CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/05/21

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03160457
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: May 21, 1957

Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457.
%AU .C.� ILI ZILE,
� illi721 A /47
3.5(c)
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
21 May 1957
Copy No. 134
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASSo . X'
DECLASSIFIED
- CLASS. CHANGED TC.1: TS
NEXT BEVIEW DATE:
AUTH. 0-9
DAT FIEVIE,hc.R
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
J1 ot_4L1�1_, I
Noe
CONTENTS
1. POSSIBLE SOVIET PREPARATIONS TO LAUNCH 950-
NAUTICAL-MILE MISSILE (page 3).
WO 2. PARIS OBSERVERS PREDICT MOLLETS FALL
(page 4).
3. BULGANIN'S LETTER TO MOLLET
. 4. HAITIAN ARMY CHIEF OUSTED
/11
page 5).
(page 6
5. RIGHT CENTER GAINS IN FRENCH BY-ELECTION
(page 7).
6. GREEK CYPRIOT MOVES TO BREAK CYPRUS STALEMATE
Vv" (page 8).
7. PAKISTAN APPARENTLY FAVORS DEFERRING UN
k\li CONSIDERATION OF KASHMIR UNTIL OCTOBER
(page 9).
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Page 2
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
L., L.aL.a I
11.00?
*we
1. POSSIBLE SOVIET PREPARATIONS TO LAUNCH
950-NAUTICAL-MILE MISSILE
Comment
A practice countdown occurred on 17
May 1957 between the rangehead of the
Kapustin Yar missile-test range and
a station 950 nautical miles downrange,
which was first noted in July 1956.
this station compared in permanence
and importance'with other stations located in the three ma-
jor impact areas of the range. While operational traffic has
been passed recently between the rangehead and the 950-
nautical-mile downrange area, this is the first practice
countdown, There have been no previous firings beyond the
650-nautical-mile range station. Based on past experience
this practice countdown signifies that missile firings involv-
ing the station 950 nautical miles downrange will probably
take place in the near future�possibly before the end of
May. A missile test-fired to 950 nautical miles could have
a maximum range of 1200, nautical miles, sufficient to
reach most European targets from launching sites within
the USSR.
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin
f-taP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Page 3
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
3L1./1L/
-*me
2. PARIS OBSERVERS PREDICT MOLLET'S FALL
French Senitor Roger Duchet; leader
of the right-center Independent-Peasant
bloc told Adlai Stevenson on 19 May that
Premier Mollet would be defeated in the
21 May vote on new taxes. In a last-min-
ute rundown
a spokesman for Duchet stated
that two-thirds of the 88 deputies in the
Independent Peasant group are now determined to vote a-
gainst the government.
Other observers in Paris,
expect Mollet to be
defeated, but points out that last-minute changes on
the basis of the Algerian problem and the current UN debate
on the Suez issue might upset calculations. The British
expects Mollet to squeeze by.
Comment
Prior to the last confidence vote on
general policy at the end of March,
Duchet correctly predicted that he would be able to per-
suade the Independent-Peasant bloc to abstain and thus
assure Mollet's survival.
In the past, Mollet has been successful
in last-minute appeals to persuade the assembly to support
his government on confidence issues. These were package
votes, however, involving both domestic and foreign policy;
opponents of Mollet's financial policies reluctantly agreed
to such packages in order to assure firm action in Algeria.
In the present instance, Mollet's opponents must weigh, in
addition to Algeria and the Suez issue, President Coty's im-
minent visit to the United States and the need for Socialist
support to form any subsequent government.
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
�Li.5i 11 11flL1 V I 111/J
Nov
3. BULGANIN'S LETTER TO MOLLET
Comment on:
Soviet premier Bulganin's 17 May letter
to French premier Mollet, like his letter
to Prime Minister Macmillan on 20 April,
seeks a resumption of high-level con-
tacts on a bilateral basis. Bulganin re-
views the USSR's established policies on international prob-
lems and says the Soviet French statement signed during
Mollets visit to Moscow in May 1956 represents the correct
basis for improving Soviet-French relations. Furthering
Moscow's campaign to prevent the arming of the West German
Bundeswehr with nuclear weapons, Bulganin attempts to ex-
ploit chronic French fears of Germany.
The letter repeats Moscow's warning that
German participation in plans for an integrated Europe will
mean German domination of Western Europe. Referring to
France and the USSR as the two Continental powers that had
suffered most from German militarism, Bulganin says the
situation in Germany is in many ways similar to that before
World War II, "when many Western European leaders turned a
blind eye" to German preparations for war.
