CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/09/05

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Keywords: 2018 Sanitization
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03156626
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: September 5, 1958

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3.5(C) /
3.3(h)(2)
5 September 1958
Copy No,, C
CENTRAL
5 ()
IVIELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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5 SEPTEMBER 1958
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan Strait - Weather inhibits mil-
itary operations; Pravda again blames
crisis on US "belligerence."
Peiping formalizes 12-mile-limit
claim.
Satellite leaders may have met with
Khrushchev recently.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia - Nasution states army in-
tends to cancel elections and maintain
present cabinet for five years.
Morocco to apply for Arab League
membership. -
Lebanon - Shihab reportedly agrees
fn 11nMP rphpl IcsnriPr prime minister.
Iraq welcomes Kurdish leader's re-
turn from USSR.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
5 September 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*Taiwan Strait situation (as of 0100 EDT, 5 September):
There was a minimum of military activity on 4 September,
since Typhoon Grace, which has now moved inland, has
inhibited sea and air operations. Pravda has printed an-
other tough comment which emphasizes the now general
Communist propaganda theme that American "belliger-
ence" is responsible for the crisis.,
Communist China: Peiping's official declaration that its
territorial waters extend 12 miles from a base line drawn to
include all coastal islands apparently is intended to formalize
a claim to such a territorial limit. The declaration indirectly
warns the US against escort activities on behalf of the Chinese
Nationalists, stating that "no airplane or military vessel of
any foreign country" shall enter China's territorial waters or
skies without Peiping's permission. Taiwan and the Penghus
--which "will some day be restored"--are included in Peiping's
claims, as are the South China Sea islands, but the warning
Is not explicitly extended to these areas.
(Map)
USSR-Satellites: All European satellite party first secre-
taries were away from their capitals during late August and may
have been meeting with IChrushchev in the Crimea. Intrabloc
problems which might have been discussed at such a meeting
Ii
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include clarification of the tactics to be employed toward
Yugoslavia, economic integration matters, and some mili-
tary questions. (Page 4)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia: Army chief Nasution, in an appeal for addi-
tional US military assistance, has stated the army intends
to maintain the present cabinet in power for five years and
cancel all elections during that period. He claims he has
already told the National Council it will not be possible to
hold national elections as scheduled in 1959. The task of
the army, as Nasution defines it, will be to steer Indonesia
down the middle of the road between Communism and a
Moslem state. (Page 5)
Morocco - Arab League: The decision announced by the
Moroccan Government on 3 September to apply for member-
ship in the Arab League reflects its growing interest in Arab
solidarity. The decision probably was influenced by the re-
cent visit to Rabat of the Iraqi foreign minister, the unity
ecently exhibited by Arab representatives at the United Na-
tions, and the need for continued Arab solidarity during
forthcoming UN consideration of the Algerian problem.
(Page 6)
Lebanon:
General Shihab has agreed to nominate rebel leader Rashid
Karame of Tripoli as prime minister. Shihab also allegedly
promised to withdraw security forces from the commercial
area of Beirut and to halt all military and civil activity against
the rebels in return for a partial abandonment of the rebel-
enforced general strike. Cairo radio has
already predicted the appointment of Karame. An easing of
the strike was announced following a meeting of rebel leaders
In Beirut on 3 September. (Page 7)
5 Sept 58
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Iraq: The government has announced that it will welcome
the return to Iraq of Mulla Mustafa Barzani, dissident Kurd-
ish nationalist leader. He has lived in the Soviet Union gince
the last Kurdish revolts in Iraq and Iran in 1943-46. His re-
turn seems likely to increase Soviet influence among Iraqi
Kurds and will alarm the Iranian and Turkish governments,
which are already disturbed over Iraqi proDaanda directed
at their important jairclish minorities. (Page 8)
III, SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding week)
National Intelligence Estimate No. 62-58. Thailand, 19
August 1958.
Special National Intelligence Estimate No. 100-9-58.
Probable Developments in the Taiwan Strait Area. 26 Au-
gust 1958.
