CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/11/02

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03031312
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RIPPUB
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U
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13
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February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
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November 2, 1959
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Approved TOP SECRET, DOCUMENT NO. De (MANDE IN CLASS. ;��� n DECLASSIpED CIRVAE; PI: TS S C Dth:XT rikVIL.W tO 1,2 DWI:5 JUN 1980 F;EviErigni 2 November 1959 Copy No. C 6 CENTRAL 3.3(h)(2)i f INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN -T- 01) - E C- R E -T- r/Z4/7", Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C030313121/7/ eZZZA Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 -Nod Nov " CO CT Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 '44�10, 2 NOVEMBER 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Khrushchev, in speech on 31 October, puts disarmament at top of agenda for summit meeting. Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 a �ia�a Awe a a�, 1 Reports continue of differing opinions between East Germans and Moscow over China. I I. ASIA-AFRICA Laotian Government again postpones trial of pro-Communist leaders. Afghan overflights of Pakistan could lead to breakdown of efforts to ease re- lations between the two countries. Belgian Congo--Arrest of nationalist leader may bring further disorders. "Clarification" announced in Algeria of De Gaulle's proposals seen as step away from liberal solution. , III. THE WEST France--De Gaulle's reluctance to re- open question of storing American atomic warheads believed linked to his forthcoming talks with Khrushchevo 0 Bolivia--Situation tense as civilian militia groups are mobilized in sup- port of contenders for presidency. LATE ITEM 0 Vehicle launched from 'rvitra Ta m � test ICBM. --11PA-P�re Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 2 November 1959 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR: Khrushchev in his speech to the Supreme Soviet on 31 October reaffirmed his preference for a summit conference as early as possible. In proposing an agenda, he assigned top priority to disarmament and also listed a German peace treaty, Berlin, and other questions. The speech reflected an effort to meet reservations apparently expressed by other bloc leaders regarding the effects of present Soviet policy. In a passage prob- ably addressed primarily to Chinese Communist leaders he re- peated earlier doctrine that "one must not confuse mutual conces- sions in the interest of peaceful coexistence" with ideological concessions. He also warned against "adventurism in politics." (Page 1) East German - USS Differences of opinion continue to be reported between East German leaders and Khrushchev over China. Both Ulbricht and Premier Grotewohl look favorably on Chinese hard-line practices, some fetttures of which have been applied in East Germany. Ulbricht has made his views known to Khrushchev and will soon go to Moscow for discussions."1 (SE- II. ASIA-AFRICA Laos; The Laotian Government has again postponed the trial of Prince Souphannouvong and 13 other pro-Communist leaders, from 2 November until after 13 November. Inadequate security arrangements was given as the reason for this second postpone- -6\Lment. The Communists may claim credit for the delay. During the past week Peiping and Moscow have charged that the trial would block a settlement through "peaceful negotiation" and ag- gravate tension in the area. �TOP-SEeRET TWiia-Ti620702/21 C03031312' VA Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 %1100 Afghanistan-Pakistan: High Pakistani Air Force officers have stated that on several occasions in recent weeks forma- tions of Afghan IL-28 bombers have flown over Pakistani terri- tory. Such overflights, the first indication of regular operations by Afghanistan's Soviet-equipped bomber force, seem almost ertain to provoke eventual Pakistani reaction if they are con- tinued. An Afghan-Pakistani clash would upset present efforts to ease the Ion ense state of relations between the two coun- so (Page 3) Belgian Congo: Serious nationalist disorders on 30 and 31 October spread for the first time beyond the coastal area when a violent clash took place between Belgian troops and native Africans at Stanleyville. The violence, which reportedly did extensive damage and claimed at least 24 lives, occurred after government forces attempted to disperse an unauthorized meet- ing of the Congo Nationalist Movement (MNC) independence group. The MNC recently rejected Belgian plans for gradual Congolese independence. Although order had been restored in Stanleyville by 1 November, the arrest of the MNC leader on that date may be expected to lead to further trouble k ranee-Algeria: The announcement by Delegate General Delouvrier in Algeria on 30 October that a two-stage referendum will be required when Algerians exercise self-determination, as promised by De Gaulle, is viewed as a step backwards by propo- nents of a liberal Algerian solution. Delouvrier's "clarification" of De Gaulle's proposals, presumably made