CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/01/14

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03031261
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
March 17, 2020
Document Release Date: 
March 26, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
January 14, 1960
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Body: 
,7#77/77 /11131(WCIF:a.--2.1:72j/f3./.1 c).V313617/71///////ziziezz/ 1., TOP�SECRET� A%e '07 0114111111IT U. 1f P10 CHANGE 111 CLASS. OF DECLASSIFIED- CLASS. CHANOLLI Tat T$ $ NEXT BEVItiNf DATE4 1010 Atiliit tiff 104 DATE: ft...J.UNJ9131kvirwtiti 14 January 1960 Copy No. C G7 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN' -TOP-SECRET- Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 pproved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 TOP SECREF- Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 14 JANUARY 1960 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Kirichenko downgraded and assigned to provincial post; may have lost out in struggle for place of preference behind Soviet leader. Sibir-class ships approaching designated Central Pacific impact area for Soviet "ballistic rocket" tests. II. ASIA-AFRICA Afghan foreign minister's talks with Pak- istani President may have helped clear way for further efforts to improve rela- tions but early solution of Pushtoonistan dispute remains unlikely. Nasir's suppression of Syrian Baathists may make them susceptible to Commu- nist advances for cooperation against Cairo. III. THE WEST 0 Pinay's departure from French cabinet may indicate De Gaulle decision to allow greater government intervention in econ- omy, diverting more resources to pro- grams considered necessary for France's "great power" aspirations. SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 \ \\\ \ \ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 N \ v.0 ---- , \ \\ CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN \ 14 January 1960 N \ \ DAILY BRIEF Odj6 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR: Aleksey Kirichenko, who until recently ranked with Mikoyan and Kozlov as one of Khrushchev's chief lieu- \ tenants in the party presidium, has been downgraded and - 0/4 assigned to a provincial post. Kirichenko, a natural target in the struggle for precedence behind Khrushchev, may have 6 laid himself open to demotion by differing with Khrushchev �j , either over party operations or over general policy consid- erations. His reassignment was apparently approved at last ,04,-'64 taken by the Supreme Scviet onth's secret session of the party central committee: which also approved decisions to be meeting beginning 14 January. .'i Page 1) N N� USSR: Three Soviet Sibir-class missile range instrumen- tation ships are approaching the zone of the Central Pacific designated by Moscow as an impact area for "ballistic rocket" tests between 15 January and 15 February. The present posi- tions and movement of these ships indicat t robably will be in the impact area by 15 January, On 13 January a probable range-wide practice exercise was conducted on the Tyura Tam Missile Test Range during which, as has been done previously, information was nasspd fn thP Rihir-olacc ehinal 111. ASIA-Ai, RICA Afghanistan-Pakistan: Afghan Foreign Minister Naim's conversations with Pakistani President Ayub this week appar- ently were primarily exploratory in nature, although, judging from Nairn's public statements following the talks, they may Or\ have helped to clear the way for further efforts to improve re- lations. Nevertheless, an early resolution of the major irritant TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 %NO UI %.0 between the two countries, the Pushtoonistan dispute, is un- likely, since this would rPritiirr, mainr adjustments in policy and popular attitudes. ) (Page 2) UAR: An Iraqi Communist delegation recently arrived in Beirut to seek a Communist-Baathist alliance to work against the UAR regime in Syria, a meeting of Akram Hawrani, Syrian Baathist leader who recently resigned as UAR vice president, with Commu- nist and Baathist leaders in Syria. Although Hawrani is said to have rejected the idea of joint efforts against Cairo at this time, there were instances of Baathist-Communist cooperation prior to 1958, and Nasir's continued suppression of the Syrian Baathists may make them susceptible to Com- munist advances. (TOP SECRET DAUNT) (Page 3) Watch Committee Conclusions: EI:tie following develop- ments are susceptible of direct exploitation by Soviet/Com- munist hostile action which could jeopardize the security of the US in the immediate futurei] 'ffiyithin and without Iraq, political groups continue to maneuver for power, and an attempt to assassinate Qasim could occur at any tim...23 Laos, formation of the new government on 7 January temporarily should ease political unrest and reduces the like- lihood of internal measures, such as an early trial of NLHZ leaders, which would stimulate strong reaction on the part of Lao Communists and their supporters abroad. However, the dissidents probably will continue their propaganda and local- ized guerrilla activities in an effort to disrupt government measures to establish effective control over outlying areas-4 III. THE WEST France: Finance Minister Pinay's departure from the cab- inet on 13 January may indicate a decision by De Gaulle to allow greater government intervention in the economy for the purpose 14 Jan 60 DAILY 8RIEF \ kl.z1 , Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 , Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 %IMO 11110F IT a Is, a ..s.aa %la A of diverting more resources to programs considered neces- sary for France's "great power" aspirations and to make concessions to labor and agriculture designed to allay their growing opposition to the regime. The appointment of an able and respected "technician," Bank of France Governor Wilfrid Baumgartner, as Pinay's successors while reducing the political importance of the Finance Ministry portfolios may lessen the risk of a loss of investor confidence in the French economy. Two of the other three members of Pinay's Independent party still in the cabinet--the minister of Agri- culture and the secretary of state for foreign econo --are reportedly also planning to resign. (Page 4) 14 Jan 60 DAILY BRIEF iii -71,13.