CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/10/05

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03153727
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: October 5, 1957

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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c) 5 October 1957 A
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DOCUMENT NO. 29 /4o
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Copy No. 138
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET .V
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(page 3).
1('-'2. WARSAW RIOTS
kb 3. FRENCH POLITICAL CRISIS
Nero
CONTENTS
1AA-21. USSR LAUNCHES EARTH SATELLITE
(page 5).
(page 6).
)-1/4-40 4. NORTH AFRICAN TENSION INCREASED BY BORDER
VIOLATIONS BY FRENCH FORCES (page 7).
-I�k-1) 5. FRIENDLY ARAB NATIONS UN7Eit PR7SSURE TO TAKE
ANTI-WESTERN STAND IN UN (page 9).
Mt- 6, POSSIBILITD7LENCE IN PHILIPPINE ELECTION
INCREASES (page 10).
7. CANISM GROWING IN SOUTH KOREA
(page 11).
(s>4:,./ 8. MAGLOIRE FACTION IN HAITIAN ARMY MAY CONTROL
NEW PRESIDENT (page 12).
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11W L/Nril
I. USSR LAUNCHES EARTH SATELLITE
Comment on:
The Soviet Union on 4 October an-
nounced the successful launching of
an earth satellite. Time and place
of launching were not revealed.
A Reuters radio station north of Lon-
don reported at 2005 EDT on 4 Octo-
ber that it had heard radio signals on
the 20-megacycle band. Soviet sci-
entists had announced that the 20-
and 40-megacycle frequencies would
be used by the satellite's transmitter.
The signal was heard three times
prior to midnight on 4 October v
Signals
were also heard by commercial re-
ceiving stations in the New York and
San Francisco areas.
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There was a strong resemblance to
previous activity which had terminated on 7 September with
the probable launching of the second ICBM test vehicle.
The evidence confirms the announce-
ment that the USSR has successfully orbited an earth satel-
lite.
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.11-11LF.F.J.L. R. JL.L .11.14
Nor '440
2. WARSAW RIOTS (Information as of 2300 hours EDT,
4 October 1957)
Comment on:
The resumption on 4 October of stu-
dent violence in Warsaw in open de-
fiance of the regime has precipitated
the gravest crisis Gomulka's leader-
ship has faced in its year of existence. Separate demon-
strations broke out in the early evening hours and con-
verged on headquarters of the party central committee.
For the first time, shouts of "Down with Gomulka" were
reported. By 2245 (1745 EDT), the crowds had been dis-
persed from the center of the city by the civil police and
workers' militia, and traffic had returned to normal.
The demonstrations on 3 October were
sparked by the banning of the liberal magazine Po Prckstu.
Their resumption reflects the determination of the students
to gain recognition of their demands, as well as general re-
vulsion against the regime's police action on the previous
night.
Showing its own determination, the
party announced at 1900 (1400 EDT) on 4 October that the
ban on Po Prostu could not be reconsidered and that party
membeTh arlIg-iditorial board would be subject to party
discipline. The party's reported willingness to hold dis-
cussions with the students on 5 October, however, �suggests
that the regime may be willing to make some minor conces-
sions. A separate meeting is to be held with the rectors of
all the Warsaw colleges and the minister of education.
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11100 %01
3. FRENCH POLTTir
AL CRISIS
General De Gaulle and a few
army and police leaders could "seize power
any time" with slight opposition, but
De Gaulle lifs so far opposed the use of force.
ex-premiers Rene Pleven or Guy Mollet
nave tne nest cftances of forming a government.
To limit further political deterioration
which would enhance De Gaullets"chances, Coty has called on
Socialist leader Guy Mollet to form a government. Molletts
prospects depend heavily on the extent to which Independent
deputies balance their favorable personal regard for him
against the tough conditions he has posed. In view of the bit-
terness resulting from the recent debate, it will be difficult
for the right to swallow MoHet's insistence on the Algerian
statute and the economic program which toppled Bourges-
Maunoury and Mollet respectively.