on orders from Paris, was probably intended to meet reported army dissatisfaction with III. THE WEST France De Gaulle appears reluctant to reopen the question of storing American atomic warheads in France for NATO use until after he has talked with Khrushchev. De Gaulle may hope that by having demonstrated French "independence" of the Unite lAb States he can ask that Khrushchev meet his public demands for a show of good will on a world-wide basis as a precondition for a summit meeting. Finance Minister Pinay has complained that De Gaulle did not bother to consult the rahinet hefrne inviting Khru- shchev. (Page 4) 2 Nov 59 DAILY BRIEF TOP SECRET 4Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312' A VA z Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Bolivia: The situation in Bolivia is tense and likely to remain so in the period before the presidential nominating convention of the government party which is scheduled to open on 10 December. Civilian militia groups are being mobilized in support of the con- flicting presidential ambitions of both former. President Paz--whom bmoderate President Siles is apparently now supporting--and right- wing leader Walter Guevara. The police and the army are said to have been alerted to quell disturbances, but they probably could trol a widespread outbreak on the part of the militia. (Page 5) LATE ITEM *USSR: launching occurred at Tyura Tam at about 1624 EST on 1 November. It probably involved a test ICBM, the missile reached the usual ICBM impact area on the Kamchatka Peninsula. The countdown wao marked by delays of over four hours, and was preceded by appar- ently unsuccessful attempts to launch on 30 and 31 October. The Soviet instrumentation ships on 31 October were apparently en route to Petropovlovsk on Kamchatka and could have been in port during this operation. There is no available information that the ships participated in the event. 2 Nov 59 DAILY BRIEF iii TOP SECRET VA iApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 CO3031312, , A Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Ithrushchev's Foreign Policy Speech In his speech to the closing session of the Supreme Soviet on 31 October, Khrushchev summarized in a notably moderate tone the principal themes of his "peaceful coexistence" policy which he developed during and since his visit to the United States. He indicated satisfaction with the "noticeable improvement in the international situation" and said the prospects for strengthening peace "have become more favorable." Khrushchev's discussion of major East-West questions con- tained no indication of any changes in the Soviet position. He re- peated his favorable assessment of his US visit and talks with President Eisenhower and attempted to convey the impression that he had reached "mutual understanding" with both the President and Prime Minister Macmillan on a summit conference. While he avoided direct criticism of President de Gaulle's position on the timing of a meeting, he rejected the view that the heads of government should meet only after agreement has been reached on major questions. He reaffirmed his preference for an early meeting and proposed an agenda which gave top priority to disarma- ment, followed by a German peace treaty, Berlin, and "other international questions of general interest." Khrushchev expressed Soviet appreciation of the statements by De Gaulle and Premier Debre on the "inviolability" of the Oder-Neisse frontier. He gave a cautious endorsement to De Gaulle's recent statement on Algeria but, at the same time, re- peated the standard expression of Soviet sympathy for peoples who are "struggling for independence and national liberty." In Moscow's first authoritative response to recent statements by American officials holding the USSR at least partially responsi- ble for Peiping's actions, Khrushchev denounced this as a "psy- chological attack against the Soviet Union" and :accused- the United States of distorting the character of Sino-Soviet relations and CONFIDENTIAL 2 Nov 59 CENTRAI INTFI I inpwrr RI III P-rito Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Awe ANS .11 S A 51-3 Name casting doubt on Peiping's sovereignty. He repeated Moscow's view that the Taiwan question is a "purely internal affair of China" and expressed confidence that "Taiwan and the other islands will be reunited with the rest of China." Although he made no mention of the use of force, Khrushchev renewed Soviet pledges to support Peiping "until it has achieved settle- ment of this question." The Soviet premier adhered to his neutral position on the Sino-Indian border dispute, expressing hope for a peaceful set- tlement satisfactory to both sides. The New China News Agency's account of the speech omitted this passage. The most important aspect of Khrushchey's speech was his effort to define the limits of his peaceful coexistence polity�pre- sumably in response to doubts and reservations which apparendy have been voiced by other bloc leaders. After urging the need in the present world situation for "mutual concessions and understand- inOQ.in East-West relations, he emphasized that "one must not con- fuse mutual concessions in the interest of peaceful coexistence" with concessions on ideological principles, which he said are out of the