--SEC-RET \V's Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 %le L THE COMMUNIST BLOC KhrushcheV Demotes Top Party Aide � Aleksey Kirichenko, who until a few months ago was functioning as Khrushchev's second-in-command in the party secretariat, has been demoted to the job of party chief in Rostov Oblast, according to a Soviet press announcement of 13 January. The assignment represents a serious rever- sal in his political fortunes. Kirichenko's status as a full member of the party presidium, a post he has held since July 1955, was not mentioned. While Kirichenko has not been reported involved in policy disputes, in recent months he no longer seemed to enjoy Khrushchev's full confidence. Kirichenko, now 52, was a Khrushchev protege and as- sociate for many years. Khrushchev was apparently respon- s1blefo0Cirichenko's rapid rise in top party circles since 1953. aa June 1959, however, Khrushchev told Governor Harriman that Kozlov had been picked as his successor and derided the suggestion that Kirichenko might be in the run- ning. Since then Kirichenko has not engaged in the kind of substantive party activity which had previously marked him as one of the four top Soviet leader!:.] Factional infighting in the highest circles of the party Is nioSt'often observed in the areas of personnel appointment and policy decisions. There has been a rash of personnel changes recently: upheavals in the leadership of several re- publics, extensive changes in the secret police (KGB), shifts in the central party apparatus, and more recently, the return of Presidium member Nikolay Ignatov to full-time work in the party secretariat after several months in disfavor. Some of these changes probably reflected maneuvering involving Kirichenko. The decision to reassign Kirichenko was probably made last month at a special secret session of the party central committee which was held immediately following an open meeting devoted to agricultural problems. A Soviet news- paperman stated that the secret session considered impor- tant domestic matters which would be formally approved by tho SiinrPmP Soviet meeting beginning 14 January. 14 Jan 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 1110 IL ASIA-AFRICA Afghan-Pakistani Conversation Produces Cautious Optimism Afghan Foreign Minister Naim's 10-12 January conversa- tions with Pakistani President Ayub will probably lead to fur- ther efforts by Afghanistan and Pakistan to improve their relations. The talks, which were exploratory and informal in nature, appear to have been more useful than either side expected. It was agreed that contacts should continue in an� effort to solve "political differences." The government- monitored Pakistani press has welcomed the talks as im- proving the prospects for better relations. Naim's public comments on the talks suggest he now be- lieves it may be possible to make progress in negotiations. Kabul's earlier assessment that it would be impossible to do business with Ayults military government had been largely responsible for the deterioration in relations. Despite Ayubys recent public dismissals of the Pushtoon- istan dispute as a "phony" issue, he has apparently convinced Naim that he is willing to consider the problem and try to reach an accommodation. Although the hostile propaganda exchanges between the two countries may be moderated, a resolution of the Pushtoonistan dispute, the major irritant in Afghan-Pak- istani relations, is unlikely in the near future since such a development woulq recmire major adiitstments in policy and popular attitudes. TIAL 14 Jan 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 _ NINO' Iraqi Communists Seek Cooperation of Baathists in Syria The UAR Embassy in Beirut informed Cairo on 11 Jan- uary that Iraqi Communists had arrived in Eeirut on 9 Jan- uary and contacted members of the l3aath party to work out a plan of cooperation against the Nasir regime in Syria. the Communists planned to ask the Baathists to join them in a, coup attempt or at least to support "any movement or coup which occurs in Syria." In return for cooperation, the Communists were prepared to promise release of Baathists imprisoned in Iraq and permis- sion for Baath party activity there. a Syrian Communist offer of cooperation had already been rejected by Alcram Hawrani, Syrian Baathist leader who recently resigned as UAR vice president. Hawrani reportedly stated he preferred to wait for further developments in Syria. It is not clear whether the approach to Hawrani was the same one The Baathists had cooperated with Communists to gain mutual objectives prior to the formation of the UAR in 1958, however, and Nasir's continued conflict with the Baathists in Syria might make them amenable to later Com- munist offers. Meanwhile, the UAR internal security apparatus in Syria appears to be increasing its surveillance over Iraqi political refugees and Communists. the Syrians have seized two Iraqi Communists sent by Iraqi military intelligence to organize Svri sidents, an provincial governors in Syria to undertake a detailed StUTd�f the identification and political inclinations of Iraqi refugees. 14 Jan 60 TOP SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 IL A�a a I .a Nee' Nee III. THE WEST Implications of Pinay's Removal from Debrd Cabinet The removal on 13 January of Finance Minister Pinay, the most influential leader of the previous regime remaining in the cabinet, indicates that De Gaulle may have decided to subordi- nate Pinay's "hard money" policy to other considerations. Ap- pointment of Bank of France Governor Wilfrid Baumgartner, an able and respected technician, to replace Pinay may lessen the risk of a loss of investor confidence in the French economy and will also reduce the political importance of the Finance Ministry portfolio. Premier Debre has been subject to growing pressures to loosen Pinay's restrictions on consumption and economic expan- sion and to push programs stressing social benefits. He and other ministers drawn from the "Gaullist" Union for the New Republic (UNR) favor selective rises in wages and farm prices, and have been working on plans to create a new national bank to aid in the reconversion of depressed areas and industries, to organize a government-controlled company for marketing Saharan oil, and to implement decrees embodying De Gaulle's earlier proposals to give labor a voice in corporate management. The political implications of the crisis may be more far reaching. Pinay represents a threat to the UNR's attempt to build a new political base for the present regime. He still has considerable influence in the Independent party, which has been showing signs of serious disagreement with De Gaulle's "liberal" offer of self-determination to Algeria, his highhanded treatment of parliament, and his apparent downgrading of NATO and the Western alliance. Pinay's withdrawal may widen the rift between the Independ- ents and the UNR. The situation will be further strained if other Independents in the cabinet, notably Minister of Agriculture Henri Rochereau and Secretary of State for Foreign Economic Affairs Max Flechet, also leave, especially if they are replaced by "technicians," as opposed to political figures. 14 Jan 60 CONFIDENTIkL- CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 II L., IL-d 11Z W. 14.0 THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261 .02y/6r izzze/ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03031261