CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/03/26

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03156027
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RIPPUB
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U
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15
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February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
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March 26, 1959
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I. r o IrA Nr4 a/A orA -TOP-SEC-RET- for Release: 2020/02/21 CO31560277 /1)7//// Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 acuitc. 26 March 1959 Copy No. C CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Ill NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ' 1 DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: Ttt NEXT REVIEW DATE: 1.0 AUTH ) PATE. REVIEWER: DOCUMENT NO. 40.5.0 3.5(c) V(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Ask TA 0 C Cif% Ctr_T__ Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 _Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 1-11 26 MARCH 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet Air Force intensifies,electron- ic reconnaissance in Alaskan area and Far East. L ASIA-AFRICA King of Morocco wants US to be pri- mary supplier of military equipment. Sudan - Gradual weakening of pro- Western elements may result from death of Ansar sect leader. London agrees to joint investigation of Yemen-Aden border incidents; local British officials doubtffil of results. US-Philippine negotiations on re- vised bases agreement. Japanese Socialists facing severe domestic criticism for their sup- port of Communist line on Asia. --TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 i _Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 *NS *waif CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN. [kit 26 March 1959 DAILY BRIEF L THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR: Two Soviet BADGERS conducted what were probably ELIIT-TTCOMINT reconnaissance operations against Alaskan radar installations and Distant Early Warning (DEW) line sites as far eastward as the Mackenzie Bay area of Canada on 23- 24 March. On 24-25 March, two planes which were probably BADGERs flew over the Sea of Japan to within 50 to 70 nautical miles of the main Japanese islands in what appeared to be ELINt/ COMINT reconnaissance operations. These, together with other similar activities since 4 March, may indicate the intro- duction of a broader. Soviet ELINT/COMINT collection pro- gram. The Soviet Air Force has for some time had the capa- bility, for these operations. (Page 1) (2 Maps) Watch Committee conclusion�Berlin: No significant changes bearing on the possibility of hostilities. II. ASIA-AFRICA Morocco: Cllhe Moroccan minister of defense asked on 23 March whether the United States would be willing in prin- ciple to supply substantial amounts of military equipment to' modernize Morocco's 31,000-man army. The defense minist implied that the US response would have an important bearing on his government's attitude toward US interests in Morocco and stressed that the King is under considerable pressure to continue arms procurement from the Soviet bloc. He also in- dicated that a firm decision has been made not to rely on France as Morocco's primary source of materif_13 (Page 2) TOP SECRET AApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 A vr FI / Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 %." lospo Sudan: e death on 24 March of the Mandi2 leader of 7)2ihe Ansar religious sect, may be followed by a gradual loss in 11 the strength and unity of pro-Western elements. Sayyid Siddiq the Mandrs 48-year-old son installed as new leader, has noth- ing like his father's great prestige among the 1,5002000 Ansari. He does, however, have political aspirations of his own and might resort to some dramatic and risky action to rally the Ansari around him in opposition to the faction-ridden military governmer19 (Page 3) Britain-Yemen: rliondon has accepted Yemen's suggestion for a joint commission o investigate incidents on the Yemen- Aden border, and proposes that it meet within a month. Lon- don's aim is to demonstrate its good intentions, but British officials in Aden are dubious about the usefulness of the move in view of a recent renewal of border clashes and evidence that the Yemenis plan shortly to launch a major campaign of subversion in the Aden Protectorate3 (Page 4) Watch Committee conclusion�Middle East: Situations susceptible of direct exploitation by Sino-Soviet bloc hostile action which would jeopardize US interests exist in the Middle East, particularly in Iran and Iraq. The situation in the area remains precarious, but a deliberate initiation of large-scale hostilities is unlikely in the immediate future. Iraq: The drift of Iraq toward Communist control con- tinues� Jordan: The absence of King Husayn and Prime Minister Rifai from Jordan provides opportunity for intensified political activity among disaffected elements and a possible couf) attempt. Philippines: S- Philippine negotiations to revise the /),, agreement governing American bases continue to be hampered by Philippine Government maneuvers aimed at increasing its authority over the bases and over American personnel. Aq 26 Mar 59 DAILY BRIEF ii T 0 P 9 E e t Lit r Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 /At / 7---Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Ube same time, Philippine reluctance to adopt drastic fiscal and monetary reforms as prerequisites to American eco- nomic assistance is leading the Garcia administration in- creasingly to make the United States a scapegoat for domes tic difficultie (Page 5) Japan: (irong condemnation of the Socialist party is developing in Japan over its recent action in support of Com- munist policies in Asia. The press, including those news- papers normally friendly to the Socialists, are highly critical ) of the party for its "subservience" to Peiping. Considerable dissension has also arisen within Socialist ranks, with some right-wing elements threatening to