If Mollet fails, Pleven would probably try
essentially the same program in the expectation that a middle-
of-the-road deputy would be more readily acceptable to the
right. Mollet and Duchet are believed to have agreed in August
that in the event of an early crisis over Algeria, which would
make cooperation between Socialists and Independents difficult,
Pleven would be a good choice to form a "bridge government"
to reconcile the Socialists and Independents. There is some
doubt, however, whether Pleven is as accpptable personally.
as Mollet to many conservative deputies.
There is a growing consciousness among
the deputies that a grave national crisis must be dealt with
speedily.
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*IS
4. NORTH AFRICAN TENSION INCREASED BY BORDER
VIOLATIONS BY -FRENCH FORCES
Comment on:
Violations of the Tunisian and Libyan
borders on 1, 2, and 3 October by French
military units based in Algeria have in-
creased tensions to a point where the two
North African governments may have dif-
ficulty in controlling
public demonstrations
or preventing attacks
against French resi-
dents. Apparently
the French were in.-.
tent on liquidating
presumed concentra-
tions of Algerian reb-
els within Tunisia and
Libya.
Tunisian President
Bourguiba recalled his
ambassador to Paris
following strafings by
the French air force of
a Tunisian border con-
trol post and a village
in the Le Kef area on
1 and 2 October. He
has authorized peace-
ful demonstrations,
ordered the closure of
the French consulate
at Le Kef and the re-
moval of French citi-
zens from Le Kef
TUNIS
.6 1-2 OCTOBER
.Le Kef
4./
; LIBYA
.1)
AL GE RIM
�3 OCTOBER
FEZZAN
4 OCTOBER 1957 4-""�%,..
� Border violations
:L...
0 200 MILES .0019
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Province, and threatened_military counteraction if Tunisia
were again attacked. This threat may further inflame the
population. The American embassy in Tunis was reliably
informed that President Bourguiba "for the first time" seemed
on 2 October to "lack confidence in his ability to control
the temper and actions of the Tunisian people." These
developments preclude, any possibility of France reaching
an early settlement of outstanding problems with Bourguiba,
including the delivery of arms to the Tunisian army.
In Libya, Premier Kubaar is attempting
to maintain order by blocking publication of information regard-
ing the attack on 3 October by French bombers, tanks, and
armored cars on a village in the Fezzan. Libyan forces report-
edly withdrew after an eight=hour skirmish. The British
ambassador has been requested to furnish military assistance
to Libya, presumably under the terms of the Anglo-Libyan
mutual assistance treaty. The premier also lodged a protest
with the French, warning that if French forces do not with-
draw immediately from Libyan soil, the matter will be sub-
mitted to the UN Security Council.
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5. FRIENDLY ARAB NATIONS UNDER PRESSURE TO
TAKE ANTI-WESTERN STAND IN UN
Reference:
The strong anti-Western stand taken by
Egyptian and Saudi Arabian spokesmen
in their recent policy statements to the
UN has raised fears that friendly Arab
countries are faced with a situation where
they will be unable to support the West on UN questions.
Lebanese Foreign Minister Malik believes that the atmosphere
generated by the two speeches will develop to the point where
the Arab world, probably including Iraq and Jordan if not
Lebanon, may take positions favorable to the USSR.
Ambassador Lodge stated on 3 October
that the Egyptian and Saudi AroYdan speeches can only be
regarded as profoundly discouraging and have created an
undesirable atmosphere at the UN. Egyptian Foreign
Minister Fawzi maintains that his speech was only an attempt
to express Egypt's strong desire not to belong .to any partic-
ular bloc. He stressed that the United
States should be "more forthcoming" in its approach to the
Arab world.
The Iranian UN delegate told the American
delegation on 3 October that .it is undesirable openly to oppose
manifestations of Arab nationalism since such opposition in-
creases their intensity and has an over-all adverse effect
on the attainment of free world objectives.
