CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/08/04

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03161868
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 4, 1956
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15742037].pdf251.52 KB
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Yeev ...Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 wax- s.�.L.A...dICI:d1 J.; 0 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN xh 4 August 1956 4 3.5(c) 0 /1 / 0 %V/ � / Copy No. 105 DOCUMENT NO � NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ; DECLASSTIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE� ADUATT31.1*1-** REVIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELL*ENCE AGENCY EqW///73:47/0/74, Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Noe �T-etr-SE(RET CONTENTS 1. SUEZ DEVELOPMENTS 2 (page 3). (page 4). 3. 7 NA-BURMA BORDER SITUATION (page 5). 4. LAOTIAN GOVERNMENT- PATHET LAO NEGOTIATIONS (page 7). 5. COMMUNIST CRITICISM OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT (page 8). 6. TEST OF STRENGTH MAY BE SHAPING UP IN SYRIA (page 9). * * * * THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page 10) 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin TOP 2ECRE-T Page 2 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 1. SUEZ DEVELOPMENTS Comment on: The Egyptian statement commenting on the Western communiqu�n the Suez situation suggests that Nasr's tactic now is to play for time until there are clearer-cut indications of the amount of support Egypt will re- ceive from other Arab states, such countries as India and Ceylon, and the USSR. The principal point of in- terest in the statement is a cautious assertion that "a compromise between Egypt's interests and use of the canal as an international waterway should not be ruled out." This phrasing still leaves open the question as to how the compromise should be reached. Nasr appeared to be "wavering slightly" in the face of continued bellicose re- ports from London and Paris there is now some chance that Nasr might accept an international com- mission, including the USSR and Egypt, to oversee the free- dom of transit of the canal. Arab support will be rallied at a meet- ing of the Arab League scheduled for 7 August. Saudi Arabia, which because its oil moves through Suez is one of the most interested Arab parties, has not issued a public statement, 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 TOP SECRET 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Nue 3. THE CHINA-BURMA BORDER SITUATION There are, moreover, strong grounds for suspicion that the clashes referred to by the press ac- tually took place some time ago. The Burmese government clearly is not displeased with the extensive play the "invasion" story is re- ceiving in the Western press. This is indicated by its care- fully worded communiqu�f 31 July which, while stating that the Rangoon Nation's article was overdrawn, admitted the gov- ernment's serious concern over Chinese Communist incursions. In the past, Rangoon has dealt far more severely with the press for far less provocative journalism. Thus far, Peiping has maintained complete silence on the issue. The publicity in the Burmese press has 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin TOP SECRET Page 5 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 -TOP-SECRET Nor undoubtedly discomfited Peiping, which has made special ef- forts to win Burma's good will. Communist China, however, will insist strongly on its own claims in any discussion with the Burmese. 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin TriP�SEeRE-T Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Noy Nftio 4. LAOTIAN GOVERNMENT-PATHET LAO NEGOTIATIONS In negotiations between the Laotian gov- ernment and the Pathet Lao, which began in Vientiane on 1 August, Prime Minister Souvanna Phouma has proposed an agenda calling for cessation of hostilities, restora- tion of royal control in Phong Saly and Sam Neua Provinces, and integration of the Pathets into the national community with- out discrimination. Prince Souphannouvong, leader of the six-man Pathet delegation, has advanced a broader agenda including the formation of a coalition government, guar- antees of the rights of the Pathet troops, and the "question of neutrality." In his opening statement, Souvanna reas- sured the Pathet delegation of Laos' "strict adherence" to the five principles of peaceful coexistence, and emphasized that the Laotian people must not be disappointed in their hopes for a settlement at this time. Souvanna stated this settlement must be based, in general, on the Geneva accords and the recommen- dations of the International Truce Commission, The American ambassador in Vientiane notes the absence of the pro-American Deputy Premier Katay from the delegation. Souvanna has said he feared ICatay's pro-Western reputation would increase Pathet Lao suspicions of the validity of Laotian independence. Souvanna has indicated that negotiations will be conducted by subordinate officials for "three or four days," after which he and Souphannouvong would hold a final meeting to close out the negotiations. 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 ---CONTTDENT47412- 5. COMMUNIST CRITICISM OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT The Indonesian Communist newspaper Harian Ra,kjat printed an editorial on 2 August which probably constitutes the strongest criticism that the Communists have yet leveled against the coalition gov- ernment ot Premier Ali Sastroamidjojo. Although the strongly anti-Communist Masjumi received its usual slaps, the editorial was apparently also aimed at the new moderate leadership of the National Party, which heads the coalition government. Heretofore, the Communists have been pressing for a united_ front , and have sought to promote rela- tions with the National Party at the expense of the Masjumi. Because of the apparent shift toward moderation in Indonesian national politics, as indicated by President Sukarno's recent praise of the US and the emergence of the National Party's right wing as its dominant faction, the Communist Party may be find- ing itself forced into an opposition role. 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 CONFIDENTIAL- Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 6. TEST OF STRENGTH MAY BE SHAPING, UP IN SYRIA , a test of strength between rightist and leftist elements may be shaping up in Syria. Two cabinet ministers, members of the leftist Arab Socialist Resurrection Party (ASRP), have reportedly threatened to resign if President Quwatli does not sign the death sentences passed on mem- bers of the rightist Syrian Social National-. ist Party involved in the assassination of an ASRP army leader in April 1955. The rightists--conservative politicians sup- ported by a group of senior army officers--moved to eliminate leftist influence in the army on 7 July when they forced the resig- nation of Chief of Staff Shuqayr. Since then, they have moved slowly and the leftists have had time to organize. Either the rightist or leftist faction in the army may be seeking a political issue on which to base the use of force to establish itself in power. The American army attach�eport.Ji on 1 August that there was more than the usual number of army officers in Damascus. He suggested that they might be there to assess the situation and to align their forces 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Page 9 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 TQt Srertf THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 3 August) Israeli press reaction to the Suez Canal nationalization now reflects a fear that big-power determina- tion to achieve an orderly settlement within an international framework will only enhance Nasr's prestige and shake the re- maining Western positions in the area, with further impairment to Israel's security. While Egypt has prevented Israeli ships from using the Suez Canal since the beginning of the Arab-Israeli war in 1948, it does permit passage through Suez of non-Israeli vessels carrying "nonmilitary goods" of Israeli origin if they are not destined for an Israeli port. Vessels trading with Israel are blacklisted and are not permitted to refuel or reprovision in Egypt has ordered the transfer of two three- inch coast defense guns from El Arish near the Israeli front to Port Said in the canal zone, This is the first firm indication of withdrawal of equipment from the Israeli front to the canal zone. News of the Suez Canal natidnalization has taken some of the tension off the Israeli-Syrian border, 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin T-GLP-SEeRET Page 10 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868 TOP SE 4 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page II TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03161868