bolt the party. The con- )4Servatives will probably exploit this issue to the greatest 'extent possible and hope thus to reverse Socialist electoral gains of recent yeaf5 (Page 6) 26 Mar 59 DAILY BRIEF 111 TOP SECRE ///,,,,z/z/49,/eoz/ Approved for Release: 2020g2/21 C031560277 UNUSUAL SOVIET AERIAL RECONNAISSANCE liefIVITY IN THE ALASKAN AREA wet ACTIVITY OF 15/19 MARCH 1959 rm....or ACTIVITY OF 23/24 MARCH 1959 Mys Shinidta .TWo 2237 23� Mar Two BADGERS departed 18 Anadyr 90326 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Nime 0108 ADGER'S departed & 22405 Provideniya St. Lawrence Island ALASKA UNUSUAL SOVIET AERIAL RECONNAISSANCE ACTIVITY OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN 24/25 March 1959 - Flight route first a/c 00161 ----Flight route second a/c USSR ',VLADIVOSTOK CHINA 01302 INITIAL TIMM.. TRACK FADED --- 22BOE INITIAL TRACK KOREA VISUAL INDENTIFICATION OF SOVIET A/C MADE BY US FIR A/C AT THESE PD MIS TRACK FADED ;111V A/C ORBITED THIS ./ POINT !EMIR. 0 01468 MISAWA JAPAN TOKYO ATSUGIO 100 200 NAUTICAL MILES. 300 'Mackenzie Bay CANADA 90326 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 'yule I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR Intensifies Reconnaissance Operations in Alaskan Area And the Far East Two Soviet BADGERS probably conducted ELINT/COMINT reconnaissance operations against Alaskan radar installations and Distant Early Warning (DEW) line sites as far east as the Mackenzie Bay area of Canada on 23/24 March. Similar flights were conducted on 18/19 March but did not extend beyond the area of Point Barrow, Alaska. Flights from Anadyr on 4, 6, and 9 March approached to within 50 nautical miles of St. Lawrence Island, where an Alaskan Air Command aircraft-control and warning site is located. On 24/25 March, two aircraft--probably BADGERs�flew over the Sea of Japan to within 50 and 70 nautical miles of the main Japanese islands in what appeared to be ELINT/COMINT operations. BADGERS and BEAGLEs have made a number of other flights in this area since 13 March. Schedules of 18 March indicate flights may have been per- formed along the Aleutian chain on that date. Although flights by Soviet aircraft over the waters adja- cent to Japan and the Aleutians have been taking place since July 1957, this month's more extensive activities may mark the introduction of a broader Soviet ELINT/COMINT collec- tion program. 26 Mar 59 CFNTRAI INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Page 1 aft Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 II. ASIA-AFRICA Morocco Indicates Desire w1-1.111,110, %Jo Moroccan Defense Minister Mohamed Aouad inquired on 23 March whether the United States would supply some $19,0009000 to $23,000,000 worth of military equipment to modernize Morocco's 31,000-man army. Aouad said Morocco wants tanks, trucks, communications equipment, machine guns, submachine guns and ammunition, fighter and observation air- craft, and helicopters. He implied that the King is under con- siderable pressure �presumably from the left-wing members of the Ibrahim government--to continue to procure arms from the Soviet bloc, and indicated that the government has made a firm decision not to rely any longer on France as its primary source of materieq Elle more conservative Balafrej government, which had been unsuccessful in its efforts to obtain large quantities of light arms and ammunition and a munitions factory from Italy last year, had contracted for an unknown quantity of Czech arms. A part of this materiel--900 tons of light arms and ammunition-- was delivered early in January; an unspecified amount of heavy equipment, according to Aouad, remains to be delivere LA-ouad's inquiry is a follow-up to a tentative approach he made earlier this year as well as an informal request made dur- ing the King's visit to Washington in November 1957. With much the same motivation as Tunisia, which will not consider arms procurement from France while the Algerian rebellion continues:, Morocco probably would resist even a suggestion that it should continue to place primary reliance for its materiel on France, if only for the sake of standarditzation. The Moroccan approach probably will create new tensions in French-American relations and may complicate negotiations for the retention of the five American air bases in Morocco:] 26 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Nal Sudanese Situation EL'he death on 24 March of 73-year-o1d Sayyid Abd al-Rahman al-Mandi, powerful leader of the Ansar religious sect and the Umma party, introduces a new element of uncertainty into the already highly unstable situation in the Sudan. The military gov- ernment is split into competing factions, and the leaders of the suspended political parties are taking advantage of the govern- ment's indecisiveness to try to rebuild their organizations and increase their influence. They are trying to line up support within the army leadership as well, hopin to pave the way for participation in a new civilian government. Irigadier Silannan, leader of the junior dissident officers' movement, postponed and modified his plan to seize complete control of the government late last week, reportedly because he feared a violent reaction that might lead to civil war. However, he and the two other troop commanders who forced their inclu- sion in the government on 5 March are expected to make some attempt in the near future to improve their position] he danger of a clash after the early March coup between Ansari tribesmen and military units has receded,. The possi- bility remains, however, that Siddiq al-Mandi, the new 48-year- old Ansari religious head, who lacks his father's prestige, may attempt some rash and dramatic action to rally the Ansari around him in opposition to the military government. In any event, the Mandi's death will probably reduce the strength and unity of the Ansar sect and weaken the pro-Western Umma party elements which it, supports' SECRET 26 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Developments in British-Yemeni Relations ELondon has accepted Yemen's suggestion for a joint com- mission to investigate incidents