CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/05/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03160449
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: May 9, 1957

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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DAT
9 May 1957
Copy No.
REVIEVVER.
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
134
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'Mr* NOW r
CONTENTS
SUKARNO IMPOSES "GUIDED DEMOCRACY" BY DECREE
(page 3).
0 2. JORDAN MAY DEFER REQUEST FOR ENTRY OF IRAQI
TROOPS (page 4).
0 3.
CEASE-FIRE VIOLATiONS REPORTED BY HONDURAS
AND NICARAGU (page 5).
job 4. SOVIET SHIPMENTS TO EGYPT OF EQUIPMENT FOR
NUCLEAR PHYSICS LABORATORY1
(page 6).
CAIRO TO RETAIN CONTROL OF FEDAYEEN GROUPS IN
JORDAI (page 7).
z. 6. CUBAN POLICE AND ARMY PERSONNEL IMPLICATED IN
o,. ANTIGOVERNMENT CONSPIRACY (page 8).
016.7'
ROJAS' "RELECTION" MAY LEAD TO SHOWDOWN IN
COLOMBIA (page 9).
off, 8. CHRISTI CRATIC GOVERNMENT SEEN LIKELY
IN ITALY (page 10).
GOVERNOR HARDING'S VIEWS ON A CYPRUS SETTLEMENT
(page 11).
CHINESE COMMUNISTS GIVE THEIR VIEWS ON PROPER
CONDUCT FOR COMMUNIST STATES (page 12).
9 May 57
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
(page 13)
Current Intelligence Bulletin
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Noe Nese
1. SUKARNO IMPOSES "GUIDED DEMOCRACY" BY DECREE
Comment on:
President Sukarno's concept of "guided
democracy" has been imposed on Indo-
nesia by an emergency decree promul-
gated on 8 May. It was explained that
- parliamentary democracy had failed.
The law, signed by Sukarno two days previously, established
a "national council" which will advise the government "with
or without its consent!' Sukarno will personally head the
council, which will include "functional" representatives of
all significant elements of society, including the Communist
Party, and at least seven regional representatives.
This action climaxes Sukarno's efforts in
the past six months to increase Communist influence in gov-
ernment. During that time he has frequently, expressed his
admiration for the bloc's organizational methods in promot-
ing the interest of "the masses." The decree was issued
shortly after the beginning of the state visit of Soviet presi-
dent Voroshilov.
Sukarno's decision to go ahead with his
plans despite the disaffection of most non-Javanese areas in-
dicates that he has the support of the army chief of staff and
of army units of Javanese extraction stationed throughout
Indonesia. With the additional support of the small navy and
air force, he undoubtedly expects to restore central control
Over the Outlying areas.
9 May 57
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Nue
2. JORDAN MAY DEFER REQUEST FOR ENTRY OF
IRAQI TROOPS
King Hussain and Deputy Premier
Samir Rifai have been persuaded, at
least temporarily, not to request en-
try of Iraqi troops as a means to force
withdrawal of Syrian troops from Jordan, according to Am-
bassador Mallory in Amman. Hussain was persuaded on
this course by Abdul Monem Rifai, former ambassador to
Washington and brother of the deputy premier, who drafted
a note which was delivered to Syria on 6 May stating that
Syrian forces in Jordan had "exceeded their purposes" and
requesting replacement of the leftist Syrian commander.
While the note did not specifically ask the Syrians to with-
draw, the language suggested further Jordanian moves if
Syria did not desist from political activity in Jordan.
Comment On 4 May, Deputy Premier Falai told
Ambassador Mallory that he desired to
put pressure on Syria to withdraw its 3,000 troops from Jor-
dan by requesting entry of Iraqi troops in accordance with
the Iraqi-Jordanian treaty of 1947. The Syrians have as-
serted that their troops are at King Hussain's command. The
decision on whether to withdraw, however, will probably be
made by Nasr.
9 May 57
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Non, Nue"
3. CEASE-FIRE VIOLATIONS REPORTED BY HONDURAS
AND NICARAGUA
Comment on:
In a note to the Council of the Organ-
ization of American States (OAS) on
8 May, Honduras charged Nicaragua
with two serious violations on 7 May
of the temporary cease-fire agreement
which the special OAS committee had
concluded with each government on
5 May. Nicaragua k.tanied these charges
and claimed that Honduras had itself
violated the cease-fire by air attacks on two towns in the dis-
puted area.
