CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/06/15

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03148916
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: June 15, 1957

,Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03148916
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3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
15 June 1957
Copy No.
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OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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CONTENTS
. USSR MOVES TOWARD SHOWDOWN ON NUCLEAR TESTS
IN LONDON TALKS (page 3).
2� POSSIBLE FIRST SOVIET TESTS OF EARTH SATELLITE
VEHICLE OR ICBM NOTED Noforn) (page 5).
3. KHRUSHCHEV OFFERS TO RETURN KARELIA IN EXCHANGE
3/4 FOR NEUTRAL SCANDINAVIAN BLOC (page 6).
4. GOMULKA TO VISIT EAST BERLIN
(page '7).
. YRIAN LEFTISTS PLAN COUP FOR NEAR FUTURE
(page 8).
6. EGYPTIAN-JORDANIAN ESTRANGEMENT
(page 9).
. HAITIAN ARMY OVERTHROWS PROVISIONAL PRESIDENT
(page 10).
iro. NEW REVOLUTIONARY ATTEMPTS REPORTED IMMINENT
IN CUBA (page 11).
' '9. PEIPING RELEASES TWO MORE AMERICANS JAILED AS
"SPIES" (page 12).
,/,/)
10. NO-CONFIDENCE MOTION AGAINST PRO-COMMUNIST MAYOR
ON OKINAWA FORESEEN (page 13).
15 June 57
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1. USSR MOVES TOWARD SHOWDOWN ON NUCLEAR
TESTS IN LONDON TALKS
Soviet delegate Zorin's action in for-
mally placing the new Soviet proposal
for a two- or three-year suspension
of nuclear tests before the UN Disarm-
ament Subcommittee on 14 June, together with Khrushchev's
public statements on disarmament in Helsinki on 13 June,
suggests that Moscow has decided to press for an early show--
down at London on the key issues of nuclear tests and aerial
inspection zones.
The Soviet leaders probably believe that
the Western powers' position on these two issues will be par-
ticularly difficult to defend and that a failure of the London
talks would facilitate Soviet efforts to heighten world-wide pres-
sure on the Western governments on the nuclear test issue.
Moscow probably also believes that West German official op-
position to a European inspection zone can be exploited to
weaken Adenauerts prospects in next September's election
in the Federal Republic.
The Soviet Union's agreement to establish
an international inspection system to enforce a cessation of
tests was designed to counter the United States' position which
would make any cessation contingent upon Soviet agreement to
halt production of nuclear weapons. Zorin's 7 June memoran-
dum to the US delegate rejected the American suggestion for a
ten-month cessation, charging that such an arrangement "could
actually be used to prepare for subsequent tests."
In now pressing for an immediate suspen-
sion of nuclear tests, Soviet spokesmen will probably contend
that the West's refusal to make any concessions on other as-
pects of disarmament precludes even a partial agreement and
15 June 57
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3.E la
that in this situation an agreement to suspend tests would
create favorable conditions for future progress on other is-
sues. Khrushchev stated on 13 June that the present degree
of "trust among nations" is sufficient to reach an agreement
limited to a suspension of tests. He argued that any solution
of broader disarmament problems requires an "atmosphere of
real confidence" among the nuclear powers.
15 June 57
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SECRE--T
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2. POSSIBLE FIRST SOVIET TESTS OF EARTH
SATELLITE VEHICLE OR ICBM NOTED
On lb and Z4 May, two iauncnings
were noted at the Kapustin Yar
guided missiles test range in which
vertically fired missiles apparently
released a second-stage vehicle.
The vertically fired first-stage ve-
hicle fell to earth approximately 50
nautical miles down range while the
Soviet radars at both the mid-range
(300 nautical miles) and far-range
(650 nautical miles) stations were con-
tinuing to observe another moving ob-
ject.
Comment This would be the first two-stage mis-
sile known to have been fired at Kapus-
tin Yar and appears to be a test of components for either the
Soviet earth satellite vehicle Or an intercontinental ballistic
missile,(ICBM). . Recent Soviet statements have claimed that
the USSR is nearly ready to launch an earth satellite.