on the Yemen-Aden border, and proposes that it meet within a month. Yemen-offered in February to discuss only two particular :incidents, but the British are submitting broad terms of reference to permit dis- cussion of frontier incidents in 1959, the 1934 and 1951 agree- ments, and cases of Yemeni subversion within the Aden Pro- tectoratD, [she Foreign Office has long favored such a commission and now wants to demonstrate its good intentions by endorsing the Yemeni gesture toward improving relations. One obstacle to real improvement, however, is the Yemeni contention that Britain has, by its inauguration in February of the Federation of Protectorate Rulers, violated promises in the earlier treaties to preserve the status qudj ffl,'he Colonial Office and the Aden governor doubt that much will be accomplished in view of evidence that the Yemenis have de-emphasized outright frontier warfare in favor of subversion and now are planning a major campaign within the Protectorate. The governor had preferred to try to unify the new federation by firm retaliation against the common enemy7,] tiFhe Yemeni mayor of the frontier town of Baidha, in par- ticular, has been successfully making contacts and gaining recruits among dissident Protectorate tribesmen, 600 of whom have recently gone to Baidha to obtain arms. The Imam told the Baidha mayor as early as February that "everything is up to you," and Baidha reported back on 23 March that "all the tribal elders are ready and waiting for a calll SECRET 26 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN :Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 TOP SECRET vier" Philippines Murrent US-rmappine tams on revising the agreement on American bases continue to be hampered by Philippine in- sistence on full legal authority over the bases, particularly with regard to jurisdiction over offenses involving American military personnel. Although Philippine officials now are publicly asserting that the talks are progressing, a resolu- tion recently introduced in the Philippine Senate may have been aimed at strengthening the government's negotiating po- sition. The resolution endorses a strongly nationalist posi- tion which could jeopardize the present status of the bases if adopted as official policy and indicates that certain ex- tremist elements may be maneuvering to force a breakdown of the talks3 LA..t. the same time; the Garcia administration continues to blame much of its present economic difficulty on the United States. Philippine officials have recently charged deliberate slowness in the implementation of American credits, and are pressing for satisfaction of multi-million-dollar claims against the United States to solve their foreign-exchange crisis and for a tax on foreign exchange which would violate their trade agree- ment with the United States3 Faced with local and senatorial elections in November, the government is reluctant to undertake drastic fiscal re- forms and apparently intends to ignore the recommendations of an International Monetary Fund survey that the peso be devaluated. Concern that the IMF mis- sion is a form of American interference is reflected in the mission would use Ambassador Bohlen's "good offices" to confer with Garcia and recommending that the Presi- dent "refuse to se7 them... and cut them down to size, a confidant of the President has hinted that, if American financial aid is not forthcoming, Garcia intends to divert at- tention from economic issues in the forthcoming election cam- paign by making relations with the United States the major issue] 26 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Page 5 Approved for Release: 510705T C03156027 Aire �urr'' Japanese Socialist Party's Leftward Trend Criticized LStrong condemnation of the Socialist party is developing in Japan over statements in Peiping by party Secretary General Inejiro Asanuma in support of Chinese Communist policies in Asia. Asanuma, on returning to Japan on 23 March, defended the leftist position he assumed in Peiping and called for popular support for an early restoration of relations with Communist ChinA The press, including those newspapers normally friendly to the Socialists, are highly critical of the party for its appar- ent abandonment of neutrality. An editorial in Asahi, a gener- ally left-wing newspaper with the largest circulation in Japan, warned the Socialists that a "pro-Communist subservient diplomacy" would not win the support of the peoplE gonsiderable dissension has also arisen within Socialist ranks, with some right-wing elements threatening to bolt the party unless the leftist trend is reversed. The faction led by Suehiro Nishio has openly criticized Asanuma's statement in Peiping that the United States is the "common enemy" of Japan and China. The right wing generally has shown dismay over Asanuma's issuing a joint communiqu�ith the Peiping regime which endorsed Communist political objectives in Asia and has denounced a decision to form a joint front with the Communist party and other leftist organizations in opposition to the US- Japan security treaty:7 ahe conservatives will probably continue to exploit this is-- sue in an effort to halt further Socialist gains in the upper-house elections in June. Ambassador MacArthur believes the willing- ness of government leaders to meet squarely the issue raised by Asanuma is in healthy contrast to the tendency in past elec- tion campaigns to avoid such controversial questions. He also said that if the conservatives exploit the issue properly through- out the election period, the Sokalists should suffer from the attitude of the Asanuma mission to Peipinli SECRET 26 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Page 6 ..����� .0W M.. � 1101�11,0, 1�1111. Norm s� � � Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 Noe' Nele THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director ----fitLI.Ellar-POPI A I Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 r. r/Zrrd ./Zr Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156027 --4401iP�RCIter immu* #4 -TOVSECRET- 74 0 WWWWWZ A P proved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156