CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/02/05

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03157479
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 5, 1956
File: 
Body: 
Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 rriF/9 .4) CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN lz e � // � /j, / �T-60-1" SECRET DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS ra r DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE. =) 5 February 1956 / 15 Loopy NO. AUTH: HR 70-2 DATE. I I 1.1;6, DREVIEWER OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY z TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 103 si34 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Alsik Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 II Approv""edf n or Release: n � eleae7 s 5-- 019%10/21 C03157479 NriV CONTENTS 1. BRITISH DISCOURAGED OVER MAKARIOS' REPLY ON CYPRUS FORMULA (page 3). 2. KARACHI READY TO RULE BY DECREE (page 4). 3. EURATOM PROJECT SEEN THREATENED IN FRANCE (page 5). 5 Feb 56 * * * * ATION (page 6) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 s.7.11-A�atie 401k, 1 BRITISH DISCOURAGED OVER MAKARIOS' REPLY ON CYPRUS FORMULA Cypriot archbishop Makarios' con- ditional acceptance of Britain's formula committing it to the establishment of self-government on Cyprus is regarded by the British Foreign Office as "equivo- cal and definitely discouraging." The absence of Prime Minister Eden and Foreign Secretary Lloyd and the pressure of other problems will delay a decision for several days. Makarios is seek- ing to bring the British into negotiating a constitution on his own terms. Makarios in his reply stipulated that the British must give assurances concerning the consti- tutional principles on which sell-government would be based before he can discourage the use of terrorism on the island. He insists on a legislature with an elected ma- jority chosen on the basis of proportional representation, and the subordination of the executive to the legislative au- thority, except in matters of foreign affairs and defense, which will remain in British hands. London probably cannot accept all of Makarios' conditions without risking a violent Turkish re- action, since Turkey insists that a Cypriot legislature must provide equal representation for the Greek community and the Turkish minority. If a legislature is organized, a re- sumption of agitation on Cyprus for union with Greece can be expected. 5 Feb 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Nit 2. KARACHI READY TO RULE BY DECREE Pakistani governor general Mirza will make his final decision regarding the imposition of martial law in East Paid.- stan within the next week, he was prepared to take over the country if a break between East and West Pakistan threatened, and rule by decree. such a break was possible because of the new alliance of the United Front-- now in the central government--with the opposition Awami League on the issue of increased power for East Pakistan under the new constitution. Comment The United Front and the Awami League, are probably aware of Mirza's readi- ness to act and may hesitate to force the constitutional issue. 5 Feb 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 ---SEeRE-T- Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 3. EURATOM PROJECT SEEN THREATENED IN FRANCE Ambassador Dillon believes that it may be very difficult to obtain final parlia- mentary approval in France for the proposed EURATOM project if all les must renounce the right to make atomic weapons. According to him, this concept was recently in- jected into the original EURATOM plan by Jean Monnet, and while it is wholeheartedly approved by Premier Mollet, it is already provoking strong criticism in ultranationalist circles. Dillon estimates that the prospects are good that the French Assembly will soon approve a general resolution in favor of EURATOM, but cautions that this would not necessarily mean more than did the assembly's resolution approving EDC in 1952. Comment Monnet's special emphasis on the peace- ful purposes of EURATOM probably re- flects his desire to strengthen Socialist support for the plan, particularly in West Germany. In endorsing the Monnet resolution, Premier Mollet probably hopes also to exploit it as evidence of France's desire for early progress toward disarmament. However, Mollet's fur- ther belief that he can use integration as a drawing card for more right-center support of his government would be seriously compromised by nationalist feeling whipped up over the ban on manufacture of nuclear arms� The question of weapons manufacture would in any case have arisen in connection with the pro- posals that EURATOM have exclusive ownership and con- trol over nuclear fuels. This problem will probably be discussed by the foreign ministers of the Coal-Steel Community when they meet on 18 February to discuss both EURATOM and the common market. 5 Feb 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 :s.F.enrT Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 me� THE ARAB-ISRA:ELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 5 February) Israel is prepared militarily "for any contingency" but no decision has been made to engage in hostilities, Israel is expected to proceed with the Jordan River water diversion project at Banat Yacov at some future time. the recent move of Egyptian armor to Sinai is related to Egyptian expectations that Israel "will do some- thing," probably resume the Banat Yacov project in the near future, receipt of the Soviet tanks and jet aircraft has given a tremendous boost to morale and con- fidence of the Egyptian troops and that some elements may be "chafing at the bit," Nasr is not happy over the prospect of war with Israel and is hoping that Western action will prevent Israeli resumption of the Banat Yacov project. Egypt will rapidly come to the aid of the Syrians in the event of hostilities The Syrian ambassadoY Ihis belief (1) that Israel intends to resume the Banat Yacov project even if it means war; (2) that the US and Britain are agreeable to Israel's carrying out of the project and will avoid seriously opposing Israel either diplomatically or militarily; and (3) that Israel will retreat only if it is faced with the possibility of , large-scale hostilities and the Arabs should announce their intention to fight and undertake immediate preparations 5 Feb 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 TDP--SEGMET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479 1 ill 1 Alk` 5 Feb 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 1=0P-SEERET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03157479