CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/11/30

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03148926
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: November 30, 1959

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30 November 1959
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CENTRAL
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)7
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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30 NOVEMBER 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Khrushchev informs Nehru he gave Pei-
ping "friendly advice" to negotiate border
settlement.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
/Laos--Disagreement over whether to ex- \
tend the present National Assembly beyond
25 December may lead to government
crisis. 0 I.�
Cyprus--Communists to support candidate
opposing Makarios in 13 December pres-
idential election.
Sudan--Premier Abboud preparing anti-
Communist campaign.
Belgian Congo--Deadlock over timing of
roundtable talks on the Congo's political
future will aggravate tension.
I I L THE WEST
0 Restoration of UK-UAR diplomatic re-
lations on the charg�evel scheduled to
be announced 1 December.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
30 November 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-India:,
me voon naa given -trienaiy aavice" to Peiping to
negotiate a settlement of the border dispute with India,
Khrushchev is said to
nave expressed the Soviet Union's desire to see negotiations
begin "as soon as possible." In earlier private talks with
Indian officials, Soviet diplomats in New Delhi and Peiping
claimed that Chou En-lai's offer of 7 November to negotiate
was sent on Soviet advice. Nehru reportedly believes the tim-
ing of Khrushchev% message indicates that the Soviet premier
hopes to have Sino-Indian talks started, "even at the lowest
level" before President Eisenhower's visit to India. Foreign
Secretary Dutt said on 24 November, according to the source,
that New Delhi is in no hurry to open discussions and that it
would insist that the Chinese Communists first evacuate terri-
tory claimed by India, a condition to which Peiping probably
will not agree) (Page 1)
II, ASIA-AFRICA
LaoscA government crisis may be in the offing as a re-
sult of the ontinuing disagreement between conservative and
reformist elements over whether to extend the life of the Na-
tional Assembly, scheduled to expire on 25 December, and
when to hold new elections. Premier Phoui, who favors ex-
ending the legislature for one year and holding elections in
December 1960, is maneuvering to win support for his pro-
posals. However, the crown, the reformists, and influential
elements of the army remain adamant in their insistence that
the assembly be permitted to expire and that PAr1iir elections
be held) (Page 3)
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Cyprus: The newly-organized Cypriot Democratic Union
has nominated John Clerides, an experienced and somewhat
opportunistic politician, to oppose Archbishop Makarios in the
presidential elections of 13 December. Clerides has assailed
the "suffocating limitations" of the Cyprus agreements of last
February,but has not advocated their overthrow. The well-
organized, but proscribed, Communist party on Cyprus has
announced its support for Clerides following Makarios' rejec-
tion of Communist proposals for a united front. While Makarios
is expected to win the elections by a comfortable margin, the
contest is likely to be a bitter one with a further splitting of the
Greek Cypriot non-Communists. The Communists in turn will
have a new device for continuing their attacks on the Cyprus
settlement, particularly the provisions for British retention
of military bases. (Page 4)
Sudan: Prime Minister Abboud is preparing to carry out
an anti-Communist campaign in the Sudan in order to divert
Communist attacks on his policies,
A prominent Sudanese editor
was sent secretly, to Cairo on 21 November to secure incriminat-
ing documents from the UAR Government. The editor stated that
the Sudanese Government will label its critics, whether Commu-
nist or not, as part of the Communist movement in order to rally
public opinion against them.
Belgian uongo: aeacuocic in negotiations between Belgian
Minister for the Congo de Schrijver and Congolese nationalist
leaders concerning the timing of roundtable talks on the Congo's
political future will aggravate already serious tension in the
Congo. Leaders of the two prominent nationalist parties have
demanded these talks with Belgian authorities before the local
elections scheduled for mid-December. Should Brussels at-
tempt to hold these elections next month despite a threatened
nationalist boycott, further violence may occur. apparently in
anticipation of trouble, many Belgian civil servants in the colony
in late November, had taken 1 steps to have their families or per-
sonal effects transferred home,: (Page 5)
30 Nov 59
DAILY BRIEF ii
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III. THE WEST
Britain - Middle East: Restoration of British-UAR dip-
lomatic relations on the charg�evel is scheduled to bean-
flounced formally on 1 December. This will constitute .a major
step in the Macmillan government's policy of attempting to free
itself from old disputes in the Arab world. London considers
the mending of ties with Saudi Arabia less urgent, however, ana
recent conversations in New York between representatives of
the two governments intlieate nn PA rly hn nack
30 Nov 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
hrushchev Reaffirms Desire for Settlement of ino-India
Border Dispute
the USSR had given "friendly advice" to Peiping
to work out a negotiated settlement of the border dispute with
India.
The Soviet premier is said to have indicated his desire
to see negotiations begin "as soon as possible.)
(*his latest move to demonstrate Moscow's impartiality and
support for a peaceful settlement reflects the serious embarrass-
ment the dispute has caused Khrushchev at a time when he is press-
ing his policy of peaceful coexistence and detente with the West.
Khrushchev has sought by various means to prevent any further
deterioration of the situation which might jeopardize the USSR's
relations with India. In his public pronouncements, he has con-
sistently adhered to a neutral position, expressing regret over
the border incidents and hope that the dispute can be settled "by
means of friendly negotiations to the mutual satisfaction of both
sides." Khrushchev has also publicly played down the strategic
importance of the disputed areas)
Chou En-lai's
offer of 7 November to negotiate was sent on the USSR's advice.
The Soviet cultural counselor in New Delhi said that Moscow had
not "directly intervened" with the Chinese Communists but as-
serted that "we have made them more aware of real Indian feel-
ings.")