question. Khrushchev defended his present course by pointing out that Soviet history contains many examples of "Lenin's wise and flex- ible foreign policy aimed at the solution of vital problems of peace." In a passage apparently addressed primarily to the Chinese Com- munists, he recalled Trotsky's opposition to Lenin's decision to make peace with Germany in 1918 "to ensure for the young Soviet state the possibility of peaceful construction of socialism," and said Trotsky's "adventurist" policy had "played into the hands of the German imperialists." -CONFIDENTIAL- 2 Nov 59 CENTRAL INTFI I inFtsirF RIIIIFTIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 tvepro IL ASIA-AFRICA Afghan Air Force Bombers Overfly Pakistani Territory The commander in chief of the Pakistani Air Force on 28 October stated that formations of Afghan twin-jet bombers, presumably IL-28s, had recently appeared along the Afghan- Pakistani border and that on one occasion three aircraft of a flight of 12 had overflown the border. On the same day, a senior Pakistani Air Force officer in Peshawar stated that 10 or 12 times during the past few weeks formations of Afghan IL-28 jet bombers had overflown Pakistani tribal territory south of the Khyber Pass. This officer said the Pakistani Air Force was asking for antiaircraft artillery to be installed in the area to deal with future intrusions. Continued Afghan overflights of Pakistani territory seem almost certain eventually to stimulate Pakistani military reac- tion, either in the form of antiaircraft fire or fighter intercep- tion. An Afghan-Pakistani clash would nullify elforts now being made in diplomatic circles to bring about a rapprochement be- tween Karachi and Kabul. SECRET 2 Nov 59 � . V � M. ��� I � II ����� � .��� ��� ��� � � � � mg ��� � � � Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 CO3031312 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 viwe' III. THE WEST CD. Gaulle Reluctant to Reopen Nuclear Warhead Storage Issue Until After Khrushchev Visit French President de Gaulle is described as appearing reluc- tant to reopen the long-deadlocked issue of storage of American atomic warheads in France for NATO's use until after he has talked with Soviet Premier Khrushchev0 who is scheduled to visit France early next year. De Gaulle may have been influ- enced by a report that the Soviet Government was impressed by his "independence" of the United States on the warhead question. Pro-NATO Finance Minister Pinay has complained that De Gaulle did not bother to consult the cabinet before inviting Khru- shchev. Althougl De Gaulle showing "his usual misunderstanding" of NATO, the chief of staff is now said to be more optimistic concerning French-NATO relations. De Gaulle can be expected to maintain his pressure for a greater French role in NATO and for a French voice equal to that of the United States and Britain in global Western policy decisions, but there is no evidence suggesting he would encourage Khrushchev in his apparent belief that France is the "weak link" in the West- ern alliance. On the nuclear warhead storage issue, he may hope that by having demonstrated French "independence" of the United States, he can in effect demand that Khrushchev reciprocate with evidence of Soviet interest in a general detente. He might also point out that France's actions have lessened the NATO "threat" to the USSR. De Gaulle has already insisted on world-wide evidence-- particularly in Africa--of Soviet good will as a precoildition of French participation in any East-West summit talks. 2 Nov 59 CPKITDAI IKITFI I irtmorr RI n arnsi Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 -*No' Tension Increasing in Bolivia Tension is likely to increase in Bolivia as a result of mobil- ization of civilian militia in support of the conflicting presiden- tial ambitions of former President Paz and right-wing leader Walter Guevara, Moderate President Siles has apparently swung his support from Guevara to Paz, and this is likely to give the preponderance of militia support to Paz. The outcome of the present conflict is likely to have decisive importance for the pres- idential nominating convention of the government party sthedUled to open 10 December. This nomination is tantamount to election since the party has no major opposition in Bolivia. In an apparent move to placate Guevara's right-wing support- ers, Siles has demanded that leftist Jose Rojas, a principal lead- er of the rural militia, resign from the cabinet by 4 November. Rojas' dismissal may provoke additional militia violence, however, since hp is now mobilizing his supporters while another key rural militia leader is mobilizing opposing units. The police and the army are said to have been placed on the alert to quell disturbances, but they probably could not control a widespread outbreak of militia violence. SECRET 2 Nov 59 CFNTRAI IhITFI I InFkirp RI III PTIM Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 �4.00 THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director ry)ArrYTIVATIT'l A I Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 r7 //// Z � fr/Z7//////////////////////////. if Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312 -TOP-SECRET Z/ZApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03031312////////WWWW, j