Honduras also charged that aircraft,
pilots, and war materiel arrived in Nicaragua late on 6 May
from the Dominican Republic in response to a Nicaraguan re-
quest. The arrival of this aid has not been confirmed. Nic-
aragua may have requested the Dominican Republic's military
aid, which was reportedly offered to Nicaragua last October
in the event of an emergency.
The OAS committee has only until the
evening of 9 May to work out a mutually acceptable troop
withdrawal plan if the deadline in the cease-fire agreement
is to be met. President Somoza told the American ambassa-
dor on 7 May that he would not agree to withdrawal of Nicara-
guan police and civil authorities from that portion of the dis-
puted area which he considers indisputably Nicaraguan. He
might, however, withdraw his troops from this area temporar-
ily if the Hondurans agreed to retire to a line north of their
present positions.
An 8 May broadcast in Honduras indicates
that Hondurans are still being urged to register for military
service.
9 May 57
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4. SOVIET SHIPMENTS TO EGYPT OF EQUIPMENT FOR
NUCLEAR PHYSICS LABORATORY
Comment on:
A nuclear physics laboratory which the
USSR has agreed to establish near Cairo
will probably be completed on schedule
in early 1958,
Unidentified apparatus and a "control desk" for
the laboratory are to be delivered in July and August, and
buildings to house the nuclear laboratory are to be completed
"either in August or September."
The agreement under which the USSR is
establishing the laboratory was signed in Moscow on 9 Febru-
ary 1956. Under a second agreement of 12 July 1956,the two
governments agreed to "co-operate in nuclear physics research
and peaceful applications of atomic energy." The USSR has al-
ready furnished some equipment, but has not yet shipped a
promised small nuclear reactor of 2,000-kilowatt capacity.
Soviet scientists will probably be needed
to direct laboratory operations for several years. Cairo can-
not now furnish the necessary trained personnel, although 12
to 15 Egyptian students are being trained in nuclear sciences
at the Moscow State University.
9 May 57
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5. CAIRO TO RETAIN CONTROL OF FEDAYEEN GROUPS
IN JORDAN
Comment on:
Jordanian authorities have recently at-
tempted to gain control of fedayeen groups
in Jordan which have in the past operated
against Israel under the direction of Egyp-
tian and Syrian military intelligence but
which King Hussain probably fears could
be directed against himself.
Sharif Nasr, uncle
or icing kiussain, nad offered the fedayeen groups increased pay
if they "did not work for Egypt and Syria, but only for Jordan,"
and threatened those who refused to co-operate.
Egyptian authorities
in Cairo instructed that the fedayeen
groups should continue to work for Egypt without any increase
in pay since "the operation is patriotic rather than materialis-
tic!' Cairo added that some fedayeen should accept Sharif Nast.%
offer in order to gain information on Jordan's intentions.
Hussain reportedly hopes to use subverted
fedayeen in order to obtain intelligence on other groups which
might be sent to stir up trouble in Jordan.
9 May 57
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Noe Nowe
6. CUBAN POLICE AND ARMY PERSONNEL IMPLICATED
IN ANTIGOVERNMENT CONSPIRACY
A conspiracy against the Cuban govern-
ment in which army personnel and police
officers are involved has been discovered
by the national police.
The discovery
was made following the arrest of a police corporal. More ar-
rests are expected.
The Cuban army is on an alert status be-
cause of insistent rumors that new revolutionary attempts will
occur during May.
Comment Serious disaffection within the army,
Batista's principal source of power, would
constitute a real threat to the stability of the government, which
has been weakened during recent months by its failure to con-
trol rebel action, sabotage, and continued scattered violence.
At present, Batista retains control over the army, although dis-
affection within the ranks and among junior officers has been ru-
mored for some time.
The most serious threat to Batista's con-
trol over the army occurred during April 1956, when a conspir-
acy by influential officers was nipped in the bud. Rumors per-
sist that certain of those officers, now in prison, have maintained
connections with civilian revolutionary groups determined to de-
pose Batista.
