CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03150379
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: March 8, 2023
• Document Release Date: December 19, 2019
• Case Number: F-2019-02462
• Publication Date: April 23, 1968

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
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23 April 1968
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23 April 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
East Germany - West Germany: East Germany is en-
forcing a ban on travel to Berlin by senior West German
officials. (Page 3)
Iran: An early showdown between Iran and the Western
oil consortium has been averted. (Page 4)
Dominican Republic: Violence may occur on third anni-
versary of the landing of US troops. (Page 6)
Guatemala: The murder of a rightist leader may bring
retaliation against security forces. (Page 7)
Congo (Kinshasa): Mercenaries to leave (Page 8)
Communist Conference: More preparation (Page 8)
USSR: Naval units to Iraq (Page 8)
Belgium: Formateur (Page 9)
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East Germany - West Germany: The East Germans
have begun to enforce the ban announced on 13 April
prohibiting senior West German officials from travel-
ing to Berlin.
Yesterday, a recently retired official of the Fed-
eral Building and Housing Ministry was turned back by
East German border authorities at the Marienborn
checkpoint. The individual was obliged to fly to Berlin,
a mode of travel which the East Germans proscribe but
cannot control.
Two minor government officials returning from
Berlin to their offices in Bonn were detained yesterday
by East German authorities at the Drewitz checkpoint
just outside West Berlin. The two men eventually were
permitted to proceed, but later another official of even
lower rank was turned back at the Hirschberg check-
point.
Enforcement of the ban came three days after the
Allies delivered a protest against the East German
measure to the Soviets, who are responsible for main-
taining "normal" access to Berlin.
The latest restriction follows a similar measure
announced last month which prohibits travel to Berlin
by members of the radical German Nationalist Party.
A number of party members have reportedly been
turned back by the East Germans during the past several
weeks.
Bonn is concerned over the East German moves
but so far has been unable to se tip on the tvne of coun-
termeasures it should employ.
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Iran: A showdown between Iran and the Western
oil consortium over 1968 oil revenues has been averted.
The Iranians have put forward a face-saving scheme
whereby revenues can be calculated on the basis of the
Iranian calendar year, which did not begin until March
20. By ignoring the first quarter of 1968, when produc-
tion was low, consortium revenues apparently would
meet Iranian demands.
The Shah, wishing to avoid a crisis with the con-
sortium, has decided upon this contrivance for 1968,
but the problem of still wider gaps between Iranian de-
mands and consortium estimates for 1969-72 remains
unresolved The next round of haggling will begin in
October.
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Dominican Republic: Plans for a leftist demonstra-
tion on 28 April, the third anniversary of the landing of
US troops, could lead to violence.
The left-of-center opposition Dominican Revolu-
tionary Party has scheduled a mass rally in Santo Do-
mingo which will probably be supported by the country's
divided Communist movement. The demonstration will
have an anti-US theme and could lead to incidents
directed at US installations and personnel.
opposition groups hope the
rally will produce violence and disrupt the campaign
for the municipal elections to be held on 16 May.
Balaguer has not permitted any political demonstra-
tions in recent months. If the demonstration now planned
is held, with or without permission, some violence is
likely although the security forces seem capable of pre-
venting serious disorders.
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Guatemala: The murder of a rightist leader in
Guatemala City may trigger retaliation against security
forces.
Raul Lorenzana, a ringleader in the kidnaping of
Archbishop Casariego last month, was captured and
liquidated by government forces on 18 April. One of
Lorenzana's aides was also killed, and Oliverio Casta-
neda Paiz, a leader of the civilian counterinsurgency
groups in Zacapa, was arrested.
Castaneda and
Lorenzana were meeting apparently to discuss the pos-
sibility of Lorenzana's cooperation in a coup against
President Mendez. Castaneda has been unsure of his
position since the high-level military shifts late last
month. He fears that Mendez will try to disarm and
disband the 3,000 civilians still operating in Zacapa.
Lorenzana's death may stimulate reaction from
extreme right wingers as well as from members of the
notorious right-wing Mano Blanca terrorist organiza-
tion. Lorenzana was the leader of this group. Infight-
ing among anti-Communist groups will probably further
draw attention from the Communist guerrillas, who
continue to train and reorganize.
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NOTES
Congo (Kinshasa): The foreign mercenaries in
Rwanda may finally be evacuated tomorrow. Two
planes chartered by the Red Cross are in Kigali to fly
them to Europe via Khartoum. One plane will fly
directly to Belgium, the other to Italy, France, and
Germany. Once in Europe the mercenaries are to dis-
perse to their countries of origin, which will be re-
sponsible for preventing their return to black Africa.
Communist Conference:
Rumania and Yugoslavia will be among the missing
when some 70 Communist party delegations convene in
Budapest on 24 April to prepare an agenda for a full-
scale international conference of Communist parties.
According to an editorial in the Czechoslovak party
daily on 19 April, Prague believes that the preparatory
meeting as well as the full conference should be free of
pressures to subscribe to binding resolutions. The
Czechoslovaks, who will attend, clearly hope that
Rumania and Yugoslavia will eventnallv find the terms
of the full conference acceptable.
USSR: The Soviet naval units currently on a good-
will tour of a number of ports on the Indian Ocean plan
to visit Iraq in May. This will be the first visit of
Soviet naval units to a Persian Gulf port. The visit is
expected to increase the Shah of Iran's uneasiness over
the presence of nongulf powers in the Persian Gulf. It
is not known whether Premier Kosygin gave the Iranians
advance notice during his recent visit to Tehran. If he
did not, some of the good will generated probably will
be lost.
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Belgium: Socialist leader Leo
Collard has been appointed to form a new
government and try to end the political
crisis now in its 75th day. Collard is
seeking a coalition with caretaker Prime
Minister Vanden Boeynants' Social Chris-
tians; efforts in recent weeks to form al-
ternate combinations among the three im-
portant parties appear to have failed. The
major obstacle in Collard's path is to find
a solution to the linguistic dispute accept-
able to the Social Christians, whose split
on this issue precipitated the crisis in
February.
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LEO COLLARD
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