(Nehru, Delieves the timing of Khru-
shchev's message indicates that Khrushchev hopes to have Sino-
Indian talks started, "even at the lowest level," before President
Eisenhower's visit to India. Indian Foreign Secretary Dutt)
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Cindicated on 24 November that New Delhi is in no hurry to open
discussions and that it would insist that the Chinese Communists
must first evacuate territory claimed by India)
(Nehru probably appreciates the continued Soviet efforts to
lessen Sino-Indian tension and may be impressed by this evidence
of Soviet adherence to its proclaimed "Camp David spirit." He
is faced, however, with aroused public opinion on the border dis-
pute and is strongly committed in public to defend all Indian-
claimed territory. Furthermore, Nehru is still awaiting Pei-
ping's reply to his note of 16 November suggesting that, prelim-
ina,ry to negotiations, both Indian and Chinese troops evacuate all
border territory to which either side lays claim. He is unlikely
to take any further step toward negotiations or make any further
concession until he receives some conciliatory gesture from
Peiping)
( In view of Peiping's evident interest in getting talks started
without sacrificing any of the advantages it has already gained,
It seems unlikely that Soviet "advice" has been a determining fac-
tor in developing Chinese tactics or that there is any serious diver-
gence between Moscow and Peiping on the desirability of concil-
iating New Delhi. Peiping probably will offer renewed assurance
of readiness to negotiate when it replies to Nehru. The Chinese
Communists, however, are not expected to agree to evacuation of
their troops from all Indian-claimed territory)
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
\/ Laotian Government Crisis May Be Imminent
Ll'o progress has been made in resolving the disagreement
between conservative and reformist elements in the Laotian
Government over whether to extend the life of the National As-
sembly, due to expire on 25 December, and when to hold new
elections. Premier Phoui, whose main base of political sup-
port is the dominant conservative element in the assembly,
favors a one-year extension of the assembly's life by means of
a constitutional amendment and national elections in December,
1960. On the other hand, King Savang, the reformist Committee
for the Defense of National Interests (CDNI), and influential ele-
ments in the army remain adamant in their insistence that the
assembly be allowed to expire and elections be held sometime
next spring or summer)
rPhoui remains hopeful that he can ultimately persuade these
elements to accept his formula, but has hinted that he will resign
if this proves impossible, probably out of a belief that his role
would be reduced to that of a figurehead if the assembly were al-
lowed to expire. An influential CDNI leader has reportedly warned
that Phoui's resignation would precipitate a crisis which might lead
to force-0
(Room for compromise still exists, but the CDNI and its sup-
porters in the army may be strongly tempted to exploit the pres-
ent disagreement as a pretext for upsetting the existing balance
of power in the government and assuming full control_)
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Makarios Fis Opposition in Cypriot Presic...atial Election
, The announcement on 26 November that John Clerides, 72-
year-old former mayor of Nicosia, has accepted the nomination
of the newly-formed Cypriot Democratic Union party to oppose
Archbishop Makarios in the 13 December presidential election
paves the way for a bitter and divisive electoral contest. On
27 November, AKEL, the proscribed Cypriot Communist party,
announced it would support Clerides.
Clerides is not considered pro-Communist, although he ac-
cepted Communist support in winning the mayoralty election in
1946; he suffers from a reputation as an opportunist. He shares
leadership of the Democratic Union with his long-time political
foe and present mayor of Nicosia, Themistocles Dervis. A
manifesto issued by the new party indicates that provisions of
the London-Zurich agreements of last February will be the ma-
jor target in Clerides' campaign. Clerides has made it clear,
however, that he does not advocate abrogation of the agreements
but hopes "to confine the political and economic harm they are
doing." He has attacked Makarios' "dictatorial" handling of
Cypriot affairs in recent months and calls for a "democratic
and prudent administration."
The Democratic Union is believed to have little support on
Cyprus, with its strength centering on dissident elements among
the professional and business classes in Nicosia. Clerides can
expect more electoral support from AKEL, which turned to
Clerides following Makarios' rejection of its terms for a united
front. AKEL claims 7,000 members�all Greek Cypriots--and
dominates the 38,000-member Pan-Cyprian Federation of Labor.
The Communists are expected to concentrate attacks on those
provisions of the Cyprus agreements permitting the British to
retain military bases on the island.
Since Makarios has wide popularity on Cyprus and since
Clerides' support is heterogeneous and the issues upon which
he bases his campaign are questionable, the archbishop ought to
win by a comfortable margin. To ensure the loyalty of right-
wing nationalists, Makarios is reported to have a taped state-
ment by General Grivas which pledges the former EOKA leader's
unequivocal support for the archbishop. However, in the elec-
tions for the House of Representatives which will probably be held
in January, supporters of Makarios may find it much more dif-
ficult to secure victory over the combined Democratic Union -
AKEL opposition.
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Tension Increasing in Belgian Congo
The deadlock in negotiations between Belgian Minister
for the Congo de Schrijver and Congolese nationalist leaders
concerning the timing of roundtable talks on the Congo's polit-
ical future may aggravate already serious political tension in
the Congo. (Apparently in anticipation of more disorders, many
Belgian civil servants in the Congo had taken steps in late No-
vember to be transferred homeD Nationalist rioting near Stan-
leyville claimed the lives of about 24 Africans in late October.
Brussels' plans for the Congo envisage local elections in
mid-December as the first step toward Congolese independence,
about four years away, with any roundtable discussions to be held
after the December elections. However, the two leading Congo-
lese nationalist groups--the Abako and the Congo National Move-
ment--demand "immediate" independence and formal negotiations
prior to the holding of local elections. Both groups have stated
their intention of boycotting the December elections. Should the
Belgians attempt to hold the elections AR scheduled, further vio-
lence may occur.
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CrkITD A I I kITCI i inckir-c DI II I CTIAI
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special .A,sistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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