In an apparent attempt to dissuade France
from participating in EURATOM, Bulganin holds out the pros-
pect of Soviet co-operation in developing atomic energy for-
peaceful purposeS.'
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin
CONFIDENTIAL
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Page 5
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
1-4C51 A .1.15.11ii I _I .11-1JLA
Nor' Nue
4. HAITIAN ARMY CHIEF OUSTED
Comment on:
The ouster on 20 May by the executive
council of government of Haitian army
chief of staff Brigadier General Leon
Cantave on charges of insubordination
may set off further unrest and rioting,
The ouster may indicate that the execu-
tive council is gaining ground in a struggle for power with
opposition presidential candidates who, on 19 May, stated
that they recognized the authority of the army but did not
recognize the executive council. The council appeared to
be losing control over the country when five of the presi-
dential candidates, led by Clement Jumelle and Francois
Duvalier, set up revolutionary "committees of public
safety" in St. Marc and Cap Haitien, two important cities
to the north of Port-au-Prince, and showed impressive sup-
port throughout the north and west.
Although Cantave ostensibly supported
the government, rumors have persisted since last December
that he was in close collaboration with Jumelle. The coun-
cil blamed Cantave for the army's failure on 19 May to pre-
vent Jumelle and Duvalier supporters from threatening
council members when they attempted to enter St. Marc.
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
CONFIDENTIAL
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04C03160457
DAVI:ALT _IL JEZIEM-
\MI NM%
5. RIGHT CENTER GAINS IN FRENCH BY-ELECTION
Comment on:
The vote in the by-election in Lyon on
19 May to fill the National Assembly
seat vacated by the death of Radical
Socialist Edouard Herriot appears to
be following the trend toward the right center which has
been evidenced in other French by-elections during the
past six months. Although the Communist candidate led
with 52,204 votes, an Independent Peasant ran a close
second with 47,116, winning 5 percent more of the total
vote than in the 1956 general election. Communist support
fell off compared with the 1956 election, but this is normal
in by-elections. General Jacques Faure, who had Poujadist
support, ran a poor sixth with only 15,409 votes,
No candidate received a majority, and
a runoff vote will be held on 2 June, at which time the cen-
ter parties are likely to turn their support to the leading
right center candidate to assure him the plurality needed
to win a runoff. The second round may seer an increase
in the votes for both extremes as they step up activity in
the next two weeks.
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
---"OZL4ILE 1
Nue
6. GREEK CYPRIOT MOVES TO BREAK CYPRUS STALEMATE
it is "virtually certain' violence will not
be resumed on Cyprus, since the leader-
ship of the union-with-Greece movement
recognizes that further violence would
damage its cause.
the leader of
the underground organization EOKA, George
Grivas, may already have left Cyprus. Arch-
bishop Makarios intends to leave Athens soon
on an "enlightenment" mission to northern
Europe and plans to arrive in the United States before the open=
ing of the UN General Assembly session next fall.
Comment Athens probably hopes that these moves,
and continued peace on Cyprus, will cause
the British to reopen negotiations with Makarios. The Brit-
ish
would not be pleased if
Makarios arrived in London,. it would nevertheless have to
talk to him informally.
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457
JEA.411.EA J.
Nan/ N4100
7. PAKISTAN APPARENTLY FAVORS DEFERRING UN
CONSIDERATION OF KASHMIR UNTIL OCTOBER
Comment on:
Pakistani officials now are inclined
toward deferring a UN Security Coun-
cil session on the Kashmir dispute un-
til October,
Karachi may be interested in prolong=
in the issue in order to exert maximum pressure on India,
Top-level
Pakistani officials apparently foresee no acceptable solu-
tion to the problem through UN action, but hope that inter-
national opinion eventually will force India to seek a com-
promise settlement. Furthermore, Prime Minister Suhra-
wardy probably would prefer to complete his trips to Afghan-
istan and Europe, scheduled for June and July, and also have
time to stabilize Pakistan's internal political situation, prior
to further deliberations on Kashmir.
Willingness to postpone UN consideration
of the problem until fall suggests that the Pakistani govern-
ment feels confident it can manage any internal agitation
over the issue during the summer and restrain any attempts
by tribal elements to "liberate" Kashmir.
21 May 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03160457