CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/10/03

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03164690
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
14
Document Creation Date: 
February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 3, 1959
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Body: 
4440 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 131P----becRET 0 3 October 1959 Copy No. C CENTRAL 3.5(c) / 3.3(h)(2) ///1 Z INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO O: :ANCE :N OLAZZ.,Irkt � (1;: NGED TO: TS S C NEXT NEViEW DAP7: 1061:411 ALIT: 1-11. 2 DATE. REVIEWER TOP Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 ET C 03164690WMWZMW, Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 VACS C.Lob Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C031614690 3 OCTOBER 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Chinese Communists persist in boost- ing communes despite lack of Soviet agreement. Heavy air activity accompanies Soviet Pacic Fleet exercise. II. ASIA-AFRICA UAR continues to attack Communist China for permitting Bakdash speech In Peiping. Laos--UN subcommittee continues lim- ited survey work. Pakistan--Retirement of army chief of staff points up friction within armed forces. Japan--Kishi improves his position for gaining approval of revised Security Treaty. 11 r \ III. THE WEST Turkey--Relations between two major parties embittered by physical attacks on opposition deputies. 0 Cyprus--Makarios and Grivas will meet next week to discuss differences. 0 Guatemala�Anti-US and pro-Communist political forces gain strength. Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 ove CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 3 October 1959 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Communist China - USSR: The Chinese Communists are continuing to make claims for their communes, which, despite expressed Soviet disagreement; they insist will help usher in the era of Communism at some time in the future. In a major article written for the October issue of the bloc's theoretical journdl discussing Peiping's "10 years of successes," govern- ment dhairman Liu Shao-chi asserted that as far as "our" coun- try is 'Concerned, the commune--a new "road" which has been "discovered" by the Chinese--will be "a suitable form of social organization at the basic level alter China has entered Commu- or nism." At least one Soviet theorist has recently contradicted similar Chinese claims with the flat statement that the commune is "impossible" in the future Communist society. The Chinese leaders may still hope to gain at least limited Soviet endorse- ment of the commune program while Ithrushchev is in China. While it is unlikely that this ideological difference is drastically weakening the Sino-Soviet alliance, Peiping's determination to increase its prestige by introducing "new" theories and proce- dures will he a constant irritant in the relationshin Soviet Pacific Fleet Exercise: Extensive air activity in con- nection with the current large-scale Soviet Pacific Fleet exer- cise, simulating defense of the Soviet Far East, has been fea- tured by the unprecedented association of Bison jet heavy bomb- ers and has also included an unusual amount of Badger jet medium bomber flight activity, The precise role of the jet heavy bonabers in connection'with this exercise is not known. (Page 1) TOP REt AApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690r / Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 teali ,1;110 IL ASIA-AFRICA UAR - Communist China: The UAR is maintaining a hostile attitude toward Communibt China following the anti-UAR speech by Syrian Communist leader Bakdash on 28 September in Pei- ping. The Cairo press says that the UAR charg�n Peiping has been ordered home. Peiping has made no public comment as yet. However: the Cairo press reports that the Chinese Communist ambassador in Cairo refused to accept a formal UAR protest. In Peiping: ranking Foreign Ministry officials have made ex- cuses not to receive the UAR charg� On 30 September, Cairo ordered the UAR press attach�in Beirut to launch a strong press attack on Communist China. Nasir has already tentatively decided to close the Chinese Communist consulate in Damascus and is considering breaking off diplomatic relations with Peiping. � Laos: LA...el:though UN secretary General Hammarskjold expects the UN subcommittee on Laos to arrive soon in New York to draft its report, he will probably advise the delegates' governments to leave some elements of the mission in Vientiane in order to assure D a continuing UN presence. The subcommittee, now making a lim- ited survey in northern Laos, is hampered in its work by the lack of helicopters. Some delegates are looking toward a departure date of 9 October: but others are willing to stay on to try to sur- vev the forward arpas7 Pakistan: (The retirenient on 30 September of Lt. General Habibullah: Pakistani army chief of staff, confirms earlier evi- dence of a serious rift in Pakistan's top army leadership. During the past year, friction has existed between Habibullah and Gen- eral Musa, commander in chief. The reasons for Habibullah's 0 \ retirement have not yet been officially stated. Habibullah's appar- ently forced retirement could generate significant discord within the officer corps of the Pakistani Army and lower the military gov- ernment's prestigeT, (Page 2) 3 Oct 59 DAILY BRIEF ii 7ET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C0316469T vv tiwo 2Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 IMF Japan: Kishi's position for securing approval of the revised US-Japan Security Treaty has improved. Leaders of the most in- fluential Japanese organization of businessmen have agreed to finance a public