National Intelligence Estimate No. 11-5-58. Soviet
Capabilities in Guided Missiles and Space Vehicles. 19 Au-
gust 1958.
National Intelligence Estimate No. 100-3-58. The Na-
ture of the Sino-Soviet Bloc Economic Threat in the Under-
developed Areas. 5 August 1958.
5 Sept 58
DAILY BRIEF lii
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L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan Strait Situation (as of 0100 EDT, 5 September)
Typhoon Grace bypassed most of Taiwan during the _flight
of 3-4 September causing some light damage in the northern
area. There are no reports yet of damage on the mainland,
where the storm apparently struck near Shanghai. After the
typhoon passed, severe weather conditions continued to hamper
military operations.
Activity by Chinese Communist aircraft has been at a low
_level since 1 September, probably because of the weather.
Communist fighters on the fields opposite Taiwan, however,
continued to react against Nationalist overflights of the main-
land; the latest reaction occurred on 3 September when fighters
attempted to intercept four Nationalist aircraft over Fukien.
Recent artillery fire against the Kinmens has been light,
and most of the fire has been directed at supply and communi-
cation areas, indicating that, for the present, the mission of
the Communist artillery is interdiction and harassment. Total
casualties on the Kinmens as of noon on 4 September were 918
military personnel, including 241 killed, and 83 civilians.
Pravda's new comment on 5 September claims that Chiang
Kai-shek's attacks against Communist China are part of a
United States plan for a large-scale military provocation. It
states, "It is quite obvious that the Chinese People's Republic
could not allow these islands to be in the hands of hostile forces
engaged in open military operations." The statement concludes
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with Moscow' standard follow-up threat that the USSR can-
not "remain inactive in the face of what is happening on the
borders or on the territory of -its great ally" and that
ramifications could spread beyond the Taiwan Strait.
The Nationalists have made no effort to land supplies on
the Kinrnens since the evening of 2 Septe:.-nber, when a supply
ship was turned back because of a torpedo attack. Lack of
supply attempts probably has also resulted from the adverse
weather. A convoy is expected to sail about 5 September.
A prototype Nationalist F-86F has been equIpped to fire
Sidewinder air-to-air missiles and an additional
are expected to be so equipped by 12 September.
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UNCLASSIFIED
BURMA
MONGOLIA
PEIPING.
CHINA
Canton,
R. Bayard !_:eill-IONG
Haiphong -
45- KONG
ORTK, (
IETNAM
Harbin
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NORTH
Daire K .0. .R.1�A, OF
/4 PAN
SOUrH
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Shanghai "IST .45j
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THAILAND
AMBODIA
SOUTH
VIETNAM
-
SOUTH
CHI NA
BRUNEI
MALAYA
SAI}AWAK
SINGAPOR'E
t,
Borneo
o
Sumatra ,
-JaVa
24721 80904-2
TAIWAN
PHILIPPINES
,
INDONESIA
Gulf of Po Hai
Tung Yin
Matsus
White Dogs Paichuan)
Wuchius
Penghus
Kinmen (Quemoy)
Lieh Hsu( Little Quemoy)
Tatan
Erhtan
Tung Ting
Pratas I. ( Tung Sha)
Chiungchou Strait
Macclesfield Bank (Chung Sha
Paracel Is. (Hsi Sha)
Spratly Is. (Nan Sha)
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twi Niftm,
Peiping Formalizes Claim to 12-Mile Territorial Limit
Peiping's official declaration on 4 September that its
territorial waters extend 12 miles from a base line drawn to
include all coastal islands apparently is intended as formal
documentation of its claim to such a territorial limit and
to the offshore islands themselves. The declaration was
"approved1' on the same day by the standing committee of
the National People's Congress�Peiping's version of the
Supreme Soviet. China has already been operating on the
basis of a12-mile limit in sporadic seizures of non-Com-
munist fishing vessels over the past four years.
