CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/06/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03163338
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: June 3, 1959

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3 June 1959
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INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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I JILLICL 1
3 JUNE 1959
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Cooperation between USSR and UAR
in international fx ont groups deteri-
orating.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia--Move to restore authori-
tarian 1945 constitution fails on final
reading; army take-over may be im-
minent.
Burmese trade mission to Moscow
will seek practical projects on grant
basis in race of proposed cultural
center.
Iraq--Rumors persist that action
against Communists, with orwith-
out Qasim. is imminent.
IIL THE WEST
0 Invasion of Nicaragua may encourage
added support for general strike.
IV.
� Conclusions of the special USIB com-
mittee on the Berlin situation.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3 June 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-UAR: Soviet-UAR cooperation in international
front organizations such as the Afro-Asian "solidarity move-
ment" appears to be steadily deteriorating as a result of Nasir's
attacks on Communists and the bloc. The Soviet member of the
movement's permanent secretariat is reported to have charged
that a 27 May meeting of the "Anti-Colonial Conference" in Cairo
was arranged by the UAR "to attack Russia." Cairo has apparent-
ly decided hot to send a UAR delegation to the Communist World
Youth Festival in Vienna this summer. (Page 1)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia: The Constituent Assembly's-failure on final read-
ing to ad-opt President Sukarno's proposal for a return to the 1945
constitution creates a political stalemate in Indonesia. While some
compromise might yet be worked out, Sukarno and the army may
impose the 1945 constitution, which gives the executive greater
political power. Already army chief Nasution, in what may be
a preliminary step has banned "all political activity in Indonesia."
(Page 2)
Burma-USSR: A Burmese trade mission, soon to leave for
Eastern Europe and the USSR, will ask Moscow to substitute more
practical projects for the theater and cultural and sports center
which the USSR originally offered as gifts. The U Nu government
then insisted on paying for them in rice. The mission instead will
seek projects in the fields of irrigation, flood control, or port de-
velopment on a purely grant basis. The Burmese also plan to ask
Soviet agreement to transfer one half of Burma's trade credits with
771, to China, with whom Burma has a deficit.
(Page 3)
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Iraq: Rumors persist in Baghdad of some imminent ac-
tion by anti-Communist elements against Communist influcknoP
and, possibly. against Oasim as well. The rumors.
d1/4,11 yet seem to have substantial foundation and probably ar
cooler relations between Qasim and the Communists.
(Page 4)
ri�
9
III. THE WEST
do not
om
Nicaragua: President Somoza's public admission that revolu-
tionaries have landed may encourage additional labor and other un-
committed groups to join the general strike, which has already at-
tracted considerable support and should reach its peak on 3 June.
Despite the imposition of martial law and the arrest of opposition
leaders, the government faces serious domestic defiance for the
first time in its 25 years. Whild several external threats re-
main, the Costa Rican Government has acted swiftly to prevent
further attacks from its territory by Nicaraguan revolutionaries.
(Page 6)
IV. CONCLUSIONS OF SPECIAL USIB COMMITTEE
ON BERLIN SITUATION
The USIB has taken note of the following conclusions reached
by its special committee on the Berlin situation. The committee
pointed out that its conclusions are to be used in context with
A SNIE 100-2-59 (24 February 1959) and with the review of that
estimate in SNIE 100-2/1-59 (17 March 1959);
1. There is no indication of any change in the basic
Soviet position at Geneva, but Khrushchey in Tirana appeared
to introduce a harder line by categorically rejecting all
parts of the Western package plan for Berlin.
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DAILY -BRIEF ii
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2. So long as the USSR estimates that nego-
tiations at Geneva are promising or that the pros-
pects for a summit meeting are good, it will prob-
ably not go so far as to turn over access controls to
the GDR. However, negotiations may be reaching a
stage where the USSR might consider it to be advanta-
geous to increase the threats of such action. The actual
physical transfer of controls could be accomplished with
little or no warning.
3. While there are no reliable indications of a bloc
Intent to deny Allied or West German access to West Ber-
lin,, or to seal off West Berlin in the immediate future, the
USSR could take such actions with little or no warning.
4. There have been no significant changes in Soviet
capabilities to respond to possible Western actions in
the event of turnover, harassment, or blockade.
5. The rumor in West Berlin that the US might
give up WAS has resulted in declining staff morale.
WAS is an important symbol of the US position in Ber-
lin.
3 June 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet-UAR Cooperation in International Fronts Declining
The rift between Moscow and Cairo produced by Nasir's
attacks on Communists and the bloc has caused a steady deteriora-
tion in Soviet-UAR cooperation in international front organizations.
The Afro-Asian solidarity movement, which has depended on the
cooperation of the UAR and other Afro-Asian countries with the
Communists, has been particularly affected.
The Soviet member of the movement's permanent
has charged
that the meeting on 27 May in Cairo of the "Anti-
Colonial Conference" had been arranged by the UAR "to attack
Russia." Earlier, the Soviet and Chinese Communist members
of the secretariat were reliably reported to have frustrated UAR
efforts to enlist Afro-Asian support for Nasir's campaign against
Iraq.
The national solidarity committees on which the international
organization theoretically is based have also encountered difficulties,
because the committees of some neutralist countries such as India
apparently are split between Communist and neutralist elements as
a result of Nasir's charges. A critical period for the movement may
well occur when preparations are begun for a second "Solidarity Con-
ference"--a repeat of the December 1957 meeting held in Cairo--and
for the Afro-Asian Women's Conference. Both are scheduled for
later this year.
