CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/01/30

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03023332
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: January 30, 1959

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3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
30 January 1959
Copy No. C 63
CENTRAL
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INTELLIGENCE
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30 JANUARY 1959
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR offers Greece increased trade
and assistance on Cyprus issue, but
warns ngainst accenting US missile
sites.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Iran agrees to sign nonaggression
pact with USSR.
Egyptian editor close to Nasir crit-
icizes Khrushchev speech as inter-
ference; Nasir sees Soviet ambas-
sador.
Iraq - Nasir still apparently undecided
on timing of move to try to overthrow
Qasim.
Yemeni official believes chances for
revolt growing; Soviet wheat offer not
jet accepted.
Israel attempting to build case against
UN handling of border incidents.
I
TOP SECRET
0 Australian cabinet to consider resump-
tion of relations with USSR.
III. THE WEST
0 Haiti - President's domestic position
deteriorating.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
30 January 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-Greece: Moscow has offered to assist Greece on
the Cyprus question, and to "double or triple" commercial
exchanges between the two countries.
a Soviet Foreign
Ministry official expressed his satisfaction over improved
Soviet-Greek relations in the past two years. The Soviet
official warned, however, that if Greece allows American
missile bases on its territory, Russia will be compelled
'to, build them in Adjacent areas, and Greek-Soviet relations
would be affected at every level.
11. PLOLtk-itr
Iran-USSR: [The Iranian Government has agreed to sign
a nonaggression pact with the USSR, according to Iranian
Minister of Court Ala. Three high-ranking Soviet officials
arrived in Tehran on 29 January, reportedly including A. P.
Pavlov, chief of the Middle East Division of the Soviet Min-
istry of Foreign Affairs. Soviet Ambassador Pegovis con-
tinued presence in Tehran, despite local press reports that
he was leaving for Moscow to attend the 21st party congress
is further indicative of important negotiations]
(Page
UAR-USSR: Muhammad Heikal, Cairo newspaper editor
who is close to Nasir, in a 29 January article has criticized
Khrushchev's speech at the party congress as interference
in the UAR's affairs. He added that the Arabs "love and
respect" the USSR in spite of, not because of, the activities
of local Communists. Nasir met with Soviet Ambassador
riqqpipu nn thp tnnrnina nf 2 Jannarir
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UAR-Iraq: he anti-Qasim group in the Iraqi Army is
reported to have again sought Nasir's advice on its course of
action. Nasir and his advisers, as well as pro-UAR elements
In Iraq, appear uncertain at this time whether to promote an
effort to overthrow Qasin23 (Page 2)
Yemen: The Yemeni deputy foreign minister believes
that the chances for a revolt in the near future are growing,
sparked by antimonarchical sentiment as well as by hostility
to pro-Soviet Crown Prince Badr. The Imam seems fearful
of an increase in Soviet influence despite his support for
Badr and apparently has withheld acceptance of the Soviet
wheat offer. Soviet Ambassador ICisselev, who was visit-
ing Yemen, has returned to Cair_oj
(Page 3)
Israel: Tel Aviv appears to be renewing its efforts to
build a record on the handling of border incidents which will
"prove" that the United Nations machinery in the area is in-
effective. Although the Israelis themselves are in part re-
sponsible for creating the local situations out of which recent
incidents have developed, .they have submitted a lengthy com-
plaint to the UN Security Council and are taldrig a "tough" line
with local UN officials. (Page 4)
Australia-USSR:
the Australian cabinet
will be requested on 5 February to approve the resumption
of diplomatic relations with the USSR. Diplomatic relations
were severed in 1954 following the Petrov espionage scanda
In Australia2
III. THE WEST
Haiti: President Duvalier's domestic position is dete-
riorating rapidly, give him little
30 Jan 59
DAILY BRIEF ii
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chance of stemming the tide. With disaffection mounting
rapidly among government employees, with the general pop-
ulace restive under a long economic crisis, and with the
army already at least passively opposed to him, Duvalier
can count only on his personal civiltan militia fo,r support.
� W. SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding week)
SN1E 100-10-58. Soviet Objectives in the Berlin Crisis.
23 December 1958.
30 Jan 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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Nor
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
(No Back-up Material)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Iranian-Soviet Nonaggression Pt Now Appears t ertain
aranian Minister of Court Ala told Ambassador Wailes
in Tehran on 29 January that Iran has agreed to sign a non-
aggression pact with the USSR. He also confirmed that three
high-ranking Soviet officials, one of whom has been tentatively
identified as A. P. Pavlov, chief of the Middle East Division
of the Soviet Foreign Ministry, arrived in Tehran on the
afternoon of 29 January_.]
[Further indication that significant developments are taking
place in Iranian-Soviet negotiations is Soviet Ambassador
Pegov's continued presence in Tehran despite local press
reports that he was leaving for Moscow to attend the Commu-
nist party congress, a function from which Pegov, a member
of the party central committee, would absent himself only
for exceptionally_pressing business. There are also reports
o "intensive' telephone traffic between the Iranian Foreign
inistry and the Soviet Embassy in Tehran during the past
f w days, as well as of numerous meetings between Pegov
and Iranian Ambassador-designate to Moscow Masud Ansuri.
mbassador Wailes regards the situation as serious and
believes it has passed the stage of mere "pressure...for
budget assistance." He recently reported, however, that
the Shah, realizing the serious consequences of signing any
agreement with the USSR, may be trying to clarify vague So-
viet proposals. In the Shah's present state of depression and
apparent disillusionment, confused by conflicting advice from
those around him and enticed by attractive Soviet offers, he may
blunder into r situation which is beyond his control]
SECRET
30 Tan 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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A NJI kJ li-J I (
*60"
The Iraqi Situation
agyptian President Nasir and his advisers, as wel as
"nationalist" army and civilian elements in Iraq, still appear
to be uncertain whether to make a determined effort to over-
throw Iraai Prime Minister Qasim.
