CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/01/31

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03148909
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: January 31, 1956

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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
10
31 January 1956
Copy No.
103
NO CHANGE IN CLASS ea
Li DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: 1'0
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE:1 k TV REVIEWER:
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
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CONTENTS
1. PARAGUAYAN EXILES IN ARGENTINA MAY BE
PREPARING REVOLT (page 3).
2. CHINESE COMMUNIST PREMIER ASKS US TO JOIN
COLLECTIVE PEACE PACT' (page 4).
3. IRANIAN PARLIAMENT SEEKING US AND BRITISH
BORDER GUARANTEE � (page 5).
4. PAKISTANI GOVERNMENT FACES STRONG OPPOSITION
ON CONSTITUTIONAL ISSUES (page 6).
5, USSR REPORTEDLY HAS OFFERED LIBYA UNLIMITED
FREE ARMS (page 7)
* * * *
31 Jan 56
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(page 8)
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1, PARAGUAYAN EXILES IN ARGENTINA MAY BE
PREPARING REVOLT
A large number of Paraguayan Liberal
Party exiles are preparing an
armed action against President Stroess-
_ ner to be initiated from Argentine bor-
der areas between 15 February and 15 March
Paraguayan army officers are in contact
and arms are already stored in the Paraguayan
border town of Encarnacion,
r.gentina has
supplied arms and radios and is willing to provide airplanes
for a revolt.
Comment This plot appears to be quite separate
from that faced by Stroessner in Decem-
ber from within his own Colorado Party, but may be exploited
by Colorado elements dissatisfied with his handling of the
December crisis.
Paraguay's diplomatic and vital trade rela-
tions with the provisional Argentine government continue
strained, despite the ouster in December of various Para-
guayan officials considered friendly to Peron. Argentina is
probably providing aid to the exiles.
Stroessner
did not expect an armed invasion from
Argentine soil despite his "positive information" that Argen-
tina was working for his overthrow.
31 Jan 53
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2. CHINESE COMMUNIST PREMIER ASKS US TO JOIN
COLLECTIVE PEACE PACT
Comment on:
In voicing support of Bulganin's letter
to President Eisenhower, Chinese
Communist premier Chou En-lai has
called for a Far Eastern conference of Asian countries
"to settle" the Korean question, for the reconvening of
the Geneva conference on Indochina "to ensure" imple-
mentation of the agreements on Vietnam, and for a "col-
lective peace pact" of all Pacific powers, including the
United States, to replace "antagonistic military blocs."
Following so closely Bulganin's
proposal for a friendship pact with the US, Chou En-lai's
appeal is apparently designed to establish a propaganda
initiative.
Chou's statement contained no such
veiled threat as Peiping's declaration of 24 January
that the US "must bear the consequences" if it persists
in "dragging out" the ambassadorial talks at Geneva.
He declared, however, that the Chinese people had a
patriotic duty to prepare for Taiwan's "liberation by means
of war if necessary," although they should strive to take
it by "peaceful means."
31 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
COMIDENTIA L
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3. IRANIAN PARLIAMENT SEEKING US AND BRITISH
BORDER GUARANTEE
Informal delegations from the Iranian
Majlis and Senate have asked Foreign
Minister Ardalan to obtain guarantees
of Iran's borders from the United States
Ardalan said there is "mounting grum-
bling" in both houses of parliament because Iran has not re-
ceived anything concrete from joining the Baghdad pact and
because the United States has not adhered.
Comment Iranians generally recognize that Iran's
adherence to the pact was the personal de-
cision of the Shah. Those who favored adherence did so on
the grounds that it would bring greater economic and military
aid from the West and assure the security of Iran's borders.
The feeling is also widespread that the pact is ineffective with-
out active American participation
Ardalan instructed the Iranian ambassador
in Washington on 24 January to "try by any means possible" to
obtain an American statement that "an attack on Iranian_soil
would be considered the same thing as an attack on American
soil; or some similar statement,"
Ardalan and the Shah recently displayed
agitation over the possible effect on public opinion of a Soviet
offer to participate in a four-power guarantee of Iran's neu-
trality if Iran would leave the Baghdad pact.
31 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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4. PAKISTANI GOVERNMENT FACES STRONG OPPOSITION
ON CONSTITUTIONAL ISSUES
Comment on:
Pakistan's coalition government com-
posed of the Moslem League and the
United Front might fall as a result of
the reported reunion of the United Front
with the opposition Awami League on
the issue of increased power for East
Pakistan under the new constitution.
The Awami League has been leading
the drive against the proposed constitution. The United
Front, fearful of losing support in East Pakistan, where
the terms of the proposed constitution are unpopular, may
now be prepared to join in a common effort against the pres-
ent draft.
Both parties working together could
probably force the Moslem League either to leave the gov-
ernment or to rule by decree.
The Awami League and the front are un-
likely, however, to force the issue except as a last resort.
They realize that the Moslem League, backed by the civil
and military services, would be reluctant to relinquish con-
trol to a coalition based on East Pakistan.
31 Jan 56
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5. USSR REPORTEDLY HAS OFFERED LIBYA UNLIMITED
FREE ARMS
The Libyan Council of Ministers has been
informed that the USSR has offered eco-
nomic aid including "unlimited free arms,"
and between 40, 000 to 50, 000 tons of
wheat now ready for shipment, all without strings. according
to Minister of Finance Ali Sahli.
the Council of Ministers
win reject tne American wheat offer because it is inadequate
and "the United States attaches conditions to the gift."
Sahli also declared that the Soviet ambassador had offered
him a trip to Moscow which he has not flatly declined.
Comment The USSR has made it a practice, in its
dealings with other Arab states, to furnish
arms at reasonable prices with long-term credit.
31 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 30 January)
No significant military activity has
been reported.
Soviet Communist party secretary
Khrushchev told the Swedish ambassador in Moscow on 26
January that although the Soviet government recently had
information that Israel might start a preventive war, its
latest reports indicated that this is no longer true.
Syrian prime minister Ghazzi warned
Ambassador Moose on 28 January that if Israel began work
On a project to drain Lake Huleh, near the Syrian-Israeli
border, it would be "the beginning of war."
Ghazzi appears to have confused Israel's
Lake Huleh project, which has been in progress for some
time, with the Banat Yacov project, on which Israel might
resume work after 1 March. The warning presumably
applies to the Banat Yacov project, as have previous Syrian
statements on the water problem,
31 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8
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