CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/03/25

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03156026
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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February 25, 2020
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February 27, 2020
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March 25, 1959
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Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 libir-----aELPLC I 25 March 1959 4.-1) Lopy NO. C CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN' 16NrF I TO: NEXT hc_VIEN DATE: _rir cat AUT 3.40, DAT ini!!'!, REVIEWER: CRET / /// iApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 CO3156026, /40/7/771///)j ............ 11��� .dMk. MIN an �11110 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 ��%, _IraML_C.CeM=7� Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 PT/NT% CI rr'r T1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Nave 25 MARCH 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet propaganda treatment of Eisenhower-Macmillan meeting. Chinese Communist naval vessels appear in ,Paracel Islands group; Saigon may react. II. ASIA-AFRICA Iraq withdraws from Baghdad Pact. Turkish and Iranian intelligence chiefs discuss Iraqi situation; both countries send Qasim assurances of support. Afro-Asian countries show concern over damage to solidarity caused by Iraq- (JAR dispute. Chinese Communists prepare to open embassy in Morocco. Burma - Ne Win said to be consid- ering more openly pro-Western foreign policy. � Indonesia - Dissidents in Sumatra continuing attacks on American- owned rubber estates. III. THE WEST 0 West Germany - Government and opposition parties break truce on foreign policy. 8 New tensions developing between Greek and Turkish Cypriots. LATE ITEM tch Possible ICBM launch at Tvura Tam. FIVID CVPDEIT Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Fir # Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Noe :sr CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 25 March 1959 DAILY BRIEF L THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR: Soviet propagandists are claiming that President Eisenhower and Prime Minister MacrnillarLhave, under the pressure of world opinion, at last accepted the Soviet proposal for a summit meeting. � Moscow is also stressing alleged dif- ferences between American and British views and has credited Macmillan with having persuaded the President to agree to sum- mit talks not dependent on the outcome of a prior foreign min- isters' conference. Soviet propaganda says, however, that the two leaders offered no new proposals on Berlin or on measures to reduce international tension: such 4.s military disengagement in PnrnnP Communist China - Paracel Islands: The recent Chinese Communist naval activity in the Paracel Islands and increased naval strength at southern Hainan suggest Peiping's intention of protecting its commercial enterprises in the area from fur- ther molestation by the South Vietnamese who, late in February, briefly detained a group of Chinese fishermen. Aerial recon- naissance of the Paracels on 20 March disclosed the presence of a frigate and a PT boat at Woody Island, where the Chinese Communist colony is located. The frigate had departed Woody by 22 March but two small patrol craft remained. South Viet- nam has expressed determination to defend its claims in the ParacelQ and 111AV rpraipgt a tirlignlav rif fnrepil 1w thp UR 7th PliaPf II. ASIA-AFRICA Iraq: The Qasirn regime's announcement of withdrawal from the Baghdad Pact, although a long-expected development, is likely to be interpreted in Iraq and the UAR as a concession to Communist demands that this step could no longer wait. The mg_sEeRET--- z 44-Proved for Release: 2020/02/21 C031 6626r A � 11�111�11�1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 VIA announcement as such will have little practical effect, since Iraq has not participated in any pact activities since the July revolution. Other and more significant Communist demands include arming the Popular Resistance Force and the execution of imprisoned leaders nf thp Niivi 0'11[Tia rro Yrt + Afro-Asian Bloc: Various Asian and African countries are showing concern over the split in their bloc caused by the UAR-Iraq quarrel. Some of them, including Indonesia and Saudi Arabia, have volunteered their good offices in an effort to restore good relations. Continued efforts to patch up the dispute seem likely, since the quarrel might affect adversely the atmosphere of good fellowship at the Afro-Asian Solidarity Conference scheduled to be held next month in ludia Daurocco - communist China: Four Chinese Communist of- ficials arrived in Morocco on 23 March to set up an embassy. Agrement has been granted for an ambassador who may arrive to inaugurate the Chinese Communist pavilion at the Casablanca International Fair next month. This would be the first Chinese Communist amb sador in Africa except for the one at Cairo. (Page 2) Burma: the Ne Win government, already following a strongly anti-Communist policy internally, wishes to adopt a more openly pro-Western posture in international affair 25 Mar 59 DAILY BRIEF ii TO ET / p p rov for- Ra/e///a/';r 1E07E21 C0315602e / f Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 '4400 VP Ne Win, however, is said to be reluctant to make this change without a "concrete indication" the United States will provide Burma with grant aid as a means of justifying this course in the eyes of the Burmese peop1e:3 (Page 3) Indonesia: Dissident troops in Sumatra are continuing destructive attacks against American-owned rubber estates. The Goodyear Wingfoot estate south of Medan, the largest rubber estate in Sumatra, has suffered considerable property damage in three raids this year, the most recent occurring on 20 March. Attacks on other foreign-owned estates, including US Rubber, have also been carried out, presumably in an at- tempt to deny their revenues to the central government. (Page 4) III. THE WEST West Germany: The conflict between Chancellor