9 May 57
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7. ROJAS "RE-ELECTION" MAY LEAD TO SHOWDOWN
IN COLOMBIA
Comment on:
The Colombian political crisis appears
near a showdown as President Rojas'
hand-picked National Constituent Assem-
bly convened on 8 May and voted his "re-
election" for the 1958-1962 term.
The bulk of the armed forces appear to
remain loyal to Rojas. Widespread ru-
mors that discontent has spread to the
military, however, have in part been
substantiated by the fact that several high-
ranking officers have recently expressed
sharp criticism of Rojas to American embassy personnel.
a high-ranking army officer,
recommended at a general staff meeting that
Rojas be ousted; the officer said afterward he expected to be
arrested momentarily.
"Rojae tenure now appears only a matter of hours."
Violence in the past two days has centered
in the industrial city of Cali, where student demonstrations
have resulted in 15 dead and 50 wounded. Banking, industrial,
and commercial establishments have totally or partially closed
down in the major cities, possibly as part of the opposition's
tactics to oust Rojas by a general strike.
In a 6 May speech to the nation, Rojas indi-
cated his determination to stand firm. He met with banking
officials on 7 May, however, and reportedly discussed his res-
ignation and departure from the country.
Communists are not believed to be playing
any part in the widespread unrest.
9 May 57
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Nor'
8. CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT SEEN
LIKELY IN ITALY
Comment on:
President Gronchi is not expected to
name a premier-designate until after
French president Coty's departure early
next week. An exclusively Christian
Democratic cabinet seems the most likely
outcome of the cabinet crisis caused by
Premier Segni% resignation on 6 May.
Segni will probably be asked first to at-
tempt to reconstitute a coalition govern-
ment, While Gronchi would probably prefer a single-party
Christian Democratic government to be drawn mainly from
the left wing, it is unlikely that such a cabinet could win con-
firmation.
Since the Christian Democratic Party lacks
a majority in parliament, it would have to draw support alter-
nately from the right or left, depending on the issue. Chances
for passage of controversial legislation or for anything more
than a few months' tenure appear slim.
There is renewed speculation that the gen-
eral elections, now scheduled for the spring of 1958, may be
held this fall.
9 May 57
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9. GOVERNOR HARDING'S VIEWS ON A CYPRUS SETTLEMENT
Governor Harding told the American con-
sul in Nicosia on 6 May that the British
are reassessing the value of Cyprus as
a base in connection with their new de-
fense plans, and said there is a limit- -"say, two years"--to
the length of time Britain can continue its direct rule on Cyprus
under present conditions. Consul Courtney gained the impres-
sion that London is looking seriously at the possibilties of "in-
viting others" to share military facilities or even of withdrawing
entirely.
Harding said that Turkish antagonism makes
guaranteed independence impractical at present. He believes
partition might work if carried out gradually--perhaps over a
10-year period�with the British meanwhile continuing to admin-
ister Cyprus.
Comment London regards partition as a possible last
resort, In view of the difficulties involved,
however, it apparently continues to hope that Ankara instead can
be persuaded to accept guaranteed independence for Cyprus. If
Britain withdraws from Cyprus, the Turks will tmdoubtedlr
move to occupy the island unless restrained.
9 May 57
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Amp> %me
10. CHINESE COMMUNISTS GIVE THEIR VIEWS ON PROPER
CONDUCT FOR COMMUNIST STATES
Comment on:
A Polish report of conversations held in
Peiping last month between Chinese Com-
munist leaders and the Cyrankiewicz del-
egation, recently printed in the highly
authoritative Warsaw magazine PolitYka,
indicates that the Chinese Communists have not budged from
their previous positions on key questions relating to bloc af-
fairs and that they are still confidently advancing their views
as sound doctrine for the Communist world.
Peiping's leaders stressed the importance
of resolving internal conflicts by convincing the people through
argument rather than by applying wholesale repressive meas-
ures--except in instances where the "enemy" has intervened,
as was the case in Hungary. On questions involving intrabloc
relations, the Chinese made clear their view that solidarity
is not the same as uniformity and reportedly declared that be-
cause every nation has its own peculiarities, experience gained
in one country cannot be uncritically applied to another. The
Chinese urged that differences between bloc countries be dis-
cussed privately within party channels rather than in open pub-
lic debate.