15 June 57
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3. KHRUSHCHEV OFFERS TO RETURN KARELIA IN
EXCHANGE FOR NEUTRAL SCANDINAVIAN BLOC
the USSR
was "ready to begin serious talks re-
garding the return of Karelia" if
Finland would act as "intermediary" in forming a neutral
Scandinavian bloc,
The Soviet leader also stated that
Norway must "eventually leave NATO."
Comment The Russians have long considered Karelia
a closed subject although the Finns have con-
tinued to press for its return. Increasing concern over possi-
ble establishment of NATO atomic bases in the Baltic area
probably prompted the Soviet offer.
It is doubtful that either the Finns or the
Russians think Finland could alter Norway's firm adherence
to NATO. The sentimental importance of Karelia to the
Finns, however, might induce them to make some vague at-
tempt to bring about Scandinavian neutrality.
15 June 57
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�_syffifftinp
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4._ GOMULKA TO VISIT EAST BERLIN
Comment on:
Party first secretary Gomulka will
head the Polish delegation scheduled
to visit East Germany soon and will
probably make a strong effort to en-
hance his position in the Communist
world. East Germany, the first Satellite Gomulka will
visit, has been especially concerned over developments
in Poland and outspokenly critical of the Polish party.
East Germany is reported to have sent representatives to
Warsaw on at least two occasions to find out the "true"
state of affairs from Polish Stalinists. Gomulka probably
hopes personally to convince party first secretary Ulbricht
and the other German leaders that the Polish course is no
threat to the East German party and that each regime has
an equal stake in the stability of the other.
Gomulka and Ulbricht may have diffi-
culty achieving agreement on what is the proper relation-
ship between Communist parties and governments--partic-
ularly with reference to noninterference in internal affairs
and the meaning of proletarian internationalism. The com-
position of the Polish delegation--almost exclusively foreign
affairs experts�suggests that no detailed economic or mil-
ita,ry agreements between the two countries will develop out
of the meeting.
15 June 57
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5. SYRIAN LEFTISTS PLAN COUP FOR NEAR FUTURE
A coup by leftist and Communist army
officers and politicians in Syria is be-
ing planned for the near future
The group, which is reportedly receiving support from Nasr,
plans to dissolve parliament, purge the army of rightist ele-
ments, and declare an immediate "union" with Egypt.
The conspirators allegedly have received
assurances from the Soviet military attach�n Damascus
that, in event of intervention by Syria's neighbors, the Soviet
Union would support the new regime with materiel and troops,
if needed.
Comment Syrian leftists have been alarmed at the
trend of events in the Arab world--the
developments in jordan, the Saudi-Iraqi rapprochement, the
first election results in Lebanon, and the increasing isola-
tion of Syria and Egypt. The leftists apparently fear that these
events have encouraged moderate elements in Syria to move
against them, and are reportedly determined to forestall such
action.
Akram Hawrani has reportedly partic-
ipated in five previous army coups in Syria, and there is
little reason to doubt that he might help bring about another.
The USSR has shown no serious intention
of playing a direct role in Middle Eastern crises, such as in
jordan and Suez, where military involvement with the West
might result. On previous occasions,
the USSR
has refused requests from Egypt, Syria and Yemen for active
military support. However, six Soviet naval vessels sched-
uled to enter the Mediterranean from the Black Sea later this
month might "show the flag" at the Syrian port of Latakia, thus
lending moral support to anti-Western groups.
15 June 57
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6. EGYPTIAN-JORDANIAN ESTRANGEMENT
Comment on:
LairoTs aecision to recall its rep-
resentative to the Arab Joint Com-
mand branch in Amman and to close
down the branch radio station, is a
further manifestation of the disinte-
gration of the Egyptian-dominated
joint command and of the serious
split between Eavot and Jordan.
Ambassador Mallory be-
neves tna, %."something just short of
a severance of diplomatic relations"
between Jordan and Egypt is in the
offing.
Meanwhile, there are continuing indi-
cations of Egyptian and Syrian determination to work against
King Hussain.
all district commanders were advised that the "desert patrol"
had reported the entry of 55 fedayeen into Jordan from Syria
to "undertake activities detrimental to public security."