Iraq's decision not to cosponsor the
Western disarmament resolution, according to the chief
Iraqi UN delegate, stemmed largely from a desire to main-
tain a balance between its pro-Western policy and its mem-
bership in the Arab group.
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Novi 400
6, POSSIBILITY OF VIOLENCE IN PHILIPPINE
ELECTION INCREASES
Comment on:
An outbreak of violence in the Philip-
pine election campaign may be fore-
shadowed by the steadily mounting evi-
dence that President Garcia's bid for re-
election is running into growing difficulties. Factionalism
within his Nacionalista party is becoming increasingly bitter.
Garcia may be expected to resolve some party conflicts dur-
ing the remaining weeks, particularly through last-minute
releases of funds at his disposal. The consensus is that he
will use all available means to win the election, including
bribery, fraudulent vote counting, and voter intimidation.
A recent survey by the American embassy
in Manila indicates that Liberal candidates Yulo and Macapagal
may be having some success in their radio attacks, on Garcia,
particularly on the issue of Japanese reparations. The survey
also noted that Yulo and Macapagal are running well ahead of
him in central and northern Luzon. The embassy now concludes
that in a free election, Macapagal would defeat his Nacionalista
opponent, Jose Laurel, Jr., for the vice presidency.
Progressive candidate Manahan is making
impressive popular gains, especially in the Visayan Islands
in the central Philippines, but his prospectfor turning enthu-
siasm into votes is still uncertain. Senator kecto9 the leading
anti-American candidate, has considerable professional and
anticlerical support throughout the Philippines and is expected
to capture most of southern Luzon.
5 Oct 57
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J. V A. JLJLF JILLL A. AZ
7p ANTI-AMERICANISM GROWING IN SOUTH KOREA
Comment on:
An anti-American incident described in
the press as potentially as serious as the
Girard case in Japan has occurred in South
Korea. Korean police have allegedly
asked the South Korean Foreign Ministry to lodge a "serious"
protest with the United States for the fatal shooting of a Korean
youth by a US military policeman on 3 October near Taegu,
The Koreans claim the youth was wantonly shot while passing
a sidetracked freight car guarded by US military policemen.
Recently the South Korean government has
waged an intensive press and propaganda campaign, spotlight-
ing virtually every incident involving US troops and Korean
civilians, in support of Seoul's long-standing demand for a
status-of-forces agreement. This agreement would grant
Korea jurisdiction over off-duty United Nations Command
troops. The Korean press with government encouragement
has charged US troops with exhibiting "racial contempt" for
Koreans and has warned that Koreans are "neither Indians nor
animals" to be hunted by the Americans. In most cases, the
incidents occur during attempted thefts of American military
equipment.
Continuation of this press campaign could
eventually result in. an anti-American incident of serious pro-
portions. Such an incident was only narrowly averted in the
above case when a group of angry Koreans, who witnessed the
incident and sought to menace the soldier, were thwarted by
hasty police action.
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111 �1111,1
8. MAGLOIRE FACTION IN HAITIAN ARMY MAY
CONTROL NEW PRESIDENT
Comment on:
A faction of Haitian army officers, led
by men representing the interests of
ousted dictator Paul Magloire, has
gained the upper hand in the army and is
determined to retain control of the government,
This group intends to make a pup-
pet of President-elect Francois Duvalier, scheduled to be
inaugurated in mid-October, and will remove him from office
if he proves intractable. Duvalier is believed to be aware of
this plan and will probably conform with the wishes of the army,
at least for the present.
A new outbreak of civil disorder is prob-
able if the army should attempt a postinauguration move against
Duvalier. Popular reaction to an extension of army rule, which
of late has become excessively harsh and arbitrary, would prob-
ably be violent. Racial bitterness, which recently resulted in
increased persecution of mulattoes, and further plotting by
opposition elements have already aggravated the situation.
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