In a press conference with Soviet corre-
spondents on 4 May, Chou En- lai strongly reaffirmed Peiping's
position that it is necessary to accept certain differences be-
tween the various socialist states in order to maintain bloc
unity. Chou declared the guiding principle is for Communist
states to be "at one in the main while differing in particulars!'
Chou commented, "We consider that it is not necessary for all
socialist states to inevitably have 100-percent identity of views
on all questions. This is impossible even inside one party."
9 May 57
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�31.1illal 1.1:i
SUMMARY
10 April - 8 May 1957
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group
for the Taiwan Strait Problem
1. There were no significant combat operations in the
area during the period.
2. The Yingtan-Amoy Railroad was officially opened to
regular through traffic on 11 ApriL The Nanping- Foochow branch
will not be completed this year, according to a Hong Kong Commu-
nist newspaper article,which stated that only one third of the dis-
tance to Foochow will be finished during 1957.
3. Photography of 13 April disclosed the concentration of
about 125 probable landing craft about 80 miles south of Shanghai,
near Ningpo. Also disclosed in this general area was a small ship-
yard with 1.4 similar craft on the building ways. These craft seem
to be of the type being built in Dairen which can carry 110 troops
each. The craft are suitable for troop transport and resupply ac-
tivities and for coastal amphibious operations against offshore is-
lands.
4. Chiang Kai-shek's son, Chiang Ching-kuo, is reliably re-
ported to have said that no Chinese Nationalist invasion
of the mainland could take place in 1957. This remark is in line
with a statement attributed to President Chiang Kai-shek before the
Kuomintang central committee in March. The president is said to
have declared the more advantageous time for attacking the main-
land was "later rather than earlier," and that the opportune time
might come within the next five or seven years.
5. Peiping reacted to the announcement that Matador mis-
siles would be stationed on Taiwan by renewing charges that the
United States is planning to turn Taiwan into an aggressive atomic
9 May 57
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'44.19
base. At the same tinie the Chinese Communists charged that
the announcement reflected US alarm at the "profound response"
on Taiwan to their "peaceful liberation" overtures. Peiping
concluded that the US action would not "weaken even slightly the
determination of the Chinese people to liberate Taiwan."
9 May 57
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--ffeRtt
TAIWAN STRAIT SITUATION
CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND:
DESIGNATIONS
PRIMARY AIRFIELD
CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN
AREA WITH PREPARED RUNWAY
GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER.
SECONDARY AIRFIELD
AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY BASES
OR FIELDS OF LESSER IMPORTANCE.
RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN
5000 FEET.
ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY 8. CIVILIAN AIR-
CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES
MAY BE USABLE BY JETS
�
OPERATIONAL
INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
SERVICEABLE
CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED
UNKNOWN
USABILITY
? oak
MIG-15
MIG- 17
TU-4
IL-28
TU-2,
IL-10
LA-9 /11
LI-2
ETC.
UNKNOWN
6
Z
0
* FIELDS NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE
OF SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPER-
ATIONS AT PRESENT.
0 NI' A N 118
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HSINCHENG Yungan NANTAI 77; 2,00O
CHANGT 53,000
/ING* LIENHENG LUNGTIEN
( MACHIANG
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IUNGCHI '---
AMOY
8Y,000
K WA NGTUNG 1
CHENGHAI \
SWATOW 0116
rL.L. Hong Kong
(oz.)
Acao
(Port.)
114 116 110
Go� WUCHIU
Thu IAN
CHINGYANG
OCHI
QUEMOY
84,000
28-
St.IGSHAN
TAOYUAN
15
TAIPEI
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PENGHU
16,000 ,NAN
PltrTUNG
1;0
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22
92
NAUTICAL MILES
O 50 100
O 50 100 150
STATUTE MILES
150
,T�NATIONALIST AIRFIELD
Railroad Primary roads
Under construction or projected Secondary roads
-SEC-Rtr"
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