The declaration indirectly warns the US against es-
cort activities on behalf of the Chinese Nationalists, stating
that "no airplane or military vessel of any foreign country"
shall "enter the territorial waters of China or the skies a-
bove" without Peiping's permission. Taiwan and the Penghus
(Pescadores)--which the declaration says will be "re-
stored" at the "appropriate time by all suitable means" --
are included in Peiping's claims, but the warning is not ex-
plicitly extended to these areas. There is no mention of
Hong Kong or Macao, which are covered by formal agree-
ments.
The South China Sea islands which have been marked
on Peiping's maps as Communist territory are included in
the claim. There have been Chinese Communist personnel
on one of the Hsisha Islands (Paracels) collecting guano since
at least 1955. The Paracels are also claimed by Nationalist
China and by both North and South Vietnam. Pelping's;claims
to the an.. Sha (Spratly)Aslands farther south are disputed
by Nationalist China, South Vietnam. France., and a Phil-
ippine national..
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Nee
Soviet Bloc Leaders May Have Met in Crimea
Soviet Party First Secretary Khrushchev may have
met with his satellite counterparts in the Crimea between
26 August and 1"September. Among the subjects which
could have been discussed by the bloc leaders are the tac-
tics to be employed toward Yugoslavia, problems of eco-
nomic integration, the Taiwan Strait situati6n, and the
international Communist commission recently reported
to have been formed. The conferees may also have dis-
cussed the satellite role in the projected East-West talks
on prevention of surprise attack, specifically as related
to the Rapacki Plan for a denuclearized zone in Central
Europe.
13Bports from the American Embassy in Warsaw
suggest that Polish First
Secretary Gomulka, accompanied by Premier Cyran-
kiewicz and Defense Minister,'Spychalski, went to the
Crimea during this period. Top Czechoslovak and Hun-
garian leaders are known to have been in the USSR since
mid-August. East German party leader Ulbricht is
vacationing in the USSR, and the top Bulgarian, Rumanian,
and Albanian leaders were away from their capitals dur-
ing late August. The East German and Rumanian defense
ministers were also absent from their capitals.
Albanian Party First Secretary Enver Hoxha
apparently was picked up in Tirana by a Soviet VIP plane
scheduled to fly from Moscow to Tirana on 26 August and
return.
5 Sept 58
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Noe
II, ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesian Army Chief of Staff Discusses Anti-
C4Zimmunist Program
Indonesian Army Chief of Staff General Nasution out-
lined to American General Vittrup, currently in Indonesia to
oversee the arrival of American equipment, his program for
political stability and the obstruction of Communism. In what
amounted to an appeal for additional military assistance to pro-
vide the strength to implement his program, Nasution said the
army's task is to steer a middle-of-the-road course, prevent-
ing either a move to the left and Communism or to the right and
a Moslem state.
Nasution claimed the army intends to make sure the present
cabinet stays in power for the next five years. He has already inL
formed the National Council that parliamentary elections, sched-
uled for 1959, must be postponed. He explained to the "council
that people in combat areas would be unable to participate, and
that any national elections would therefore be "undemocratic."
General Nasution said he had already taken action to bring the
West New Guinea issue under army control and thus prevent the
Communists from capitalizing on the issue.
Nasution's ability to carry out his program would be de-
pendent on the support of President Sukarno. Communist and
left-wing elements, however, are reported trying to force a mis-
understanding between Sukarno and Nasution, and this pressure
will become increasingly severe as Nasution's moves become more
apparent. The Communists, who would be expected to increase
their parliamentary strength significantly if elections are held in
1959, have already strongly denounced the possibility of any post-
ponement.
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Morocco to Join Arab League
The decision announced by the Moroccan Government
on 3 September to apply for membership in the Arab League
reflects Morocco's growing interest in Arab solidarity. Mo-
rocco had postponed entry into the league because of its un-
willingness to be drawn into Iraqi-Egyptian rivalries. The
decision probably was influenced by the visit to Rabat of the
Iraqi foreign minister, who apparently had a cordial audi-
ence with King Mohamed V on 29 August. The Moroccan
Government also was influenced by the degree of unity a-
chieved last month by Arab representatives at the United
Nations and the need for continued Arab cohesion during
the forthcoming UN consideration of the Algerian problem.