There are indications of frictions between Cairo and Moscow
in other international front activities. Cairo has apparently de-
cided not to send a delegation to the Communist-run World Youth
Festival in Vienna this summer.
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A�ese wiese
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Political Stalemate in Indonesia
The Constituent Assembly's third rejection on 2 June of
President Sukarno's proposal for the readoption of the 1945
constitution has created a political stalemate in Indonesia.
Opposition to the constitution, under whin both Sukarno and
the army would gain increased political power at the expense
of party activity, came from the Moslem parties, including the
pivotal Nandlatul Ulama party, which insisted on the incorpora-
tion of religious guarantees for the Islamic religion. The in-
itiative now returns to President Sukarno and the army.
Sukarno, now in the United States, will be met and briefed
at his next major stop--Tokyo--probably on 6 June by Ruslan
Abdulgani, head of the appointive national council and a Sukarno
confidant. It has been speculated that the President's two-month
world tour was timed to keep him uninvolved in the political ma-
neuvers attending the constitutional debates and free to work out
new arrangements if necessary.
Although further attempts at compromise cannot be ruled out,
army leaders have consistently hinted that they would take action
to enforce the 1945 constitution if necessary,
Army Chief of Staff General Nasution was assured na-
tionwide officer support for some such move
Nasution on 2 June banned all political ac-
tivity, possibly as a preliminary move to further action. Prime
Minister Djuanda had told the assembly that failure to accept the
constitution might precipitate "undesirable events" similar to
those which "have taken place in neighboring countries"--obviously
a thinly veiled warning of an army take-over.
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NOV
Burrpsa to Seek Adjustments in Its Economic Relations With
USSR
A Burmese mission, which will soon leave for Eastern
Europe, will go on to Moscow to ask the USSR to substitute
more economically practical projects for the theater and
cultural and sports center originally offered by Bulganin and
Khrushchev in 1955. While the projects were offered as gifts,
former Prime Minister U Nu later insisted that Burma pay
for them in 20 annual payments of rice. A technological in-
stitute, hotel, and hospital included in this offer are well on
their way toward completion, but the Burmese Government
delayed initiation of the other two projects for budgetary reasons.
The mission has been instructed to obtain projects in the
fields of irrigation, flood control, or port development, all on
a grant basis. This reflects Prime Minister Ne Win's strong
preference for grant aid as opposed to loans. Moscow presum-
ably will treat the Burmese request sympathetically.
The mission will also seek Soviet approval for the transfer
of half of Burma's unexpended trade credits to its account with
Communist China, with which it has a trade deficit. Burma's
credits with the USSR now stand at about $4,000,000 and may be
doubled by the end of the year. While these credits have been
used in the past to pay for purchases from Czechoslovakia, Pei-
ping recently indicated it did not wish to participate in a similar
transaction which would "encroach upon the USSR's market."
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Nei Noire
Rumors of Imminent Coup Attempt in Iraq
Widespread rumors in Iraq that anti-Communist groups
are preparing for forceful action. According to one version, a
combination of military, tribal, and "nationalist" political figures
intends to move both to overthrow the Qasim regime and to wipe out
Communist power. an army group headed
by the military governor general and the commander of the First
Division plans action to replace the present government with a
non-Communist military council, retaining Qasim as its chairman.
Such rumors do not yet seem to have substantial foundation and
probably stem from cooled relations between Qasim and the Iraqi
Communist party and from persisting reports that Qasim has begun
to remove some extreme pro-Communists from influential posi-
tions. In late May, for example,
Lieutenant Colonel Ghadhban al-Saad, formerly
of Qasim's office staff, had been sent to Moscow as military attache;
that Qasim's military aide, Colonel Wafsi Tahir, and Director of
Radio Baghdad Salim Fakhri were to be exiled to the Iraqi Embas-
sy in Bonn; and that Director of Military Planning Brigadier Taha
al- Shaykh Ahmad was to be sent as ambassador to Peiping.
Qasim
had torn up a list of 60 officers whom Colonel Ahmad proposed for
retirement.
There has been some resurgence in the activities of anti-Com-
munist, pro-UAR elements in Iraq, and the UAR Embassy is in
contact with them. They do not, however, appear to have the nec-
essary strength or support for a successful coup attempt.
In view of the widespread rumors, the director general of
Iraqi police recently ordered special precautions, and several
companies of police reserves who had been temporarily assigned
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to Mosul have been sent to Baghdad.
units from all army divisions are to be stationed around
Baghdad continuously for the next few days.
An Iranian newspaper on 2 June reported that an Iraqi brigade
had revolted on the night of 1 June and had attempted to march
against Baghdad. Other Iraqi Army units put down the revolt,
the paper said. There has been no confirmation of this news
story. (UNCLASSIFIED)
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I I L THE WEST
Situation in Nicaragua
President Somoza's public admission that revolutionaries
have landed may encourage additional labor and other uncom-
mitted groups to join the general strike, which has already at-
tracted more support than anticipated and should reach its peak
on 3 June. Despite the imposition of martial law and the arrest
of opposition leaders, the government faces serious domestic de-
fiance for the first time in 25 years.
There are apparently no immediate plans to call for action
by the Organization of American States, since President Echandi
of Costa Rica has already acted to prevent the many Nicaraguan
exiles in his country from further attacks on Nicaragua by land
or air.
The National Guard under General Anastasio Somoza, Jr.,
is considered capable of containing the small rebel groups re-
ported to have landed. It apparently remains loyal, although
several former guard officers have recently taken refuge in
Costa Rica and may have joined the exiles.
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NNW' `441�K
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
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