relations program in support of the revised treaty. In return for this support, Kishi promised not to dissolve the Diet on the treaty issue. Ichiro Kono, a leading Kishi party rival, has indicated he will support ratification of the revised treaty. This suggests that important elements among anti-Kishi conservatives are aband ning use of the treaty issue to undermine the prime minister. Former Prime Minister Tanzan Ishibashi's recent statements implying agreement with Peiping's criticisms of the curit treaty may have brought matters to a heath (Page 3) III. THE WEST Turkey: Bitterness between the two major political parties in Turkey has intensified as the result of recent acts of violence against opposition deputies. In the most recent incident, several opposition deputies traveling in western Turkey were seriously injured in an ambush by a mob of local Democratic party adher- ents. The leader of the major opposition party fears the govern- ment may ban his party. (Page 4) Cyprus: Archbishop Makarios' decision to meet next week with former EOKA leader Grivas in an attempt to remove differ- ences between them is welcomed by the great majority of Greek Cypriot nationalists, who fear that the dispute will benefit the Communists. Makarios, stands to lose if agreement is not reached, while Grivas' prestige will probably be enhanced regardless of the u outcome. On Cyprus, a wave of lawlessness in recent weeks has of- caused heightened tension between the Greek and Turkish commu- nities. Meanwhile, Greek, Turkish, and Cypriot negotiators have made some progress toward agreement on executive powers in the future government of Cyprus. The first Cypriot elections may take place in December. 3 Oct 59 DAILY I3RIEF 111 TO RET ,Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690r A Apiproy.ed for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 -JO Guatemala: rA7mbassador Mallory is seriously concerned over Guatemala's future political orientation, particularly as it may affect US interests. Some anti-US and pro-Communist po- litical factions are being fostered by the beleagured President Ydigoras in an effort to weaken the strong, leftist but anti- Communist Revolutionary party. These factions are vying for the backing of leftist ex-President Arevalo, who still retains considerable popularity in Guatemala, and one group is be to be receiving Cuban financial aid. (Page 5) 3 Oct 59 DAILY BRIEF iv T ECRET AApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C031 616917 A Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 New' I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Extensive Air Support of Soviet Pacific Fleet Exercise Soviet Pacific Fleet surface, submarine, and air units as well as some 5th Long Range Air Army units are conducting a large-scale exercise simulating defense of the Soviet Far East. The extensive air support of the exercise has been fea- tured by the unprecedented association of Bison jet heavy bomb- ers and has also included an unusually large amount of Badger jet medium bomber flight activity. Several flights by 5th LRAA Bisons have extended southward as far as approximately 225 miles southeast of Tokyo, and numerous Badger flights have been flown in other areas of the North Pacific. The role of the jet heavy bombers in this exercise is not known; they may have acted as an anti-naval strike force, they may have been simulating hostile bombers approaching the So- viet mainland over the exercise area, or they may have been conducting over-water navigational flights. In addition, surface and submarine units are operating in the Sea of Japan, along the Kuril Islands, and in the vicinity of Petropavlovsk, Kamchatka. Two destroyers and a tanker which left the Sea of Japan through the Korea Strait on 24 September have entered the Pacific and are moving northward off the east coast of Japan. These units probably represent "aggressor" forces. Large Pacific Fleet exercises have been conducted annually at this time during recent years. Last year's exercise, which lasted from 29 September to 24 October, also included a wide sweep into the Pacific Ocean by surface forces. This was fol- lowed by an apparent attempt to penetrate the Kuril chain from the Pacific without detection., 3 Oct 59 ir`ChATI'i Al 11,..17E1 I lesEk1.0"C DI Ill rflki Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 -- NW, II. ASIA-AFRICA Retirement of Pakistani Army Chief of Staff Indicates Army Factionalism ILlte retirement of Lt. 'Gen. Habibullah on 30 September confirms earlier evidence of a serious rift in Pakistan's top army leadership. Although the specific reasons for Habibullah's retirement have not been stated, a number of reports indicate it was forced by General Musa, commander in, chief. During the past year, friction has existed between Habibullah and Musa, and Musa may have been responsible for the recent retirement of one brigadier who supported Habibullah and the transfer of anoth5g Crthe military government under President Ayub, which has been in control since 1958, may lose prestige when Habibullah's retirement becomes public knowledge and gen- erates rumors of infighting within top army echelons. Habi- bullah was apparently considered more capable than Musa, and he seems to have been well liked by his fellow officers. The army officer corps may face a serious morale problem which will require President Ayub's attenti29 The shift of the national capital from Karachi to the Rawalpindi area, where army general headquarters is lo- cated, is scheduled to begin this month, and this will facili- tate closer contacts between Avub and army leaders'? 3 Oct 59 rsekrre Al ik.ITEI I le�Okle'r nil. I Erik! Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Kishi Secures Support for US-Japan Security Treaty Revision Japanese Prime Minister msm nas improvea nis position for securing ratification of the revised US-Japan Security Treaty. At Kishi's request, leaders of the Federation of Economic Organ- izations (Keidanren)--the most influential organization of Jap- anese businessmen--have agreedto provide $910000 toward a public relations program in support of the treaty. In return, Kishi promised not to dissolve the Diet on the treaty issue-3 Kishi warned faction leaders of his Liberal-Democratic party on 23 September that he would dissolve the Diet and call for a parliamentary election if the party split on ratifying the treaty. He apparently is confident his position is strong on the issue, and his promise to Keidanren probably was made in the belief that the prospective financial burden of an election cam- paign would keep his party in line. Kishi presumably will inform his party rivals of Keidanren's warning that financial support from businessmen may be withheld if an election is precipitated on the treaty issue-.1 Thgre are indications that Kishi's rivals have decided that theUS-Japan Security Treaty is not a good issue for unseating the prime minister. Minister of Agriculture Fukuda told Ambas- sador MacArthur on 29 September that influential politician Ichiro Kono will go along with Kishi on the treaty. Fukuda does not ex- pect the support of former Prime Minister Tanzan Ishibashil who during a recent visit to Peiping subscribed to Chinese Communist statements that the security treaty was an impediment to closer Sino-Japanese relations. He does believe, however,. that Ishibashi may be persuaded to refrain from open oppositionT1 3 Oct 59 rCkITD A I IkITC1 I Ir�Ckle`C 12111 I CTIkl Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Page 3 � Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 � ����' ��.�� ��� � AY., 1�4.� � " BMW Nay III. THE WEST Political Bitterness Increasing in Turkey Political tension is rising in Turkey in anticipation of the reconvening of the Grand National Assembly on 1 November. Twice, groups of opposition deputies have been attacked by large crowds of local members of the ruling party. During the most recent of these attacks� on 22 September, several deputies were reported to be seriously injured. The minister of the interior immediately sent the chief of the Turkish National Police to investigate the incident. The Turkish Government has banned any press accounts of the af- fair and has publicly charged that the opposition Republican People's party (RPP) is trying to subvert the governing Dem- ocratic party. While the RPP is probably exaggerating the de- tails of the incident for whatever propaganda value they may have, the general account of the mob attack has been confirmed by 'Na- tional Police officials. esident Izmet Inonu, leader of the RPP, reportedly fears that the government may decide to close down his party and has cautioned RPP campaign teams visiting the provinces not to en- gage in "aggressive" tactics. The recent forced resignation of RPP Secretary General Gulek, chief spokesman for an aggres- sive party policy, may have been intended as a conciliatory ges ture to keep the government from banning the RPP prior to the reconvening of parliament. The RPP, which has 170 of the 610 parliamentary seats, has maintained a running propaganda battle with the governing DP ever since the last general election in 1957. Last spring Inonu him- self was the target of violence at the hands of a DP mob. At that time, special security precautions were taken by the government to prevent the situation from getting out of hand. 3 Oct 59 o C9YDFiIAL rckITO A I IkITCI I lir�iCklf^C DI II I CTIkl Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Guatemalan President Supports Leftist Extremists in Effort To Split Opposition Guatemalan President Miguel Ydigoras� faced with strong op- position from the moderately leftist Revolutionary party (PR) and conspiracies by the rightist Nationalist Democratic Movement (MDN), is using leftist extremists in a desperate effort to retain power. He fostered the recent organization of three new leftist splinter parties from elements opposed to the moderate PR lead- ership, a number of them with records of Communist collabora- tion. Ydigoras apparently plans to subsidize one or more of these parties in the crucial December congressional elections in the hope that they will split the ralie leftist splinter parties are vying for the backing of bit- terly anti-US former President Juan Jose Arevalo, whose admin- istration from 1945 to 1951 paved the way for Communist domina- tion of the succeeding Arbenz regime. Though Arevalo, now in Venezuela, has been in exile since 1954/ he retains wide popular- ity in Guatemala. Arevalo's influence could weaken or destroy the current PR leadership/ which is anti-Communist. The re- sulting leftist political force would be formidable if united under Arevalo's leadership and would probably be Communist infiltrated. American Ambassador Mallory is seriously concerned over the effect of these maneuvers on Guatemala's future political orienta- tion, particularly as it affects US interests] 1The Castro regime in Cuba may be backing the Arevalo forces. Last July/ Fidel Castro through his brother Raul is to have offered financial aid to Arevalo. This offer appar- was temporarily declined but, a pro-Arevalo politician visiting Cuba in September was given a first installment on a reported $200,000 for his party's ttni vio aaerafill ei cernurfh" and for armed resistance if necessary3 SEfKET 3 Oct 59 rCKITD A I MI= I iirt=mr= al III PTIM Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 11-1. NW" THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director CO NTIAL Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03164690 (d