Adenauer's government and the opposition parties over the Social Demo- crats' new unification plan, calling for talks with East Germany and eventual troop withdrawals, has put an end to the four-month political truce on foreign policy. In addition, there continues to be evidence of disagreement within the governing Christian Demo- crats, A Social Democratic leader believes that Bundestag pres- ident Gerstenmaier, who has long been hostile to Adenauer's for- eign policy, may be attempting to line up opposition to the chan- cellor in his own party in order to force a greater flexibility in the government's unification policy. (Page 5) Cyprus: A Turkish Cypriot economic boycott against the Greek Cypriots, enforced by intimidation, is causing new strains in cOmmunal rlations on the island, The boycott is designed, ac- cording to the Turks, to build up the economic status of their community. Greek Cypriot retaliation, which is likely to occur, would further embitter relations. (Page 6) 25 Mar 59 DAILY BRIEF ____T-012-SECITETT 4Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 CO31560267 � Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 *AS *of IV. CONCLUSIONS OF SPECIAL USIB COMMITTEE ON BERLIN SITUATION The USIB has taken note of the following conclusions reached by its special committee on the Berlin situation. The committee pointed out that its conclusions were to be used in context with SNIE 100-2-59 (24 February 1959) and with the review of that es- timate in SNIE 100-2/1-59 (17 March 1959): 1. The USSR will not turn over access controls to the GDR in the near future. However' the USSR con- tinues to carry out measures necessary to a withdrawal of its forces from East Berlin, and the physical transfer of access controls could be accomplished with little or no advance warning. 2. A strong effort to play down the appearance of an ultimatum in the Soviet position on Berlin and to em- phasize the prospects for negotiations has been increas- ingly evident in Soviet and East German statements and propaganda since Khrushchev's German visit. This may reflect a Soviet conclusion that the prospects for improv- ing the USSR's position through negotiations have increased. 3. There are no reliable indications of a bloc in- tent in the near future to harass or blockade Allied or West German access to West Berlin, or to seal off West Berlin from the East. However: the USSR could take such actions with little or no warning. 4. @hancellor Adenauer is reported to have told his party's I3undestag faction on 16 March that he is will ing to extend de facto recognition to the East German Government provided that in negotiating this concession the status quo in Berlin can be maintainelj 5. The situation in West Berlin remains basically unchanged. (SECRET NOFORN) 25 Mar 59 DAILY BRIEF iv TOECRET 9' V AApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156021 A _ ( Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Noe M9AW07,6,44,46.16,,o5v. LATE ITEM *USSR: A valid launch operation was undertaken on the Tyura Tam Missile Test Range beginning at 1100 hours EST on 24 March. The countdown proceeded smoothly until two hours before the scheduled launch. Several delays occurred, however, and the launch was not made until 0027 hours EST on 25 March. The nature of the evidence available as of 0500 25 Mar 59 DAILY BRIEF TO sEofT , )647r-o�v�e�ClIorziGlease: 2020/02/21 CO3156026% rine% Ts eg rs ry Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC (No Back-up Material) IL ASIA-AFRICA Turkish and Iranian intelligence Lieaaers Discuss Iraq The Turks, seeing Nasir as the primary danger in the Middle East; minimize the danger that Qasim will fall com- pletely under Communist influence. They also avoid pressure that might drive Qasim further into the Communist camp. Last October the Turks played down anti-Turkish violence in Kirkuk; despite their concern for Iraq's Turkish-speaking minority of 75,000. Turkey might intervene, however, if order broke down in Iraq; or if the Kurds or any other Iraqi faction mis- treated the Turkish-speaking minority:] FA-1,though the Turks have publicly denied that there is any infiltration from Iraqh armed mem- bers of the Barzani Kurdish tribe, had entered Turkish territory to spread propaganda. The border commander was ordered to tighten controls] .ran, on the other hand, fearing encirclement by hostile states and the possible encouragement of dissident factions at home; is genuinely concerned over the possibility of a Communist takeover in Iraq. It feels no direct threat from Egypt, however, with which it has recently been trying to improve relations TOP SECRET 25 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Page 1 Approved for Real-ea-se-72520/02/21 CO3156026 -woe Communist China Establishes Embassy in Morocco Four Chinese Communist officials arrived in Casablanca on 23 March to establish an embassy in Rabat in accordance with an intergovernmental agreement announced on 31 October. Last month King Mohamed V granted agrement for Pal Jen, who has been an assistant to the Chinese Communist minister of for- eign trade and was appointed as Peiping's first ambassador to Morocco on 19 February. Pai, who may be a Chinese Moslem, probably will arrive in time to inaugurate the Chinese Communist pavilion at the Casablanca International Fair opening on 24 April. Moroccans have been intensely interested in China's economic and social development, and the observations of various Moroccans who have visited China since 1956 have been widely publicized. A $24,300,000 trade agreement signed on 27 October is the second between Morocco and Communist China but is the first providing for balanced trade. Morocco expects to offset its purchases of green tea with exports of canned goods and raw and processed phosphates. Rabat may delay the establishment of an embassy in Pe i- ping, both because of the expense involved and because of a shortage of trained diplomatic personnel. WitiFIDENTTAI. 