The Moroccan undersecretary for foreign affairs, who
is in Tunis attending a meeting of the Maghreb Secretariat,
was instructed to inform Tunisia--with which Morocco has
agreed to coordinate all foreign policies--of the Moroccan
decision. Tunisian President Bourguiba was the prime mov-
er in the creation last April of an embryonic Maghreb fed-
eration, composed of Algeria, Morocco, and Tunisia, which
he seems to hope will serve as a counterweight to the eastern
bloc of Arab states. Bourguiba, who is outspokenly anti-
Nasir, may be expected to view current attempts to revital-
ize the Arab League as a maneuver by UAR President Nasir
to dominate all Arab countries. Should he consider the Mo-
roccan decision a threat to Maghreb unity, he may attempt to
dissuade Rabat from joining the, league. Nevertheless, when
Morocco becomes a league member, domestic pressure with-
in Tunisia probably will be strong enough to induce Bourguiba
to follow suit.
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Lebanese Situation
Lebanese rebel Druze leader Kamal Jumblatt claims
that President-elect General Shihab has agreed to nominate
Rashid Karame, the Tripoli rebel leader, as prime minister
in the next cabinet. Jumblatt,
also stated that
Shihab "in principle" agreed to withdraw security forces
from the Beirut commercial section and to halt all military
and civil actions against the rebels. The general was said
to have agreed to bring about the withdrawal of American
troops from the capital's environs. Jumblatt went to Damas-
cus, on 2 September as the general's emissary, presumably
to request the withdrawal of UAR infiltrators from Lebanon.
On September "headquarters" in Syria ordered the delivery
of ammunition to a Sidon rebel leader.
Possibly aware of Shihab's intention to rule with a care-
taker cabinet of technicians, the Cairo press on 4 September
"forecast" that Karame would be named by Shihab as prime
minister. This attempt to force Shihab's hand may backfire
and furnish him with an excuse to renege on any promises
made to Jumblatt.
The easing of the rebel-enforced general strike on 4
September apparently was the quid pro quo on the part of
the rebels for the agreements With Shihab. However, the
rebels continue to stress that the "strike and rebellion"
are continuing and they remain barricaded in the Basta
sector. They insist that the Shihab government and parlia-
ment must limit presidential powers by amendment of the
constitution. Any resistance by Shihab to the convening of
parliament and the curtailing of his powers will furnish ex-
tremist elements with an excuse to continue their opposition
to the government.
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irtsge Nwe
Iraqi Regime Invites Refugee Kurdish Leader to Return
Mulla Mustafa Barzani, dissident Kurdish nationalist
leader who has been living in the USSR.) has been extended a
welcome by the Iraqi Government to return home. Mulla
Mustafa% Barzani Kurds engaged in armed uprisings against
the Iraqi Government from 1943 until October 1945. Forced
to flee with several thousand followers to Iran, he helped or-
ganize a. Soviet-sponsored Kurdish republic there in 1945.
Following the collapse of this short-lived regime, he fled with
several hundred of his followers to the USSR, where he alleg-
edly received a commission in the Red Army. The Barzani
Kurds are not a tribe, but a sect loyal to the Barzani family
sheiks, who are regarded as prophets by their followers,
The Mulla's return to Iraq seems likely to increase So-
viet influence among Iraq's 8Q0000 Kurds; and the warm
welcome extended by Prime Minister Qasim is likely to en-
hance Qasim's prestige among the Iraqi Kurdish element at the
expense of pro-Nasir Vice Premier Arif. It is doubtful that
the UAR will take a favorable view of Barzani% return, since
the Kurdish nationalists probably would oppose any union by
Iraq with Nasir's UAR. The Iranian and Turkish governments,
which have large Kurdish minorities--1,500,000 in Turkey
and 500,000 in Iran--in areas near the Soviet border, will be
alarmed by his return and will expect increased agitation among
their Kurds. Iraqi broadcasts reportedly have already ap-
pealed to Kurds in Iran to overthrow the monarthy and estab-
lish a republic.
5 Sept 58
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Nwal komii
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Special Adviser to the President
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
-me to.. a ter emit at ewe. awe, I. tee sa es et
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