15 June 57
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1-1 IATVIITIT'Arrrrr 4 y
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7, ilAITIAN ARMY OVERTHROWS PROVISIONAL PRESIDENT
Comment on:
Following the bloodless military coup
which ousted Haitian provisional pres-
ident Fignole on 14 June, army chief
of staff Kebreau announced that he will
head a three-man military junta which will rule the country
until "fair and free elections" can be held. The overthrow
of Haiti's seventh government in six months occurred two
days before Fignole was expected to proclaim himself perma-
nent president for a six-year term. Port-au-Prince was
reported calm following the coup, but groups of Fignole's
street mobs were seen gathering in the slums.
Brigadier General Kebreau had been ap-
pointed chief of staff following Fignole's seizure of power on
26 May. His current political affiliations are unknown, and
his name has not as yet been linked with any of the presiden-
tial candidates whose political maneuverings have been pri-
marily responsible for the overthrow of the previous govern-
ments.
15 June 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin
CONFIDENTIAL
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Page 10
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8, NEW REVOLUTIONARY ATTEMPTS REPORTED
IMMINENT IN CUBA
Insurrectionary groups are expected
to stage new uprising in various sec-
tions of Cuba within the next few days,
Rebel forces are expected to arrive in
the Havana area, possibly at the time of an outbreak of ter-
rorism there. Cuban police and investigative personnel have
reportedly been alerted against possible attacks on military
or police installations in the Havana area.
the position of the government is
steadily deteriorating and that there is considerable tension,
although the situation remains outwardly calm.
Comment Ex-president Carlos Prio Socorras, in
exile in Florida, had previously been re-
ported planning new revolutionary attempts during June. Rebel
activities in the Sierra Maestra Mountains in eastern Cuba,
stronghold of Fidel Castro Ruz, have been increasing since
mid-May. Despite the belief that Prio and Fidel Castro were
in alliance before Castro landed his rebel forces during Novem-
ber and December 1956, they are now believed to be operating
independently and possibly at cross purposes.
15 June 57
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9. PEIPING RELEASES TWO MORE AMERICANS
JAILED AS "SPIES"
Comment on:
Two American priests jailed by the
Chinese Communists as "spies" four
years ago were released on 14 June
after completing their sentences. This
move is in line with Peiping's position that American "crim-
inals" must serve out their entire terms unless these are
reduced as a result of "good behavior" by the prisoners.
Peiping has held that these prisoners are not covered by the
repatriation agreement of September 1955. Two other Amer-
icans were released from prison earlier this year. Two
priests still being held are due to complete their sentences
in June 1958.
Four other American prisoners still in
Communist hands have been given terms ranging from 15
years to life. The Chinese evidently plan to use these men
as political hostages. Last April, Peiping indicated that it
regards retention of prisoners ag a guarantee that the US will
not break off the Geneva talks between Ambassador Johnson
and Wang Ping-nan. The Chinese are apparently still anxious
to continue these meetings, currently deadlocked on the pris-
oner issue. On 11 June a Peiping spokesman declared "we
certainly can compete in patience with Mr. Dulles and his
colleagues."
Peiping has thus far permitted seven Korean
war turncoats to leave Communist China and can be expected to
cite this as evidence of its good faith in observing the agree-
ment with Ambassador Johnson to permit "expeditious" repa
triation of all nationals.
15 June 57
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10. NO-CONFIDENCE MOTION AGAINST PRO-COMMUNIST
MAYOR ON OKINAWA FORESEEN
Comment on:
motion of no confidence against pro-
ommunist Mayor ICamejiro Senaga may
e proposed by the Naha scity assembly
er on 17 or 27 June,
Prospects for the success
of the move have improved as a result of the apparent agree-
ment of the two conservative factions to co-operate, and the
fact that the group of eight assemblymen which earlier blocked
a no-confidence action will lead the ouster move.
Senaga has publicly stated he will dissolve
the assembly and call for a new election if a no-confidence mo-
tion is carried against him. Assemblymen depend on the in-
come derived from their office for a living, and their fears of
not being re-elected as well as the lack of campaign funds have
been behind the refusal of the eight conservatives to support a
no-confidence action against Senaga.
The willingness of Okinawan businessmen to
provide campaign funds and alternative means of livelihood to
needy assemblymen who would have to stand for re-election has
encouraged action to remove Senaga. The mayor's opponents
have been further strengthened by the continued refusal of the
banks to grant loans to the Communist administration and the
disinterest of contractors in city projects because they doubt
the city's ability to pay.
15 June 57
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