25 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Noe' Burma Reportedly Considering More Open Alignment With West 'ale Burmese Gotiernment desires to change its foreign pol- icy from neutralism to a more openly anti-Communist position, the gov- ernment is reluctant to take such action without a concrete indi- cation that it will receive grant aid from the US as a means of justifying this policy switch to the Burmese peoplel] Li-4e Win has sent U Law Yone, the editor of the influential Rangoon daily Nation, to Washington as his "personal emissary," probably to obtain such an assurance and to pave the way for sub- sequent formal requests for funds. In contrast to his predecessor U Nu, Ne Win is opposed to additional loan assistance as consti- tuting too heavy a budgetary strain on the government. In pre- paring Law Yone for his mission, Ne Win said that once the Sino-Burma border dispute is settled, Burma will "mince no words" about Communism and Communist China. The prime minister indicated that he planned to press for an early decision on the question by giving Peiping a month in which to answer Burma's "final" offers after which negotiations would be broken off:1 N-p. Win told Law Yone Burma cannot commit itself to adher- ing to SEATO at this times although he personally is glad that there is such an organization. & Win and his military followers have the domestic power and prestige to alter Burma's international course-3 (SECRET NO FURTHER DISSEMINATION) -SECRET' 25 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020-/-02/1 C03156026 yore Indonesian Dissidents Continue Attacks on American-owned Rubber Estates A group of 50 armed rebels attacked the Goodyear Wingfoot estate south of Medan on 20 March, beat several of the company personnel, and caused considerable property damage. Estate guards failed to challenge the rebels, and a call to nearby army troops for assistance was unanswered. Wingfoot, the largest rubber estate in Sumatra, has been attacked about once a month during the past year. The local Indonesian Army commander recently proposed replacement of the estate guards at Wingfoot with regular army troops for one year if Goodyear will bear the expense. The proposal envisages regular pay by Wingfoot for the soldiers as well as a bonus scheme if and when production increases as dissidence decreases. Other foreign-owned estates have been subjected to similar attacks. The latest attack on the US Rubber Company estate oc- curred on 24 February when a large rebel force burned laborers' houses and threatened the workers with physical harm if they continued to live or work on the estate. An attack on a British- managed estate on 1 March involved the first instance of violence against a European. This particular attack resulted in the man- agement's closing of the estate, the third such closure in the immediate area. The dissidents' aim is obstruction or even paralysis of pro- duction in this region--the most important estate area in Indo- nesia�and the resultant reduction of government revenues. 25 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Page 4 cf monri Tio Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 III. THE WEST West German Social Democrats Break Political Truce On Foreign Policy ie conflict between unancenor Adenauer's government and the opposition Social Democratic party (SPD) over the SPD's 19 March proposal on unification and European security marks the end of the four-month political truce on foreign pol- icy. The SPD leadership, following an unsuccessful meeting with Adenauer on 23 March, may force the first major foreign- policy debate in the Bundestag since the opening of the Berlin crisis. Bundestag President Gerstenmaier, a deputy chairman of Adenauer's Christian Democratic Union (CDU), is meeting with all party leaders, presumably to forestall a bitter parlia- mentary debate:3 tThere continues to be some question whether the CDU would be united in such a debate. SPD deputy party chairman Wehner is reported to believe that Gerstenmaier is also trying to form an anti-Adenauer group in the chancellor's party in order to force a change in the government's unification policy and may be seeking SPD support for this move. Gerstenmaier and Adenauer have long differed over whether to negotiate a peace treaty prior to unification as Gerstenmaier proposes. Gersten- maier may feel that the time has come to challenge Adenauer's leadership, following the chancellor's 16 March statement to CDU leaders that he would accept some de facto recognition of East Germany in return for retaining the status quo in Berlin] Eierstenmaier and some CDU dissidents probably feel that such a move will freeze the division of Germany, and now may seek support from other anti-Adenauer elements within the CDU who would consider a government of national unity with the oppo- sition. Chances of successfully challenging Adenauer at the mo- ment appear remote.7 " �J SECRET 25 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Page 5 v we A w Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Iwo New Tensions Developing Between Greek and Turkish Cypriots A Turkish Cypriot boycott of Greek Cypriot business es- tablishments is causing new strains between the two ethnic groups. Turkish Cypriot leaders say the widespread boycott is designed to strengthen the economic status of the Turkish minority to a point where they will no longer be "the serfs of Greeks." This statement is indicative of Turkish sensitivity to the Greek Cypriots' generally higher standard of living. Turkish Cypriot leaders have further embittered relations by publicly proclaiming that the ultimate guarantee of their status depends on the strength of the Turkish troops stationed on Cy- prus. If the Turks continue their boycott, the Greek community will probably seek economic retaliation. Economic warfare be- tween the two communities would seriously endanger the orderly transition to independence. �CONFIDE 71`rrA L 25 Mar 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 Approved for eleisTRET/6572-1 C03156026 'Noir THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director t,roari 1:11C-MxPt�XT Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03156026 .1:,!