Iraqi Minister of
Guidance Shanshal and Minister of State Rikabi are advising
against a coup--at least for the present. They believe that
Qasim has changed his attitude and "is now fighting the Com-
munists." The military group opposing Qasim has again
sought Nasires advice on whether to carry out an immediate
coup, or wait until Qasim's policy is more cle rly demon-
strated. Although Minister of Interior for the Syrian Region
Sarraj believes the coup should be carried out soon, Nasir has
been reluctant to commit himself since the abortive UAR-
supported plot in early December. Nasir may well feel that
he does not know enough about the capability of this group,
which has never been clearly define d7
the central committee of
the Iraqi Communist party has been reorganized and has added
a number of "honorary" members, including Qasim's aide-de-
camp, the chief censor, the director of broadcasting, and sev-
eral members of the military court which is trying members of
the former royal regime. It was further claimed that Qasim is
bringing sizable numbers of pro-Communist reserve officers
,into the army. Senior officers are said to be worried that this
'might lead to disaffection in the army and refusal to obey corn-
mandsi
Erte Baghdad regime's recent posthumous "amnesty" for
three Communist leaders hanged in 1949 and the acceptance of
testimony by Communists in the Baghdad "treason trials" are
hardly consistent with Oasim's much touted "crackdown" on
the Communistg
CQasim is "plotting ill for Faiq Sammarrai," Iraqi ambas-
sador in Cairo and contact man for the conspirators,
Sammarrai is con-
sidered _ to be the most capable of the anti-
Qasim civilian leader5
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NNW'
Developments in Yemen
Smen's moderate Deputy Foreign Minister al-Amri has
informed an American official that a predominantly "plebian"
movement which seeks establishment of a republic has been
gaining strength because of the growing unpopularity of the
Imamate. Additionally, al-Amri expects violence in mid-Feb-
ruary when leaders of the "patrician" tribes, who support
Prince Hasan to replace the present Imam, become aware
of the Imam's inability to pay annual subsidies to them. Out-
breaks in the interior towns might also occur when the Imam
and Crown Prince Badr go to the port of Hodeida to meet Yugo-
slav Marshal Tito about 5 February7/
time "patrician" forces who support Hasan and the monarchy
are members of the Zaidi Shia sect of Islam. Most of them come
from the warlike tribes of northern Yemen which traditionally
elect each new Imam and provide most of the men for the army.
The antimonarchical movement in large part derives support from
Yemyn's plebian Shafais of the Sunni sect, who inhabit southern
Yemen and the coastal plain. The leaders of clandestine Shafai
organizations reportedly hope to establish a separate state in
Yemen if the Zaidis do not grant them a voice in the next govern-
ment. The Zaidis traditionally are suspicious of Sunni Egypt,
which has long provided asylum for antimonarchical Yemeni ex-
iles and which might support a Shafai countercoup aimed at re-
iorming Yemen's social orde9
11e Imam's growing fear of the Soviet influence Badr has
been promoting in Yemen to improve his chances of succession
has apparently caused him to withhold final approval of a So-
viet offer of wheat for famine relief as of 24 January. The
USSR made the offer after it had learned of an American offer
and had with Rules help unsuccessfully attempted to block ac-
ceptance of the American bid. Soviet Ambassador Kisselev de-
layed a trip to Moscow to fly to Taiz to visit the Imam on 25 Jan-
uary, possibly to make a more attractive off/
-SEeitEr
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JLFLJL a a 4--1 #4.
Neve
Israeli-Arab Incidents
Israel's firm representations to UN truce officials and its
complaint to the Security Council seem to be part of an effort
to demonstrate the failure of UN machinery to prevent and me-
diate Arab-Israeli incidents. A record of recent instances of
such alleged ineffectiveness could be used to support an Israeli
case for any future "retaliation" against the Arabs. EON
Secretary General Hammarskjold believes the pattern is sim
ilar to that of 1955-56 prior to Israel's attack on Egypt, but
that at present the campaign is "not so far advanced." There
are no indications as yet that the Israelis are planning immi-
nent military actioL9
El'he Israelis, refusing to utilize the facilities of the Mixed
Armistice Commissiondor dealing With border incidents, have
"demanded" that UN officers arrange a meeting of local Israeli
and Jordanian commanders regarding the fatal shooting of an
Israeli soldier in Jerusalem on 26 January. They emphasize
that they must have an answer to this request no later than
Sunday and "probably even by Friday.'] The UN Security Coun-
cil meets on Friday afternoon, 30 January, to consider Israel's
complaint against the UAR. Israel may decide to include the
Jerusalem incident in its complaint.
Tel Aviv seems inclined to regard the recent increase of
border incidents as resulting from the absence of any decisive
action by the Security Council on the previous Israeli complaint
in December. An Israeli newspaper which frequently reflects
government views has asserted that the present complaint must
be understood as a "last warning," and that if. the �r� is unable
to keep peace Israel will be obliged to take action.
CONFIDENT! A L
30 Jan 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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CONFIDENTIAL
Now, N."3.1
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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