EAST GERMAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE PLENUM
Comment on:
The Soviet purges and their implica-
tions for East Germany, reformulation
of the party line, and an extensive eco-
nomic reorganization reportedly are the
major items being discussed at the 32nd
plenum of the Socialist Unity (Communist)
Party central committee now meeting in
East Berlin.
a somewhat softer political
course will be adopted and some onerous
restrictions lifted. Neither a general relaxation nor a personnel
shake-up is anticipated, however. Although press reports have
stated that Party First Secretary Walter Ulbricht is under at-
tack at the plenum, there
is general agreement within the central committee that Ulbricht
must be retained in his present position to prevent adverse re-
actions within the party and among the population.
The economic reorganization reportedly
will involve a general decentralization of the economic appara-
tus similar to that in the Soviet Union, Since it will allegedly
result in drastic personnel reductions in the central organs in
Berlin, with many functionaries forced to move to the provinces
and take more productive jobs, the impending reorganization is
said to have caused considerable grumbling and dissatisfaction
among government employees in East Berlin.
13 July 57
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2. KHRUSHCHEV ATTACKS YUGOSLAV COMMUNISM BUT
PLANS MEETING WITH TITO
Khrushchev, speaking extemporaneously
in Prague on 11 July, declared that he
will soon meet Yugoslav party leaders
Rankovic and Kardelj in Moscow for a
frank discussion of differences, and said
he plans to hold personal talks with Marshal Tito. He urged
an end to Yugoslav-Soviet polemics--"let us not discuss who
is cleverer and who is more stupid"--and warned that "we
know how to pay back" Yugoslav criticism. Khrushchev as-
sailed Belgrade, however, for giving at least unwitting aid
and comfort to the "imperialists," and sneered at the Yugo-
slav concept of workers' councils. He said that while there
are different approaches to socialism, there is only one gen-
eral path.
Although the Yugoslays presumably will
welcome the opportunity to conduct frank discussions with the
Soviet leaders, their conviction since the purge that Khrushchev
is "their man" may be dashed by Khrushchev's tough line. Tito
has rejected previous Soviet suggestions that it is primarily up
to Yugoslavia to come to terms with the USSR. According to
press reports, officials in Belgrade have indicated "obvious
dismay" at Khrushchev's speech.
13 July 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
CJ1NFTDENTIAL
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3. COUP REPORTEDLY PLANNED IN INDONESIA
Colonel Lubis, former acting chief of
staff and instigator of an abortive coup
last November, is planning new action
which would involve the assassination
of President Sukarno and the arrest of
the army chief of staff, General Nasution,
:Lubis is in constant contact
with Lt. Col. Hussein and Lt. Col. Sumual, disaffected com-
manders in Sumatra and East Indonesia respectively. The
coup was planned for 19 July but has now bendelayed.
The plan immediately involves only 20 or
30 people and is based on the assumption that most of the mil-
itary in Diakarta. including the navy, will back the coup.
a coup could take
place at any time, there is
a good probability that others have also been informed.
Comment
Lubis is undoubtedly in touch with Hus-
sein and Sumual and probably is planning
some form of action against Sukarno. The plan
however, probably would not
be attempted unless all other efforts to swing Sukarno away from
his informal alliance with the Communists fail. It is also likely
that Lubis is carefully watched, and,
that knowledge of the plot would reach pro-Sukarno offi-
cers.
The proposed plot and its initial timing for
19 July may have been motivated by predictions that the Commu-
nists will win provincial elections in Central Java scheduled for
17 July.
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Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
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4. FURTHER COMMUNIST GAINS PREDICTED IN JAVANESE
LOCAL ELECTIONS
Indonesian and foreign observers who
have traveled recently in Central Java
forecast a Communist victory there in
elections for provincial and regency as-
semblies scheduled for 17 and 27 July, according to the
American embassy in Djakarta- These observers noted,
among other indications of campaign activity, that Commu-
nist posters in this area far outnumber those of all other
parties combined. In East Java, where elections are sched-
uled for 29 July, the Communists are also waging an active
campaign although their efforts do not appear to surpass those
of other parties.
Faced with the prospect that the Commu-
nists will repeat their gain of 40 percent in the recent Djakarta
municipal election, the major non-Communist political parties
reportedly have appealed to President Sukarno to use his in-
fluence to have the elections postponed. Sukarno to date has
given no indication of heeding these pleas.
Comment In the 1955 national elections, the Commu-
nists demonstrated their greatest strength
in Central Java, where they polled a close second place to the
National Party. With this strong base from which to work, com-
bined with consistent campaigning and Sukarno's encouragement
of their activity, the Communists seem likely to make further
gains in this area. In 1955 the Nandlatul Ulama (NU), a con-
servative Moslem organization, was the strongest party in East
Java, where the Communist Party also won second place.
13 July 57
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C9JYJiID1NTIAL
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5. PLANS FOR COUP PRIOR TO ARGENTINE
ELECTION REPORTED
A coup detat prior to the 28 July
constituent assembly election is be-
in z planned
The plotters re-
portedly oppose the governmentTs electoral program and
"are willing" to continue the government's provisional
status indefinitely.
Comment While there is strong opposition to
the scheduled election from several
groups, the only one reported as desiring the provisional
government to continue in power indefinitely is a small
group of rightist military officials. Some members of the
armed forces would like general elections, now scheduled
for 24 February 1958, to be advanced to 1957; but the ma-
jority is reportedly backing President Aramburu, who in-
sists on maintaining his political calendar.
The armed forces may feel compelled
to reassess the situation, however, if disorders result
from strikes and demonstrations being planned by Peron-
istas and possibly by Communists.
13 July 57
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6. SHIPPING RELUCTANT TO CALL AT CHINESE
COMMUNIST PORT OF AMOY
Comment on:
Chinese Nationalist attempts to en-
force port closure at Amoy by ar-
tillery fire from positions in the
Quemoy Islands, and the apparent
reso ye o mese Communists to provide vessels
calling at Amoy with the protection of their shore batter-
ies, suggest further shelling incidents if other vessels at-
tempt to enter the port.
Shanghai has been trying to induce vessels
to call at Amoy by offering bonuses for the trip. The White
Bee, which is known to have called at Amoy at least three
times since early May--most recently on 19-22 June, re-
portedly has been having trouble getting and keeping a crew
for this voyage.
13 July 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin
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